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Top Horse Analytics: 12/26/2021 Picks and Results - TAM


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TOP HORSE ANALYTICS (v12.21.11.30a)

Track: TAM
Start Of Statistics - 12/20/2020
Past Number of Races - 826

WinPC   $1ROI   HiPayoff   Bet Types
34.02 0.82   9.80   Favorites
29.98 0.80 14.00   Morning Line Favorites
29.78 1.04 35.60   Top Horse (with profitable conditions)

Complete Statistics Provided at THA Weekly Statistics

Contact us at Facebook for help or to report issues: Top Horse Analytics

The Win% and ROI columns below are the win percents and return on investments that the top horse
has performed in the past year for associated compound conditions in a race. The expectation is
that these conditions will perform as well in the future.

An ROI less than 1.01 indicates that no profitable conditions exist for this entry when it's the top rated
horse. Also, be aware that abnormally high payoffs may inflate the ROI so look for a high Win% and Occurs to go
with that high ROI as your selection.

These stats are only good for the top rated horse whether it's the original (100.0000) or the top horse
resulting from scratches. Every horse in a race may have Occurs, Win%, and ROI stats in case it becomes the
top rated horse.


horse name(b+) - Blinkers On
horse name(b-) - Blinkers Off

12/26/21, TAM, Race 1, 12.15 ET
12/26/21,TAM,1,1M 40Y [Dirt] 1:38:03 CLAIMING. Purse $13,500. FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES. Three Year Olds, 120 lbs.; Older, 123 lbs. Non-winners Of A Race At A Mile Or Over Since November 26 Allowed 2 lbs. Claiming Price $8,000 (Races Where Entered For $6,250 Or Less Not Considered In Allowances).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 4 Sip'n Dip 6/1 Castillo I Mc Allen John P. W 302 32.12 1.15/$1
096.6220 2 Grandmary 4/1 De La Cruz F Bennett Gerald S. TC 302 32.12 1.15/$1
096.4075 7 Tamiami 15/1 Bisono J Escobar Alison 302 32.12 1.15/$1
095.2409 1 Speak English 9/2 Bowen R Clark Tom A. 302 32.12 1.15/$1
094.2267 5 Smooth as Glass 2/1 Cardoso D Rodriguez Angel M. SFL 302 32.12 1.15/$1
092.7145 6 My Blonde Mary 8/1 Herrera J R Escobar Alison 302 32.12 1.15/$1
091.4279 3 Just Stay Home 5/2 Diaz. Jr. H R O'Connell Kathleen JE 302 32.12 1.15/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 33.33, ROI 0.71/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -3.3780
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[All Dirt] Race Age Not 4Up


12/26/21, TAM, Race 2, 12.43 ET
12/26/21,TAM,2,7F [Dirt] 1:20:04 CLAIMING. Purse $13,500. FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES. Three Year Olds, 120 lbs.; Older, 122 lbs. Non-winners Of A Race Since November 26 Allowed 2 lbs. Claiming Price $8,000 (Races Where Entered For $6,250 Or Less Not Considered In Allowances)(Registered Florida Breds Preferred).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 1 Swingin Friar 2/1 Villa-Gomez H Blair Jordan C 373 31.90 1.13/$1
099.6926 4 Yak 10/1 Arroyo M Rarick Lynn W 373 31.90 1.13/$1
098.8939 5 Optimal Courage 5/2 Castillo I Lusk Brian R. SE 373 31.90 1.13/$1
098.3371 7 Himelstein 6/1 De La Cruz F O'Connell Kathleen F 373 31.90 1.13/$1
098.2380 3 Free Flayme 8/1 Dominguez C G Delgado Jose H. JT 373 31.90 1.13/$1
097.0013 2 Simmardstrike 12/1 Batista J A Negrete Javier 373 31.90 1.13/$1
096.9159 6 Blakenstein 7/2 Ferrer J C Guciardo Kathleen A. L 373 31.90 1.13/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 33.33, ROI 0.71/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -0.3074
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[All Dirt] Race Distance Sprint


12/26/21, TAM, Race 3, 1.12 ET
12/26/21,TAM,3,1M [Turf] 1:33:01 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING. Purse $28,000 (includes up to $1,500 FOA - Florida Owners Awards). FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, STARTER, OR STATE BRED OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES OR OPTIONAL CLAIMING PRICE OF $32,000. Three Year Olds, 122 lbs.; Older, 125 lbs. Non-winners Of A Race At A Mile Or Over Since November 26 Allowed 2 lbs. Such A Race Since October 26 Allowed 4 lbs. Claiming Price $32,000 (Races Where Entered For $25,000 Or Less Not Considered In Allowances) (Condition Eligibility). (If deemed inadvisable by management to run this race over the turf course, it will be run on the main track at One Mile and Forty Yards.).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 7 A Rose for Raven 12/1 Ferrer J C Raven Kerri T 113 32.74 1.36/$1
099.7721 5 Obiwan 10/1 Feliciano R Feliciano Benny R. FC 113 32.74 1.36/$1
099.1100 4 Driftwood 12/1 Gallardo A A Potts Ron G. JWL 113 32.74 1.36/$1
098.6432 1 Patriot Drive 9/2 Alvarado. Jr. R Ward Dennis 186 22.04 1.22/$1
097.3472 2 Wolfie's Dynaghost 1/1 Castanon J L Albertrani Thomas E 186 22.04 1.22/$1
097.1700 3 Two Steppin Kluki 10/1 Castillo I Pimental John I. S 61 39.34 1.72/$1
096.2818 6 Nick Papagiorgio 4/1 Camacho S LeCesse Michael A. 186 22.04 1.22/$1
094.8801 8 Sonny Smack 15/1 Cardoso D Lund Valorie 113 32.74 1.36/$1
Top rated horse With "Turf Surface Not fm/hd" - Win% 33.33, ROI 1.02/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -0.2279
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[Turf Not_MdnMClm] Last Race Was Not OddsOn Favorite(not entry)  -with-
[Turf Not_MdnMClm] Last Race Weight Is Not Greater Than Today


12/26/21, TAM, Race 4, 1.40 ET
12/26/21,TAM,4,5 1/2F [Dirt] 1:02:04 CLAIMING. Purse $13,500. FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. Three Year Olds, 120 lbs.; Older, 122 lbs. Non-winners Of A Race Since November 26 Allowed 2 lbs. Claiming Price $8,000 (Races Where Entered For $6,250 Or Less Not Considered In Allowances).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 1 Bellarific 5/2 De La Cruz F Granitz Anthony J. JT 373 31.90 1.13/$1
099.8367 4 Izshefrosted 6/1 Castillo I Carrasco. Jr. Victor EL 373 31.90 1.13/$1
098.1944 6 Palmgirl 2/1 Castanon J L Munoz Carlos 373 31.90 1.13/$1
097.5909 2 Workinonbeinsingle 15/1 Spanabel S Bennett Gerald S. S 373 31.90 1.13/$1
096.6714 3 Palio Siena(b-) 30/1 Bowen R Poole Jeffrey A. W 373 31.90 1.13/$1
095.0934 7 Bright and Shiny 15/1 Scaldaferri M R Woodard Walter H. F 373 31.90 1.13/$1
095.0357 5 Melancholy Blues 10/1 Garcia W A Wilson Tony 373 31.90 1.13/$1
094.6891 9 Cherry Rock Bridge 15/1 Santos A Bordis Robert W. C 373 31.90 1.13/$1
090.8966 8 Emperor's Song 7/2 Allen M Allen Lisa 373 31.90 1.13/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 33.33, ROI 0.71/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -0.1633
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[All Dirt] Race Distance Sprint


12/26/21, TAM, Race 5, 2.13 ET
12/26/21,TAM,5,1M [Turf] 1:33:01 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT. Purse $26,500 (includes up to $1,500 FOA - Florida Owners Awards). FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. Three Year Olds, 121 lbs.; Older, 124 lbs. (Preference Will Be Given To Horses Which Have Not Started For Less Than $25,000. The Same Preference Will Be Given To Horses Which Have Started For Less Than $25,000 And Since Then Have Finished 2nd Or 3rd For $25,000 Or More.). (If deemed inadvisable by management to run this race over the turf course, it will be run on the main track at One Mile and Forty Yards.).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 4 Like Nowhere Else (IRE) 9/2 Morales P Delacour Arnaud J 181 28.73 1.08/$1
099.8238 7 Chica Boom 4/1 Gallardo A A Gracida Ruben T 110 30.91 1.30/$1
098.0175 9 Richebourg 4/1 Camacho S Mott William I. 181 28.73 1.08/$1
097.5791 5 Huntress Moon 4/1 Diaz. Jr. H R Delacour Arnaud 110 30.91 1.30/$1
094.3458 8 Candy Jar 7/2 Bowen R Harty Eoin G. FEL 129 20.93 1.18/$1
091.0683 10 Joya Del Sur 10/1 Urdaneta J J Skinner Gary SC 46 34.78 1.26/$1
088.3063 3 Joyous Fairy Tale 30/1 Mera J C Ashmore Coleen M. 46 34.78 1.26/$1
087.7868 6 Azura 12/1 Alvarado. Jr. R Arboritanza Joseph W 110 30.91 1.30/$1
087.6550 2 Varsity Kickline (IRE) 15/1 Bisono J Escobar Alison 181 28.73 1.08/$1
085.0210 1 Laloba Feroz 20/1 Alonso J L Bordis Robert W. 86 26.74 1.13/$1
Top rated horse With "Turf Surface Not fm/hd" - Win% 33.33, ROI 1.02/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -0.1762
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[All Turf] Last Race Distance Is Not Less Than Today


12/26/21, TAM, Race 6, 2.43 ET
12/26/21,TAM,6,6F [Dirt] 1:08:03 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING. Purse $29,000 (includes up to $1,500 FOA - Florida Owners Awards). FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, STARTER, OR STATE BRED OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON FOUR RACES OR OPTIONAL CLAIMING PRICE OF $75,000 OR WHICH HAVE NOT WON A RACE OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, STARTER, OR STATE BRED IN 2021. Three Year Olds, 122 lbs.; Older, 124 lbs. Non-winners Of A Race Since November 26 Allowed 2 lbs. Claiming Price $75,000 (Races Where Entered For $50,000 Or Less Not Considered In Allowances).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 1 Grade One 9/5 Morales P Arnett Jon G. JW 373 31.90 1.13/$1
099.1641 3 Chess Master 4/1 Castanon J L Raven Kerri 373 31.90 1.13/$1
098.9293 5 Cajun Casanova 5/2 Alvarado. Jr. R Delgado Jose H. S 373 31.90 1.13/$1
097.8428 4 Oil Money 6/1 Bowen R Arnett Jon G. L 373 31.90 1.13/$1
097.4484 6 Privet Moon 12/1 Ferrer J C Raven Kerri E 373 31.90 1.13/$1
095.6276 2 Payne 6/1 Gallardo A A Caramori Caio FC 373 31.90 1.13/$1
091.5421 7 Ship It Red 15/1 Cardoso D Lund Valorie 373 31.90 1.13/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 33.33, ROI 0.71/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -0.8359
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[All Dirt] Race Distance Sprint


12/26/21, TAM, Race 7, 3.13 ET
12/26/21,TAM,7,1 1/8M [Turf] 1:46:01 CLAIMING. Purse $20,000 (includes up to $1,000 FOA - Florida Owners Awards). FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD. Three Year Olds, 120 lbs.; Older, 123 lbs. Non-winners Of A Race Once At A Mile Or Over Since November 26 Allowed 2 lbs. Claiming Price $16,000 (Races Where Entered For $12,500 Or Less Not Considered) (Condition Eligibility).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 3 Stuck Up 12/1 Gallardo A A Potts Ron G. S 113 32.74 1.36/$1
099.9510 8 Kroy 3/1 Batista J A Richards Renaldo EWL 186 22.04 1.22/$1
099.2398 10 El Pillo 10/1 Morales P Carvajal. Jr. Luis J 113 32.74 1.36/$1
098.8901 9 Jimmy D 9/2 Lopez J E Davis Christopher 113 32.74 1.36/$1
098.6220 6 Small Hope 7/2 Camacho S Sweezey J. Kent 186 22.04 1.22/$1
097.6419 2 And Won 5/1 Centeno D Goberdhan Chandradat FC 113 32.74 1.36/$1
097.6071 1 Fu Roo 20/1 Feliciano R Feliciano Benny R. T 113 32.74 1.36/$1
096.5592 7 Snap Hook 12/1 Ferrer J C Guciardo Kathleen A. 113 32.74 1.36/$1
096.1793 4 Fast Fire 6/1 Bowen R Albertrani Thomas 113 32.74 1.36/$1
094.6057 5 Kramden 15/1 Marin A A Jones Douglas 61 39.34 1.72/$1
Top rated horse With "Turf Surface Not fm/hd" - Win% 33.33, ROI 1.02/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -0.0490
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[Turf Not_MdnMClm] Last Race Was Not OddsOn Favorite(not entry)  -with-
[Turf Not_MdnMClm] Last Race Weight Is Not Greater Than Today


12/26/21, TAM, Race 8, 3.44 ET
12/26/21,TAM,8,6F [Dirt] 1:08:03 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING. Purse $28,000 (includes up to $1,500 FOA - Florida Owners Awards). FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, STARTER, OR STATE BRED OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES OR OPTIONAL CLAIMING PRICE OF $32,000. Three Year Olds, 122 lbs.; Older, 124 lbs. Non-winners Of A Race Since November 26 Allowed 2 lbs. A Race Since October 26 Allowed 4 lbs. Claiming Price $32,000 (Races Where Entered For $25,000 Or Less Not Considered In Allowances).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 7 Caught Up in You 8/1 Batista J A Raymond Robert A. WC 373 31.90 1.13/$1
099.7044 6 Say Moi 7/2 Camacho S Mott William I. 373 31.90 1.13/$1
097.1196 5 Pink Shoelaces 12/1 Centeno D Wilson Tony JL 373 31.90 1.13/$1
096.8008 2 Bourbon Rebellion 6/1 Bowen R Harty Eoin G. 373 31.90 1.13/$1
095.8639 3 Above Par(b+) 4/1 De La Cruz F Bennett Gerald S. T 373 31.90 1.13/$1
095.6191 4 Bernie's Mistress 5/2 Gallardo A A Sweezey J. Kent S 373 31.90 1.13/$1
094.2852 1 Island Magic 20/1 Castillo I Yanez Moises R. F 373 31.90 1.13/$1
093.9381 8 Hannah Dances 4/1 Castanon J L Ferraro M. Anthony E 373 31.90 1.13/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 33.33, ROI 0.71/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -0.2956
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[All Dirt] Race Distance Sprint


12/26/21, TAM, Race 9, 4.17 ET
12/26/21,TAM,9,5F [Turf] 00:54:00 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT. Purse $26,500 (includes up to $1,500 FOA - Florida Owners Awards). FOR MAIDENS, TWO YEARS OLD. Weight, 119 lbs. (Preference Will Be Given To Horses Which Have Not Started For Less Than $25,000. The Same Preference Will Be Given To Horses Which Have Started For Less Than $25,000 And Since Then Have Finished 2nd Or 3rd For $25,000 Or More.)For Two Year Olds under International Medication Protocol. Horses entered to compete shall not be eligible to receive furosemide less than twenty-four (24) hours prior to post time for the race.
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 8 Wonder Water 10/1 Batista J A Richards Renaldo T 186 22.58 1.20/$1
099.3590 5 Hand Gesture 3/1 Diaz. Jr. H R Delacour Arnaud EL 186 22.58 1.20/$1
098.6313 2 Irish Chalice 5/1 De La Cruz F Blair Jordan 186 22.58 1.20/$1
098.2952 10 Cupids Dream 8/1 Camacho S Bennett Gerald S. J 186 22.58 1.20/$1
096.5818 3 Shinboro 6/1 Feliciano R Feliciano Benny R. SFWC 186 22.58 1.20/$1
093.2257 6 Just Jeremy 4/1 Villa-Gomez H LeCesse Michael A. 186 22.58 1.20/$1
092.6836 7 Bolt From the Blue 12/1 Castanon J L Wilson Noel 186 22.58 1.20/$1
091.9698 4 Songteller 5/1 Valdes A Duffy Sean 186 22.58 1.20/$1
089.1250 9 Firewater Tu 15/1 Spanabel S Smith Robert G. 186 22.58 1.20/$1
086.8789 1 Ruling Front 20/1 Panaijo J Munoz Carlos 186 22.58 1.20/$1
Top rated horse With "Turf Surface Not fm/hd" - Win% 33.33, ROI 1.02/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -0.6410
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
Trainer Dirt YTD_Curr*2.0 (M)
*Scratches may change this condition

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