Jump to content
Top Horse Analytics

Top Horse Analytics: 12/18/2021 Picks and Results - LRL


THAAdmin
 Share

Recommended Posts

TOP HORSE ANALYTICS (v12.21.11.30a)

Track: LRL
Start Of Statistics - 10/10/2020
Past Number of Races - 1174

WinPC   $1ROI   HiPayoff   Bet Types
37.90 0.88   9.60   Favorites
34.34 0.86 19.00   Morning Line Favorites
32.45 0.88 29.80   Top Horse (with profitable conditions)

Complete Statistics Provided at THA Weekly Statistics

Contact us at Facebook for help or to report issues: Top Horse Analytics

The Win% and ROI columns below are the win percents and return on investments that the top horse
has performed in the past year for associated compound conditions in a race. The expectation is
that these conditions will perform as well in the future.

An ROI less than 1.01 indicates that no profitable conditions exist for this entry when it's the top rated
horse. Also, be aware that abnormally high payoffs may inflate the ROI so look for a high Win% and Occurs to go
with that high ROI as your selection.

These stats are only good for the top rated horse whether it's the original (100.0000) or the top horse
resulting from scratches. Every horse in a race may have Occurs, Win%, and ROI stats in case it becomes the
top rated horse.


horse name(b+) - Blinkers On
horse name(b-) - Blinkers Off

12/18/21, LRL, Race 1, 12.25 ET
12/18/21,LRL,1,1M [Dirt] 1:34:00 MAIDEN CLAIMING. Purse $31,500. (PLUS UP TO 15% MBF) FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES TWO YEARS OLD. Weight, 122 lbs. Claiming Price $25,000, if for $20,000, allowed 4 lbs.
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 7 Middle Island 9/5 Toledo J Russell Brittany T. JT 72 40.28 1.04/$1
099.7965 8 Sea Pines 7/2 Gomez K Gonzalez Claudio A. SEW 87 28.74 1.04/$1
099.3287 9 Legs Like Shack 12/1 Conner T Chircop Steven F 87 28.74 1.04/$1
099.1565 3 Cuenca 7/2 Cedeno C Woolley Tim L 87 28.74 1.04/$1
097.9394 2 Sapphire Beauty 6/1 Karamanos H Frock Charles L. 87 28.74 1.04/$1
097.4420 4 Party Monster 12/1 Lopez C E Feliciano. Jr. Benjami C 87 28.74 1.04/$1
096.5375 6 Daily Planet 12/1 Marquez C Milosevic Milan 87 28.74 1.04/$1
094.1197 1 Lottaclass Lilsass 20/1 Butterfly B L Aguirre. Jr. Anthony 87 28.74 1.04/$1
094.1064 5 Meliponini Bee 20/1 Araujo D Cooney Susan S. 87 28.74 1.04/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 36.11, ROI 1.05/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -0.2035
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[Dirt MdnMClm] Best Jockey


12/18/21, LRL, Race 2, 12.55 ET
12/18/21,LRL,2,1M [Dirt] 1:34:00 ALLOWANCE. Purse $40,000. FOR RESTRICTED FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD FOR MD BRED OR MD SIRED HORSES WHICH HAVE NEVER WON A STATE BRED OR STATE SIRED RACE OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, WAIVER CLAIMING, OR STARTER AND WHICH HAVE NOT WON TWO RACES OTHER THAN MAIDEN,CLAIMING, WAIVER CLAIMING OR STARTER OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. Three Year Olds, 124 lbs.; Older, 126 lbs. Non-winners Of A Race Other Than Maiden, Claiming Or Starter At A Mile Or Over Allowed 3 lbs.
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 1 Miss Chesapeake 5/2 Toledo J Russell Brittany T. JSE 78 30.77 1.02/$1
098.8342 3 Long Distance Love 3/1 Lyapustina T Gaudet Lacey F 778 30.46 0.84/$1
098.2209 7 Fool Yourself 3/1 Marquez C Gonzalez Claudio A. W 778 30.46 0.84/$1
095.9786 5 Misty's Banshee 7/2 Gomez K Russell Brittany T. 778 30.46 0.84/$1
095.7167 4 Congress Hall 10/1 Whitacre G Serey. Jr. Mario C 257 37.35 1.03/$1
092.9933 2 Betcha by Golly 12/1 Boyce F Keefe Timothy L. 778 30.46 0.84/$1
092.8310 6 Double Fireball 12/1 Butterfly B L Aguirre. Jr. Anthony L 778 30.46 0.84/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 36.11, ROI 1.05/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -1.1658
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[Dirt Not_MdnMClm] Last Race Was Sprint With Route Today


12/18/21, LRL, Race 3, 1.23 ET
12/18/21,LRL,3,6F [Dirt] 1:08:00 Purse $39,000. (PLUS UP TO 15% MBF) FOR MAIDENS, TWO YEARS OLD. Weight, 122 lbs. Claiming Price $40,000, if for $32,000, allowed 4 lbs. MD-Bred and/or MD-Sired horses may waive claiming price in this race.
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 6 Addy's Laddy T N T(b+) 5/2 Lopez C E Walters Henry SE 87 28.74 1.32/$1
098.7686 8 Lantau 6/1 Karamanos H Corrales Jose FL 87 28.74 1.32/$1
098.5643 9 Kozy's Wildcat(b+) 3/1 Cedeno C Allard Edward T. T 87 28.74 1.32/$1
098.2626 2 Scintillio 7/2 Toledo J Keefe Timothy L. JW 87 28.74 1.32/$1
096.9122 1 Whenigettoheaven 8/1 Garcia L Trombetta Michael J. 154 37.66 1.04/$1
095.5981 4 Insurrectionist 15/1 Gomez K Allen. III A. Ferris 87 28.74 1.32/$1
095.4412 3 Make the Way Clear 12/1 Corujo L Parram Derrick A. 87 28.74 1.32/$1
093.9691 5 Hampden Lane 15/1 Ortiz Y O Heil Nancy B. 87 28.74 1.32/$1
093.8231 7 Bowie Two Step 20/1 Carrasco V R Cox Kenneth M. 87 28.74 1.32/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 36.11, ROI 1.05/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -1.2314
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[All Dirt] *Not Actual Post 1 And Distance 6f Or 6 1/2f
*Scratches may change this condition

12/18/21, LRL, Race 4, 1.51 ET
12/18/21,LRL,4,1 1/16M [Dirt About] 1:41:01 STARTER ALLOWANCE. Purse $25,000. (PLUS UP TO 15% MBF) FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE STARTED FOR A CLAIMING PRICE OF $5,000 OR LESS IN 2020 - 2021. Three Year Olds, 124 lbs.; Older, 126 lbs. Non-winners Of A Race At A Mile Or Over Since October 18 Allowed 3 lbs. (Races Where Entered For $4,500 Or Less Not Considered In Allowances).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 2 Iywaan 6/5 Conner T Salvaggio Mark V. E 778 30.46 0.84/$1
099.5285 6 Hashtag Winning 2/1 Cedeno C Kreiser Timothy C. TS 778 30.46 0.84/$1
097.6785 7 Crush It 8/1 Alvelo J C McMahon Hugh I. 257 37.35 1.03/$1
096.9043 1 Unequivocal 6/1 Ruiz J Aguirre Anthony J 778 30.46 0.84/$1
096.8339 4 Cantakeitanymore 12/1 Acosta J D Keller Christopher M. 778 30.46 0.84/$1
096.6901 5 Alpha Queue 15/1 Butterfly B L Dove. Jr. Kevin WL 778 30.46 0.84/$1
094.5586 8 Brickbat 30/1 Lopez C E Dove. Jr. Kevin C 257 37.35 1.03/$1
093.7383 3 Go Poke the Bear 20/1 Juarez N Juarez Calixto 778 30.46 0.84/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 36.11, ROI 1.05/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -0.4715
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[Dirt Not_MdnMClm] Default Category Stats


12/18/21, LRL, Race 5, 2.20 ET
12/18/21,LRL,5,6F [Dirt] 1:08:00 Purse $39,000. (PLUS UP TO 15% MBF) FOR MAIDENS, TWO YEARS OLD. Weight, 122 lbs. Claiming Price $40,000, if for $32,000, allowed 4 lbs. MD-Bred and/or MD-Sired horses may waive claiming price in this race.
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 5 Bliss This 3/1 Ruiz J Capuano Dale JT 87 28.74 1.32/$1
098.8007 4 Blo My Budget 5/1 Conner T Salvaggio Mark V. WC 87 28.74 1.32/$1
098.5002 3 Trash Talkin Larry 7/2 Gomez K Corrales Jose SF 87 28.74 1.32/$1
098.0391 1 Divine Law 5/1 Carrasco V R Trombetta Michael J. 154 37.66 1.04/$1
097.8995 9 Oskee Wow Wow 8/1 Toledo J O'Dwyer Jeremiah 87 28.74 1.32/$1
097.3389 2 Senator Kelly 6/1 Rosado J Gaudet Lacey 87 28.74 1.32/$1
097.0433 7 Vinny 10/1 Acosta J D Keefe Timothy L. EL 87 28.74 1.32/$1
096.6079 6 Road Warrior 15/1 Marquez C Barr Donald H. 87 28.74 1.32/$1
095.7079 8 Phra Phrom 30/1 Butterfly B L Corrales Jose 87 28.74 1.32/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 36.11, ROI 1.05/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -1.1993
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[All Dirt] *Not Actual Post 1 And Distance 6f Or 6 1/2f
*Scratches may change this condition

12/18/21, LRL, Race 6, 2.49 ET
12/18/21,LRL,6,6F [Dirt] 1:08:00 ALLOWANCE. Purse $48,000. (PLUS UP TO 15% MBF) FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON A RACE OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, WAIVER CLAIMING, STARTER OR MD SIRED OR MD BRED RACES OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. Three Year Olds, 124 lbs.; Older, 126lbs. Non-winners Of A Race Other Than Claiming Since October 18 Allowed 3 lbs.
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 9 Fraudulent Charge 7/5 Rosado J Gaudet Lacey SEW 87 28.74 1.32/$1
099.8719 2 American Bastet 6/1 Karamanos H Vera Miguel L 87 28.74 1.32/$1
099.6882 10 Hope Has a Name 7/2 Toledo J Voss Katharine M. F 87 28.74 1.32/$1
098.7470 1 Away to Return 10/1 Marquez C Dilodovico Damon R. 778 30.46 0.84/$1
098.6843 5 Friend Me Charlie 10/1 Perez X Jenkins Rodney 87 28.74 1.32/$1
097.2091 7 She'sarollingstone(b+) 12/1 Ruiz J Dilodovico Damon R. JC 87 28.74 1.32/$1
096.8318 6 Pretty Edgy 12/1 Boyce F Sillaman Richard P. 87 28.74 1.32/$1
096.3978 3 Moonrock 15/1 Carrasco V R Gonzalez Claudio A. T 87 28.74 1.32/$1
094.7079 4 Italian Dressing 20/1 Araujo D Smith Hamilton A. 87 28.74 1.32/$1
094.6469 8 Salamina 30/1 Juarez N Juarez Calixto 87 28.74 1.32/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 36.11, ROI 1.05/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -0.1281
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[All Dirt] *Not Actual Post 1 And Distance 6f Or 6 1/2f
*Scratches may change this condition

12/18/21, LRL, Race 7, 3.18 ET
12/18/21,LRL,7,7F [Dirt] 1:21:00 STAKES. Maryland Juvenile Fillies Championship Stakes. Purse $100,000. FOR FILLIES, TWO-YEARS-OLD, (MD BRED / MD SIRED). By free subscription. $500 to pass the entry box, $500 additional to start, $100,000 Guaranteed, of which 60% to the winner, 20% to second, 10% to third, 6% to fourth, 3% to fifth and 1% to sixth. Weight:122 lbs.; Maidens allowed 5 lbs. Trophy to the owner of the winner. Closed Saturday, November 20, 2021, with 22 nominations.
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 3 Jester Calls Nojoy 4/5 Toledo J Pletcher Todd A. 191 37.17 1.06/$1
099.5656 7 Dazzy 7/2 Carrasco V R Hills Timothy A. FEWC 191 37.17 1.06/$1
099.0499 2 Sparkle Sprinkle 10/1 Perez X Robb John J. TL 191 37.17 1.06/$1
098.8789 4 Luna Belle 7/2 Araujo D Smith Hamilton A. S 191 37.17 1.06/$1
097.2190 1 Click to Confirm 15/1 Cruz A Sanchez-Salomon Rodolf 191 37.17 1.06/$1
096.7229 6 Preparefortakeoff 20/1 Rodriguez J Maldonado Jonathan J 191 37.17 1.06/$1
096.1365 5 Sweet Gracie 20/1 Gomez K Allen. III A. Ferris 191 37.17 1.06/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 36.11, ROI 1.05/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -0.4344
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[All Dirt] Race Purse Greater Than $50K


12/18/21, LRL, Race 8, 3.50 ET
12/18/21,LRL,8,7F [Dirt] 1:21:00 STAKES. Maryland Juvenile Championship Stakes. Purse $100,000. FOR TWO-YEAR-OLDS, (MD BRED / MD SIRED). By free subscription. $500 to pass the entry box, $500 additional to start, with $100,000 Guaranteed, of which 60% to the winner, 20% to second, 10% to third, 6% to fourth, 3% to fifth and 1% to sixth, Supplementalnominations of $1,000 each will be accepted by the usual time of entry with all other fees due as noted. Weight: 122 lbs.; Fillies allowed 3 lbs., Maidens allowed 5 lbs. Trophy to the owner of the winner. Closed Saturday, November 20, 2021, with 23 nominations.
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 10 Coastal Mission 6/1 Bocachica A Runco Jeff C. J 191 37.17 1.06/$1
099.9566 4 Local Motive 9/2 Acosta J D Salzman. Jr. John E. S 191 37.17 1.06/$1
099.1145 1 Alottahope 8/1 Perez X Robb John J. FEWC 191 37.17 1.06/$1
097.7417 12 Joe 5/1 Carrasco V R Trombetta Michael J. 191 37.17 1.06/$1
097.4221 6 Royal Spy 6/1 Ortiz Y O Albert Linda L. 191 37.17 1.06/$1
097.1567 8 Shady Munni 10/1 Cruz A Gonzalez Claudio A. 191 37.17 1.06/$1
096.9491 2 Mr. Mox 10/1 Rodriguez J Ness Jamie 191 37.17 1.06/$1
096.6176 9 Uncle Irish 10/1 Marquez C Ness Jamie 191 37.17 1.06/$1
096.0808 7 Crabs N Beer 12/1 Cedeno C Ness Jamie 191 37.17 1.06/$1
095.3035 5 Kobe Tough 30/1 Gomez K Keefe Timothy L. L 191 37.17 1.06/$1
093.9038 13 One Ten 15/1 Karamanos H Corrales Jose 191 37.17 1.06/$1
092.7027 11 Gallant Gold 30/1 Araujo D Salzman. Sr. John E. 191 37.17 1.06/$1
090.4355 3 Wish Me Home 12/1 Boyce F Schoenthal Phil 191 37.17 1.06/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 36.11, ROI 1.05/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -0.0434
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[All Dirt] Race Purse Greater Than $50K


12/18/21, LRL, Race 9, 4.22 ET
12/18/21,LRL,9,6F [Dirt] 1:08:00 MAIDEN CLAIMING. Purse $21,000. (PLUS UP TO 15% MBF) FOR MAIDENS, THREE, FOUR, AND FIVE YEARS OLD. Three Year Olds, 124 lbs.; Older, 126 lbs. Claiming Price $10,000, if for $8,000, allowed 4 lbs.
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 5 Little Sir John 10/1 Perez X Robb John J. JTS 87 28.74 1.32/$1
099.4753 6 Hair of the Dog 7/2 Cruz A Eubanks Annette M. F 87 28.74 1.32/$1
098.9089 7 Chauffeur 3/1 Araujo D Salzman. Sr. John E. E 87 28.74 1.32/$1
098.5435 8 Effulgent 4/1 Alvelo J C Dilodovico Damon R. 87 28.74 1.32/$1
097.4025 1 Baltimore Winning 12/1 Gomez K Dilodovico Damon R. 45 46.67 1.22/$1
097.3372 3 Albertano 5/1 Nunez A A Williams. Jr. Gary L. WC 87 28.74 1.32/$1
097.2541 4 R Tap 20/1 Lopez C E Magee Kieron L 87 28.74 1.32/$1
096.0827 2 Hands Down 9/2 Rosales V Schoenthal Phil 87 28.74 1.32/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 36.11, ROI 1.05/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -0.5247
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[All Dirt] *Not Actual Post 1 And Distance 6f Or 6 1/2f
*Scratches may change this condition

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.

Guest
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.

Loading...
 Share

×
×
  • Create New...