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Top Horse Analytics: 12/19/2021 Picks and Results - AQU


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TOP HORSE ANALYTICS (v12.21.11.30a)

Track: AQU
Start Of Statistics - 12/11/2020
Past Number of Races - 731

WinPC   $1ROI   HiPayoff   Bet Types
37.05 0.89   9.20   Favorites
34.43 0.87 17.00   Morning Line Favorites
30.99 0.99 42.80   Top Horse (with profitable conditions)

Complete Statistics Provided at THA Weekly Statistics

Contact us at Facebook for help or to report issues: Top Horse Analytics

The Win% and ROI columns below are the win percents and return on investments that the top horse
has performed in the past year for associated compound conditions in a race. The expectation is
that these conditions will perform as well in the future.

An ROI less than 1.01 indicates that no profitable conditions exist for this entry when it's the top rated
horse. Also, be aware that abnormally high payoffs may inflate the ROI so look for a high Win% and Occurs to go
with that high ROI as your selection.

These stats are only good for the top rated horse whether it's the original (100.0000) or the top horse
resulting from scratches. Every horse in a race may have Occurs, Win%, and ROI stats in case it becomes the
top rated horse.


horse name(b+) - Blinkers On
horse name(b-) - Blinkers Off

12/19/21, AQU, Race 1, 12.20 ET
12/19/21,AQU,1,6F [Dirt] 1:07:03 MAIDEN CLAIMING. Purse $43,000. FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD FOALED IN NEW YORK STATE AND APPROVED BY THE NEW YORK STATE-BRED REGISTRY. Three Year Olds, 122 lbs.; Older, 124 lbs. Claiming Price $40,000 (1.5% Aftercare Assessment Due At Time Of Claim Otherwise Claim Will Be Void).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 8 U Should B Dancing 2/1 Saez L Rodriguez Rudy R. JTSFEL 115 36.52 1.11/$1
096.3535 7 Fancy Feline 5/2 McCarthy T Bond H. James 115 36.52 1.11/$1
096.2099 6 Ethel's Doctorate 12/1 Hernandez Moreno O Grossman Bruce R. 115 36.52 1.11/$1
094.5525 2 My Little Lulu 15/1 Morrison A Barrera. III Oscar S. WC 115 36.52 1.11/$1
094.4858 4 Flight Forward 6/1 Hernandez B Lugovich Richard J. 115 36.52 1.11/$1
092.4966 3 Princess Ariyanna 10/1 Ramos C Persaud Eddie 48 41.67 1.25/$1
092.3041 5 Bank Statement 6/1 Luzzi M J Ferraro James W. 115 36.52 1.11/$1
091.5801 1 Barefoot Dancer 6/1 Gomez J A Breen Kelly J. 43 41.86 1.31/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 28.77, ROI 0.84/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -3.6465
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[Dirt MdnMClm] Horse Age 3


12/19/21, AQU, Race 2, 12.50 ET
12/19/21,AQU,2,6F [Dirt] 1:07:03 CLAIMING. Purse $50,000. FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. Three Year Olds, 120 lbs.; Older, 122 lbs. Non-winners Of A Race In 2021 Allowed 2 lbs. Claiming Price $25,000 (Maiden And Claiming Races For $20,000 Or Less Not Considered In Allowances) (1.5% AftercareAssessment Due At Time Of Claim Otherwise Claim Will Be Void).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 2 Violent Point 5/2 Lezcano J Rice Linda 125 36.80 1.08/$1
099.7607 7 Hydra 9/2 Saez L Englehart Jeffrey S. JF 58 48.28 1.46/$1
099.2161 2B Bay Jewel 5/2 Cancel E Rodriguez Gustavo C 156 37.82 1.07/$1
098.8692 4 Quality Stones 8/1 McCarthy T Potts Wayne L 412 26.94 0.84/$1
098.8329 6 Customerexperience 8/5 Davis D Atras Rob TE 58 48.28 1.46/$1
098.0751 3 Big Al's Gal 6/1 Franco M Persaud Randi 165 30.91 1.02/$1
097.7312 1 Ok Honey 8/1 Morrison A Barrera. III Oscar S. S 156 37.82 1.07/$1
095.7022 5 Annika Gold 15/1 Rodriguez Castro L A Simmonds Michael A. 165 30.91 1.02/$1
095.4052 1A Lady by Choice 8/1 Gomez J A Barrera. III Oscar S. W 30 40.00 1.35/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 28.77, ROI 0.84/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -0.2393
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[Dirt Not_MdnMClm] First Race After 45 Days Off


12/19/21, AQU, Race 3, 1.18 ET
12/19/21,AQU,3,1M [Dirt] 1:32:02 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING. Purse $74,000. FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD FOALED IN NEW YORK STATE AND APPROVED BY THE NEW YORK STATE-BRED REGISTRY WHICH HAVE NEVER WON $15,000 TWICE OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING OR STARTER OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES OR OPTIONAL CLAIMINGPRICE OF $45,000. Three Year Olds, 122 lbs.; Older, 125 lbs. Non-winners Of Two Races Other Than Claiming Or Starter At A Mile Or Over In 2021 Allowed 2 lbs. Such A Race In 2021 Allowed 4 lbs. Claiming Price $45,000 (Allowance Horses Preferred)(1.5% Aftercare Assessment Due At Time Of Claim Otherwise Claim Will Be Void).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 2 Honey Money 2/1 McCarthy T Potts Wayne FWL 61 31.15 1.08/$1
098.2477 7 Frost Me 5/2 Carmouche K Kimmel John C. 58 48.28 1.46/$1
097.6247 1 Choose Happiness 12/1 Samuel J L Noda Orlando SC 165 30.91 1.02/$1
097.2175 5 Epona's Dream 9/2 Lezcano J Hennig Mark A. 156 37.82 1.07/$1
097.1211 4 Makingcents 7/2 Saez L Englehart Jeremiah C. JTE 156 37.82 1.07/$1
096.4715 3 Vienna Code 6/1 Cancel E Williams Andrew O. 156 37.82 1.07/$1
094.5383 6 Pendolino 30/1 Mena R E Jones Eduardo E. 412 26.94 0.84/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 28.77, ROI 0.84/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -1.7523
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[Dirt Not_MdnMClm] Last Race (Sprint Or Route) Not Same As Today


12/19/21, AQU, Race 4, 1.43 ET
12/19/21,AQU,4,1M [Dirt] 1:32:02 CLAIMING. Purse $36,000. FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. Three Year Olds, 120 lbs.; Older, 123 lbs. Non-winners Of A Race At A Mile Or Over In 2021 Allowed 2 lbs. Claiming Price $25,000 (1.5% Aftercare Assessment Due At Time Of Claim Otherwise Claim Will Be Void).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 1A Freddymo Factor 2/1 Davis D Hennig Mark A. FL 156 37.82 1.07/$1
099.0951 8 Linny Kate 5/1 Carmouche K Trites A. Lands JS 132 38.64 1.08/$1
099.0710 7 Alpine Queen 5/2 Vargas. Jr. J A Giangiulio Michelle 58 48.28 1.46/$1
098.6345 1 Infringement 2/1 Lezcano J Hennig Mark A. E 58 48.28 1.46/$1
098.3582 5 Raffinity 9/2 Franco M Barrera. III Oscar S. 156 37.82 1.07/$1
096.9743 3 Stormi Cat Lady(b-) 12/1 Hernandez B Rodriguez Gustavo 61 31.15 1.08/$1
096.4949 6 Creative Legacy 8/1 McCarthy T Rodriguez Gustavo 412 26.94 0.84/$1
095.8968 2 April Antics 12/1 Harkie H K Simmonds Michael A. C 156 37.82 1.07/$1
094.8945 4 Game Theory 20/1 Davis J A Grusmark Karl M. W 184 32.07 1.02/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 28.77, ROI 0.84/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -0.9049
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[Dirt Not_MdnMClm] Last Race Purse Higher Than Today


12/19/21, AQU, Race 5, 2.11 ET
12/19/21,AQU,5,7F [Dirt] 1:20:00 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT. Purse $70,000. FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES TWO YEARS OLD FOALED IN NEW YORK STATE AND APPROVED BY THE NEW YORK STATE-BRED REGISTRY. Weight, 119 lbs. (Non-Starters For A Claiming Price Of $40,000 Or Less In The Last 3 Starts Preferred).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 3 Vallelujah(b+) 10/1 Davis J A Davis Robbie G. SC 211 18.96 1.13/$1
098.0364 11 Kisses for Emily 12/1 Cancel E Toscano. Jr. John T. 92 33.70 1.13/$1
097.6599 6 Hava Nagila Hava 4/1 Davis D Duggan David P. 211 18.96 1.13/$1
096.8508 13 Lady of Thoroton 12/1 Ramos C Falcone. Jr. Robert N. 92 33.70 1.13/$1
096.8198 7 Tempermental(b+) 9/2 Saez L Englehart Jeremiah C. 211 18.96 1.13/$1
096.7239 14 Big Bean Christine 20/1 Rodriguez Castro L A Grossman Bruce R. W 92 33.70 1.13/$1
096.6851 1 My Cara Mia Mine(b-) 6/1 Castellano J Friedman Mitchell E. 211 18.96 1.13/$1
095.2352 4 Over the Sand 12/1 Lezcano J Hennig Mark A. 211 18.96 1.13/$1
095.1661 9 I'll Go All In 6/1 Ortiz J L Vazquez Juan C. JFE 211 18.96 1.13/$1
094.9470 12 Reigning Chick 12/1 Carmouche K Noda Orlando 92 33.70 1.13/$1
094.9068 8 Can't Fool Me 10/1 Vargas. Jr. J A DePaz Horacio 211 18.96 1.13/$1
094.4942 10 Regal Rebel 10/1 Franco M Atras Rob L 92 33.70 1.13/$1
091.8382 5 Midmon 15/1 Baez J Clarke Dylan 211 18.96 1.13/$1
091.2668 2 Miss Malala 20/1 Samuel J L Ferraro James W. 211 18.96 1.13/$1
091.0382 1A Cara's Daydreamer(b-) 6/1 Davis J A Friedman Mitchell E. 92 33.70 1.13/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 28.77, ROI 0.84/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -1.9636
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
Workouts Dirt Last 4 (M)


12/19/21, AQU, Race 6, 2.39 ET
12/19/21,AQU,6,1M [Dirt] 1:32:02 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING. Purse $84,000. (UP TO $14,616 NYSBFOA) FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON $15,000 TWICE OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, STARTER OR STATE BRED ALLOWANCE OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES OR OPTIONAL CLAIMING PRICE OF $62,500. Three Year Olds, 122 lbs.; Older, 125 lbs. Non-winners Of Two Races Other Than Claiming Or Starter At A Mile Or Over In 2021 Allowed 2 lbs. Such A Race In 2021 Allowed 4 lbs. Claiming Price $62,500 (Allowance Horses Preferred)(1.5% Aftercare Assessment Due At TimeOf Claim Otherwise Claim Will Be Void).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 5 Maiden Beauty 5/2 Carmouche K Falcone. Jr. Robert N. SFEL 58 48.28 1.46/$1
098.6418 7 Vegas Weekend 7/2 Franco M Atras Rob 156 37.82 1.07/$1
098.2001 1 Hybrid Eclipse 6/1 Lezcano J Rice Linda 156 37.82 1.07/$1
098.0468 6 Battle Bling 4/1 McCarthy T Gargan Danny T 125 36.80 1.08/$1
097.2108 4 Emilia's Moon 7/2 Ortiz J L Mott William I. J 156 37.82 1.07/$1
096.1936 3 Pioneer of the Sky 8/1 Davis D Clement Christophe W 43 20.93 1.35/$1
096.1466 2 Halo City 10/1 Vargas. Jr. J A Lynch Natalia C 155 32.90 1.06/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 28.77, ROI 0.84/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -1.3582
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[Dirt Not_MdnMClm] Last Race Purse Higher Than Today  -with-
[Dirt Not_MdnMClm] First Race After 45 Days Off


12/19/21, AQU, Race 7, 3.09 ET
12/19/21,AQU,7,6F [Dirt] 1:07:03 STAKES. Gravesend Stakes. Purse $100,000. FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD. Non-Lasix Race pursuant to 4043.2 (7)(e)(5) Lasix not permitted within 48 hours of post time. By subscription of $100 each which should accompany the nomination; $500 to pass the entry box and an additional $500 to start. For horses not originally nominated, a supplemental nomination payment of $1,000 (along with the entry and starting fees) may be made at any time prior to the closing of entries. The purse to be divided 55% to the owner of the winner, 20% to second, 12% to third, 6% to fourth, 4% to fifth and 3% divided equally amongst the remaining finishers. Three year olds, 124 lbs. Older, 126 lbs. Non-winners of a Graded Sweepstake in 2021 allowed 2 lbs.; of a sweepstake in 2021 allowed 4 lbs.; of two races other than maiden, claiming, starter or state bred allowance since June 1, 2021 allowed 6 lbs. A trophy will be presented to the winning owner. Closed Saturday, December 4, 2021 with 11 Nominations.
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 5 Wondrwherecraigis 4/5 Saez L Russell Brittany T. JTSF 58 48.28 1.46/$1
098.9412 6 Chateau 6/1 Carmouche K Atras Rob WL 156 37.82 1.07/$1
098.5291 1 Jaxon Traveler 7/2 Lezcano J Asmussen Steven M. E 156 37.82 1.07/$1
096.1212 4 Drafted 10/1 Davis D Duggan David P. C 155 32.90 1.06/$1
095.6513 3 Wendell Fong 10/1 McCarthy T Summers Chad 156 37.82 1.07/$1
094.8135 2 Majestic Dunhill 5/1 Franco M Weaver George 58 48.28 1.46/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 28.77, ROI 0.84/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -1.0588
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[Dirt Not_MdnMClm] Last Race Purse Higher Than Today  -with-
[Dirt Not_MdnMClm] First Race After 45 Days Off


12/19/21, AQU, Race 8, 3.37 ET
12/19/21,AQU,8,1 1/8M [Dirt] 1:47:00 STAKES. Queens County Stakes. Purse $125,000. FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD. Non-Lasix Race pursuant to 4043.2 (7)(e)(5) Lasix not permitted within 48 hours of post time. By subscription of $125 each which should accompany the nomination; $625 to pass the entry box and an additional $625 to start. For horses not originally nominated, a supplemental nomination payment of $1,250 (along with the entry and starting fees) may be made at any time prior to the closing of entries. The purse to be divided 55% to the owner of the winner, 20% to second, 12% to third, 6% to fourth, 4% to fifth and 3% divided equally amongst the remaining finishers. Three Year Olds 123 lbs. Older 126 lbs. Non-winners of a Graded Sweepstakes at a mile or over in 2021 allowed 2 lbs.; of a sweepstake at a mile or over in 2021 or two races at a mile or over other than maiden, claiming, starter or state-bred allowance since June 1, 2021 allowed 4 lbs. A trophy will be presented to the winning owner. Closed Saturday, December 4, 2021 with 14 Nominations.
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 5 Shooger Ray Too 12/1 Saez L Servis J. Tyler SFC 58 48.28 1.46/$1
099.5080 8 Mystic Night 5/2 Ortiz J L Brown Chad C. JT 48 41.67 1.23/$1
099.4385 6 Empty Tomb 7/2 Cancel E Falcone. Jr. Robert N. L 155 32.90 1.06/$1
098.6364 2 Backsideofthemoon 6/1 Lezcano J Reynolds Patrick L. 155 32.90 1.06/$1
098.2521 4 Olliemyboy 15/1 Franco M Atras Rob 156 37.82 1.07/$1
098.1313 1 You're to Blame 9/2 Davis D Atras Rob 156 37.82 1.07/$1
097.6708 3 Bourbonic(b-) 9/2 Carmouche K Pletcher Todd A. E 156 37.82 1.07/$1
097.2443 7 Bal Harbour 10/1 Castellano J Sacco Gregory D. 155 32.90 1.06/$1
095.8083 9 Forewarned 30/1 Haddock D St. Lewis Uriah W 155 32.90 1.06/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 28.77, ROI 0.84/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -0.4920
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[Dirt Not_MdnMClm] Last Race Purse Higher Than Today  -with-
[Dirt Not_MdnMClm] First Race After 45 Days Off


12/19/21, AQU, Race 9, 4.04 ET
12/19/21,AQU,9,1M [Dirt] 1:32:02 MAIDEN CLAIMING. Purse $43,000. FOR MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD FOALED IN NEW YORK STATE AND APPROVED BY THE NEW YORK STATE-BRED REGISTRY. Three Year Olds, 121 lbs.; Older, 124 lbs. Claiming Price $40,000 (1.5% Aftercare Assessment Due At Time Of Claim Otherwise Claim Will Be Void).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 3 Brennan's War 30/1 Ramos C Gyarmati Leah WL 115 36.52 1.11/$1
099.8988 7 Oliver's Fortune 10/1 Castellano J D'Alessandro Ralph 115 36.52 1.11/$1
099.8341 5 Sandro the Great 8/1 Hernandez B Quick Patrick J. S 112 25.00 1.06/$1
099.5323 2 Viking Zim 6/1 Lezcano J Rodriguez Rudy R. FE 115 36.52 1.11/$1
098.7838 10 Rush to Honor 4/1 Ortiz J L Rice Linda JC 43 41.86 1.31/$1
098.7664 12 My Brother Neil 10/1 Davis D Toscano. Jr. John T. 115 36.52 1.11/$1
098.5969 6 Zap Man(b+) 10/1 McCarthy T Jerkens James A. 115 36.52 1.11/$1
096.5113 4 Mighty Meister 15/1 Mendoza J Rawles Alcina 115 36.52 1.11/$1
095.7864 8 Grey Giant 15/1 Camacho. Jr. S Davies Joseph G. 115 36.52 1.11/$1
095.4113 1 Lucky Brody 8/1 Samuel J L Noda Orlando 115 36.52 1.11/$1
095.1587 13 Got the Gold(b-) 5/1 Cancel E Englehart Chris J. T 115 36.52 1.11/$1
094.5964 9 Reunion Tour 12/1 Carmouche K Ferraro James W. 115 36.52 1.11/$1
093.0199 11 Addicted to You 20/1 Vargas. Jr. J A Sciacca Gary 115 36.52 1.11/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 28.77, ROI 0.84/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -0.1012
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[Dirt MdnMClm] Horse Age 3


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