Jump to content
Top Horse Analytics

Top Horse Analytics: 12/09/2021 Picks and Results - AQU


THAAdmin
 Share

Recommended Posts

TOP HORSE ANALYTICS (v12.21.11.30a)

Track: AQU
Start Of Statistics - 12/04/2020
Past Number of Races - 734

WinPC   $1ROI   HiPayoff   Bet Types
36.76 0.88   9.20   Favorites
34.05 0.86 17.00   Morning Line Favorites
32.51 1.00 42.80   Top Horse (with profitable conditions)

Complete Statistics Provided at THA Weekly Statistics

Contact us at Facebook for help or to report issues: Top Horse Analytics

The Win% and ROI columns below are the win percents and return on investments that the top horse
has performed in the past year for associated compound conditions in a race. The expectation is
that these conditions will perform as well in the future.

An ROI less than 1.01 indicates that no profitable conditions exist for this entry when it's the top rated
horse. Also, be aware that abnormally high payoffs may inflate the ROI so look for a high Win% and Occurs to go
with that high ROI as your selection.

These stats are only good for the top rated horse whether it's the original (100.0000) or the top horse
resulting from scratches. Every horse in a race may have Occurs, Win%, and ROI stats in case it becomes the
top rated horse.


horse name(b+) - Blinkers On
horse name(b-) - Blinkers Off

12/09/21, AQU, Race 1, 12.50 ET
12/09/21,AQU,1,1M [Dirt] 1:32:02 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT. Purse $70,000. FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES TWO YEARS OLD FOALED IN NEW YORK STATE AND APPROVED BY THE NEW YORK STATE-BRED REGISTRY. Weight, 119 lbs. (Non-Starters For A Claiming Price Of $40,000 Or Less In The Last 3 Starts Preferred).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 5 Wicked Lady 2/1 Carmouche K McPeek Kenneth G. SF 172 36.63 1.08/$1
098.8975 1 Caragate 5/2 Castellano J Friedman Mitchell E. EC 96 31.25 1.15/$1
098.3441 2 Doc Doc Rock 7/2 Franco M Pletcher Todd A. TL 96 31.25 1.15/$1
097.7212 7 Noli Temere 9/2 Ortiz J L Breen Kelly J. J 45 24.44 1.41/$1
094.5715 6 Rcaptivating(b-) 20/1 Luzzi M J Keithan Rachael W 45 24.44 1.41/$1
094.3957 4 Queen's Warrant 8/1 McCarthy T Motion H. Graham 96 31.25 1.15/$1
093.5465 3 Know It All Audrey 15/1 Cancel E Toscano. Jr. John T. 45 24.44 1.41/$1
088.9280 8 Keen Dancer(b+) 30/1 Hernandez B Persaud Randi 96 31.25 1.15/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 29.70, ROI 0.82/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -1.1025
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[Dirt MdnMClm] Race Age Not 4Up


12/09/21, AQU, Race 2, 1.19 ET
12/09/21,AQU,2,6F [Dirt] 1:07:03 MAIDEN CLAIMING. Purse $43,000. FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES TWO YEARS OLD FOALED IN NEW YORK STATE AND APPROVED BY THE NEW YORK STATE-BRED REGISTRY. Weight, 119 lbs. Claiming Price $40,000 (1.5% Aftercare Assessment Due At Time Of Claim Otherwise Claim Will Be Void).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 9 Jet Set Juliet 7/2 Franco M Rodriguez Rudy R. FL 115 35.65 1.14/$1
099.9375 3 The Honorable Ruth 4/1 Samuel J L Handal Raymond SE 115 35.65 1.14/$1
098.2377 10 Eudaimonia 10/1 Cancel E Schosberg Richard E. W 209 18.66 1.27/$1
096.2337 5 Meraviglioso 9/2 Carrasco V R Gonzalez Claudio A. T 115 35.65 1.14/$1
095.0491 12 Can't Catch Kacy 10/1 Ortiz J L Kimmel John C. J 209 18.66 1.27/$1
095.0292 7 Boom Roasted 6/1 McCarthy T Morley Thomas 115 35.65 1.14/$1
094.9727 8 Endless Crusade 12/1 Roberts C Chapman James K. 45 24.44 1.41/$1
093.8777 6 Write the Check(b+) 12/1 Hernandez Moreno O Brown Bruce R. 115 35.65 1.14/$1
093.7198 4 Unbridled's Reign 12/1 Davis D Miceli Michael 45 24.44 1.41/$1
092.9832 1 Take Charge Lisa(b+) 15/1 Ramos C Klesaris Robert P. 115 35.65 1.14/$1
091.2875 11 Racing Queen(b+) 20/1 Davis J A Bond Brent 209 18.66 1.27/$1
089.9782 13 Giggling Ghost 30/1 Hernandez B Quick Patrick J. 209 18.66 1.27/$1
089.4005 2 Derby Kisses 50/1 Harkie H K Dunham Bob G. C 115 35.65 1.14/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 29.70, ROI 0.82/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -0.0625
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[All Dirt] Race Type Maiden Claiming


12/09/21, AQU, Race 3, 1.44 ET
12/09/21,AQU,3,6F [Dirt] 1:07:03 CLAIMING. Purse $28,000. FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES. Three Year Olds, 120 lbs.; Older, 122 lbs. Non-winners Of A Race In 2021 Allowed 2 lbs. Claiming Price $14,000 (1.5% Aftercare Assessment Due At Time Of Claim Otherwise Claim Will Be Void).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 8 Baba 8/5 Carmouche K Giangiulio Michelle L 411 29.44 0.82/$1
099.7569 9 Danny Deep Cuts 9/2 Mena R E Rodriguez Rudy R. FE 411 29.44 0.82/$1
098.2437 6 Guns Blazing 7/2 Gomez J A Breen Kelly J. W 411 29.44 0.82/$1
098.1788 7 Little Ms Scarlet 8/1 Carrasco V R Gonzalez Claudio A. TSC 411 29.44 0.82/$1
096.6810 5 Effiemeister 6/1 Rodriguez Castro L A Reynolds Patrick L. 411 29.44 0.82/$1
096.6533 1 Addilyn 8/1 Worrie A S Englehart Jeffrey S. J 66 33.33 1.07/$1
095.7881 3 Just Stay Home 20/1 Davis D Hennig Mark A. 66 33.33 1.07/$1
094.3611 2 Awesomenewyear 20/1 Fuentes E Richards Marvin 411 29.44 0.82/$1
092.2840 4 Dazzling Speed 50/1 Morrison A Simmonds Michael A. 411 29.44 0.82/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 29.70, ROI 0.82/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -0.2431
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[Dirt Not_MdnMClm] Default Category Stats


12/09/21, AQU, Race 4, 2.11 ET
12/09/21,AQU,4,1M [Dirt] 1:32:02 CLAIMING. Purse $22,000. FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD. Three Year Olds, 120 lbs.; Older, 123 lbs. Non-winners Of A Race At A Mile Or Over In 2021 Allowed 2 lbs. Claiming Price $8,000 (Maiden And Claiming Races For $6,250 Or Less Not Considered In Allowances) (1.5% Aftercare Assessment Due At Time Of Claim Otherwise Claim Will Be Void).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 1 Magnetron 3/1 Carmouche K Atras Rob TF 411 29.44 0.82/$1
097.7254 7 Ashaar 9/5 Ortiz J L Potts Wayne JE 411 29.44 0.82/$1
097.6432 5 Noble Thought 6/1 Franco M Rodriguez Gustavo 411 29.44 0.82/$1
097.2340 8 Invest 15/1 Worrie A S Englehart Jeffrey S. SL 411 29.44 0.82/$1
096.7684 6 Flowers for Lisa 10/1 Morrison A Kantarmaci Mertkan 66 33.33 1.07/$1
096.1431 10 Playwright(b+) 8/1 McCarthy T Schettino Domenick L. C 411 29.44 0.82/$1
095.5559 11 Marble Moon 12/1 Cancel E Englehart Chris J. 411 29.44 0.82/$1
095.3557 9 High Command 12/1 Davis J A Grusmark Karl M. 411 29.44 0.82/$1
093.7841 3 Blood Moon 15/1 Harkie H K Barrera. III Oscar S. 411 29.44 0.82/$1
093.5733 4 Trappeze Artist 30/1 Navarro C J Mc Allen John P. 411 29.44 0.82/$1
092.2686 2 Kampai 50/1 Fuentes E Jones Eduardo E. W 66 33.33 1.07/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 29.70, ROI 0.82/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -2.2746
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[Dirt Not_MdnMClm] Default Category Stats


12/09/21, AQU, Race 5, 2.38 ET
12/09/21,AQU,5,6F [Dirt] 1:07:03 MAIDEN CLAIMING. Purse $43,000. FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES TWO YEARS OLD FOALED IN NEW YORK STATE AND APPROVED BY THE NEW YORK STATE-BRED REGISTRY. Weight, 119 lbs. Claiming Price $40,000 (1.5% Aftercare Assessment Due At Time Of Claim Otherwise Claim Will Be Void).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 11 Bistrita 7/2 Vargas. Jr. J A Englehart Jeremiah C. 209 18.66 1.27/$1
098.4653 9 Angie At Theoffice 6/1 Castellano J Dutrow Anthony W. T 115 35.65 1.14/$1
098.2756 7 Kokutai 4/1 Ortiz J L DePaz Horacio J 115 35.65 1.14/$1
098.1779 6 Bells On Her Toes 10/1 McCarthy T Baker Charlton SFE 115 35.65 1.14/$1
096.3604 8 Inkblot 20/1 Worrie A S Quick Patrick J. W 115 35.65 1.14/$1
096.3305 4 Miss Empire State(b+) 15/1 Mena R E Ryan Derek S. C 45 24.44 1.41/$1
095.0595 3 Classic Miss 5/1 Franco M Rodriguez Rudy R. 115 35.65 1.14/$1
094.9883 1 Ofalltheginjoints 8/1 Carmouche K Levine Bruce N. 115 35.65 1.14/$1
094.9211 12 Credit Suspended 8/1 Lezcano J Ryerson James T. 209 18.66 1.27/$1
094.6440 10 Kitty Tin Tin 20/1 Rodriguez Castro L A Trites A. Lands 209 18.66 1.27/$1
093.4923 5 Pals Ally 20/1 Cancel E Englehart Chris J. 115 35.65 1.14/$1
092.7320 13 Lost Anchor 20/1 Ramos C Klesaris Robert P. L 209 18.66 1.27/$1
088.1886 2 London Pearl 30/1 Camacho. Jr. S Persaud Randi 115 35.65 1.14/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 29.70, ROI 0.82/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -1.5347
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
Workouts Dirt Last 1 (M)


12/09/21, AQU, Race 6, 3.08 ET
12/09/21,AQU,6,6F [Dirt] 1:07:03 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING. Purse $84,000. (UP TO $14,616 NYSBFOA) FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON $15,000 TWICE OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, STARTER OR STATE BRED ALLOWANCE OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES OR OPTIONAL CLAIMING PRICE OF $62,500. Three Year Olds, 122 lbs.; Older, 124 lbs. Non-winners Of Two Races Other Than Claiming Or Starter In 2021 Allowed 2 lbs. Such A Race In 2021 Allowed 4 lbs. Claiming Price $62,500 (Allowance Horses Preferred)(1.5% Aftercare Assessment Due At Time Of Claim Otherwise Claim Will Be Void).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 4 Greatest Love 5/1 Cancel E Falcone. Jr. Robert N. SFC 45 20.00 1.29/$1
099.9358 3 Dealing Justice 9/2 Davis D Handal Raymond EW 411 29.44 0.82/$1
099.2979 6 Bold Confection 7/2 Carmouche K Servis John C. JTL 45 20.00 1.29/$1
098.9460 2 Oxana 6/5 McCarthy T Hills Timothy A. 411 29.44 0.82/$1
096.9366 5 Royal Meghan 6/1 Franco M Abreu Fernando 411 29.44 0.82/$1
096.9332 1 Easy to Bless 8/1 Ramos C Ferraro James W. 18 38.89 1.25/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 29.70, ROI 0.82/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -0.0642
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
Earnings Turf Prev_Curr*0.0 (M)
*Scratches may change this condition

12/09/21, AQU, Race 7, 3.36 ET
12/09/21,AQU,7,6 1/2F [Dirt] 1:14:02 CLAIMING. Purse $36,000. FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. Three Year Olds, 120 lbs.; Older, 122 lbs. Non-winners Of A Race In 2021 Allowed 2 lbs. Claiming Price $25,000 (1.5% Aftercare Assessment Due At Time Of Claim Otherwise Claim Will Be Void).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 5 Raven Rocks 5/2 Carmouche K Englehart Jeremiah C. J 411 29.44 0.82/$1
099.3742 7 Brunate 4/1 McCarthy T Bond H. James F 411 29.44 0.82/$1
098.2019 6 Ernie Banker 6/1 Cancel E Broberg Karl T 411 29.44 0.82/$1
098.0749 4 Rickys Revenge 8/1 Davis D Handal Raymond E 411 29.44 0.82/$1
096.5491 3 Hangar One 5/1 Hernandez B DiPrima Gregory L 411 29.44 0.82/$1
096.1419 8 Flipping Fun 10/1 Castellano J Davis Edmund D. WC 411 29.44 0.82/$1
095.9370 9 Litterbox 8/1 Davis J A Sciacca Gary 411 29.44 0.82/$1
095.9071 1 Black Irish 8/1 Franco M Donk David G. 411 29.44 0.82/$1
094.1677 2 Magnificent Chrome 15/1 Morrison A Persaud Randi 411 29.44 0.82/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 29.70, ROI 0.82/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -0.6258
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[Dirt Not_MdnMClm] Default Category Stats


12/09/21, AQU, Race 8, 4.04 ET
12/09/21,AQU,8,6 1/2F [Dirt] 1:14:02 ALLOWANCE. Purse $72,000. FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD FOALED IN NEW YORK STATE AND APPROVED BY THE NEW YORK STATE-BRED REGISTRY WHICH HAVE NEVER WON $15,000 OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING OR STARTER OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. Three Year Olds, 120 lbs.; Older, 122 lbs. Non-winners Of A Race Other Than Claiming Or Starter Allowed 2 lbs.
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 7 Towering Orbit 7/2 Ortiz J L Baker Charlton E 411 29.44 0.82/$1
098.0385 4 Chasing Cara 4/1 Davis D Friedman Mitchell E. 411 29.44 0.82/$1
097.9481 8 Quantitativbreezin 6/1 McCarthy T Englehart Jeffrey S. F 45 20.00 1.29/$1
097.5361 2 Ok Honey 5/1 Cancel E Barrera. III Oscar S. 66 33.33 1.07/$1
097.4616 9 Behind the Couch 5/1 Ruiz J Salzman. Sr. John E. J 411 29.44 0.82/$1
095.8254 1 My Girl Annie 8/1 Lezcano J Barrow Paul W. T 411 29.44 0.82/$1
094.2689 10 Cinderella's Cause 10/1 Hernandez B Summers Chad 66 33.33 1.07/$1
093.9511 5 Mosienko 12/1 Hernandez Moreno O Lalman Dennis S. WC 18 38.89 1.25/$1
092.7996 6 Cheatham Hill 20/1 Davis J A Coffey Marialice 66 33.33 1.07/$1
090.8623 3 Color Chart 15/1 Samuel J L Bond Brent L 66 33.33 1.07/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 29.70, ROI 0.82/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -1.9615
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[Dirt Not_MdnMClm] Default Category Stats


Link to comment
Share on other sites

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.

Guest
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.

Loading...
 Share

×
×
  • Create New...