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Top Horse Analytics: 12/11/2021 Picks and Results - TAM


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TOP HORSE ANALYTICS (v12.21.11.30a)

Track: TAM
Start Of Statistics - 12/09/2020
Past Number of Races - 826

WinPC   $1ROI   HiPayoff   Bet Types
33.54 0.82   9.00   Favorites
30.10 0.82 14.00   Morning Line Favorites
30.39 1.00 26.20   Top Horse (with profitable conditions)

Complete Statistics Provided at THA Weekly Statistics

Contact us at Facebook for help or to report issues: Top Horse Analytics

The Win% and ROI columns below are the win percents and return on investments that the top horse
has performed in the past year for associated compound conditions in a race. The expectation is
that these conditions will perform as well in the future.

An ROI less than 1.01 indicates that no profitable conditions exist for this entry when it's the top rated
horse. Also, be aware that abnormally high payoffs may inflate the ROI so look for a high Win% and Occurs to go
with that high ROI as your selection.

These stats are only good for the top rated horse whether it's the original (100.0000) or the top horse
resulting from scratches. Every horse in a race may have Occurs, Win%, and ROI stats in case it becomes the
top rated horse.


horse name(b+) - Blinkers On
horse name(b-) - Blinkers Off

12/11/21, TAM, Race 1, 12.10 ET
12/11/21,TAM,1,5 1/2F [Dirt] 1:02:04 CLAIMING. Purse $13,000. FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NOT WON A RACE SINCE JUNE 11. Three Year Olds, 120 lbs.; Older, 122 lbs. Claiming Price $5,000.
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 6 R Prerogative 1/1 Lopez P Baxter Georgina JTEW 174 35.06 1.11/$1
096.5820 2 Glory Roll 8/5 Ferrer J C Ward Dennis FC 6 50.00 1.52/$1
093.0545 1 Tee Up 10/1 Villa-Gomez H Dye Steven 342 27.49 0.84/$1
090.9175 3 Miss Margaret Ann 6/1 Spanabel S Pimental John I. L 31 35.48 1.27/$1
090.6309 4 Salsa Rita 12/1 Batista J A Richards Renaldo 342 27.49 0.84/$1
090.0604 5 Clem Gem 15/1 Jude J Dye Steven 342 27.49 0.84/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 32.00, ROI 0.73/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -3.4180
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[All Dirt] Best Jockey


12/11/21, TAM, Race 2, 12.43 ET
12/11/21,TAM,2,6F [Dirt] 1:08:03 MAIDEN CLAIMING. Purse $14,500 (includes up to $500 FOA - Florida Owners Awards). FOR MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. Three Year Olds, 122 lbs.; Older, 124 lbs. Claiming Price $16,000.
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 2 Royal Biz 5/2 Camacho S Bagwandeen Pernel SFL 86 32.56 1.72/$1
097.9723 7 Unique Path 2/1 Ferrer J C Dini Michael TE 192 21.88 1.18/$1
095.8574 8 Luca Drew the Ace 4/1 Dominguez C G Raymond Robert A. JW 86 32.56 1.72/$1
094.8687 1 Tinker's Pal 5/1 Mitchell R Manchan Bertram C. 86 32.56 1.72/$1
094.3915 4 Neptunes Revenge 8/1 Urdaneta J J Pimental John I. 86 32.56 1.72/$1
093.4683 6 Kaphavata 15/1 Scaldaferri M R Mejia Maria Ines 86 32.56 1.72/$1
092.6639 3 Free Spirit 15/1 Moreno A Mejia Maria Ines 97 31.96 1.63/$1
091.2765 5 Osaba 15/1 Baez J M Cordero Antonio C 86 32.56 1.72/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 32.00, ROI 0.73/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -2.0277
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[Dirt MdnMClm] Not Morning Line Favorite(not entry)  -with-
[Dirt MdnMClm] Not Third Start


12/11/21, TAM, Race 3, 1.12 ET
12/11/21,TAM,3,1M [Turf] 1:33:01 MAIDEN CLAIMING. Purse $14,500 (includes up to $500 FOA - Florida Owners Awards). FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. Three Year Olds, 121 lbs.; Older, 124 lbs. Claiming Price $16,000 (Preference Will Be Given To Horses Which Have Not Started For Less Than $16,000. The Same Preference Will Be Given To Horses Which Have Started For Less Than $16,000 And Since Then Have Finished 2nd Or 3rd For $16,000 Or More.). (If deemed inadvisable by management to run this race over the turf course, it will be run on the main track at One Mile and Forty Yards.).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 3 Rivercrest Road 7/2 De La Cruz F Engler Jeff S 192 21.35 1.19/$1
099.0152 5 Take to the Skies 4/1 Garcia W A Schistl Rafael E 192 21.35 1.19/$1
098.9793 1 Thats All Shewrote 5/1 Centeno D Sasso Denis L. JL 192 21.35 1.19/$1
098.8258 7 Estilo Elegante 5/1 Batista J A Arriagada Juan TFC 192 21.35 1.19/$1
096.8199 8 Sweet Tina 9/2 Camacho S Bennett Gerald S. W 192 21.35 1.19/$1
096.3554 2 Lizqueenfluerdelis 4/1 Hernandez O Pizzo. Jr. Peter S. 192 21.35 1.19/$1
095.0014 12 Touring Egypt 5/1 De La Cruz F Philipp Karyn 192 21.35 1.19/$1
093.8069 13 She's So Serious 8/1 Ferrer J C Getto Larry 192 21.35 1.19/$1
093.4241 11 Exaggerated Moment(b-) 8/1 Ordonez R R Amado Enrique 192 21.35 1.19/$1
091.5910 10 Ma Coco 20/1 Ordonez R R Dominguez Luis R. 192 21.35 1.19/$1
091.5253 6 Bionda Suprise 20/1 Castillo I Yanez Moises R. 192 21.35 1.19/$1
090.3038 9 Shes Sky High 20/1 Valdes A Puckett Dwight E. 192 21.35 1.19/$1
090.2764 4 Soldat Temptation 20/1 Wales G Dobber Arnoud W. 192 21.35 1.19/$1
088.8585 14 Five K Kitten 30/1 Arroyo M Rodriguez Angel M. 192 21.35 1.19/$1
Top rated horse With "Turf Surface Not fm/hd" - Win% 25.00, ROI 1.13/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -0.9848
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
Trainer Dirt YTD_Curr*2.5 (M)
*Scratches may change this condition

12/11/21, TAM, Race 4, 1.42 ET
12/11/21,TAM,4,7F [Dirt] 1:20:04 STAKES. FTBOA City of Ocala Florida Sire Stakes. Purse $100,000 (includes up to $100,000 Guaranteed State Bred). FOR FILLIES AND MARES, THREE-YEARS-OLD AND UPWARD THAT ARE FTBOA REGISTERED FLORIDA-BREDS, SIRED BY AN FTBOA REGISTERED FLORIDA STALLION, HAVING PAID ALL FLORIDA SIRE STAKES ELIGIBILITY FEES. Free nomination. $500 to pass the entry box and $500 additional to start; with $100,000 Guaranteed: 60% to the winner, 20% to second, 10% to third, 5% to fourth, 3% to fifth and 2% to sixth. Weights: Three-year-olds 122 lbs. Older 124 lbs. Non-winners of a race other than maiden, claiming or starter since September 1, 2021, 3 lbs. Starters and riders to be named through the entry box by the usual time of closing. Trophy to winning owner. CLOSED SATURDAY, NOVEMBER 27, 2021 WITH 20 NOMINATIONS.
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 2 R Adios Jersey 3/2 Lopez P Baxter Georgina JTFE 174 35.06 1.11/$1
094.4876 3 Bramble Berry 4/1 Ferrer J C Sweezey J. Kent S 342 27.49 0.84/$1
094.2012 1 Heiressall 7/2 Gallardo A A Pompay Teresa M. W 342 27.49 0.84/$1
093.6851 5 Khozmore 5/1 Panici L O'Connell Kathleen C 342 27.49 0.84/$1
093.5575 4 Island Magic 15/1 Castillo I Yanez Moises R. L 342 27.49 0.84/$1
091.3980 6 Starship Nala 4/1 Camacho S Dwoskin Steven 342 27.49 0.84/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 32.00, ROI 0.73/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -5.5124
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[All Dirt] Best Jockey


12/11/21, TAM, Race 5, 2.15 ET
12/11/21,TAM,5,1M 40Y [Dirt] 1:38:03 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING. Purse $27,000 (includes up to $1,500 FOA - Florida Owners Awards). FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON A RACE OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, OR STARTER OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES OR OPTIONAL CLAIMING PRICE OF $16,000. Three Year Olds, 120 lbs.; Older, 123 lbs. Non-winners Of A Race At A Mile Or OverSince October 11 Allowed 2 lbs. Claiming Price $16,000 (Races Where Entered For $12,500 Or Less Not Considered In Allowances).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 6 Mystic Link 3/1 Morales P Arnett Jon G. JW 174 35.06 1.11/$1
098.5997 3 Vicarage 8/1 Batista J A Arriagada Juan FC 52 30.77 1.23/$1
098.1149 2 Curlin's Thrill 4/1 Gallardo A A Rodriguez Darien T 52 30.77 1.23/$1
097.2105 1 Ben Copenhagen 6/1 Centeno D Cordero Antonio 52 30.77 1.23/$1
094.9914 7 Double Tough Tiger 5/1 Bowen R Caramori Caio EL 52 30.77 1.23/$1
094.4547 4 Bold Paynter 7/2 Garcia W A Russo Victor S 52 30.77 1.23/$1
091.8401 5 Tony Small 5/1 Ferrer J C Ward Dennis 52 30.77 1.23/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 32.00, ROI 0.73/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -1.4003
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[All Dirt] Best Jockey


12/11/21, TAM, Race 6, 2.45 ET
12/11/21,TAM,6,7F [Dirt] 1:20:04 STAKES. FTBOA Marion County Florida Sire Stakes. Purse $100,000 (includes up to $100,000 Added State Bred). FOR COLTS AND GELDINGS, THREE-YEARS-OLD AND UPWARD, THAT ARE FTBOA REGISTERED FLORIDA-BREDS, SIRED BY AN FTBOA REGISTERED FLORIDA STALLION, HAVING PAID ALL FLORIDA SIRE STAKES ELIGIBILITY FEES. Free nomination, $500 to pass the entry box and $500 additional to start; with $100,000 Guaranteed: 60% to the winner, 20% to second, 10% to third, 5% to fourth, 3% to fifth and 2% to sixth. Weights: Three-year-olds 122 lbs. Older 124 lbs. Non-winners of a race other than maiden, claiming or starter since September 1, 2021, 3 lbs. Starters and riders to be named through the entry box by the usual time of closing. Trophy to winning owner. CLOSED SATURDAY, NOVEMBER 27, 2021 WITH 16 NOMINATIONS.
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 6 Cajun Casanova 9/2 Morales P Delgado Jose H. JSC 174 35.06 1.11/$1
099.3780 3 Shivaree 5/2 Camacho S Nicks Ralph E. W 52 30.77 1.23/$1
098.2162 2 Drama Chorus 8/1 Quinonez A Padilla Tim P. FL 52 30.77 1.23/$1
097.2655 5 R Mercedes Boy 7/2 Lopez P Baxter Georgina T 342 27.49 0.84/$1
096.8776 4 Well Defined 2/1 Panici L O'Connell Kathleen E 342 27.49 0.84/$1
095.6208 1 Grainger County 8/1 Castanon J L Nicks Ralph E. 342 27.49 0.84/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 32.00, ROI 0.73/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -0.6220
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[All Dirt] Best Jockey


12/11/21, TAM, Race 7, 3.15 ET
12/11/21,TAM,7,1 1/8M [Turf] 1:46:01 CLAIMING. Purse $20,000 (includes up to $1,000 FOA - Florida Owners Awards). FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. Three Year Olds, 120 lbs.; Older, 123 lbs. Non-winners Of A Race Once At A Mile Or Over Since November 11 Allowed 2 lbs. Claiming Price $16,000 (Races Where Entered For $12,500 Or Less Not Considered) (Condition Eligibility).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 3 Hoity Toity 4/1 Diaz. Jr. H R Wasiluk. Jr. Peter SFW 192 21.35 1.19/$1
099.5985 2 Pugilist 7/2 Ferrer J C Delgado Jose H. TL 192 21.35 1.19/$1
097.3426 6 Strong Gem 5/1 Batista J A Nunn Douglas 192 21.35 1.19/$1
096.7261 1 Postino's Idol 4/1 Gallardo A A Nunn Douglas E 192 21.35 1.19/$1
095.3480 7 Go Yeowomen 10/1 Castillo I Granitz Anthony J. 192 21.35 1.19/$1
095.1973 4 Stormy D 8/1 Morales P Rigattieri John JC 192 21.35 1.19/$1
094.1847 8 Feets of Feather 5/1 De La Cruz F Potts Ron G. 192 21.35 1.19/$1
093.7523 5 Luna Queen 8/1 Camacho S Schistl Rafael 192 21.35 1.19/$1
Top rated horse With "Turf Surface Not fm/hd" - Win% 25.00, ROI 1.13/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -0.4015
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
Trainer Dirt YTD_Curr*2.5 (M)
*Scratches may change this condition

12/11/21, TAM, Race 8, 3.45 ET
12/11/21,TAM,8,6F [Dirt] 1:08:03 CLAIMING. Purse $17,500 (includes up to $500 FOA - Florida Owners Awards). FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD. Three Year Olds, 120 lbs.; Older, 122 lbs. Non-winners Of A Race Since November 11 Allowed 2 lbs. Claiming Price $10,000 (Races Where Entered For $8,000 Or Less Not Considered).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 4 Loud N Proud 5/1 Lopez P Nunn Douglas SFC 6 50.00 1.52/$1
098.7887 6 Creekmore 5/2 Garcia W A Carrasco. Jr. Victor E 342 27.49 0.84/$1
097.7657 5 Doodle Hopper 9/2 Morales P Rigattieri John J 174 35.06 1.11/$1
096.6865 1 Arrivederla 10/1 De La Cruz F Raymond Robert A. W 342 27.49 0.84/$1
096.3401 2 Ohio Munny 15/1 Feliciano R Feliciano Benny R. T 342 27.49 0.84/$1
095.2728 8 Gemo 10/1 Mitchell R McGoey Monica 342 27.49 0.84/$1
094.6473 7 Arazi Like Move 6/1 Gallardo A A Barron Rory M. 342 27.49 0.84/$1
093.2360 3 Ace Destroyer 3/1 Bowen R Cahill Steven F. L 342 27.49 0.84/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 32.00, ROI 0.73/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -1.2113
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[Dirt Not_MdnMClm] Last Race Claimed By Trainer With A Better Win Percent


12/11/21, TAM, Race 9, 4.15 ET
12/11/21,TAM,9,1M [Turf] 1:33:01 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT. Purse $26,500 (includes up to $1,500 FOA - Florida Owners Awards). FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES TWO YEARS OLD. Weight, 119 lbs. (Preference Will Be Given To Horses Which Have Not Started For Less Than $25,000. The Same Preference Will Be Given To Horses Which Have Started For Less Than $25,000 And Since Then Have Finished 2nd Or 3rd For $25,000 Or More.)For Two Year Olds under International Medication Protocol. Horses entered to compete shall not be eligible to receive furosemide less than twenty-four (24) hours prior to post time for the race. (If deemed inadvisable by management to run this race over the turf course, it will be run on the main track at One Mile and Forty Yards.).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 5 Coffee Bean 3/1 Morales P Delacour Arnaud JTFL 192 21.35 1.19/$1
094.9150 1 Adelie (IRE)(b+) 7/2 Camacho S Clement Christophe 192 21.35 1.19/$1
094.8819 3 Gem Mine 7/2 Diaz. Jr. H R Clement Christophe 192 21.35 1.19/$1
094.3464 7 Current Cause 15/1 Castanon J L Duncan Christopher S 192 21.35 1.19/$1
093.6766 4 Dancing Sophia 6/1 Centeno D Motion H. Graham 192 21.35 1.19/$1
093.6688 8 Ling Ling 5/1 Bowen R Harty Eoin G. E 192 21.35 1.19/$1
093.2188 6 Latin Nikkita 15/1 Quinonez A Schistl Rafael C 192 21.35 1.19/$1
092.6643 10 Miss Elle Dee Kay 8/1 De La Cruz F O'Connell Kathleen 192 21.35 1.19/$1
090.6714 12 Cumulonimbus 15/1 Camacho S Antonucci Jena M. 192 21.35 1.19/$1
090.1494 2 Donna Lirica 20/1 Bisono J Cordero Antonio 192 21.35 1.19/$1
088.9310 11 A Word From Artie 30/1 Mitchell R Duncan Christopher W 192 21.35 1.19/$1
088.2631 9 Malibu Sky 30/1 Garcia W A Dye Steven 192 21.35 1.19/$1
Top rated horse With "Turf Surface Not fm/hd" - Win% 25.00, ROI 1.13/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -5.0850
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
Trainer Dirt YTD_Curr*2.5 (M)
*Scratches may change this condition

12/11/21, TAM, Race 10, 4.50 ET
12/11/21,TAM,10,5F [Turf] 00:54:00 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT. Purse $26,500 (includes up to $1,500 FOA - Florida Owners Awards). FOR MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. Three Year Olds, 121 lbs.; Older, 123 lbs. (Preference Will Be Given To Horses Which Have Not Started For Less Than $25,000. The Same Preference Will Be Given To Horses Which Have Started For Less Than $25,000 And Since Then Have Finished 2nd Or 3rd For $25,000 Or More.).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 6 Jura 5/2 Camacho S McGaughey J. Reeve EL 107 38.32 1.28/$1
099.6156 7 Catch On Emotional 3/1 Lopez P Collins Johnny JSF 189 33.86 1.14/$1
097.1269 4 Pharoah Cat 9/2 De La Cruz F Gulick James M. 189 33.86 1.14/$1
095.8993 3 Betterment 8/1 Ayala A J Retamoza. Jr Ernest P. C 189 33.86 1.14/$1
094.4552 1 Notary Sojac 10/1 Centeno D Garrison Curtis L. T 107 38.32 1.28/$1
094.2368 5 Ninth of April 8/1 Quinonez A Mc Allen John P. W 189 33.86 1.14/$1
093.9503 8 Jump Back Jack 8/1 Garcia W A Dye Steven 107 38.32 1.28/$1
093.0175 9 Midnight Tequila 10/1 Burgos A Munoz Carlos 107 38.32 1.28/$1
091.3754 2 Shipwreck 20/1 Wales G Knoll Peter David 189 33.86 1.14/$1
Top rated horse With "Turf Surface Not fm/hd" - Win% 25.00, ROI 1.13/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -0.3844
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[All Turf] Horse Age 3


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