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Top Horse Analytics: 12/11/2021 Picks and Results - OP


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TOP HORSE ANALYTICS (v12.21.11.30a)

Track: OP
Start Of Statistics - 01/29/2021
Past Number of Races - 497

WinPC   $1ROI   HiPayoff   Bet Types
37.42 0.88   8.40   Favorites
30.96 0.83 17.20   Morning Line Favorites
33.80 1.03 34.60   Top Horse (with profitable conditions)

Complete Statistics Provided at THA Weekly Statistics

Contact us at Facebook for help or to report issues: Top Horse Analytics

The Win% and ROI columns below are the win percents and return on investments that the top horse
has performed in the past year for associated compound conditions in a race. The expectation is
that these conditions will perform as well in the future.

An ROI less than 1.01 indicates that no profitable conditions exist for this entry when it's the top rated
horse. Also, be aware that abnormally high payoffs may inflate the ROI so look for a high Win% and Occurs to go
with that high ROI as your selection.

These stats are only good for the top rated horse whether it's the original (100.0000) or the top horse
resulting from scratches. Every horse in a race may have Occurs, Win%, and ROI stats in case it becomes the
top rated horse.


horse name(b+) - Blinkers On
horse name(b-) - Blinkers Off

12/11/21, OP, Race 1, 12.30 CT
12/11/21,OP,1,1 1/16M [Dirt] 1:40:01 CLAIMING. Purse $25,500. FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD. Three Year Olds, 122 lbs.; Older, 125 lbs. Non-winners Of A Race Since October 11, 2021 Allowed 2 lbs. A Race Since September 11, 2021 Allowed 4 lbs. Claiming Price $8,000 (Races Where Entered For $7,500 Or Less Not Considered In Allowances).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 8 Heirloom Kitten 5/2 Arrieta F Contreras Cipriano SE 329 34.95 1.12/$1
099.8620 3 Tiz Showbiz 4/1 Vazquez R A Broberg Karl C 329 34.95 1.12/$1
098.6927 4 Coach Adams 3/1 Gonzalez E Hollendorfer Jerry 329 34.95 1.12/$1
098.1323 1 Love Nest 6/1 Court J K Cash Norman L. TF 329 34.95 1.12/$1
097.8270 6 Ike 5/1 Cabrera D Moquett Ron W 329 34.95 1.12/$1
095.0333 5 Istillgotit 10/1 Tohill K S Puhl Kim A. L 329 34.95 1.12/$1
092.4928 7 Baquero Flies 12/1 Hiraldo J Lukas D. Wayne 329 34.95 1.12/$1
091.7481 2 Shake It(b-) 20/1 Wales T Jackson Richard D. J 329 34.95 1.12/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 29.57, ROI 0.89/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -0.1380
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[All Dirt] Race Purse Not Greater Than $75K


12/11/21, OP, Race 2, 12.58 CT
12/11/21,OP,2,6F [Dirt] 1:07:04 STARTER ALLOWANCE. Purse $28,000. FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE STARTED FOR A CLAIMING PRICE OF $10,000 OR LESS IN 2021. Three Year Olds, 122 lbs.; Older, 124 lbs. Non-winners Of A Race Since September 11, 2021 Allowed 2 lbs. A Race Since July 11, 2021 Allowed 4 lbs. (Races Where Entered For $8,000 Or Less Not Considered In Allowances).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 3 Beverly Park 2/1 Cabrera D Cash Norman L. SFL 329 34.95 1.12/$1
098.7920 1 Alex's Strike(b+) 5/1 Vazquez R A Diodoro Robertino T 329 34.95 1.12/$1
097.4764 2 One for Richie 5/2 Arrieta F Contreras Cipriano E 329 34.95 1.12/$1
096.9132 4 Skyscanner 12/1 Geroux F Shorter Aaron J 329 34.95 1.12/$1
096.6535 7 Hidden Ruler 3/1 Cohen D Martin William N. W 329 34.95 1.12/$1
093.3684 5 Sacred Oath 10/1 Bailey C McKnight Norman 329 34.95 1.12/$1
092.5974 6 California Swing 15/1 Contreras L Compton Greg C 329 34.95 1.12/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 29.57, ROI 0.89/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -1.2080
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[All Dirt] Race Purse Not Greater Than $75K


12/11/21, OP, Race 3, 1.26 CT
12/11/21,OP,3,6F [Dirt] 1:07:04 CLAIMING. Purse $27,000. FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. Three Year Olds, 122 lbs.; Older, 124 lbs. Non-winners Of A Race Since October 11, 2021 Allowed 2 lbs. Claiming Price $20,000.
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 7 Shacks Way 9/2 Cohen D Diodoro Robertino TEW 329 34.95 1.12/$1
097.9931 6 Latin Casino 3/1 Santana. Jr. R Hollendorfer Jerry S 329 34.95 1.12/$1
096.9865 1 Kosher Cowboy 7/2 Canchari A L DiVito James P. L 329 34.95 1.12/$1
095.6875 2 Fallen Empire 8/1 Cabrera D Matthews Randy C 329 34.95 1.12/$1
095.5877 4 Opus Equus 9/2 Geroux F Deville Carl J. JF 329 34.95 1.12/$1
092.3551 5 The Feature(b+) 8/1 Arrieta F Williamson Brian 329 34.95 1.12/$1
092.0964 3 Special Pryce 12/1 Gonzalez E Swearingen Thomas H. 329 34.95 1.12/$1
091.6029 9 Little Mark 15/1 Torres C A Milligan Allen 329 34.95 1.12/$1
089.1408 8 Major Chance 20/1 Quinonez L S Fires William H. 329 34.95 1.12/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 29.57, ROI 0.89/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -2.0069
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[All Dirt] Race Purse Not Greater Than $75K


12/11/21, OP, Race 4, 1.55 CT
12/11/21,OP,4,6F [Dirt] 1:07:04 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT. Purse $84,000. FOR MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. Three Year Olds, 122 lbs.; Older, 124 lbs.
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 8 Stratofortress 7/2 Franco G Hollendorfer Jerry W 257 34.24 1.15/$1
099.8340 2 Constitutional Law 9/2 Arrieta F Hartman Chris A. TEL 257 34.24 1.15/$1
099.7375 9 Emperador 4/1 Contreras L Hiles Rick SFC 257 34.24 1.15/$1
099.0133 1 Go West 5/1 Vazquez R A Calhoun W. Bret 257 34.24 1.15/$1
098.4572 4 Amazing Rocket 6/1 Jordan K R Cash Norman L. 257 34.24 1.15/$1
098.2886 5 League of Legends 8/1 Court J K Fires William H. 257 34.24 1.15/$1
098.0979 6 Victory March 8/1 Cabrera D Calhoun W. Bret J 257 34.24 1.15/$1
097.9110 7 Late Nite Radio 8/1 Santana. Jr. R Moquett Ron 257 34.24 1.15/$1
095.0705 3 Wheels 15/1 Cohen D Broberg Karl 257 34.24 1.15/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 29.57, ROI 0.89/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -0.1660
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[All Dirt] Race Age 3Up


12/11/21, OP, Race 5, 2.21 CT
12/11/21,OP,5,6F [Dirt] 1:07:04 STARTER ALLOWANCE. Purse $50,000. FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE STARTED FOR A CLAIMING PRICE OF $40,000 OR LESS IN 2021. Three Year Olds, 122 lbs.; Older, 124 lbs. Non-winners Of A Race Since September 11, 2020 Allowed 2 lbs. A Race Since July 11, 2021 Allowed 4 lbs. (Races Where Entered For $35,000 Or Less Not Considered In Allowances).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 6 Long Term Thinking(b+) 4/1 Vazquez R A Diodoro Robertino TFC 329 34.95 1.12/$1
099.1043 2 Much Better 3/1 Cabrera D Asmussen Steven M. EL 329 34.95 1.12/$1
096.8376 7 Johnny Unleashed 5/2 Geroux F Foster Eric N. JS 329 34.95 1.12/$1
095.7630 3 Shotski 10/1 Franco G Broberg Karl 329 34.95 1.12/$1
094.9318 4 Substantial 5/1 Hiraldo J Moysey Chelsey E. 329 34.95 1.12/$1
094.2209 1 Full Authority 6/1 Contreras L Compton Greg W 329 34.95 1.12/$1
094.1366 5 Lamartine (BRZ) 10/1 Santana. Jr. R Cano Juan Munoz 329 34.95 1.12/$1
091.5716 8 Sturgill 15/1 Wales T Haran John 329 34.95 1.12/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 29.57, ROI 0.89/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -0.8957
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[All Dirt] Race Purse Not Greater Than $75K


12/11/21, OP, Race 6, 2.51 CT
12/11/21,OP,6,6F [Dirt] 1:07:04 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT. Purse $84,000. FOR ARKANSAS BRED (WHICH QUALIFY UNDER RULES GOVERNING ARKANSAS-BREDS) MAIDENS, TWO YEARS OLD. Weight, 119 lbs.
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 9 Razo 7/2 Quinonez L S Rosin Coty W. SC 440 35.00 1.08/$1
099.3082 6 One Ten Stadium 5/2 Cabrera D Moquett Ron E 440 35.00 1.08/$1
097.6518 11 Whelen Springs 5/1 Santana. Jr. R Ortiz John Alexander 339 34.51 1.10/$1
097.6304 12 Allo Enry 9/2 Geroux F Deville Carl J. J 440 35.00 1.08/$1
097.5920 8 Peace Dog 10/1 Canchari A L Witt. II Ernie 339 34.51 1.10/$1
097.2430 1 Where's Randy 10/1 Torres C A Morse Randy L. 339 34.51 1.10/$1
096.8374 14 Mo Choctaw 10/1 Vazquez R A Prather. Jr. John Henr 339 34.51 1.10/$1
096.3792 10 Street Commander 15/1 Garcia M Cates Al TW 440 35.00 1.08/$1
096.2647 13 Sobriety 15/1 Torres C A Milligan Allen 339 34.51 1.10/$1
096.1232 3 Max's Heart 20/1 Tohill K S Smith Kenny P. 339 34.51 1.10/$1
096.0627 2 Pacific Harbor 20/1 Coetzee G Hornsby Tammy 339 34.51 1.10/$1
095.8547 5 All in Good Time 20/1 Hiraldo J Martin Timothy E. 339 34.51 1.10/$1
095.3074 7 Moonshine Vision 20/1 Bailey C Fires William H. 339 34.51 1.10/$1
094.7386 4 Full Buck Moon 30/1 Jordan K R Loy F. Dewaine 440 35.00 1.08/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 29.57, ROI 0.89/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -0.6918
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[All Dirt] Last Race Purse Not Same As Today


12/11/21, OP, Race 7, 3.19 CT
12/11/21,OP,7,1M [Dirt] 1:34:02 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING. Purse $102,000. FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON $15,000 THREE TIMES OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, STARTER, OR STATE BRED OR WHICH HAVE NOT WON $30,000 TWICE OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, STARTER, OR STATE BRED SINCE DECEMBER 11, 2020 OR CLAIMING PRICE $80,000. Three Year Olds, 122 lbs.; Older, 125 lbs. Non-winners Of A Race Since October 11, 2021 Allowed 2 lbs. A Race Since September 11, 2021 Allowed 4 lbs. Claiming Price $80,000.
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 7 Cash Logistics 5/1 Geroux F Londono Genevieve JTE 257 34.24 1.15/$1
097.9390 3 Sonneman 5/2 Santana. Jr. R Asmussen Steven M. 257 34.24 1.15/$1
096.0347 4 Fact Finding 6/1 Cohen D Diodoro Robertino 257 34.24 1.15/$1
095.5226 1 Guest Suite 7/2 Arrieta F Contreras Cipriano SC 257 34.24 1.15/$1
095.1589 6 Spa City 9/2 Franco G Amoss Thomas M. 257 34.24 1.15/$1
092.6760 2 My Sixth Sense 3/1 Garcia M Hobby Steve FL 257 34.24 1.15/$1
089.6634 5 Beaver Hat 12/1 Contreras L Williamson Brian W 257 34.24 1.15/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 29.57, ROI 0.89/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -2.0610
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[All Dirt] Race Age 3Up


12/11/21, OP, Race 8, 3.46 CT
12/11/21,OP,8,1M [Dirt] 1:34:02 MAIDEN CLAIMING. Purse $35,000. FOR MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. Three Year Olds, 122 lbs.; Older, 125 lbs. Claiming Price $40,000.
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 5 Fan Club 3/1 Geroux F Cox Brad H. JTSE 329 34.95 1.12/$1
097.4075 8 Saqeel 5/1 Arrieta F Contreras Cipriano C 329 34.95 1.12/$1
096.1106 1 Roulette(b+) 6/1 Vazquez R A Garcia Genaro 329 34.95 1.12/$1
095.6477 9 Holiday Ticket 6/1 Cohen D McPeek Kenneth G. 329 34.95 1.12/$1
095.4335 2 Namesake 8/1 Santana. Jr. R Moquett Ron 329 34.95 1.12/$1
095.3815 7 My Favorite Uncle 7/2 Contreras L Asmussen Steven M. F 329 34.95 1.12/$1
095.2411 10 Captain Fantastic 10/1 Franco G Garcia Genaro W 329 34.95 1.12/$1
094.7739 4 River Redemption 12/1 Garcia M Zito Nicholas P. 329 34.95 1.12/$1
094.5501 3 Brody Boucher 12/1 Gonzalez E Jacquot Gene 329 34.95 1.12/$1
089.0532 6 Salado 8/1 Cabrera D Sharp Joe L 329 34.95 1.12/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 29.57, ROI 0.89/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -2.5925
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[All Dirt] Race Purse Not Greater Than $75K


12/11/21, OP, Race 9, 4.13 CT
12/11/21,OP,9,1 1/16M [Dirt] 1:40:01 STAKES. Poinsettia Stakes. Purse $150,000. THREE YEAR OLDS. No nomination fee. $750 to pass the entry box and $1,250 additional to start. Supplementary nominations may be made by the closing time of entries for a fee of $2,500 which qualifies to start. $150,000 Guaranteed of which 60% to the Owner of the winner, 20% to second, 10% to third, 5% to fourth, 3% to fifth and 2% to be divided equally between remaining starters. WEIGHTS: 124 lbs. Non-winners of $50,000 in 2021 allowed 3 lbs.; $35,000 at any time allowed 5 lbs.; $25,000 in 2021 allowed 7 lbs. (Maiden and Claiming races not considered in allowances). In Allowance Stakes starting preference will be given to horses that have accumulated the highest earnings. Starters to be named through the entry box by the usual time of closing.Closed Monday, November 22, 2021 with 24 nominations.
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 4 Super Stock 9/5 Contreras L Asmussen Steven M. E 440 35.00 1.08/$1
099.4668 3 Flash of Mischief 5/2 Vazquez R A Broberg Karl L 440 35.00 1.08/$1
098.0426 2 Defeater 3/1 Santana. Jr. R Amoss Thomas M. FC 440 35.00 1.08/$1
097.6558 5 Myopic(b+) 12/1 Cohen D Diodoro Robertino T 440 35.00 1.08/$1
096.7020 6 Simovitch 8/1 Geroux F Maker Michael J. J 440 35.00 1.08/$1
096.5383 1 Last Samurai 5/1 Court J K Stewart Dallas 440 35.00 1.08/$1
092.8426 7 Ram 12/1 Arrieta F Lukas D. Wayne SW 440 35.00 1.08/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 29.57, ROI 0.89/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -0.5332
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[All Dirt] Last Race Purse Not Same As Today


12/11/21, OP, Race 10, 4.40 CT
12/11/21,OP,10,1 1/16M [Dirt] 1:40:01 ALLOWANCE. Purse $100,000. FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON $15,000 OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, STARTER, OR STATE BRED ALLOWANCE OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. Three Year Olds, 122 lbs.; Older, 124 lbs. Non-winners Of A Race Since October 11, 2021 Allowed2 lbs. A Race Since September 11, 2021 Allowed 4 lbs.
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 3 Palace Coup 5/2 Cohen D Diodoro Robertino 257 34.24 1.15/$1
098.6387 9 Phantom Dance 4/1 Geroux F D'Amato Philip JS 257 34.24 1.15/$1
097.3228 4 Continental Coins 5/1 Cabrera D Calhoun W. Bret 257 34.24 1.15/$1
096.7688 2 Ottothelegend 5/1 Contreras L Asmussen Steven M. 257 34.24 1.15/$1
096.1791 1 Quarterback Dak 10/1 Garcia M Cates Al T 257 34.24 1.15/$1
096.0644 5 Luck of the Draw 10/1 Vazquez R A Diodoro Robertino 257 34.24 1.15/$1
095.2958 11 Gigging 8/1 Jordan K R Cash Norman L. C 257 34.24 1.15/$1
095.1328 8 Mr. Tip 6/1 Santana. Jr. R Maker Michael J. 257 34.24 1.15/$1
093.4101 10 Amongst Friends 8/1 Franco G Matthews Randy W 257 34.24 1.15/$1
092.8221 6 Go for Sherrie 12/1 Hiraldo J Manley Steve FL 257 34.24 1.15/$1
092.3695 7 Don'tshowweakness 10/1 Torres C A Contreras Cipriano 257 34.24 1.15/$1
088.8488 12 Miacomet 15/1 Arrieta F Lukas D. Wayne E 257 34.24 1.15/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 29.57, ROI 0.89/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -1.3613
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[All Dirt] Race Age 3Up


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