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Top Horse Analytics: 12/17/2021 Picks and Results - AQU


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TOP HORSE ANALYTICS (v12.21.11.30a)

Track: AQU
Start Of Statistics - 12/11/2020
Past Number of Races - 731

WinPC   $1ROI   HiPayoff   Bet Types
37.05 0.89   9.20   Favorites
34.43 0.87 17.00   Morning Line Favorites
30.99 0.99 42.80   Top Horse (with profitable conditions)

Complete Statistics Provided at THA Weekly Statistics

Contact us at Facebook for help or to report issues: Top Horse Analytics

The Win% and ROI columns below are the win percents and return on investments that the top horse
has performed in the past year for associated compound conditions in a race. The expectation is
that these conditions will perform as well in the future.

An ROI less than 1.01 indicates that no profitable conditions exist for this entry when it's the top rated
horse. Also, be aware that abnormally high payoffs may inflate the ROI so look for a high Win% and Occurs to go
with that high ROI as your selection.

These stats are only good for the top rated horse whether it's the original (100.0000) or the top horse
resulting from scratches. Every horse in a race may have Occurs, Win%, and ROI stats in case it becomes the
top rated horse.


horse name(b+) - Blinkers On
horse name(b-) - Blinkers Off

12/17/21, AQU, Race 1, 12.20 ET
12/17/21,AQU,1,7F [Dirt] 1:20:00 MAIDEN CLAIMING. Purse $32,000. FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES TWO YEARS OLD. Weight, 119 lbs. Claiming Price $20,000 (1.5% Aftercare Assessment Due At Time Of Claim Otherwise Claim Will Be Void).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 10 Amazing Dream 9/2 Franco M Pletcher Todd A. TSC 22 31.82 1.47/$1
098.7865 1 Love Unlimited(b+) 15/1 Samuel J L Barrera. III Oscar S. W 211 18.96 1.13/$1
098.6731 8 Miss Pab 6/1 Vargas. Jr. J A Englehart Jeremiah C. E 211 18.96 1.13/$1
098.4441 6 Beyond the Hype 6/1 Carmouche K Atras Rob J 211 18.96 1.13/$1
098.2654 2 Becauseofthebrave 7/2 Davis D Morey William E. F 211 18.96 1.13/$1
097.0669 7 La Lima 10/1 Harkie H K Forde Jason 211 18.96 1.13/$1
096.9609 5 Dario's Angel(b-) 3/1 Lezcano J Sacco Gregory D. 211 18.96 1.13/$1
096.5406 4 Whatruwaitingfor 15/1 Hernandez B Ryerson James T. 211 18.96 1.13/$1
095.9352 9 London Gold 15/1 Camacho. Jr. S Persaud Randi 211 18.96 1.13/$1
095.9081 3 Saratoga Spirit(b+) 15/1 Mena R E Miceli Michael L 211 18.96 1.13/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 28.77, ROI 0.84/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -1.2135
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[All Dirt] *Actual Post Greater Than 9
*Scratches may change this condition

12/17/21, AQU, Race 2, 12.50 ET
12/17/21,AQU,2,6F [Dirt] 1:07:03 CLAIMING. Purse $28,000. FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. Three Year Olds, 120 lbs.; Older, 122 lbs. Non-winners Of A Race In 2021 Allowed 2 lbs. Claiming Price $10,000 (Maiden And Claiming Races For $8,000 Or Less Not Considered In Allowances) (1.5% Aftercare Assessment Due At Time Of Claim Otherwise Claim Will Be Void).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 8 Barbara's Bank 6/1 Worrie A S Englehart Jeffrey S. TSF 125 36.80 1.08/$1
098.7150 1 Quality Stones 6/5 Ramos C Potts Wayne EL 184 32.07 1.02/$1
096.9573 1A No Deal(b+) 6/5 Silvera R Potts Wayne J 156 37.82 1.07/$1
095.2210 5 Gringotts 5/1 McCarthy T Davis Edmund D. 156 37.82 1.07/$1
095.0996 3 Gentle Annie 5/2 Harkie H K Kantarmaci Mertkan C 156 37.82 1.07/$1
094.5306 7 Dazzling Speed 20/1 Camacho. Jr. S Simmonds Michael A. W 412 26.94 0.84/$1
094.1857 6 Awesomenewyear 15/1 Rodriguez Castro L A Richards Marvin 412 26.94 0.84/$1
093.6673 2 Cover Photo(b+) 20/1 Morrison A Richards Marvin 156 37.82 1.07/$1
093.6066 4 Mebs Web 15/1 Samuel J L Avila A. C. 58 48.28 1.46/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 28.77, ROI 0.84/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -1.2850
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[Dirt Not_MdnMClm] First Race After 45 Days Off


12/17/21, AQU, Race 3, 1.18 ET
12/17/21,AQU,3,1M [Dirt] 1:32:02 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING. Purse $74,000. FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD FOALED IN NEW YORK STATE AND APPROVED BY THE NEW YORK STATE-BRED REGISTRY WHICH HAVE NEVER WON $15,000 TWICE OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING OR STARTER OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES OR OPTIONAL CLAIMING PRICE OF $45,000. Three Year Olds, 122 lbs.; Older, 125 lbs. Non-winners Of Two Races Other Than Claiming Or Starter At A Mile Or Over In 2021 Allowed 2 lbs. Such A Race In 2021 Allowed 4 lbs. Claiming Price $45,000 (Allowance Horses Preferred)(1.5% Aftercare Assessment Due At Time Of Claim Otherwise Claim Will Be Void).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 3 Thorny Tale 9/5 Silvera R Ness Jamie JTFL 132 38.64 1.08/$1
097.3023 6 Prince of Pharoahs 4/1 Carmouche K Rice Linda 412 26.94 0.84/$1
097.1446 1 Yankee Division 3/1 McCarthy T Rodriguez Rudy R. E 58 48.28 1.46/$1
096.3255 2 Durkin's Call 7/2 Lezcano J Rice Linda W 412 26.94 0.84/$1
096.2471 1A Bourbon Bay 3/1 Franco M Rodriguez Gustavo 52 36.54 1.05/$1
096.1546 5 Seven Lilies 5/1 Davis D Atras Rob C 61 31.15 1.08/$1
095.2529 4 Opt 12/1 Vargas. Jr. J A Ribaudo Robert S 165 30.91 1.02/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 28.77, ROI 0.84/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -2.6977
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[Dirt Not_MdnMClm] Best Jockey


12/17/21, AQU, Race 4, 1.43 ET
12/17/21,AQU,4,6 1/2F [Dirt] 1:14:02 CLAIMING. Purse $22,000. FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD. Three Year Olds, 120 lbs.; Older, 122 lbs. Non-winners Of A Race In 2021 Allowed 2 lbs. Claiming Price $8,000 (Maiden And Claiming Races For $6,250 Or Less Not Considered In Allowances) (1.5% Aftercare Assessment Due At Time Of Claim Otherwise Claim Will Be Void).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 2 Shamrocked 2/1 Cancel E Broberg Karl SL 58 48.28 1.46/$1
098.6436 9 E J's Revenge 6/1 Silvera R Dunham Bernard G. JT 48 41.67 1.23/$1
096.5368 5 Karen's Cove 9/2 Rodriguez Castro L A DiPrima Gregory 156 37.82 1.07/$1
096.2114 8 R Boy Bode 8/1 Gomez J A Thompson Marcus George F 156 37.82 1.07/$1
096.1380 7 Cause of Action 3/1 Camacho. Jr. S Barker Edward R. E 156 37.82 1.07/$1
095.9803 3 Healy's Hope 10/1 Baez J Clarke Dylan 412 26.94 0.84/$1
094.1329 1 Tale of Mist 15/1 Hernandez Moreno O Persaud Randi C 58 48.28 1.46/$1
093.5193 6 Skyler's Scramjet 15/1 Samuel J L Avila A. C. W 156 37.82 1.07/$1
092.7088 4 Trappeze Artist(b-) 20/1 Harkie H K Mc Allen John P. 30 40.00 1.35/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 28.77, ROI 0.84/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -1.3564
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[Dirt Not_MdnMClm] Last Race Purse Higher Than Today  -with-
[Dirt Not_MdnMClm] First Race After 45 Days Off


12/17/21, AQU, Race 5, 2.11 ET
12/17/21,AQU,5,6F [Dirt] 1:07:03 MAIDEN CLAIMING. Purse $43,000. (UP TO $7,482 NYSBFOA) FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES TWO YEARS OLD. Weight, 119 lbs. Claiming Price $40,000 (1.5% Aftercare Assessment Due At Time Of Claim Otherwise Claim Will Be Void).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 9 Afilada 5/2 Carmouche K Falcone. Jr. Robert N. J 48 41.67 1.25/$1
098.3116 6 Bad Breth 7/2 Cancel E Barrow Paul W. T 43 41.86 1.31/$1
097.6155 3 In Traffic 5/1 Franco M Rodriguez Rudy R. 150 33.33 1.05/$1
097.4878 2 Lordhearmyprayer 15/1 Vargas. Jr. J A Barrera. III Oscar S. 150 33.33 1.05/$1
097.1398 8 Et's Premonition 30/1 Harkie H K Richards Marvin SW 48 41.67 1.25/$1
096.7874 5 Tweaqued 8/1 McCarthy T Ribaudo Robert 150 33.33 1.05/$1
095.9646 1 Frosted Wild Ride 6/1 Berrios J Vazquez Juan C. L 150 33.33 1.05/$1
095.8030 7 Diamond Status 10/1 Mena R E Martin Carlos F. 150 33.33 1.05/$1
092.9671 4 Mostly Harmless 5/1 Davis D Begg James Bentley FEC 150 33.33 1.05/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 28.77, ROI 0.84/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -1.6884
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[All Dirt] Third Start


12/17/21, AQU, Race 6, 2.39 ET
12/17/21,AQU,6,6F [Dirt] 1:07:03 STARTER OPTIONAL CLAIMING. Purse $55,000. (UP TO $9,570 NYSBFOA) FOR FILLIES TWO YEARS OLD WHICH HAVE STARTED FOR A CLAIMING PRICE OF $50,000 OR LESS AND WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES OR OPTIONAL CLAIMING PRICE OF $50,000. Weight, 122 lbs. Non-winners Of A Race Other Than Claiming Allowed 2 lbs. Claiming Price $50,000 (Allowance Horses Preferred)(1.5% Aftercare Assessment Due At Time Of Claim Otherwise Claim Will Be Void).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 3 No More Mischief 4/1 Franco M Pletcher Todd A. TL 125 36.80 1.08/$1
099.2142 8 Slow Crossing 3/1 Lezcano J Rodriguez Rudy R. JFC 48 41.67 1.23/$1
097.9098 7 Royally Blue 5/1 Davis D Klesaris Steve S 48 41.67 1.25/$1
097.8622 9 Rooski 7/2 Vargas. Jr. J A Englehart Jeremiah C. 7 71.43 1.73/$1
097.5274 6 Saratoga Kisses 5/1 McCarthy T Rodriguez Rudy R. 125 36.80 1.08/$1
094.9578 2 Luz 15/1 Rodriguez Castro L A Arriaga Antonio 156 37.82 1.07/$1
093.9757 5 Kingdom Queen 20/1 Davis J A Mc Allen John P. 156 37.82 1.07/$1
093.5068 1 Our Tiny Dancer 20/1 Hernandez B Chichakly Amira 156 37.82 1.07/$1
092.6096 4 Lady Milagro 8/1 Cancel E Martin Carlos F. W 156 37.82 1.07/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 28.77, ROI 0.84/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -0.7858
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[Dirt Not_MdnMClm] First Race After 45 Days Off


12/17/21, AQU, Race 7, 3.09 ET
12/17/21,AQU,7,6F [Dirt] 1:07:03 CLAIMING. Purse $60,000. (UP TO $10,440 NYSBFOA) FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD. Three Year Olds, 120 lbs.; Older, 122 lbs. Non-winners Of A Race In 2021 Allowed 2 lbs. Claiming Price $40,000 (Maiden And Claiming Races For $32,000 Or Less Not Considered In Allowances) (1.5% Aftercare Assessment Due At Time Of Claim Otherwise Claim Will Be Void).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 3 Happy Farm 4/1 McCarthy T Potts Wayne FEL 58 48.28 1.46/$1
099.8530 7 Answer In 5/2 Franco M Cox Brad H. TC 58 48.28 1.46/$1
099.5337 1 More Graytful 5/1 Carmouche K Atras Rob W 156 37.82 1.07/$1
099.2847 10 Alcools 5/1 Vargas. Jr. J A Englehart Chris J. 156 37.82 1.07/$1
099.2506 2 Free Enterprise 6/1 Lezcano J Englehart Jeffrey S. S 412 26.94 0.84/$1
098.2746 4 Zoomer 8/1 Davis D Falcone. Jr. Robert N. 30 40.00 1.35/$1
096.4898 5 Easy Shot 12/1 Cancel E Englehart Chris J. 412 26.94 0.84/$1
095.8939 9 First Homestead 20/1 Silvera R Sciacca Gary J 156 37.82 1.07/$1
095.6880 8 Mount Travers(b-) 20/1 Harkie H K Kantarmaci Mertkan 165 30.91 1.02/$1
094.8910 6 Heavy Roller 30/1 Davis J A Jones Eduardo E. 184 32.07 1.02/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 28.77, ROI 0.84/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -0.1470
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[Dirt Not_MdnMClm] Last Race Purse Higher Than Today  -with-
[Dirt Not_MdnMClm] First Race After 45 Days Off


12/17/21, AQU, Race 8, 3.37 ET
12/17/21,AQU,8,6F [Dirt] 1:07:03 ALLOWANCE. Purse $82,000. (UP TO $14,268 NYSBFOA) FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON $15,000 OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, STARTER OR STATE BRED ALLOWANCE OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. Three Year Olds, 120 lbs.; Older, 122 lbs. Non-winners Of A Race Other Than Claiming Or Starter Allowed 2 lbs.
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 5 Jades Gelly 3/1 Davis D Broberg Karl JTS 132 38.64 1.08/$1
099.9034 4 Eloquent Speaker 5/2 Cancel E Lynch Natalia FEL 155 32.90 1.06/$1
099.1945 3 Bastet 7/2 McCarthy T Barker Edward R. W 155 32.90 1.06/$1
097.4555 2 Madera 8/1 Morrison A Miranda Luis A. 155 32.90 1.06/$1
096.8567 6 Happy Sophia 5/1 Camacho. Jr. S Persaud Randi 155 32.90 1.06/$1
095.8056 1 Fight On Lucy 6/1 Hernandez B Kelly Patrick J. 156 37.82 1.07/$1
095.2958 7 Firing Carol 10/1 Samuel J L Legall Ricardo E. 155 32.90 1.06/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 28.77, ROI 0.84/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -0.0966
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[Dirt Not_MdnMClm] Best Jockey


12/17/21, AQU, Race 9, 4.04 ET
12/17/21,AQU,9,1M [Dirt] 1:32:02 CLAIMING. Purse $28,000. FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. Three Year Olds, 120 lbs.; Older, 123 lbs. Non-winners Of A Race At A Mile Or Over In 2021 Allowed 2 lbs. Claiming Price $16,000 (1.5% Aftercare Assessment Due At Time Of Claim Otherwise Claim Will Be Void).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 6 Speed Effect 5/2 Cancel E Broberg Karl L 156 37.82 1.07/$1
098.8818 7 Actuary (GB) 7/2 Carmouche K Atras Rob TW 412 26.94 0.84/$1
097.3163 9 Breaking Stones 3/1 Franco M Reynolds Patrick L. E 412 26.94 0.84/$1
096.8205 11 Mr. Fidget 10/1 Navarro K Henry Neville J 156 37.82 1.07/$1
096.4853 1 Curlin's Knight 30/1 Baez J Clarke Dylan FC 184 32.07 1.02/$1
096.2751 4 Super Wicked Charm 12/1 Mena R E Jones Eduardo E. 156 37.82 1.07/$1
096.1040 8 Ouch Ouch Ouch 12/1 Ramos C Klesaris Robert P. 184 32.07 1.02/$1
095.9015 5 Fearless Fly 8/1 Lezcano J Servis John C. 61 31.15 1.08/$1
095.3440 3 Scotty 30/1 Davis J A Jones Eduardo E. 156 37.82 1.07/$1
094.9400 2 Mucho Sunshine 20/1 Hernandez Moreno O Shivmangal Lolita 184 32.07 1.02/$1
092.7404 10 Bellamy Dolce 20/1 Harkie H K Simmonds Michael A. 22 31.82 1.47/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 28.77, ROI 0.84/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -1.1182
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[Dirt Not_MdnMClm] Last Race Purse Higher Than Today


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