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Top Horse Analytics: 12/12/2021 Picks and Results - AQU


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TOP HORSE ANALYTICS (v12.21.11.30a)

Track: AQU
Start Of Statistics - 12/04/2020
Past Number of Races - 734

WinPC   $1ROI   HiPayoff   Bet Types
36.76 0.88   9.20   Favorites
34.05 0.86 17.00   Morning Line Favorites
32.51 1.00 42.80   Top Horse (with profitable conditions)

Complete Statistics Provided at THA Weekly Statistics

Contact us at Facebook for help or to report issues: Top Horse Analytics

The Win% and ROI columns below are the win percents and return on investments that the top horse
has performed in the past year for associated compound conditions in a race. The expectation is
that these conditions will perform as well in the future.

An ROI less than 1.01 indicates that no profitable conditions exist for this entry when it's the top rated
horse. Also, be aware that abnormally high payoffs may inflate the ROI so look for a high Win% and Occurs to go
with that high ROI as your selection.

These stats are only good for the top rated horse whether it's the original (100.0000) or the top horse
resulting from scratches. Every horse in a race may have Occurs, Win%, and ROI stats in case it becomes the
top rated horse.


horse name(b+) - Blinkers On
horse name(b-) - Blinkers Off

12/12/21, AQU, Race 1, 12.20 ET
12/12/21,AQU,1,6F [Dirt] 1:07:03 MAIDEN CLAIMING. Purse $35,000. FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD FOALED IN NEW YORK STATE AND APPROVED BY THE NEW YORK STATE-BRED REGISTRY. Three Year Olds, 122 lbs.; Older, 124 lbs. Claiming Price $25,000 (1.5% Aftercare Assessment Due At Time Of Claim Otherwise Claim Will Be Void).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 4 Love's Misery 9/2 Carmouche K Atras Rob F 41 43.90 1.64/$1
098.4271 10 New York Banker 5/2 Davis D Miceli Michael L 209 18.66 1.27/$1
097.6383 5 Reeley Psyched 6/1 Rodriguez Castro L A Brown Bruce R. C 41 43.90 1.64/$1
097.1842 7 Torren's Tale 8/1 Gomez O Barrow Paul W. W 41 43.90 1.64/$1
096.4121 8 Spill the Tea 4/1 McCarthy T Gargan Danny T 41 43.90 1.64/$1
096.2199 9 Grape Therapy 8/1 Harkie H K Kantarmaci Mertkan E 41 43.90 1.64/$1
094.0512 6 Inouaintalkintome 10/1 Morrison A Falcone. Jr. Robert N. 41 43.90 1.64/$1
092.6548 3 Barrel of Bliss 20/1 Silvera R Ferraro James W. J 41 43.90 1.64/$1
092.3246 2 Mill Stone Creek(b-) 15/1 Davis J A Davis Edmund D. S 41 43.90 1.64/$1
090.7244 1 Decreed 20/1 Camacho. Jr. S Persaud Randi 41 43.90 1.64/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 29.70, ROI 0.82/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -1.5729
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[Dirt MdnMClm] Race Age 3Up  -with-
[Dirt MdnMClm] Race Type Maiden Claiming


12/12/21, AQU, Race 2, 12.50 ET
12/12/21,AQU,2,6 1/2F [Dirt] 1:14:02 CLAIMING. Purse $39,000. FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. Three Year Olds, 120 lbs.; Older, 122 lbs. Non-winners Of A Race In 2021 Allowed 2 lbs. Claiming Price $16,000 (Maiden And Claiming Races For $12,500 Or Less Not Considered In Allowances) (1.5% AftercareAssessment Due At Time Of Claim Otherwise Claim Will Be Void).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 1 Stefanie On Fleek 4/1 Marquez C Gonzalez Claudio A. SFC 66 33.33 1.07/$1
099.9717 3 Shasta Star 2/1 Ramos C Potts Wayne 411 29.44 0.82/$1
099.4220 6 Big Al's Gal 5/2 Carmouche K Atras Rob JT 411 29.44 0.82/$1
099.1290 5 Awesome Indra(b+) 5/2 Davis D Handal Raymond 411 29.44 0.82/$1
096.8959 4 Sweet Mia 8/1 Morrison A Baker Charlton EW 66 33.33 1.07/$1
093.3008 2 Starship Reina 15/1 Gomez J A Mc Allen John P. L 411 29.44 0.82/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 29.70, ROI 0.82/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -0.0283
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[Dirt Not_MdnMClm] Last Race (Sprint Or Route) Not Same As Today


12/12/21, AQU, Race 3, 1.18 ET
12/12/21,AQU,3,6 1/2F [Dirt] 1:14:02 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT. Purse $70,000. FOR MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD FOALED IN NEW YORK STATE AND APPROVED BY THE NEW YORK STATE-BRED REGISTRY. Three Year Olds, 122 lbs.; Older, 124 lbs. (Non-Starters For A Claiming Price Of $40,000 Or Less In The Last 3 Starts Preferred).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 4 Forty Comets(b+) 5/2 Lezcano J Ryerson James T. EC 63 41.27 1.39/$1
099.2936 3 Brew Pub 6/1 Mena R E Arenas Marcelo FW 63 41.27 1.39/$1
098.4825 7 Lindros 5/1 Rodriguez J Lynch Cathal A. JTL 63 41.27 1.39/$1
098.3061 1 B C Glory Days 7/2 Davis D Terranova II John P. 63 41.27 1.39/$1
098.0011 2 Scherzando 9/2 Cancel E Sciacca Gary 63 41.27 1.39/$1
097.6184 6 Feathers Road 7/2 McCarthy T Rice Linda 63 41.27 1.39/$1
095.3411 5 Sir William 20/1 Ramos C Ferraro James W. 63 41.27 1.39/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 29.70, ROI 0.82/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -0.7064
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[Dirt MdnMClm] Race Age 3Up


12/12/21, AQU, Race 4, 1.43 ET
12/12/21,AQU,4,1M [Dirt] 1:32:02 CLAIMING. Purse $28,000. FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. Three Year Olds, 120 lbs.; Older, 123 lbs. Non-winners Of A Race At A Mile Or Over In 2021 Allowed 2 lbs. Claiming Price $16,000 (1.5% Aftercare Assessment Due At Time Of Claim Otherwise Claim Will Be Void).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 6 A Ring Thing 5/2 Ortiz J L Trites A. Lands JSFWL 411 29.44 0.82/$1
098.4554 4 Scott Alaia 3/1 Davis D Hennig Mark A. E 411 29.44 0.82/$1
098.1287 1 Sweeter 9/2 Cancel E Englehart Chris J. C 66 33.33 1.07/$1
096.3440 3 Creative Legacy(b-) 6/1 Hernandez B Rodriguez Gustavo T 66 33.33 1.07/$1
096.2280 8 Happylife 12/1 Ramos C Klesaris Robert P. 411 29.44 0.82/$1
096.0232 7 Speed Zone 8/1 Davis J A Sells Rachel 411 29.44 0.82/$1
093.1384 2 Horseshoe Falls 12/1 Navarro C J Mc Allen John P. 411 29.44 0.82/$1
091.9677 9 Tootsie's Song 15/1 Hernandez Moreno O Chatterpaul Naipaul 66 33.33 1.07/$1
091.3953 5 Gagliano(b-) 20/1 Harkie H K Barrera. III Oscar S. 66 33.33 1.07/$1
091.3124 10 Lucky Sitka(b-) 30/1 Camacho. Jr. S DeLauro Edward J. 66 33.33 1.07/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 29.70, ROI 0.82/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -1.5446
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[Dirt Not_MdnMClm] Default Category Stats


12/12/21, AQU, Race 5, 2.11 ET
12/12/21,AQU,5,6F [Dirt] 1:07:03 MAIDEN CLAIMING. Purse $35,000. FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD FOALED IN NEW YORK STATE AND APPROVED BY THE NEW YORK STATE-BRED REGISTRY. Three Year Olds, 122 lbs.; Older, 124 lbs. Claiming Price $25,000 (1.5% Aftercare Assessment Due At Time Of Claim Otherwise Claim Will Be Void).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 5 Captivating Cara 6/1 Castellano J Friedman Mitchell E. FWL 41 43.90 1.64/$1
097.3306 6 Path Less Taken 7/2 Carmouche K Morley Thomas 41 43.90 1.64/$1
097.3179 2 Phenomenal Woman 3/1 Davis D Clement Christophe S 41 43.90 1.64/$1
096.8279 9 New York Supreme 4/1 McCarthy T Rodriguez Rudy R. E 41 43.90 1.64/$1
094.9083 8 Bonana Fanna Foe 10/1 Cancel E Englehart Chris J. 41 43.90 1.64/$1
093.6233 3 Elegant Laoban(b-) 20/1 Silvera R O'Brien Keith J 41 43.90 1.64/$1
093.3422 4 Cinnamon Dream 8/1 Franco M Gutierrez Fausto T 41 43.90 1.64/$1
093.3033 11 Starship Rogue 12/1 Samuel J L Klesaris Steve C 209 18.66 1.27/$1
092.3403 10 Ethel's Doctorate 20/1 Hernandez Moreno O Grossman Bruce R. 209 18.66 1.27/$1
091.7180 1 Escapology 15/1 Hernandez B Bond H. James 41 43.90 1.64/$1
090.2472 7 Emerald Banker 30/1 Richards G Jerkens Steven T. 41 43.90 1.64/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 29.70, ROI 0.82/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -2.6694
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[Dirt MdnMClm] Race Age 3Up  -with-
[Dirt MdnMClm] Race Type Maiden Claiming


12/12/21, AQU, Race 6, 2.39 ET
12/12/21,AQU,6,1M [Dirt] 1:32:02 CLAIMING. Purse $28,000. FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES. Three Year Olds, 120 lbs.; Older, 123 lbs. Non-winners Of A Race At A Mile Or Over In 2021 Allowed 2 lbs. Claiming Price $14,000 (1.5% Aftercare Assessment Due At Time Of Claim Otherwise Claim Will Be Void).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 9 El Samuro 2/1 Silvera R Vazquez Juan C. JSEC 411 29.44 0.82/$1
098.3081 11 Beach Front 8/1 Davis D Englehart Jeffrey S. F 411 29.44 0.82/$1
097.7133 5 Pier Forty 4/1 Cancel E Noda Orlando 411 29.44 0.82/$1
096.2361 6 Striking Speed 8/1 Carmouche K Atras Rob TW 66 33.33 1.07/$1
095.9365 4 Exxtop 8/1 Rodriguez Castro L A Thompson Marcus George 66 33.33 1.07/$1
095.6354 2 Lokoya Road 5/1 Samuel J L Lynch Natalia 411 29.44 0.82/$1
093.2183 7 Beatthatflew(b+) 20/1 Fragoso P Parker Joseph G. 411 29.44 0.82/$1
092.7007 10 Big Wonder 15/1 Hernandez B Chatterpaul Naipaul L 66 33.33 1.07/$1
092.5859 3 Speechin N Teachin 30/1 Navarro C J Mc Allen John P. 411 29.44 0.82/$1
092.4717 8 Kid Chocolate 15/1 Hernandez Moreno O Sciacca Gary 411 29.44 0.82/$1
089.9338 1 Forever Wicked 30/1 Harkie H K Dharamjit Darmindra 411 29.44 0.82/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 29.70, ROI 0.82/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -1.6919
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[Dirt Not_MdnMClm] Default Category Stats


12/12/21, AQU, Race 7, 3.09 ET
12/12/21,AQU,7,1M [Dirt] 1:32:02 STARTER ALLOWANCE. Purse $55,000. (UP TO $9,570 NYSBFOA) FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE STARTED FOR A CLAIMING PRICE OF $50,000 OR LESS AND WHICH HAVE NEVER WON A RACE OTHER THAN MAIDEN OR CLAIMING. Three Year Olds, 120 lbs.; Older, 123 lbs. Non-winners Of ARace At A Mile Or Over In 2021 Allowed 2 lbs.
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 6 Exotic West 2/1 Castellano J Sciacca Gary S 411 29.44 0.82/$1
099.1724 8 Cadeau de Paix 9/2 Ortiz J L Reynolds Patrick L. J 66 33.33 1.07/$1
098.9491 7 My Girl Lexi 6/1 Lezcano J Rice Linda FC 411 29.44 0.82/$1
098.9209 5 Matoula 4/1 Franco M Kantarmaci Mertkan E 411 29.44 0.82/$1
097.8941 4 Blushable 8/1 Davis D Morey William E. T 411 29.44 0.82/$1
096.9631 3 Suspended Campaign 5/1 Vargas. Jr. J A Duggan David P. 411 29.44 0.82/$1
095.8181 2 Paddy's Princess(b+) 20/1 Ramos C Klesaris Robert P. WL 411 29.44 0.82/$1
095.1801 9 Kerik 15/1 Rodriguez Castro L A Noda Orlando 66 33.33 1.07/$1
092.7869 1 Ghostghostghost 30/1 McCarthy T Schettino Domenick L. 66 33.33 1.07/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 29.70, ROI 0.82/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -0.8276
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[Dirt Not_MdnMClm] Default Category Stats


12/12/21, AQU, Race 8, 3.37 ET
12/12/21,AQU,8,1M [Dirt] 1:32:02 ALLOWANCE. Purse $82,000. (UP TO $14,268 NYSBFOA) FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON $15,000 OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, STARTER OR STATE BRED ALLOWANCE OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. Three Year Olds, 120 lbs.; Older, 123 lbs. Non-winners Of A Race Other Than Claiming Or Starter At A Mile Or Over Allowed 2 lbs.
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 1 Core Conviction 4/1 Ortiz J L Brown Chad C. JFEL 66 33.33 1.07/$1
099.7602 9 Winter Pool 5/2 Franco M Brown Chad C. C 411 29.44 0.82/$1
098.6192 2 Auburn Hills 6/1 Carmouche K Maker Michael J. S 411 29.44 0.82/$1
097.6385 5 Adare 3/1 Lezcano J Drysdale Neil D. 45 20.00 1.29/$1
095.9687 8 Three Jokers 8/1 Davis D Terranova II John P. 18 38.89 1.25/$1
095.3553 4 Kaz's Beach 15/1 McCarthy T Synnefias Dimitrios K. 411 29.44 0.82/$1
095.1416 10 Carrothers 12/1 Cancel E Mott William I. 411 29.44 0.82/$1
094.7393 6 Dust Devil 12/1 Castellano J Mott William I. 411 29.44 0.82/$1
093.3745 7 My First Grammy 20/1 Gomez J A Barrera. III Oscar S. W 411 29.44 0.82/$1
092.3470 3 Semper Fidelis 30/1 Adorno A Servis J. Tyler 66 33.33 1.07/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 29.70, ROI 0.82/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -0.2398
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[Dirt Not_MdnMClm] Last Race (Sprint Or Route) Not Same As Today


12/12/21, AQU, Race 9, 4.04 ET
12/12/21,AQU,9,6F [Dirt] 1:07:03 MAIDEN CLAIMING. Purse $35,000. FOR MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD FOALED IN NEW YORK STATE AND APPROVED BY THE NEW YORK STATE-BRED REGISTRY. Three Year Olds, 122 lbs.; Older, 124 lbs. Claiming Price $25,000 (1.5% Aftercare Assessment Due At Time Of Claim Otherwise Claim Will Be Void).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 16 Boom Boom Kaboom 5/1 Cancel E Weaver George FE 209 18.66 1.27/$1
099.2237 13 Jack's Dream 5/1 Carmouche K Weaver George 209 18.66 1.27/$1
098.2876 12 Majestic Tiger 7/2 Lezcano J Asmussen Steven M. C 209 18.66 1.27/$1
096.9957 7 War Novel 8/1 Davis D Noda Orlando W 41 43.90 1.64/$1
095.2719 9 Forestwood Lane 8/1 Cancel E Englehart Chris J. T 41 43.90 1.64/$1
095.1621 2 Bell Boy 6/1 Ortiz J L Reynolds Patrick L. 41 43.90 1.64/$1
094.8859 3 Kisses for Val 12/1 Ramos C Toscano. Jr. John T. 41 43.90 1.64/$1
094.4019 10 Hangout 8/1 Hernandez B Donk David G. 209 18.66 1.27/$1
094.2297 11 Out of the Breech 12/1 Rodriguez Castro L A Rodriguez Rudy R. 209 18.66 1.27/$1
094.1717 15 Tamburro's Sox(b+) 10/1 Vargas. Jr. J A Donk David G. 209 18.66 1.27/$1
093.3894 4 Crock of Gold 20/1 Silvera R Sciacca Gary J 41 43.90 1.64/$1
093.3573 8 Tough Workout 10/1 Franco M Rodriguez Rudy R. SL 41 43.90 1.64/$1
092.0098 6 Grey Quest 20/1 Corujo L Synnefias Dimitrios K. 41 43.90 1.64/$1
089.1067 14 Unlikely 30/1 Mena R E Pregman. Jr. John S. 209 18.66 1.27/$1
088.6204 1 Still to Come 30/1 Harkie H K Dunham Bob G. 41 43.90 1.64/$1
086.7235 5 Napoleon Complex 50/1 Hernandez Moreno O Metivier Richard 41 43.90 1.64/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 29.70, ROI 0.82/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -0.7763
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
Workouts Dirt Last 1 (M)


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