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Top Horse Analytics: 12/15/2021 Picks and Results - TAM


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TOP HORSE ANALYTICS (v12.21.11.30a)

Track: TAM
Start Of Statistics - 12/09/2020
Past Number of Races - 826

WinPC   $1ROI   HiPayoff   Bet Types
33.54 0.82   9.00   Favorites
30.10 0.82 14.00   Morning Line Favorites
30.39 1.00 26.20   Top Horse (with profitable conditions)

Complete Statistics Provided at THA Weekly Statistics

Contact us at Facebook for help or to report issues: Top Horse Analytics

The Win% and ROI columns below are the win percents and return on investments that the top horse
has performed in the past year for associated compound conditions in a race. The expectation is
that these conditions will perform as well in the future.

An ROI less than 1.01 indicates that no profitable conditions exist for this entry when it's the top rated
horse. Also, be aware that abnormally high payoffs may inflate the ROI so look for a high Win% and Occurs to go
with that high ROI as your selection.

These stats are only good for the top rated horse whether it's the original (100.0000) or the top horse
resulting from scratches. Every horse in a race may have Occurs, Win%, and ROI stats in case it becomes the
top rated horse.


horse name(b+) - Blinkers On
horse name(b-) - Blinkers Off

12/15/21, TAM, Race 1, 12.20 ET
12/15/21,TAM,1,7F [Dirt] 1:20:04 CLAIMING. Purse $16,600 (includes up to $850 FOA - Florida Owners Awards). FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES. Three Year Olds, 120 lbs.; Older, 122 lbs. Non-winners Of A Race Since November 15 Allowed 2 lbs. Claiming Price $16,000 (Races Where Entered For $12,500 Or Less Not Considered In Allowances) (Registered Florida Breds Preferred).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 3 Thrown for a Loupe 2/1 Camacho S O'Connor. II Robert R. EW 52 30.77 1.23/$1
099.9125 5 Roaring River 7/2 De La Cruz F Bennett Gerald S. FL 52 30.77 1.23/$1
099.2571 1 Castle King 8/1 Ferrer J C Bowersock Maria T 52 30.77 1.23/$1
094.7833 2 Outstanding Debt 12/1 Garcia G Cotrone Denise S 342 27.49 0.84/$1
093.4800 6 Allen 5/2 Centeno D Glyshaw Tim J 174 35.06 1.11/$1
090.7998 4 Savvy Layla 7/2 Alvarado. Jr. R Davis Richard M. C 64 39.06 1.03/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 32.00, ROI 0.73/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -0.0875
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[Dirt Not_MdnMClm] Last Race (Sprint Or Route) Not Same As Today


12/15/21, TAM, Race 2, 12.49 ET
12/15/21,TAM,2,7F [Dirt] 1:20:04 CLAIMING. Purse $13,500. FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES. Three Year Olds, 120 lbs.; Older, 122 lbs. Non-winners Of A Race Since November 15 Allowed 2 lbs. Claiming Price $8,000 (Races Where Entered For $6,250 Or Less Not Considered In Allowances).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 4 Bionic Bottle 2/1 Castillo I Delgado Jorge JTSWL 174 35.06 1.11/$1
093.9526 3 Working Overtime 5/2 Spieth S Gonzalez Aldana FEC 342 27.49 0.84/$1
093.6462 1 Royal Athena 12/1 Bowen R Cahill Steven F. 342 27.49 0.84/$1
093.3498 6 Mangrove Mamma 6/1 Spanabel S Wasiluk. Jr. Peter 342 27.49 0.84/$1
092.9411 5 Tamiami 6/1 Herrera J R Escobar Alison 342 27.49 0.84/$1
090.9650 7 Catirusia 4/1 Ordonez R R Machado Antonio 342 27.49 0.84/$1
090.8891 2 Me Say So 10/1 De La Cruz F Rhone Bernell B. 342 27.49 0.84/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 32.00, ROI 0.73/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -6.0474
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[All Dirt] Best Jockey


12/15/21, TAM, Race 3, 1.19 ET
12/15/21,TAM,3,7F [Dirt] 1:20:04 MAIDEN CLAIMING. Purse $14,500 (includes up to $500 FOA - Florida Owners Awards). FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. Three Year Olds, 122 lbs.; Older, 124 lbs. Claiming Price $16,000 (Registered Florida Breds Preferred).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 2 J D's Vista 9/2 Diaz. Jr. H R Wasiluk. Jr. Peter TC 86 32.56 1.72/$1
099.4641 7 Calidad 5/2 Gallardo A A Sano Antonio JFE 192 21.88 1.18/$1
095.4191 3 American Empress 7/2 Camacho S Philipp Karyn SL 86 32.56 1.72/$1
094.8981 4 Julie's Grace 4/1 Garcia W A Wilson Tony 86 32.56 1.72/$1
094.7468 8 Irish Dream Girl 6/1 Bisono J Vinson John G W 86 32.56 1.72/$1
094.1430 5 Adriana Es Bonita 15/1 Jude J Ubide Max 86 32.56 1.72/$1
093.9559 6 Exaggerated Moment(b-) 8/1 Ordonez R R Amado Enrique 86 32.56 1.72/$1
093.7426 1 Awesome Winna 10/1 Spanabel S Dobber Arnoud W. 86 32.56 1.72/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 32.00, ROI 0.73/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -0.5359
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[Dirt MdnMClm] Not Morning Line Favorite(not entry)  -with-
[Dirt MdnMClm] Not Third Start


12/15/21, TAM, Race 4, 1.48 ET
12/15/21,TAM,4,1M [Turf] 1:33:01 MAIDEN CLAIMING. Purse $14,500 (includes up to $500 FOA - Florida Owners Awards). FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES TWO YEARS OLD. Weight, 119 lbs. Claiming Price $16,000 (Preference Will Be Given To Horses Which Have Not Started For Less Than $16,000. The Same Preference Will Be Given To Horses Which Have Started For Less Than $16,000 And Since Then Have Finished 2nd Or 3rd For $16,000 Or More.)For Two Year Olds under International Medication Protocol. Horses entered to compete shall not be eligible to receive furosemide less than twenty-four (24) hours prior to post time for the race. (If deemedinadvisable by management to run this race over the turf course, it will be run on the main track at One Mile and Forty Yards.).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 7 Blue Neith 4/1 Castanon J L Sanner Daniel E. 192 21.35 1.19/$1
099.9762 9 Capetown Candy 9/2 Centeno D Cordero Antonio JE 192 21.35 1.19/$1
099.4766 2 Dura the Explorer 6/1 Gallardo A A Hamm Timothy E. T 192 21.35 1.19/$1
099.0675 8 Golden Rocket 6/1 De La Cruz F Dini Michael F 192 21.35 1.19/$1
098.3533 1 Lily's Lead 5/1 Camacho S Barbazon III Lester S 192 21.35 1.19/$1
097.2341 4 Summer Helper(b+) 6/1 Ferrer J C Dini Michael 192 21.35 1.19/$1
096.2363 3 Candia 8/1 Castillo I Stewart Chad J. 192 21.35 1.19/$1
096.0816 5 Lluvia 10/1 Cardoso D Rodriguez Angel M. 192 21.35 1.19/$1
094.9565 6 Libertalia(b-) 20/1 Batista J A Granitz Anthony J. WL 192 21.35 1.19/$1
093.6670 10 Bellavalencia 12/1 Mitchell R Duncan Christopher C 192 21.35 1.19/$1
Top rated horse With "Turf Surface Not fm/hd" - Win% 25.00, ROI 1.13/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -0.0238
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
Trainer Dirt YTD_Curr*2.5 (M)
*Scratches may change this condition

12/15/21, TAM, Race 5, 2.18 ET
12/15/21,TAM,5,1M [Turf] 1:33:01 CLAIMING. Purse $16,100 (includes up to $850 FOA - Florida Owners Awards). FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. Three Year Olds, 120 lbs.; Older, 123 lbs. Non-winners Of A Race At A Mile Or Over Since November 15 Allowed 2 lbs. Claiming Price $16,000 (Races Where Entered For $12,500 Or Less Not Considered In Allowances) (Condition Eligibility). (If deemed inadvisable by management to run this race over the turf course, it will be run on the main track at One Mile and Forty Yards.).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 6 Jama Dillon 3/1 Castanon J L Nunn Douglas SW 192 21.35 1.19/$1
099.8659 2 Bridgekeeper 7/2 De La Cruz F Granitz Anthony J. TFE 192 21.35 1.19/$1
096.6054 1 Whiskey Plank 4/1 Quinonez A Lund Valorie 192 21.35 1.19/$1
096.5480 10 Roll On Dude 8/1 Camacho S Machado Antonio 192 21.35 1.19/$1
094.5660 5 Rose for a Saint 10/1 Garcia W A Einhorn Skip C 192 21.35 1.19/$1
093.5058 11 Cuz 8/1 Ferrer J C Guciardo Kathleen A. J 192 21.35 1.19/$1
093.2450 8 Husband in Law 15/1 Ordonez R R Dye Steven 192 21.35 1.19/$1
092.6431 9 Westward Look 9/2 Villa-Gomez H Sanner Daniel E. 192 21.35 1.19/$1
091.9920 4 Big Polo 20/1 Castillo I Carrasco. Jr. Victor L 192 21.35 1.19/$1
091.6591 7 Maspero 20/1 Marin A A Exposito Adolfo J. 192 21.35 1.19/$1
090.0537 3 Not Invented Here 10/1 Bridgmohan J V Bennett Gerald S. 192 21.35 1.19/$1
Top rated horse With "Turf Surface Not fm/hd" - Win% 25.00, ROI 1.13/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -0.1341
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
Trainer Dirt YTD_Curr*2.5 (M)
*Scratches may change this condition

12/15/21, TAM, Race 6, 2.48 ET
12/15/21,TAM,6,7F [Dirt] 1:20:04 CLAIMING. Purse $13,000. FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NOT WON A RACE SINCE JUNE 15. Three Year Olds, 120 lbs.; Older, 122 lbs. Claiming Price $5,000.
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 4 Mitzrayim 6/1 Camacho S Arnett Jon G. 52 30.77 1.23/$1
099.2109 3 Idle Time 4/1 Castanon J L Dini Michael 52 30.77 1.23/$1
097.7926 5 Imperial Brew 8/1 Morales P Pimental John I. J 174 35.06 1.11/$1
096.8678 1 Candy Crushem 5/2 Ferrer J C Morici Diane D. 52 30.77 1.23/$1
096.7670 10 Free Flayme 10/1 Dominguez C G Delgado Jose H. TF 52 30.77 1.23/$1
096.7490 2 Hot and Heavy 12/1 Mitchell R Wilson Tony W 342 27.49 0.84/$1
096.0760 9 Zonic 6/1 Castillo I McGoey Monica SEC 342 27.49 0.84/$1
094.1103 6 Mesa Skyline 12/1 Cardoso D Lund Valorie 52 30.77 1.23/$1
092.8168 8 Resident 8/1 Garcia W A Gatis Christos L 342 27.49 0.84/$1
092.7598 7 Unspoiled Moments 15/1 Allen M House Gary F. 52 30.77 1.23/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 32.00, ROI 0.73/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -0.7891
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[Dirt Not_MdnMClm] Last Race (Sprint Or Route) Not Same As Today


12/15/21, TAM, Race 7, 3.18 ET
12/15/21,TAM,7,1M [Turf] 1:33:01 CLAIMING. Purse $16,100 (includes up to $850 FOA - Florida Owners Awards). FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. Three Year Olds, 120 lbs.; Older, 123 lbs. Non-winners Of A Race At A Mile Or Over Since November 15 Allowed 2 lbs. Claiming Price $16,000 (Races Where Entered For $12,500 Or Less Not Considered In Allowances) (Condition Eligibility). (If deemed inadvisable by management to run this race over the turf course, it will be run on the main track at One Mile and Forty Yards.).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 7 Reiner 3/1 Diaz. Jr. H R Lerman Roy S. S 192 21.35 1.19/$1
098.9270 1 Van 4/1 Camacho S O'Connor. II Robert R. 192 21.35 1.19/$1
098.8356 9 Estilo Varonil 5/1 Batista J A Arriagada Juan FC 192 21.35 1.19/$1
097.6699 2 Jo Jo Katz(b-) 7/2 Bisono J Nunn Douglas 192 21.35 1.19/$1
096.6970 10 Our Stuie 6/1 Castanon J L Collins Johnny 192 21.35 1.19/$1
095.6512 8 Cochise Charlie 8/1 Centeno D Glyshaw Tim JL 192 21.35 1.19/$1
094.0932 3 Silent Sonata 20/1 Castillo I Granitz Anthony J. TE 192 21.35 1.19/$1
093.4606 5 Feisty Kitten 10/1 Panaijo J Rigattieri John 192 21.35 1.19/$1
092.9800 12 Big Treasure 20/1 Castillo I Avila Juan Carlos 192 21.35 1.19/$1
092.1134 6 Hellfire Bob 20/1 Rodriguez A A Negrete Javier 192 21.35 1.19/$1
089.7988 11 In Honor of Artie 30/1 Henry W Dominguez Luis R. 192 21.35 1.19/$1
089.4388 4 Pricing Exercise 30/1 Garcia W A Mc Allen John P. 192 21.35 1.19/$1
Top rated horse With "Turf Surface Not fm/hd" - Win% 25.00, ROI 1.13/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -1.0730
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
Trainer Dirt YTD_Curr*2.5 (M)
*Scratches may change this condition

12/15/21, TAM, Race 8, 3.48 ET
12/15/21,TAM,8,1M 40Y [Dirt] 1:38:03 CLAIMING. Purse $13,500. FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. Three Year Olds, 120 lbs.; Older, 123 lbs. Non-winners Of A Race At A Mile Or Over Since November 15 Allowed 2 lbs. Claiming Price $8,000 (Races Where Entered For $6,250 Or Less Not Considered In Allowances).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 9 Striking It Lucky 8/1 Centeno D Sillaman Richard P. SFEC 342 27.49 0.84/$1
096.0084 7 Skydiving 5/1 Morales P Cooper Thomas J. J 174 35.06 1.11/$1
094.4527 8 Mr. Einstein 10/1 Spanabel S Wasiluk. Jr. Peter 342 27.49 0.84/$1
092.6577 6 Alperes 10/1 Mitchell R Lawrence Dalton 342 27.49 0.84/$1
092.5211 1 Pharaoh Fancy Pant 4/1 Diaz. Jr. H R Schistl Rafael 52 30.77 1.23/$1
092.4026 4 Kathern's Joy 6/1 De La Cruz F Arriagada Juan TL 52 30.77 1.23/$1
092.3336 5 Sunny Saint 6/1 Alvarado. Jr. R Minieri Joseph 342 27.49 0.84/$1
091.9014 3 Super Edgar 9/2 Henry W Lawrence Dalton W 342 27.49 0.84/$1
090.6478 10 Pascal 15/1 Castanon J L LeCesse Michael A. 342 27.49 0.84/$1
087.8983 2 Khozando 8/1 Camacho S McKanas Leon J. 342 27.49 0.84/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 32.00, ROI 0.73/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -3.9916
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[Dirt Not_MdnMClm] Default Category Stats


12/15/21, TAM, Race 9, 4.18 ET
12/15/21,TAM,9,1 1/16M [Turf] 1:39:03 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT. Purse $26,500 (includes up to $1,500 FOA - Florida Owners Awards). FOR MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. Three Year Olds, 121 lbs.; Older, 124 lbs. (Preference Will Be Given To Horses Which Have Not Started For Less Than $25,000. The Same Preference Will Be Given To Horses Which Have Started For Less Than $25,000 And Since Then Have Finished 2nd Or 3rd For $25,000 Or More.).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 7 Deregulation (GB) 6/1 Morales P Terranova II John P. J 192 21.35 1.19/$1
099.8036 3 Battle of Britain 9/5 Gallardo A A McGaughey J. Reeve FEWC 192 21.35 1.19/$1
099.0558 4 Alexander Valley 7/2 Bowen R Harty Eoin G. S 192 21.35 1.19/$1
098.3875 8 Carpenters Call 8/1 Alvarado. Jr. R Bennett Gerald S. L 192 21.35 1.19/$1
097.3827 2 Le Coste 8/1 Castillo I Carvajal. Jr. Luis 192 21.35 1.19/$1
097.2062 5 Harpoon Harry 6/1 Castanon J L Blair Jordan 192 21.35 1.19/$1
096.8488 9 Harrow 15/1 Valdes A Hamm Timothy E. T 192 21.35 1.19/$1
095.9877 1 Florida Pharaoh 15/1 Diaz. Jr. H R Schistl Rafael 192 21.35 1.19/$1
093.9758 6 Coastal Waters 12/1 Cardoso D Lund Valorie 192 21.35 1.19/$1
Top rated horse With "Turf Surface Not fm/hd" - Win% 25.00, ROI 1.13/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -0.1964
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
Trainer Dirt YTD_Curr*2.5 (M)
*Scratches may change this condition

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