Jump to content
Top Horse Analytics

Top Horse Analytics: 12/18/2021 Picks and Results - AQU


THAAdmin
 Share

Recommended Posts

TOP HORSE ANALYTICS (v12.21.11.30a)

Track: AQU
Start Of Statistics - 12/11/2020
Past Number of Races - 731

WinPC   $1ROI   HiPayoff   Bet Types
37.05 0.89   9.20   Favorites
34.43 0.87 17.00   Morning Line Favorites
30.99 0.99 42.80   Top Horse (with profitable conditions)

Complete Statistics Provided at THA Weekly Statistics

Contact us at Facebook for help or to report issues: Top Horse Analytics

The Win% and ROI columns below are the win percents and return on investments that the top horse
has performed in the past year for associated compound conditions in a race. The expectation is
that these conditions will perform as well in the future.

An ROI less than 1.01 indicates that no profitable conditions exist for this entry when it's the top rated
horse. Also, be aware that abnormally high payoffs may inflate the ROI so look for a high Win% and Occurs to go
with that high ROI as your selection.

These stats are only good for the top rated horse whether it's the original (100.0000) or the top horse
resulting from scratches. Every horse in a race may have Occurs, Win%, and ROI stats in case it becomes the
top rated horse.


horse name(b+) - Blinkers On
horse name(b-) - Blinkers Off

12/18/21, AQU, Race 1, 12.20 ET
12/18/21,AQU,1,1M [Dirt] 1:32:02 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT. Purse $80,000. (UP TO $13,920 NYSBFOA) FOR MAIDENS, TWO YEARS OLD. Weight, 119 lbs. (Non-Starters For A Claiming Price Of $40,000 Or Less In The Last 3 Starts Preferred).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 4 Matt Doyle(b-) 3/1 Davis D Summers Chad EWC 92 33.70 1.13/$1
099.5960 5 My Brother Cam 7/2 Lezcano J Dickinson Michael W. SFL 43 41.86 1.31/$1
098.4518 7 Early Voting 5/2 Ortiz J L Brown Chad C. JT 92 33.70 1.13/$1
097.1397 1 Sul Pharoah 6/1 Cancel E Mott William I. 43 41.86 1.31/$1
096.5102 2 Main Event(b+) 10/1 Franco M Weaver George 43 41.86 1.31/$1
096.3064 3 Smart Storm 12/1 McCarthy T Baker Charlton 92 33.70 1.13/$1
095.8935 6 Iconic Adventure 4/1 Vargas. Jr. J A Mott William I. 92 33.70 1.13/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 28.77, ROI 0.84/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -0.4040
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[All Dirt] Race Type MSW


12/18/21, AQU, Race 2, 12.50 ET
12/18/21,AQU,2,7F [Dirt] 1:20:00 CLAIMING. Purse $45,000. (UP TO $7,830 NYSBFOA) FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. Three Year Olds, 120 lbs.; Older, 122 lbs. Non-winners Of A Race In 2021 Allowed 2 lbs. Claiming Price $40,000 (1.5% Aftercare Assessment Due At Time Of Claim OtherwiseClaim Will Be Void).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 6 Sound Money 6/5 Carmouche K Brown Chad C. JT 156 37.82 1.07/$1
097.9196 3 Bar Fourteen 10/1 Cancel E Lynch Natalia L 412 26.94 0.84/$1
097.1512 5 Good Culture(b+) 6/1 Lezcano J Rodriguez Gustavo C 30 40.00 1.35/$1
097.0577 7 Great Workout 9/2 Davis D Atras Rob 52 36.54 1.05/$1
097.0012 9 Forest Spirit 10/1 McCarthy T Potts Wayne W 52 36.54 1.05/$1
096.9352 1 Full Moon Fever 10/1 Luzzi M J Martin Carlos F. FE 58 48.28 1.46/$1
096.2796 2 Make It in Ny 8/1 Franco M Schosberg Richard E. 30 40.00 1.35/$1
096.1996 4 Mister Winston 15/1 Mena R E Arriaga Antonio 30 40.00 1.35/$1
095.4960 8 Magnificent Chrome 20/1 Hernandez B Persaud Randi S 54 38.89 1.04/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 28.77, ROI 0.84/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -2.0804
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[Dirt Not_MdnMClm] Last Race Purse Higher Than Today


12/18/21, AQU, Race 3, 1.18 ET
12/18/21,AQU,3,1M [Dirt] 1:32:02 MAIDEN CLAIMING. Purse $38,000. (UP TO $6,612 NYSBFOA) FOR MAIDENS, TWO YEARS OLD. Weight, 119 lbs. Claiming Price $30,000 (1.5% Aftercare Assessment Due At Time Of Claim Otherwise Claim Will Be Void).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 6 St. Lukes 8/5 Lezcano J Rodriguez Rudy R. E 48 41.67 1.25/$1
099.8783 1A Nova Loves a Fight 10/1 Hernandez Moreno O Noda Orlando W 22 31.82 1.47/$1
099.5146 2 Pit Stop Man 10/1 Silvera R Allard Edward T. JTS 43 41.86 1.31/$1
099.3524 5 Writeitontheice 10/1 Mena R E Rodriguez Rudy R. 150 33.33 1.05/$1
099.2889 7 Rvindicated 8/1 Rodriguez Castro L A Keithan Rachael FL 43 41.86 1.31/$1
099.2030 9 Illustrious 5/2 McCarthy T Morley Thomas 48 41.67 1.25/$1
097.5431 1 C. B Loves a Fight 10/1 Samuel J L Noda Orlando C 43 41.86 1.31/$1
097.0441 4 Principality(b+) 6/1 Cancel E Weaver George 43 41.86 1.31/$1
095.1129 8 R Boy Cheekum 30/1 Howell T Thompson Marcus George 150 33.33 1.05/$1
091.2995 3 Irie Spice 20/1 Hernandez B Persaud Randi 150 33.33 1.05/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 28.77, ROI 0.84/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -0.1217
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[All Dirt] Third Start


12/18/21, AQU, Race 4, 1.43 ET
12/18/21,AQU,4,6 1/2F [Dirt] 1:14:02 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING. Purse $84,000. (UP TO $14,616 NYSBFOA) FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON $15,000 TWICE OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, STARTER OR STATE BRED ALLOWANCE OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES OR OPTIONAL CLAIMING PRICE OF $62,500. Three Year Olds, 122 lbs.; Older, 124 lbs. Non-winners Of Two Races Other Than Claiming Or Starter In 2021 Allowed 2 lbs. Such A Race In 2021 Allowed 4 lbs. Claiming Price $62,500 (Allowance Horses Preferred)(1.5% Aftercare Assessment Due At Time Of Claim Otherwise Claim Will Be Void).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 1 Happy Medium Even Franco M Nevin Michelle SFEL 43 20.93 1.35/$1
099.3202 6 Wudda U Think Now 3/1 Ortiz J L Rodriguez Rudy R. 58 48.28 1.46/$1
097.8188 9 Mr Phil 10/1 Carmouche K Ryerson James T. 155 32.90 1.06/$1
097.6168 4 Foolish Ghost 12/1 Samuel J L Handal Raymond W 58 48.28 1.46/$1
096.6792 8 Chestertown 10/1 Lezcano J Asmussen Steven M. 58 48.28 1.46/$1
096.5454 5 Arthur's Hope 12/1 Silvera R Salazar Marco P. J 132 38.64 1.08/$1
096.0675 7 Arch Cat 15/1 Torres J Velazquez Daniel 155 32.90 1.06/$1
095.6111 2 T Loves a Fight 10/1 Davis D Noda Orlando C 155 32.90 1.06/$1
090.6616 3 Troubling Moon 30/1 Cancel E Englehart Chris J. T 43 20.93 1.35/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 28.77, ROI 0.84/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -0.6798
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
Earnings Turf Prev_Curr*0.0 (M)
*Scratches may change this condition

12/18/21, AQU, Race 5, 2.11 ET
12/18/21,AQU,5,6F [Dirt] 1:07:03 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT. Purse $70,000. FOR MAIDENS, TWO YEARS OLD FOALED IN NEW YORK STATE AND APPROVED BY THE NEW YORK STATE-BRED REGISTRY. Weight, 119 lbs. (Non-Starters For A Claiming Price Of $40,000 Or Less In The Last 3 Starts Preferred).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 7 Bold Journey(b+) 1/1 Ortiz J L Mott William I. SFEL 43 41.86 1.31/$1
095.1789 13 Infeasible 6/1 Franco M Atras Rob 92 33.70 1.13/$1
094.8538 10 Our Son Jake 15/1 McCarthy T Miceli Michael 43 41.86 1.31/$1
094.7947 6 Bert Bert Bert 8/1 Lezcano J Breen Kelly J. 92 33.70 1.13/$1
094.5412 14 Waheel 10/1 Worrie A S Barrow Paul W. 43 41.86 1.31/$1
094.3173 11 Raw Courage 20/1 Worrie A S Toscano. Jr. John T. 92 33.70 1.13/$1
094.3099 3 Golden Code 9/2 Carmouche K Pletcher Todd A. T 92 33.70 1.13/$1
094.0704 5 Bench Walk 10/1 Franco M Rodriguez Rudy R. 92 33.70 1.13/$1
094.0654 16 Asap Restoration(b+) 15/1 Davis J A Toscano. Jr. John T. WC 43 41.86 1.31/$1
093.7524 8 Bosship 15/1 Silvera R Englehart Chris J. J 43 41.86 1.31/$1
093.6998 1 Clash A. J. 30/1 Harkie H K Jones Eduardo E. 92 33.70 1.13/$1
093.3195 9 Silent Running 20/1 Cancel E Bond H. James 92 33.70 1.13/$1
092.9062 2 Court Banker 30/1 Rodriguez Castro L A Lugovich Richard J. 92 33.70 1.13/$1
092.6771 12 Dancing With Rico 30/1 Hernandez B Serpe Philip M. 43 41.86 1.31/$1
092.1145 4 Devil's Edge 12/1 Davis D Hennig Mark A. 92 33.70 1.13/$1
086.2687 15 Uncle Water Flow 30/1 Hernandez Moreno O Persaud Eddie 92 33.70 1.13/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 28.77, ROI 0.84/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -4.8211
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[Dirt MdnMClm] Second Start


12/18/21, AQU, Race 6, 2.39 ET
12/18/21,AQU,6,7F [Dirt] 1:20:00 STAKES. New York Stallion Series Stakes. Purse $500,000. FOR TWO YEARS OLD ELIGIBLE FOR THE NEW YORK STALLION STAKES. All foals by Nominated Stallions will be automatically eligible for all of the New York Stallion Stakes Series races. Non-Lasix Race pursuant to 4043.2 (7)(e)(5) Lasix not permitted within 48 hours of post time. By subscription of $500 which should accompany the nomination. $3,000 to pass the entry box and an additional $4,500 to start. For horses not originally nominated, a supplemental nomination payment of $5,000 (along with the entry and starting fees) may be made at any time prior to the closing of entries. All monies to be divided 55% to the owner of the winner, 20% to second, 12% to third, 6% to fourth, 4% to fifth and 3% divided equally amongst the remaining finishers. 5% of purses won to be awarded to the stallion nominator. 122 lbs. Non-winners of a race other than maiden or claiming allowed 2 lbs.; maidens allowed 4 lbs. A trophy will be presented to the winning owner. Closed Saturday, December 4, 2021 with 16 Nominations.
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 10 Kenner 6/1 Silvera R Ness Jamie JSW 132 38.64 1.08/$1
099.8088 1 Unique Unions 9/2 Franco M Schosberg Richard E. FL 48 41.67 1.25/$1
099.3481 8 Stirdatpot 10/1 Morales E Londono Genevieve T 155 32.90 1.06/$1
099.1274 2 Bustin Pietre 8/1 Carmouche K Levine Bruce N. E 48 41.67 1.25/$1
098.5816 7 Hoboken Jack 15/1 Lezcano J Gargan Danny 48 41.67 1.25/$1
098.4592 4 Safalow's Mission 8/1 Ortiz J L Rice Linda 48 41.67 1.25/$1
096.9302 9 Iron Lion in Zion 8/1 Davis D Morley Thomas C 48 41.67 1.25/$1
093.0632 3 Maseta(b+) 7/2 Cancel E Rice Linda 30 40.00 1.35/$1
092.2067 5 Hot Stepper 50/1 Camacho. Jr. S Baker Charlton 48 41.67 1.25/$1
092.1578 6 Geno 9/2 Vargas. Jr. J A Donk David G. 30 40.00 1.35/$1
091.7885 11 Un Ojo 20/1 McCarthy T Dutrow Anthony W. 30 40.00 1.35/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 28.77, ROI 0.84/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -0.1912
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[Dirt Not_MdnMClm] Best Jockey


12/18/21, AQU, Race 7, 3.09 ET
12/18/21,AQU,7,1M [Dirt] 1:32:02 STARTER ALLOWANCE. Purse $55,000. (UP TO $9,570 NYSBFOA) FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE STARTED FOR A CLAIMING PRICE OF $50,000 OR LESS AND WHICH HAVE NEVER WON A RACE OTHER THAN MAIDEN OR CLAIMING. Three Year Olds, 120 lbs.; Older, 123 lbs. Non-winners Of A Race At A Mile Or Over In 2021 Allowed 2 lbs.
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 7 No Burn 4/1 Carmouche K Morey William E. 412 26.94 0.84/$1
099.6234 6 Swinton 10/1 Davis D Avila A. C. SFEL 61 31.15 1.08/$1
098.3004 1 Blake B. 7/2 Lezcano J Rice Linda 156 37.82 1.07/$1
097.7935 2 Blu Grotto 6/1 Ortiz J L Kimmel John C. JW 132 38.64 1.08/$1
097.7807 3 F F Rocket 6/1 Franco M Atras Rob T 165 30.91 1.02/$1
096.6399 9 Royal Realm 3/1 McCarthy T Schosberg Richard E. 22 31.82 1.47/$1
096.5167 1A Corkman 7/2 Vargas. Jr. J A Rice Linda 43 20.93 1.35/$1
096.0279 5 Altered 15/1 Cancel E Lauer Michael E. C 156 37.82 1.07/$1
095.6886 4 Liam's Fire 8/1 Hernandez B Chichakly Amira 125 36.80 1.08/$1
095.0341 8 Exxtop 20/1 Rodriguez Castro L A Thompson Marcus George 412 26.94 0.84/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 28.77, ROI 0.84/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -0.3766
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[Dirt Not_MdnMClm] Default Category Stats


12/18/21, AQU, Race 8, 3.37 ET
12/18/21,AQU,8,7F [Dirt] 1:20:00 STAKES. New York Stallion Series Stakes. Purse $500,000. FOR FILLIES TWO YEARS OLD ELIGIBLE FOR THE NEW YORK STALLION STAKES. All foals by Nominated Stallions will be automatically eligible for all of the New York Stallion Stakes Series races. Non-Lasix Race pursuant to 4043.2 (7)(e)(5) Lasix not permitted within 48 hours of post time. By subscription of $500 which should accompany the nomination. $3,000 to pass the entry box and an additional $4,500 to start. For horses not originally nominated, a supplemental nomination payment of $5,000 (along with the entry and starting fees) may be made at any time prior to the closing of entries. All monies to be divided 55% to the owner of the winner, 20% to second, 12% to third, 6% to fourth, 4% to fifth and 3% divided equally amongst the remaining finishers. 5% of purses won to be awarded to the stallion nominator. 122 lbs. Non-winners of a race other than maiden or claiming allowed 2 lbs.; maidens allowed 4 lbs. A trophy will be presented to the winning owner. Closed Saturday, December 4, 2021 with 14 Nominations.
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 3 Laoban's Legacy 8/1 Franco M Englehart Jeremiah C. 155 32.90 1.06/$1
099.8489 7 Howdyoumakeurmoney 3/1 Sanchez M J Trombetta Michael J. E 125 36.80 1.08/$1
099.7785 6 Morning Matcha 8/5 Carmouche K Reid. Jr. Robert E. TSC 43 20.93 1.35/$1
099.5766 9 Bank On Anna 8/1 Lezcano J Serpe Philip M. L 155 32.90 1.06/$1
098.7694 1 She's a Big Deal 30/1 Mena R E Allard Edward T. F 125 36.80 1.08/$1
098.1435 4 Laochi 12/1 Cancel E Englehart Chris J. 155 32.90 1.06/$1
096.5586 5 Yo Cuz 9/2 Ortiz J L Mott William I. JW 132 38.64 1.08/$1
096.5104 11 Shigeko 12/1 Davis D Clement Christophe 48 41.67 1.25/$1
096.2507 8 Half Birthday(b+) 50/1 McCarthy T Kantarmaci Mertkan 48 41.67 1.25/$1
096.1481 10 Mrs. Banks 50/1 Luzzi M J Ferraro James W. 22 31.82 1.47/$1
095.0362 2 Alicia's Way 50/1 Hernandez B Englehart Chris J. 155 32.90 1.06/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 28.77, ROI 0.84/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -0.1511
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[All Dirt] Race Purse Greater Than $75K


12/18/21, AQU, Race 9, 4.04 ET
12/18/21,AQU,9,6 1/2F [Dirt] 1:14:02 ALLOWANCE. Purse $72,000. FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD FOALED IN NEW YORK STATE AND APPROVED BY THE NEW YORK STATE-BRED REGISTRY WHICH HAVE NEVER WON $15,000 OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING OR STARTER OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. Three Year Olds, 120 lbs.; Older, 122 lbs. Non-winners Of A Race Other Than Claiming Or Starter Allowed 2 lbs.
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 1A Big Brown Shoes 9/2 Ortiz J L Englehart Jeffrey S. FEL 412 26.94 0.84/$1
098.9752 1 Dee Bo 9/2 Ortiz J L Englehart Jeffrey S. 184 32.07 1.02/$1
098.4396 3 Raven Rocks 4/1 Carmouche K Weaver George 52 36.54 1.05/$1
098.1386 2 Uncle George 7/2 Franco M Clement Christophe C 412 26.94 0.84/$1
097.6741 12 Tapizearance 8/1 Lezcano J Rice Linda 58 48.28 1.46/$1
097.2804 13 Colormepazzi 8/1 Cancel E Englehart Chris J. 43 20.93 1.35/$1
097.0757 5 Johnny Fontaine 20/1 Vargas. Jr. J A Barrow Paul W. T 43 20.93 1.35/$1
097.0707 8 Giramonte 20/1 Ramos C Gyarmati Leah S 184 32.07 1.02/$1
096.8103 9 Mo Crazy Blues 15/1 McCarthy T Sells Rachel 30 40.00 1.35/$1
095.6443 4 Reggae Music Man 15/1 Rodriguez Castro L A Reynolds Patrick L. W 58 48.28 1.46/$1
095.2610 10 Straight Skinny 30/1 Camacho. Jr. S Chichakly Amira 22 31.82 1.47/$1
095.0883 11 Taco Bean 20/1 Luzzi M J Kelly Patrick J. 22 31.82 1.47/$1
093.5769 7 Anything Pazible 15/1 Davis J A Jones Eduardo E. 156 37.82 1.07/$1
092.5505 6 No Salt 10/1 Davis D Miceli Michael 30 40.00 1.35/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 28.77, ROI 0.84/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -1.0248
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[Dirt Not_MdnMClm] Default Category Stats


Link to comment
Share on other sites

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.

Guest
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.

Loading...
 Share

×
×
  • Create New...