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Top Horse Analytics: 12/11/2021 Picks and Results - AQU


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TOP HORSE ANALYTICS (v12.21.11.30a)

Track: AQU
Start Of Statistics - 12/04/2020
Past Number of Races - 734

WinPC   $1ROI   HiPayoff   Bet Types
36.76 0.88   9.20   Favorites
34.05 0.86 17.00   Morning Line Favorites
32.51 1.00 42.80   Top Horse (with profitable conditions)

Complete Statistics Provided at THA Weekly Statistics

Contact us at Facebook for help or to report issues: Top Horse Analytics

The Win% and ROI columns below are the win percents and return on investments that the top horse
has performed in the past year for associated compound conditions in a race. The expectation is
that these conditions will perform as well in the future.

An ROI less than 1.01 indicates that no profitable conditions exist for this entry when it's the top rated
horse. Also, be aware that abnormally high payoffs may inflate the ROI so look for a high Win% and Occurs to go
with that high ROI as your selection.

These stats are only good for the top rated horse whether it's the original (100.0000) or the top horse
resulting from scratches. Every horse in a race may have Occurs, Win%, and ROI stats in case it becomes the
top rated horse.


horse name(b+) - Blinkers On
horse name(b-) - Blinkers Off

12/11/21, AQU, Race 1, 12.20 ET
12/11/21,AQU,1,6F [Dirt] 1:07:03 MAIDEN CLAIMING. Purse $32,000. FOR MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. Three Year Olds, 122 lbs.; Older, 124 lbs. Claiming Price $20,000 (1.5% Aftercare Assessment Due At Time Of Claim Otherwise Claim Will Be Void).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 7 Mister J T 7/2 Cancel E Donk David G. F 41 43.90 1.64/$1
098.2777 6 Sutton Valley 5/1 Ortiz J L Allard Edward T. TEC 41 43.90 1.64/$1
097.6228 9 Romantic Man 6/1 Mena R E Martin Carlos F. 41 43.90 1.64/$1
096.8882 1 Rye Runner 9/2 McCarthy T Albertrani Thomas 41 43.90 1.64/$1
095.2707 4 Blame It On Brutus 8/1 Castellano J Hennig Mark A. 41 43.90 1.64/$1
094.8980 11 Run White Rabbit 15/1 Silvera R Vazquez Juan C. JW 209 18.66 1.27/$1
094.3665 8 Motion to Strike(b-) 9/2 Franco M Reynolds Patrick L. L 41 43.90 1.64/$1
093.5898 10 Data Deal 12/1 Davis D Miceli Michael 209 18.66 1.27/$1
093.2796 5 Simple Sugar 20/1 Samuel J L Chapman James K. 41 43.90 1.64/$1
091.2922 2 Ocean Deep 20/1 Hernandez Moreno O Pregman. Jr. John S. 41 43.90 1.64/$1
089.2557 3 Alite 30/1 Gomez J A Pringle Edmund 41 43.90 1.64/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 29.70, ROI 0.82/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -1.7223
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[Dirt MdnMClm] Race Age 3Up  -with-
[Dirt MdnMClm] Race Type Maiden Claiming


12/11/21, AQU, Race 2, 12.50 ET
12/11/21,AQU,2,7F [Dirt] 1:20:00 CLAIMING. Purse $50,000. FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD FOALED IN NEW YORK STATE AND APPROVED BY THE NEW YORK STATE-BRED REGISTRY. Three Year Olds, 120 lbs.; Older, 122 lbs. Non-winners Of A Race In 2021 Allowed 2 lbs. Claiming Price $25,000 (Maiden And Claiming Races For $20,000 Or Less Not Considered In Allowances) (1.5% Aftercare Assessment Due At Time Of Claim Otherwise Claim Will Be Void).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 9 Whistling Birds 8/1 Cancel E Englehart Chris J. TSFC 66 33.33 1.07/$1
099.8463 10 Bad Guy 4/1 Franco M Rodriguez Rudy R. 411 29.44 0.82/$1
099.1639 3 Just Right 7/2 Corujo L Synnefias Dimitrios K. 411 29.44 0.82/$1
098.1120 8 Manifest Destiny 9/2 Carmouche K Younghans William 411 29.44 0.82/$1
097.0566 2 Dee Bo 10/1 Davis D Englehart Jeffrey S. 411 29.44 0.82/$1
096.7925 7 Dream Bigger 8/1 Lezcano J Kantarmaci Mertkan E 411 29.44 0.82/$1
096.5805 5 Doublepour 12/1 Silvera R Cruz Lenin J 411 29.44 0.82/$1
095.4506 11 Sicilia Mike 15/1 Ramos C Potts Wayne 66 33.33 1.07/$1
094.5381 4 True Gold 6/1 McCarthy T Baker Charlton L 411 29.44 0.82/$1
093.4293 1A Bingo John 20/1 Castellano J Pregman. Jr. John S. 66 33.33 1.07/$1
092.3002 1 Gandy Dancing 20/1 Castellano J Pregman. Jr. John S. W 411 29.44 0.82/$1
090.6576 6 Jacoba 30/1 Davis J A Ficarella Brooke 411 29.44 0.82/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 29.70, ROI 0.82/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -0.1537
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[Dirt Not_MdnMClm] Last Race (Sprint Or Route) Not Same As Today


12/11/21, AQU, Race 3, 1.18 ET
12/11/21,AQU,3,6F [Dirt] 1:07:03 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT. Purse $80,000. (UP TO $13,920 NYSBFOA) FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES TWO YEARS OLD. Weight, 119 lbs. (Non-Starters For A Claiming Price Of $40,000 Or Less In The Last 3 Starts Preferred).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 1 Mischievous Diane Even Davis D Handal Raymond SFELC 45 24.44 1.41/$1
098.9292 7 Goodmorning Angel 7/2 Lezcano J Asmussen Steven M. W 96 31.25 1.15/$1
097.9952 2 Jacko's Day Out 9/2 Ortiz J L O'Dwyer Jeremiah J 96 31.25 1.15/$1
096.9834 6 Senseofexcellence 6/1 McCarthy T Asmussen Steven M. 96 31.25 1.15/$1
096.9215 4 Mythreebutterflies 8/1 Cancel E Weaver George 96 31.25 1.15/$1
094.0215 3 Snow Loves a Fight 20/1 Samuel J L Noda Orlando 96 31.25 1.15/$1
093.0081 5 Toosweettobesour(b-) 12/1 Rodriguez Castro L A Begg James Bentley 96 31.25 1.15/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 29.70, ROI 0.82/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -1.0708
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
Finish Turf Last 1 (M)


12/11/21, AQU, Race 4, 1.43 ET
12/11/21,AQU,4,6 1/2F [Dirt] 1:14:02 STARTER ALLOWANCE. Purse $55,000. (UP TO $9,570 NYSBFOA) FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE STARTED FOR A CLAIMING PRICE OF $50,000 OR LESS AND WHICH HAVE NEVER WON A RACE OTHER THAN MAIDEN OR CLAIMING. Three Year Olds, 120 lbs.; Older, 122 lbs. Non-winners Of A Race In 2021 Allowed 2 lbs.
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 10 Trash Talker 5/2 Ortiz J L Atras Rob J 411 29.44 0.82/$1
099.9645 1 Rudy Rod 7/2 Cancel E Rice Linda 411 29.44 0.82/$1
099.1584 8 Charlie Five O 6/1 Franco M Atras Rob 411 29.44 0.82/$1
098.8846 11 Fair Haired Boy 8/1 Carmouche K Dutrow Anthony W. TC 411 29.44 0.82/$1
098.0801 2 Swinton 12/1 Davis D Avila A. C. SFEL 411 29.44 0.82/$1
098.0693 1A Bezos 7/2 Lezcano J Rice Linda 411 29.44 0.82/$1
097.8510 7 Twelth Man 6/1 McCarthy T Nevin Michelle 411 29.44 0.82/$1
095.6284 4 Hoopla 10/1 Ramos C Falcone. Jr. Robert N. 411 29.44 0.82/$1
094.2870 6 Rocco Strong(b+) 15/1 Vargas. Jr. J A Martin Carlos F. 411 29.44 0.82/$1
094.0792 9 American Gentleman 15/1 Castellano J Rodriguez Gustavo 411 29.44 0.82/$1
093.9284 5 Him She Kisses 20/1 Morrison A Summers Chad W 411 29.44 0.82/$1
092.9936 3 R Boy Bode 30/1 Gomez J A Thompson Marcus George 411 29.44 0.82/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 29.70, ROI 0.82/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -0.0355
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[Dirt Not_MdnMClm] Default Category Stats


12/11/21, AQU, Race 5, 2.11 ET
12/11/21,AQU,5,6F [Dirt] 1:07:03 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT. Purse $70,000. FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES TWO YEARS OLD FOALED IN NEW YORK STATE AND APPROVED BY THE NEW YORK STATE-BRED REGISTRY. Weight, 119 lbs. (Non-Starters For A Claiming Price Of $40,000 Or Less In The Last 3 Starts Preferred).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 2 Royal Currency 5/1 Lezcano J Baker Charlton EC 96 31.25 1.15/$1
099.7882 7 Kant Hurry Love 3/1 Franco M Clement Christophe TF 45 24.44 1.41/$1
098.5753 5 Celine the Queen 5/2 Ortiz J L DePaz Horacio JW 172 36.63 1.08/$1
096.7407 11 Cindy's Choice 12/1 Cancel E Levine Bruce N. 209 18.66 1.27/$1
096.5902 1 Raymond Road(b+) 8/1 Vargas. Jr. J A Englehart Jeremiah C. 96 31.25 1.15/$1
095.9788 9 Ribot's Valentine 15/1 Davis D Handal Raymond 96 31.25 1.15/$1
095.0833 12 Leeloo 10/1 Carmouche K Duggan David P. 209 18.66 1.27/$1
094.0257 6 Queens Dancer 15/1 Alvarado N Dixon Linda K. SL 96 31.25 1.15/$1
092.3695 10 Easy Play 30/1 Samuel J L Noda Orlando 209 18.66 1.27/$1
091.9550 8 Glittering Prize 15/1 McCarthy T Bond H. James 96 31.25 1.15/$1
091.1063 4 Playmaggieforme 30/1 Ramos C Albertrani Thomas 96 31.25 1.15/$1
090.9194 3 Tijera Lee(b+) 20/1 Castellano J Miceli Michael 96 31.25 1.15/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 29.70, ROI 0.82/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -0.2118
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[Dirt MdnMClm] Not Morning Line Favorite(not entry)


12/11/21, AQU, Race 6, 2.39 ET
12/11/21,AQU,6,6F [Dirt] 1:07:03 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING. Purse $74,000. FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD FOALED IN NEW YORK STATE AND APPROVED BY THE NEW YORK STATE-BRED REGISTRY WHICH HAVE NEVER WON $15,000 TWICE OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING OR STARTER OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES OR OPTIONAL CLAIMINGPRICE OF $45,000. Three Year Olds, 122 lbs.; Older, 124 lbs. Non-winners Of Two Races Other Than Claiming Or Starter In 2021 Allowed 2 lbs. Such A Race In 2021 Allowed 4 lbs. Claiming Price $45,000 (Allowance Horses Preferred)(1.5% Aftercare Assessment Due At Time Of Claim Otherwise Claim Will Be Void).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 6 Breakfastatbonnies 5/2 Lezcano J Gargan Danny TSFEL 411 29.44 0.82/$1
098.0892 4 Vacay 7/2 Franco M Pletcher Todd A. C 66 33.33 1.07/$1
097.6664 1A Honey Money 9/2 Ortiz J L Potts Wayne JW 411 29.44 0.82/$1
096.1190 8 Beautiful Karen 8/1 Cancel E Rice Linda 411 29.44 0.82/$1
095.9929 1 Quality Stones 9/2 Ramos C Potts Wayne 411 29.44 0.82/$1
095.4084 9 Impazible Donna 8/1 Davis D Levine Bruce N. 411 29.44 0.82/$1
094.5626 10 Fair Regis 12/1 McCarthy T Englehart Jeffrey S. 411 29.44 0.82/$1
093.9187 5 Eloquent Speaker 12/1 Castellano J Kimmel John C. 411 29.44 0.82/$1
093.7784 2 Happy Sophia 10/1 Luzzi M J Persaud Randi 411 29.44 0.82/$1
093.6621 7 Violent Point 12/1 Carmouche K Rice Linda 411 29.44 0.82/$1
091.8454 3 Wailin Josie 20/1 Vargas. Jr. J A Jerkens Steven T. 411 29.44 0.82/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 29.70, ROI 0.82/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -1.9108
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[Dirt Not_MdnMClm] Default Category Stats


12/11/21, AQU, Race 7, 3.09 ET
12/11/21,AQU,7,1M [Dirt] 1:32:02 CLAIMING. Purse $55,000. (UP TO $9,570 NYSBFOA) FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD. Three Year Olds, 120 lbs.; Older, 123 lbs. Non-winners Of A Race At A Mile Or Over In 2021 Allowed 2 lbs. Claiming Price $32,000 (Maiden And Claiming Races For $25,000 Or Less Not Considered In Allowances) (1.5% Aftercare Assessment Due At Time Of Claim Otherwise Claim Will Be Void).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 7 Hammerin Aamer 3/1 Ortiz J L Rodriguez Gustavo JT 411 29.44 0.82/$1
099.2005 9 Mexican Wonder Boy 4/1 Lezcano J Kantarmaci Mertkan F 411 29.44 0.82/$1
098.2757 1A Grumps Little Tots 6/1 Morrison A Baker Charlton 411 29.44 0.82/$1
097.3262 8 Daddy Knows 6/1 Samuel J L Handal Raymond L 411 29.44 0.82/$1
097.0317 1 Musical America 6/1 McCarthy T Baker Charlton 411 29.44 0.82/$1
095.9157 11 Dark Storm 8/1 Cancel E Weaver George 411 29.44 0.82/$1
095.6070 4 Crypto Cash 12/1 Carmouche K Rice Linda 66 33.33 1.07/$1
094.2674 10 Air Attack 10/1 Franco M Toscano. Jr. John T. 411 29.44 0.82/$1
094.1107 2 Vintage Hollywood 15/1 Davis D Noda Orlando E 411 29.44 0.82/$1
093.8655 5 American Rule 15/1 Castellano J Englehart Jeremiah C. W 411 29.44 0.82/$1
093.4712 6 Lost in Rome 12/1 Rodriguez Castro L A Parker Joseph G. 66 33.33 1.07/$1
092.1865 3 Microscope 15/1 Hernandez B Sciacca Gary C 411 29.44 0.82/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 29.70, ROI 0.82/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -0.7995
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[Dirt Not_MdnMClm] Default Category Stats


12/11/21, AQU, Race 8, 3.37 ET
12/11/21,AQU,8,6F [Dirt] 1:07:03 STAKES. Garland of Roses Stakes. Purse $100,000. FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. Non-Lasix Race pursuant to 4043.2 (7)(e)(5) Lasix not permitted within 48 hours of post time. By subscription of $100 each which should accompany the nomination; $500 to pass the entry box and an additional $500 to start. For horses not originally nominated, a supplemental nomination payment of $1,000 (along with the entry and starting fees) may be made at any time prior to the closing of entries. The purse to be divided 55% to the owner of the winner, 20% to second, 12% to third, 6% to fourth, 4% to fifth and 3% divided equally amongst the remaining finishers. Three Year Olds 122 lbs. Older 124 lbs. Non-winners of a Graded Sweepstakes in 2021 allowed 2 lbs.; of a sweepstakes other than State-Bred in 2021or two races other than maiden, claiming, starter or state-bred allowance since July 1, 2021 allowed 4 lbs. A trophy will be presented to the winning owner. Closed Saturday, November 27, 2021 with 18 Nominations.
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 7 Song River 7/2 Castellano J DeVaux Cherie SF 411 29.44 0.82/$1
099.2135 2 Glass Ceiling 6/5 Davis D Baker Charlton C 411 29.44 0.82/$1
098.6155 5 Starfront 4/1 Ortiz J L Brown Chad C. TW 411 29.44 0.82/$1
098.0280 6 Sadie Lady 6/1 Carmouche K Atras Rob EL 45 20.00 1.29/$1
096.7779 3 Letmetakethiscall 20/1 Silvera R Ferraro James W. J 411 29.44 0.82/$1
096.6701 1 Call On Mischief 5/1 Lezcano J Breen Kelly J. 411 29.44 0.82/$1
096.1720 4 Just Read It 20/1 Franco M Handal Raymond 411 29.44 0.82/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 29.70, ROI 0.82/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -0.7865
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[Dirt Not_MdnMClm] Default Category Stats


12/11/21, AQU, Race 9, 4.04 ET
12/11/21,AQU,9,6F [Dirt] 1:07:03 CLAIMING. Purse $28,000. FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. Three Year Olds, 120 lbs.; Older, 122 lbs. Non-winners Of A Race In 2021 Allowed 2 lbs. Claiming Price $16,000 (1.5% Aftercare Assessment Due At Time Of Claim Otherwise Claim Will Be Void).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 13 Shining Colors 4/1 Ortiz J L Vazquez Juan C. J 411 29.44 0.82/$1
099.9042 2 Bella Principessa 5/1 Franco M Rodriguez Rudy R. W 66 33.33 1.07/$1
098.3178 7 Tellaperfecttale 10/1 McCarthy T Potts Wayne FC 411 29.44 0.82/$1
097.2763 3 Hey It's Tati 8/1 Hernandez Moreno O Gargan Danny T 411 29.44 0.82/$1
097.1118 6 Bustinmygroove 8/1 Ramos C Chichakly Amira 411 29.44 0.82/$1
096.8614 11 Tangoberg 15/1 Cancel E Englehart Chris J. E 411 29.44 0.82/$1
096.3815 14 Donnybrook Girl 9/2 Carmouche K Servis John C. L 411 29.44 0.82/$1
095.8990 4 Big Tony's Girl 15/1 Lezcano J Ryerson James T. 411 29.44 0.82/$1
095.5016 10 Cause to Dream 12/1 Mena R E Klesaris Robert P. 411 29.44 0.82/$1
095.3107 12 Charlotte Webley 15/1 Rodriguez Castro L A Simmonds Michael A. S 411 29.44 0.82/$1
091.8287 1 Queentigua 30/1 Gomez J A Pringle Edmund 411 29.44 0.82/$1
091.5068 5 Betty's Smile 20/1 Davis J A Grusmark Karl M. 411 29.44 0.82/$1
091.3270 8 Tootsie's Song 20/1 Hernandez B Chatterpaul Naipaul 411 29.44 0.82/$1
089.6364 9 Mission Trail 30/1 Harkie H K Mc Allen John P. 411 29.44 0.82/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 29.70, ROI 0.82/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -0.0958
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[Dirt Not_MdnMClm] Default Category Stats


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