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Top Horse Analytics: 12/16/2021 Picks and Results - AQU


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TOP HORSE ANALYTICS (v12.21.11.30a)

Track: AQU
Start Of Statistics - 12/11/2020
Past Number of Races - 731

WinPC   $1ROI   HiPayoff   Bet Types
37.05 0.89   9.20   Favorites
34.43 0.87 17.00   Morning Line Favorites
30.99 0.99 42.80   Top Horse (with profitable conditions)

Complete Statistics Provided at THA Weekly Statistics

Contact us at Facebook for help or to report issues: Top Horse Analytics

The Win% and ROI columns below are the win percents and return on investments that the top horse
has performed in the past year for associated compound conditions in a race. The expectation is
that these conditions will perform as well in the future.

An ROI less than 1.01 indicates that no profitable conditions exist for this entry when it's the top rated
horse. Also, be aware that abnormally high payoffs may inflate the ROI so look for a high Win% and Occurs to go
with that high ROI as your selection.

These stats are only good for the top rated horse whether it's the original (100.0000) or the top horse
resulting from scratches. Every horse in a race may have Occurs, Win%, and ROI stats in case it becomes the
top rated horse.


horse name(b+) - Blinkers On
horse name(b-) - Blinkers Off

12/16/21, AQU, Race 1, 12.50 ET
12/16/21,AQU,1,6F [Dirt] 1:07:03 MAIDEN CLAIMING. Purse $43,000. (UP TO $7,482 NYSBFOA) FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. Three Year Olds, 122 lbs.; Older, 124 lbs. Claiming Price $40,000 (1.5% Aftercare Assessment Due At Time Of Claim Otherwise Claim Will Be Void).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 4 My Delicious 6/1 Morrison A Summers Chad W 115 36.52 1.11/$1
099.6540 2 Boss Cara 5/2 Davis D Friedman Mitchell E. JS 115 36.52 1.11/$1
097.1003 1 Sweet Mary Lou 8/1 Hernandez B Dunham Bob G. 115 36.52 1.11/$1
095.2632 7 Wicked Happy(b+) 7/2 Cancel E Gyarmati Leah FE 112 25.00 1.06/$1
095.0142 5 Madame Rose 20/1 Mena R E Jones Eduardo E. L 115 36.52 1.11/$1
094.8809 3 Alita 7/5 Franco M Atras Rob TC 66 40.91 1.11/$1
093.3717 6 Anchor Lady 20/1 Harkie H K Williams Andrew O. 43 41.86 1.31/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 28.77, ROI 0.84/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -0.3460
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[Dirt MdnMClm] Horse Age 3


12/16/21, AQU, Race 2, 1.19 ET
12/16/21,AQU,2,6F [Dirt] 1:07:03 CLAIMING. Purse $50,000. FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD. Three Year Olds, 120 lbs.; Older, 122 lbs. Non-winners Of A Race In 2021 Allowed 2 lbs. Claiming Price $25,000 (Maiden And Claiming Races For $20,000 Or Less Not Considered In Allowances) (1.5% Aftercare Assessment Due At Time Of Claim Otherwise Claim Will Be Void).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 6 Fast Break 3/1 Ortiz J L Noda Orlando JSFE 132 38.64 1.08/$1
099.8180 2 Aristocratic 6/1 Davis D Baker Charlton TL 125 36.80 1.08/$1
099.4792 3 Mi Tres Por Ciento (CHI) 5/2 Lezcano J Rice Linda 125 36.80 1.08/$1
098.9636 5 Baby I'm Perfect 7/2 McCarthy T Potts Wayne 165 30.91 1.02/$1
097.9054 4 Bourbon Mission 6/1 Franco M Rodriguez Rudy R. 412 26.94 0.84/$1
097.5421 7 Rejected Again 8/1 Cancel E Gyarmati Leah 156 37.82 1.07/$1
096.5047 1 Mount Travers(b-) 12/1 Harkie H K Kantarmaci Mertkan C 165 30.91 1.02/$1
096.3727 1A Winning Drive(b+) 12/1 Harkie H K Kantarmaci Mertkan 125 36.80 1.08/$1
096.2965 8 Copa 20/1 Rodriguez Castro L A Laxmeter Daniel W 156 37.82 1.07/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 28.77, ROI 0.84/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -0.1820
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[Dirt Not_MdnMClm] Best Jockey


12/16/21, AQU, Race 3, 1.44 ET
12/16/21,AQU,3,1M [Dirt] 1:32:02 MAIDEN CLAIMING. Purse $32,000. FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. Three Year Olds, 121 lbs.; Older, 124 lbs. Claiming Price $20,000 (1.5% Aftercare Assessment Due At Time Of Claim Otherwise Claim Will Be Void).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 6 Incontrovertible 5/2 Ortiz J L Allard Edward T. JTS 66 40.91 1.11/$1
099.1813 2 Synonymous 6/1 Hernandez B Quick Patrick J. W 115 36.52 1.11/$1
097.3843 3 Simple Sugar 8/1 Samuel J L Chapman James K. L 115 36.52 1.11/$1
096.9040 8 Strong Point 8/5 Mena R E Arenas Marcelo FE 43 20.93 1.35/$1
096.7751 4 After the Wire 20/1 Camacho. Jr. S Chichakly Amira 115 36.52 1.11/$1
096.6175 9 Summary Judgment 6/1 Franco M Reynolds Patrick L. 115 36.52 1.11/$1
095.1932 7 Superbloodwolfmoon 15/1 Roberts C Metivier Richard 112 25.00 1.06/$1
094.6798 5 Elegant Laoban(b-) 20/1 Rodriguez Castro L A O'Brien Keith C 115 36.52 1.11/$1
089.9347 1 Favorite Impulse 20/1 Hernandez Moreno O Grossman Bruce R. 112 25.00 1.06/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 28.77, ROI 0.84/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -0.8187
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[Dirt MdnMClm] Best Trainer


12/16/21, AQU, Race 4, 2.11 ET
12/16/21,AQU,4,1M [Dirt] 1:32:02 CLAIMING. Purse $37,000. FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES. Three Year Olds, 120 lbs.; Older, 123 lbs. Non-winners Of A Race At A Mile Or Over In 2021 Allowed 2 lbs. Claiming Price $25,000 (1.5% Aftercare Assessment Due At Time Of Claim Otherwise Claim Will Be Void).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 4 Therisastormbrewin 2/1 Carmouche K Atras Rob TWL 156 37.82 1.07/$1
098.7318 5 Profusion 5/2 Cancel E Rice Linda 52 36.54 1.05/$1
098.2116 8 Mandatory Payout 9/2 Lezcano J Ryerson James T. SFC 61 31.15 1.08/$1
097.9772 1 It's Mandatory 6/1 Davis D Englehart Jeffrey S. 184 32.07 1.02/$1
097.5643 2 Mr. Briggs 8/1 Harkie H K Kantarmaci Mertkan E 156 37.82 1.07/$1
097.3379 1A Jaa Mode 6/1 Worrie A S Englehart Jeffrey S. J 132 38.64 1.08/$1
095.4412 6 Spectatorless 20/1 Hernandez B Pringle Edmund 156 37.82 1.07/$1
094.7633 3 Obsessed 12/1 Camacho. Jr. S DeLauro Edward J. 58 48.28 1.46/$1
094.0495 7 Respect for All 30/1 Rodriguez Castro L A Simmonds Michael A. 156 37.82 1.07/$1
092.8781 9 A Colt Named Susie(b+) 15/1 McCarthy T D'Alessandro Ralph 184 32.07 1.02/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 28.77, ROI 0.84/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -1.2682
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[Dirt Not_MdnMClm] Last Race Purse Higher Than Today


12/16/21, AQU, Race 5, 2.38 ET
12/16/21,AQU,5,6F [Dirt] 1:07:03 CLAIMING. Purse $28,000. FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. Three Year Olds, 120 lbs.; Older, 122 lbs. Non-winners Of A Race In 2021 Allowed 2 lbs. Claiming Price $16,000 (1.5% Aftercare Assessment Due At Time Of Claim Otherwise Claim Will Be Void).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 1 Brockmoninoff 10/1 Vargas. Jr. J A Barrow Paul W. TS 156 37.82 1.07/$1
098.7564 2 Hangar One 9/2 Rodriguez Castro L A DiPrima Gregory 156 37.82 1.07/$1
098.4877 5 Forgotten Mission 15/1 Hernandez Moreno O Toscano. Jr. John T. FL 125 36.80 1.08/$1
098.3770 11 Run Casper Run 6/1 Cancel E Englehart Chris J. 156 37.82 1.07/$1
097.3932 8 Matty's Marauder 4/1 Ortiz J L Donk David G. J 132 38.64 1.08/$1
097.2860 6 Eucharist 8/1 Ramos C Giangiulio Michelle E 184 32.07 1.02/$1
097.0381 10 Noctilucent 15/1 Camacho. Jr. S Cruz Lenin 30 40.00 1.35/$1
096.6349 4 Indoctrinate 8/1 McCarthy T Davis Edmund D. 412 26.94 0.84/$1
095.9453 9 Coach Bahe 15/1 Harkie H K Barrera. III Oscar S. 412 26.94 0.84/$1
095.7686 3 Yankee Empire 20/1 Laprida J Noda Orlando 156 37.82 1.07/$1
093.5724 12 Jacks American Pie(b-) 15/1 Worrie A S Summers Chad C 30 40.00 1.35/$1
093.3074 7 Mr Fantasy 6/1 Gomez J A Breen Kelly J. W 156 37.82 1.07/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 28.77, ROI 0.84/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -1.2436
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[Dirt Not_MdnMClm] Last Race Purse Higher Than Today


12/16/21, AQU, Race 6, 3.08 ET
12/16/21,AQU,6,1M [Dirt] 1:32:02 CLAIMING. Purse $45,000. (UP TO $7,830 NYSBFOA) FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES. Three Year Olds, 120 lbs.; Older, 123 lbs. Non-winners Of A Race At A Mile Or Over In 2021 Allowed 2 lbs. Claiming Price $35,000 (1.5% Aftercare Assessment Due At Time Of Claim Otherwise Claim Will Be Void).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 2 Perceived 6/1 Lezcano J Rice Linda FEC 58 48.28 1.46/$1
099.5028 7 Prince James 8/1 Davis D Englehart Jeffrey S. 125 36.80 1.08/$1
099.3470 8 Giocare 3/1 Ortiz J L Noda Orlando J 43 20.93 1.35/$1
098.6110 4 Peruvian Boy 4/1 Cancel E Maker Michael J. 156 37.82 1.07/$1
098.3005 3 What's My Category 20/1 Carmouche K Grusmark Karl M. W 165 30.91 1.02/$1
098.2712 1 Roman Empire 9/2 Franco M Pletcher Todd A. T 156 37.82 1.07/$1
098.2552 5 Opt 10/1 McCarthy T Ribaudo Robert S 156 37.82 1.07/$1
098.1464 6 Glory Road(b+) 6/1 Castellano J Morley Thomas 156 37.82 1.07/$1
098.0450 10 Famished 15/1 Morrison A Kimmel John C. 156 37.82 1.07/$1
097.9262 9 Demo Doctor 20/1 Ramos C Klesaris Robert P. L 156 37.82 1.07/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 28.77, ROI 0.84/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -0.4972
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[Dirt Not_MdnMClm] Last Race Purse Higher Than Today  -with-
[Dirt Not_MdnMClm] First Race After 45 Days Off


12/16/21, AQU, Race 7, 3.36 ET
12/16/21,AQU,7,7F [Dirt] 1:20:00 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING. Purse $82,000. (UP TO $14,268 NYSBFOA) FOR TWO YEAR OLDS WHICH HAVE NEVER WON $15,000 OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, STARTER OR STATE BRED ALLOWANCE OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES OR OPTIONAL CLAIMING PRICE OF $80,000. Weight, 122 lbs. Non-winners Of A Race Other ThanClaiming Or Starter Allowed 2 lbs. Claiming Price $80,000 (Allowance Horses Preferred)(1.5% Aftercare Assessment Due At Time Of Claim Otherwise Claim Will Be Void).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 1A Hagler 2/5 Vargas. Jr. J A Rodriguez Rudy R. SEW 58 48.28 1.46/$1
099.2968 1 Life Is Great 2/5 Franco M Klesaris Robert P. L 155 32.90 1.06/$1
098.4674 4 Florida Gator 8/1 Carmouche K Morey William E. FC 155 32.90 1.06/$1
098.4560 3 Bold Leader 9/2 Ortiz J L Trombetta Michael J. J 132 38.64 1.08/$1
098.0159 5 Southern Runner 15/1 Laprida J Velazquez Alfredo 125 36.80 1.08/$1
097.6367 2 Sterling Hill 8/1 Cancel E Bray Michael 58 48.28 1.46/$1
096.1111 6 Doin'ittherightway 10/1 Davis D Atras Rob T 125 36.80 1.08/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 28.77, ROI 0.84/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -0.7032
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[Dirt Not_MdnMClm] Last Race Purse Higher Than Today  -with-
[Dirt Not_MdnMClm] First Race After 45 Days Off


12/16/21, AQU, Race 8, 4.04 ET
12/16/21,AQU,8,1M [Dirt] 1:32:02 MAIDEN CLAIMING. Purse $43,000. FOR MAIDENS, TWO YEARS OLD FOALED IN NEW YORK STATE AND APPROVED BY THE NEW YORK STATE-BRED REGISTRY. Weight, 119 lbs. Claiming Price $40,000 (1.5% Aftercare Assessment Due At Time Of Claim Otherwise Claim Will Be Void).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 9 Workingman's Dude 5/2 Davis D Terranova II John P. FE 150 33.33 1.05/$1
099.4073 11 Convertible Freeze 7/2 Franco M Cox Brad H. S 22 31.82 1.47/$1
098.5683 10 Devious Banker(b+) 4/1 Samuel J L Johnson Cleveland TWL 22 31.82 1.47/$1
098.1041 2 El Veinticuatro 12/1 Vargas. Jr. J A Rodriguez Rudy R. 150 33.33 1.05/$1
097.5494 8 Kong Loves a Fight 6/1 Ortiz J L Noda Orlando JC 48 41.67 1.25/$1
095.0095 5 Regal Empire 20/1 Rodriguez Castro L A Thompson Marcus George 48 41.67 1.25/$1
094.9884 6 Empire Station(b+) 12/1 Cancel E Weaver George 150 33.33 1.05/$1
094.8017 1 Tiz Snow 15/1 Hernandez B Englehart Chris J. 48 41.67 1.25/$1
094.3989 7 Vibe Setter 15/1 McCarthy T Baker Charlton 48 41.67 1.25/$1
094.2763 4 Almond Cider 30/1 Mena R E Ferraro James W. 48 41.67 1.25/$1
093.3271 3 Mrtandroseysboy 12/1 Lezcano J Asmussen Steven M. 43 41.86 1.31/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 28.77, ROI 0.84/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -0.5927
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[Dirt MdnMClm] Horse Not Age 4UP


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