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Top Horse Analytics: 12/10/2021 Picks and Results - AQU


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TOP HORSE ANALYTICS (v12.21.11.30a)

Track: AQU
Start Of Statistics - 12/04/2020
Past Number of Races - 734

WinPC   $1ROI   HiPayoff   Bet Types
36.76 0.88   9.20   Favorites
34.05 0.86 17.00   Morning Line Favorites
32.51 1.00 42.80   Top Horse (with profitable conditions)

Complete Statistics Provided at THA Weekly Statistics

Contact us at Facebook for help or to report issues: Top Horse Analytics

The Win% and ROI columns below are the win percents and return on investments that the top horse
has performed in the past year for associated compound conditions in a race. The expectation is
that these conditions will perform as well in the future.

An ROI less than 1.01 indicates that no profitable conditions exist for this entry when it's the top rated
horse. Also, be aware that abnormally high payoffs may inflate the ROI so look for a high Win% and Occurs to go
with that high ROI as your selection.

These stats are only good for the top rated horse whether it's the original (100.0000) or the top horse
resulting from scratches. Every horse in a race may have Occurs, Win%, and ROI stats in case it becomes the
top rated horse.


horse name(b+) - Blinkers On
horse name(b-) - Blinkers Off

12/10/21, AQU, Race 1, 12.50 ET
12/10/21,AQU,1,6F [Dirt] 1:07:03 MAIDEN CLAIMING. Purse $38,000. (UP TO $6,612 NYSBFOA) FOR MAIDENS, TWO YEARS OLD. Weight, 119 lbs. Claiming Price $30,000 (1.5% Aftercare Assessment Due At Time Of Claim Otherwise Claim Will Be Void).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 8 Printrack 3/5 Franco M Thomas Jonathan TSWL 115 35.65 1.14/$1
094.0521 7 Good Skate 6/1 McCarthy T Rodriguez Rudy R. F 115 35.65 1.14/$1
093.9276 5 Any Minute 8/1 Mena R E Rodriguez Rudy R. E 115 35.65 1.14/$1
093.8517 1 Red Revolution 10/1 Davis D Terranova II John P. 115 35.65 1.14/$1
093.0587 2 Aranjuez 8/1 Rodriguez Castro L A Gutierrez Fausto 115 35.65 1.14/$1
092.6077 9 Necromancer(b+) 12/1 Carmouche K Levine Bruce N. J 115 35.65 1.14/$1
090.0858 6 Dontbelate 15/1 Hernandez B Donk David G. 115 35.65 1.14/$1
089.9456 4 In Fact 50/1 Roberts C Chapman James K. 115 35.65 1.14/$1
089.4218 3 R Boy Cheekum 30/1 Howell T Thompson Marcus George 115 35.65 1.14/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 29.70, ROI 0.82/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -5.9479
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[All Dirt] Race Type Maiden Claiming


12/10/21, AQU, Race 2, 1.19 ET
12/10/21,AQU,2,7F [Dirt] 1:20:00 CLAIMING. Purse $37,000. FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES. Three Year Olds, 120 lbs.; Older, 122 lbs. Non-winners Of A Race In 2021 Allowed 2 lbs. Claiming Price $25,000 (1.5% Aftercare Assessment Due At Time Of Claim Otherwise Claim Will Be Void).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 3 Shanes Pretty Lady 2/1 Carmouche K Morley Thomas TEC 411 29.44 0.82/$1
099.9636 2 Cazilda Fortytales 5/2 Ortiz J L Vazquez Juan C. JF 411 29.44 0.82/$1
099.1215 1 High School Crush 4/1 Franco M Nevin Michelle SW 411 29.44 0.82/$1
097.1061 4 Mia Bea Star 4/1 Davis D Noda Orlando 66 33.33 1.07/$1
096.4786 5 Polished Gem(b-) 6/1 Vargas. Jr. J A Martin Carlos F. 411 29.44 0.82/$1
096.2632 7 Calibogue Sound 10/1 Rodriguez Castro L A Rodriguez Rudy R. 411 29.44 0.82/$1
093.9200 6 Investment Grade 30/1 Davis J A Jones Eduardo E. L 411 29.44 0.82/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 29.70, ROI 0.82/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -0.0364
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[Dirt Not_MdnMClm] Default Category Stats


12/10/21, AQU, Race 3, 1.44 ET
12/10/21,AQU,3,7F [Dirt] 1:20:00 CLAIMING. Purse $50,000. FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD FOALED IN NEW YORK STATE AND APPROVED BY THE NEW YORK STATE-BRED REGISTRY. Three Year Olds, 120 lbs.; Older, 122 lbs. Non-winners Of A Race In 2021 Allowed 2 lbs. Claiming Price $25,000 (Maiden And Claiming Races For $20,000 Or Less Not Considered In Allowances) (1.5% Aftercare Assessment Due At Time Of Claim Otherwise Claim Will Be Void).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 5 My Roxy Girl 2/1 Ortiz J L Vazquez Juan C. J 411 29.44 0.82/$1
099.5721 7 Saratoga Beauty 5/2 McCarthy T Morley Thomas TC 45 20.00 1.29/$1
097.8197 2 Cartwheel 5/1 Lezcano J Kantarmaci Mertkan 66 33.33 1.07/$1
097.2914 6 Viradia 10/1 Davis D Englehart Jeffrey S. F 411 29.44 0.82/$1
096.6012 1 Diva Banker 6/1 Samuel J L Handal Raymond L 411 29.44 0.82/$1
096.4296 3 Prairie Fire 6/1 Cancel E Rice Linda E 411 29.44 0.82/$1
096.4086 4 Holmdel Park 12/1 Carmouche K Klesaris Steve S 66 33.33 1.07/$1
095.4795 8 Nurse Rachett 20/1 Vargas. Jr. J A O'Brien Keith W 66 33.33 1.07/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 29.70, ROI 0.82/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -0.4279
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[Dirt Not_MdnMClm] Default Category Stats


12/10/21, AQU, Race 4, 2.11 ET
12/10/21,AQU,4,6F [Dirt] 1:07:03 CLAIMING. Purse $28,000. FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES. Three Year Olds, 120 lbs.; Older, 122 lbs. Non-winners Of A Race In 2021 Allowed 2 lbs. Claiming Price $14,000 (1.5% Aftercare Assessment Due At Time Of Claim Otherwise Claim Will Be Void).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 4 Merchants of Cool 9/2 Worrie A S Englehart Jeffrey S. E 411 29.44 0.82/$1
099.4688 7 Deputy Flag 7/2 Franco M Rodriguez Rudy R. 45 20.00 1.29/$1
098.8338 9 Papa Smooth 7/2 Samuel J L Noda Orlando F 411 29.44 0.82/$1
098.7277 3 Sixteen Tons 5/2 Ortiz J L Rice Linda J 411 29.44 0.82/$1
097.5969 5 Papa Tom B 8/1 Vargas. Jr. J A Barrow Paul W. T 411 29.44 0.82/$1
095.2750 2 Confectioner 15/1 Cancel E Mc Allen John P. 411 29.44 0.82/$1
093.8474 1 Macho Boy 10/1 Hernandez Moreno O Chichakly Amira WL 411 29.44 0.82/$1
093.7868 8 Quintarelli(b-) 15/1 Davis J A Henry Neville 411 29.44 0.82/$1
093.4742 6 Our American Star 20/1 Harkie H K Shivmangal Lolita SC 411 29.44 0.82/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 29.70, ROI 0.82/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -0.5312
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[Dirt Not_MdnMClm] Default Category Stats


12/10/21, AQU, Race 5, 2.38 ET
12/10/21,AQU,5,6F [Dirt] 1:07:03 MAIDEN CLAIMING. Purse $43,000. FOR MAIDENS, TWO YEARS OLD FOALED IN NEW YORK STATE AND APPROVED BY THE NEW YORK STATE-BRED REGISTRY. Weight, 119 lbs. Claiming Price $40,000 (1.5% Aftercare Assessment Due At Time Of Claim Otherwise Claim Will Be Void).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 6 Eddie the Great(b+) 7/2 Carmouche K Cox Brad H. T 115 35.65 1.14/$1
099.1994 2 Always Charming 5/1 Samuel J L Johnson Cleveland SFC 115 35.65 1.14/$1
098.3082 1 Hot Stepper(b+) 9/2 Ortiz J L Baker Charlton J 115 35.65 1.14/$1
097.4931 5 Silver Samurai 6/1 Vargas. Jr. J A Breen Kelly J. EWL 115 35.65 1.14/$1
096.3349 1A Vibe Setter 9/2 Vargas. Jr. J A Baker Charlton 209 18.66 1.27/$1
094.7171 7 Mango Beach 12/1 Davis D Duggan David P. 115 35.65 1.14/$1
094.0915 9 Barone Marchis 12/1 Lezcano J Ryerson James T. 115 35.65 1.14/$1
094.0806 8 Empire Station 8/1 Franco M Weaver George 115 35.65 1.14/$1
092.5559 13 Miracle Nicky 15/1 McCarthy T Rodriguez Rudy R. 209 18.66 1.27/$1
092.2059 3 C. B Loves a Fight 15/1 McCarthy T Noda Orlando 115 35.65 1.14/$1
092.1325 10 Something Majestic 8/1 Mena R E Reynolds Patrick L. 209 18.66 1.27/$1
091.0029 11 Appalachian Legend 30/1 Hernandez Moreno O Quick Patrick J. 209 18.66 1.27/$1
090.4769 4 Kane(b+) 20/1 Cancel E Maker Michael J. 115 35.65 1.14/$1
089.7609 12 Koosman 20/1 Ramos C Hills Timothy A. 209 18.66 1.27/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 29.70, ROI 0.82/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -0.8006
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[All Dirt] Race Type Maiden Claiming


12/10/21, AQU, Race 6, 3.08 ET
12/10/21,AQU,6,1M [Dirt] 1:32:02 ALLOWANCE. Purse $72,000. FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD FOALED IN NEW YORK STATE AND APPROVED BY THE NEW YORK STATE-BRED REGISTRY WHICH HAVE NEVER WON $15,000 OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING OR STARTER OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. Three Year Olds, 120 lbs.; Older, 123 lbs. Non-winners Of A Race Other Than Claiming Or Starter At A Mile Or Over Allowed 2 lbs.
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 4 Witch Hunter 5/2 Ortiz J L Baker Charlton JS 45 20.00 1.29/$1
098.8594 5 Coffee Bar 3/1 Franco M Pletcher Todd A. TE 18 38.89 1.25/$1
097.3755 6 Destinationwnrscir 5/1 Davis D Baker Charlton 18 38.89 1.25/$1
097.1803 2 Amity Island(b+) 6/1 Carmouche K DePaz Horacio FC 411 29.44 0.82/$1
095.6862 3 Caramocha 4/1 Castellano J Friedman Mitchell E. 411 29.44 0.82/$1
094.4985 8 That Is Key 8/1 Cancel E D'Alessandro Ralph 411 29.44 0.82/$1
093.8790 1 Raffinity 20/1 Gomez J A Barrera. III Oscar S. WL 66 33.33 1.07/$1
092.7491 7 Pendolino 30/1 Worrie A S Jones Eduardo E. 66 33.33 1.07/$1
092.5047 9 Empires First Lady 30/1 Rodriguez Castro L A Cash Russell J. 411 29.44 0.82/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 29.70, ROI 0.82/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -1.1406
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
Earnings Turf Prev_Curr*0.0 (M)
*Scratches may change this condition

12/10/21, AQU, Race 7, 3.36 ET
12/10/21,AQU,7,6 1/2F [Dirt] 1:14:02 ALLOWANCE. Purse $82,000. (UP TO $14,268 NYSBFOA) FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON $15,000 OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, STARTER OR STATE BRED ALLOWANCE OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. Three Year Olds, 120 lbs.; Older, 122 lbs. Non-winners Of A Race Other Than Claiming Or Starter Allowed 2 lbs.
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 7 Risk Profile 7/2 Lezcano J Rice Linda W 411 29.44 0.82/$1
099.3358 3 Repo Rocks 5/1 Silvera R Vazquez Juan C. JS 411 29.44 0.82/$1
099.0397 11 American Monarch 4/1 Ortiz J L Mott William I. 411 29.44 0.82/$1
098.5372 5 South Africa 8/1 Carmouche K Nevin Michelle E 411 29.44 0.82/$1
098.0667 2 Siena Magic 8/1 Cancel E Dunham Bob G. FC 411 29.44 0.82/$1
097.6016 8 Flatter Me Please 15/1 Franco M Davidovich Jamen T 411 29.44 0.82/$1
097.5516 1 Bustin Shout 6/1 McCarthy T Levine Bruce N. L 411 29.44 0.82/$1
096.5767 4 Sibelius 10/1 Mena R E O'Dwyer Jeremiah 411 29.44 0.82/$1
095.9394 6 Fitzpatrick 12/1 Davis D Hennig Mark A. 411 29.44 0.82/$1
094.7232 9 Send the Word 15/1 Castellano J Miceli Michael 411 29.44 0.82/$1
093.9736 10 Anything Pazible 30/1 Davis J A Jones Eduardo E. 411 29.44 0.82/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 29.70, ROI 0.82/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -0.6642
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[Dirt Not_MdnMClm] Default Category Stats


12/10/21, AQU, Race 8, 4.04 ET
12/10/21,AQU,8,1M [Dirt] 1:32:02 MAIDEN CLAIMING. Purse $35,000. FOR MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD FOALED IN NEW YORK STATE AND APPROVED BY THE NEW YORK STATE-BRED REGISTRY. Three Year Olds, 121 lbs.; Older, 124 lbs. Claiming Price $25,000 (1.5% Aftercare Assessment Due At Time Of Claim Otherwise Claim Will Be Void).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 9 El Mayor(b+) 3/1 Castellano J Vazquez Juan C. 41 43.90 1.64/$1
098.6996 6 Bohemian Ruby 7/2 McCarthy T Rodriguez Gustavo S 41 43.90 1.64/$1
098.0310 7 Go Johnny Go 5/1 Carmouche K Dutrow Anthony W. TC 41 43.90 1.64/$1
097.7571 1 Yah Huh(b+) 15/1 Ramos C Potts Wayne F 41 43.90 1.64/$1
096.9941 4 Sonic Speed 10/1 Davis D Kimmel John C. E 41 43.90 1.64/$1
096.3015 8 Bail Out the Bank 9/2 Lezcano J Rice Linda 41 43.90 1.64/$1
095.3162 5 Wicked Karma(b+) 15/1 Rodriguez Castro L A Lee Joseph R. L 41 43.90 1.64/$1
094.8844 3 Uncle Jerome(b-) 10/1 Mena R E Gorham Michael E. 41 43.90 1.64/$1
094.0462 2 Oliver's Fortune 15/1 Cancel E D'Alessandro Ralph W 41 43.90 1.64/$1
092.2140 10 Prince of Joy 30/1 Worrie A S Legall Ricardo E. J 41 43.90 1.64/$1
091.5554 11 Flintshire's Rock(b+) 20/1 Franco M Klesaris Robert P. 41 43.90 1.64/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 29.70, ROI 0.82/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -1.3004
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[Dirt MdnMClm] Race Age 3Up  -with-
[Dirt MdnMClm] Race Type Maiden Claiming


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