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Top Horse Analytics: 12/04/2021 Picks and Results - TP


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TOP HORSE ANALYTICS (v12.21.11.30a)

Track: TP
Start Of Statistics - 12/02/2020
Past Number of Races - 408

WinPC   $1ROI   HiPayoff   Bet Types
34.64 0.92   9.40   Favorites
29.82 0.85 12.60   Morning Line Favorites
28.26 1.06 38.40   Top Horse (with profitable conditions)

Complete Statistics Provided at THA Weekly Statistics

Contact us at Facebook for help or to report issues: Top Horse Analytics

The Win% and ROI columns below are the win percents and return on investments that the top horse
has performed in the past year for associated compound conditions in a race. The expectation is
that these conditions will perform as well in the future.

An ROI less than 1.01 indicates that no profitable conditions exist for this entry when it's the top rated
horse. Also, be aware that abnormally high payoffs may inflate the ROI so look for a high Win% and Occurs to go
with that high ROI as your selection.

These stats are only good for the top rated horse whether it's the original (100.0000) or the top horse
resulting from scratches. Every horse in a race may have Occurs, Win%, and ROI stats in case it becomes the
top rated horse.


horse name(b+) - Blinkers On
horse name(b-) - Blinkers Off

12/04/21, TP, Race 1, 6.15 ET
12/04/21,TP,1,6F [Dirt] 1:08:00 MAIDEN CLAIMING. Purse $12,000. FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. Three Year Olds, 122 lbs.; Older, 124 lbs. Claiming Price $5,000.
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 1 Janselle 10/1 Reyes F Ortiz-Ruiz Carmelo SF 286 31.12 1.16/$1
097.9406 11 Sunset At Mallory 6/5 Morales E Blair Jordan E 286 31.12 1.16/$1
096.9326 4 Vol de Soleil(b-) 10/1 Mojica. Jr. R Brafford Michelle C. C 286 31.12 1.16/$1
095.1735 7 Princess Grey C 6/1 Machado L Anderson Susan L. JT 286 31.12 1.16/$1
094.9602 12 C V Thunder 8/1 Aragon R Evans II Michael 286 31.12 1.16/$1
094.6939 6 Rubyinthestars 12/1 Prescott R A Davis Joseph D. 286 31.12 1.16/$1
094.5581 10 Top Hat Boss 6/1 Jimenez A Adams Nancy L. L 372 29.03 1.12/$1
094.5042 9 Amari S. 30/1 Bracho A Simon Sharon 286 31.12 1.16/$1
093.5658 8 Race Smart 12/1 Corrales G Hancock John A. 286 31.12 1.16/$1
093.2614 5 Anna's Tribute 30/1 Ramos J D Phillips Terry 286 31.12 1.16/$1
092.4831 2 Hush Hush 15/1 Esquivel E Williamson Brian W 372 29.03 1.12/$1
092.0238 3 Keep Scrolling 50/1 Canuto T Walsh Ryan D. 286 31.12 1.16/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 0.00, ROI 0.00/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -2.0594
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[All Dirt] Last Race Weight Is Not Greater Than Today


12/04/21, TP, Race 2, 6.46 ET
12/04/21,TP,2,1M [Dirt] 1:35:00 STARTER ALLOWANCE. Purse $22,000. FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE STARTED FOR A CLAIMING PRICE OF $5,000 OR LESS IN 2020 - 2021. Three Year Olds, 120 lbs.; Older, 123 lbs. Non-winners Of A Race Other Than Claiming At A Mile Or Over Since November 4 Allowed 2 lbs. (Highweights Preferred).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 9 P H Factor 2/1 Gonzalez S Rivelli Larry SEL 48 35.42 2.11/$1
098.2987 4 Maligator 4/1 McKee J West Ethan W. JF 48 35.42 2.11/$1
097.8683 6 Can't Hide From Me 4/1 Corrales G Rivelli Larry 48 35.42 2.11/$1
096.3587 3 Direct Approach 15/1 Rocco. Jr. J Tomlinson Michael A. C 48 35.42 2.11/$1
096.2088 1 Wildcard Prado 4/1 Bermudez S E Richardville Tianna 48 35.42 2.11/$1
096.0572 5 Easy Doer 30/1 Ouzts P W Sturgeon Robert C. 286 31.12 1.16/$1
095.2862 7 Pole Setter 6/1 Canuto T Andrade Hugo W 48 35.42 2.11/$1
094.7103 8 Irish Declaration 15/1 Landeros C Morey William E. 286 31.12 1.16/$1
094.0100 2 New Year's Luck 30/1 Jimenez A Adams Nancy L. 257 28.40 1.18/$1
090.6862 10 Raison Karter 30/1 Bejarano R Short Tommy C. 48 35.42 2.11/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 0.00, ROI 0.00/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -1.7013
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[Dirt Not_MdnMClm] Last Race Purse Lower Than Today  -with-
[Dirt Not_MdnMClm] *Race Entries Greater Than 9
*Scratches may change this condition

12/04/21, TP, Race 3, 7.16 ET
12/04/21,TP,3,6 1/2F [Dirt] 1:15:02 MAIDEN CLAIMING. Purse $24,000. FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. Three Year Olds, 122 lbs.; Older, 124 lbs. Claiming Price $15,000, For Each $2,500 To $10,000 1 lb.
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 2 Bit O Bodie 7/2 Machado L Ennis John F 286 31.12 1.16/$1
097.8486 5 Pure Fashion (GB) 12/1 McKee J Reed Eric R. J 286 31.12 1.16/$1
097.5647 14 Cross the T's 8/1 Romero G Langemeier John L. C 286 31.12 1.16/$1
096.7175 4 Miss Getty Up 10/1 Morales E Pitts Helen T 286 31.12 1.16/$1
096.2307 12 Honest Intentions 8/1 Talamo J Ewing Michael Ann W 286 31.12 1.16/$1
095.8819 8 Dearest Kitten 3/1 Achard A Maker Michael J. L 286 31.12 1.16/$1
095.4578 11 Stacy Attack 10/1 Corrales G Garcia Genaro S 286 31.12 1.16/$1
095.2971 10 Rutabaga 9/2 Bejarano R Lyster Stephen S. 286 31.12 1.16/$1
094.4015 1 Cuzzywuzzy 8/1 Miranda R Danner Douglas W. E 286 31.12 1.16/$1
093.7099 7 Mystic Miss 10/1 Jimenez A Helmbrecht William R. 372 29.03 1.12/$1
093.1134 3 I'm Stylin 10/1 Esquivel E Vesty Clarke 286 31.12 1.16/$1
092.0302 13 Wanta Ballerina(b+) 20/1 Sterritt K LaCroix Gene 286 31.12 1.16/$1
091.8201 6 Quite Whimsical 50/1 Ramos J D Holden Jay J. 286 31.12 1.16/$1
089.2443 9 Miss Sovelia 30/1 Canuto T Simon Sharon 286 31.12 1.16/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 0.00, ROI 0.00/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -2.1514
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[All Dirt] Last Race Weight Is Not Greater Than Today


12/04/21, TP, Race 4, 7.46 ET
12/04/21,TP,4,1M [Dirt] 1:35:00 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT. Purse $62,000 (includes up to $29,000 KTDF - Kentucky TB Devt Fund). FOR MAIDENS, TWO YEARS OLD. Weight, 119 lbs. (Preference To Horses That Have Not Started For Less Than $30,000).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 2 Lemonadeatthelatch 4/1 Gonzalez S Jacobson Matthew JSE 286 31.12 1.16/$1
096.7593 9 Horse Daddy 12/1 Prescott R A Asmussen Steven M. C 372 29.03 1.12/$1
096.2416 3 Tawny Port 3/1 Esquivel E Cox Brad H. TW 372 29.03 1.12/$1
095.8109 14 Wake Surf 4/1 Landeros C Arnold. II George R. L 286 31.12 1.16/$1
094.6925 10 Cabana Time 8/1 Bejarano R Romans Dale L. 286 31.12 1.16/$1
094.2846 5 Sir Clouseau 10/1 Rocco. Jr. J DeVaux Cherie 372 29.03 1.12/$1
094.0522 11 Big Big Star 10/1 Achard A Maker Michael J. 372 29.03 1.12/$1
093.7946 1 Rare N Ready 15/1 Ramos J D Greenhill Jeffrey L. 334 29.64 1.13/$1
093.4899 8 Master Lea 12/1 Morales E Bahena Ismael 286 31.12 1.16/$1
093.1810 6 North Street 8/1 Talamo J Kenneally Eddie 372 29.03 1.12/$1
092.4889 12 Lolas Beau 20/1 Miranda R Guerrero Sal 286 31.12 1.16/$1
092.0395 4 High Speed Rail 5/1 Machado L Colebrook Ben 286 31.12 1.16/$1
092.0356 7 Private Connie 20/1 Jimenez A Hancock John A. 286 31.12 1.16/$1
089.2866 13 Hatch 10/1 Peterson F Wilkes Ian R. 286 31.12 1.16/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 0.00, ROI 0.00/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -3.2407
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[All Dirt] Last Race Weight Is Not Greater Than Today


12/04/21, TP, Race 5, 8.14 ET
12/04/21,TP,5,6F [Dirt] 1:08:00 STAKES. Holiday Inaugural Stakes. Purse $100,000 (includes up to $20,000 Guaranteed KTDF - Kentucky TB Devt Fund). FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE-YEARS-OLD AND UPWARD.
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 5 O'Keeffe 7/2 Corrales G Rivelli Larry T 74 41.89 2.05/$1
099.4090 10 Razor Glass 5/1 Landeros C Walsh Brendan P. F 74 41.89 2.05/$1
099.2974 6 Aug Lutes 5/2 Bejarano R Trombetta Michael J. S 74 41.89 2.05/$1
098.2631 1 Lady Edith 15/1 Rocco. Jr. J Drury. Jr. Thomas 74 41.89 2.05/$1
097.2481 4 Social Chatter 10/1 Peterson F Oliver Victoria H. EC 74 41.89 2.05/$1
096.7199 3 Girl Named Patsy 30/1 Prescott R A Michael Brian 112 33.04 1.56/$1
096.6594 7 Threatlevelmidnite (GB) 15/1 Jimenez A West Ethan W. L 74 41.89 2.05/$1
096.4440 9 Vintage Ready 15/1 McKee J Reed Eric R. J 74 41.89 2.05/$1
095.8289 8 Bullseye Beauty 7/2 Talamo J McKeever Andrew 74 41.89 2.05/$1
094.3283 2 Jakarta 8/1 Achard A Maker Michael J. W 112 33.04 1.56/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 0.00, ROI 0.00/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -0.5910
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[Dirt Not_MdnMClm] Race Sex Females  -with-
[Dirt Not_MdnMClm] Last Race Weight Is Not Greater Than Today


12/04/21, TP, Race 6, 8.46 ET
12/04/21,TP,6,6F [Dirt] 1:08:00 CLAIMING. Purse $33,000. FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD. Three Year Olds, 120 lbs.; Older, 122 lbs. Non-winners Of A Race Since November 4 Allowed 2 lbs. Claiming Price $25,000, For Each $2,500 To $20,000 1 lb. (Races Where Entered For $17,000 Or Less Not Considered In Allowances).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 4 Lost in Manhattan 4/1 Bejarano R Vanden Berg Brittany A TF 48 35.42 2.11/$1
097.1794 6 Boa Nova (IRE) 6/1 Ramos J D Miller Kenneth G. 257 28.40 1.18/$1
096.5419 10 Majestic Valley 6/1 Gonzalez S Greenhill Jeffrey L. JC 48 35.42 2.11/$1
095.6482 1A Tomato Bill 8/1 Prescott R A Contreras Cipriano S 257 28.40 1.18/$1
094.7305 5 Woodland Walk 2/1 Berrios H Shanyfelt Douglas E. L 48 35.42 2.11/$1
094.4476 8 Quick Return 5/1 Landeros C Humphries Thomas EW 257 28.40 1.18/$1
093.5951 7 Mason A. P. 30/1 Miranda R Hill. Jr. John F. 48 35.42 2.11/$1
093.1161 9 Living Vicariously 6/1 Rocco. Jr. J Tomlinson Michael A. 257 28.40 1.18/$1
092.5994 1 First Deputy 8/1 Esquivel E Contreras Cipriano 48 35.42 2.11/$1
091.2679 2 Joyful Heart 20/1 Jimenez A Bush George S. 257 28.40 1.18/$1
089.3602 3 Fire Marshall Bill 30/1 Mojica. Jr. R Cundiff Waylon 257 28.40 1.18/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 0.00, ROI 0.00/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -2.8206
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[Dirt Not_MdnMClm] Last Race Purse Lower Than Today  -with-
[Dirt Not_MdnMClm] *Race Entries Greater Than 9
*Scratches may change this condition

12/04/21, TP, Race 7, 9.16 ET
12/04/21,TP,7,6 1/2F [Dirt] 1:15:02 ALLOWANCE. Purse $63,000 (includes up to $29,500 KTDF - Kentucky TB Devt Fund). FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON $7,500 OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING OR STARTER OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. Three Year Olds, 120 lbs.; Older, 122 lbs. Non-winners Of $18,600 Since November 4 Allowed 2 lbs. (Races Where Entered For $20,000 Or Less Not Considered In Allowances).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 1 Here Mi Song 4/1 Prescott R A Stinson. Jr. William FEWC 257 28.40 1.18/$1
098.6879 6 Uber Kirk 6/1 McKee J Frazier Matt J 286 31.12 1.16/$1
097.9704 5 Maxi Boy (GB) 5/1 Achard A Lobo Paulo H. S 257 28.40 1.18/$1
097.7194 8 Soaring Bird 6/1 Talamo J Cundiff Waylon 257 28.40 1.18/$1
096.4058 2 Tuggle 5/1 Landeros C Medina Robert 257 28.40 1.18/$1
096.1233 3 Uncapped 6/1 Bejarano R Cook Jason G. L 48 35.42 2.11/$1
095.2211 10 Big Nick 15/1 Esquivel E Garcia Genaro 48 35.42 2.11/$1
094.5384 4 Artie's Lady 50/1 Miranda R Schwarm Mark T 286 31.12 1.16/$1
094.2946 9 Schochoh 10/1 Morales E Caramori Eduardo 48 35.42 2.11/$1
093.5928 11 Holdtheflight 30/1 Aragon R Coomer Philip 48 35.42 2.11/$1
091.4465 7 Tequilas Ranger(b-) 6/1 Canuto T Sullivan Michael D. 48 35.42 2.11/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 0.00, ROI 0.00/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -1.3121
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[All Dirt] *Race Entries Greater Than 9
*Scratches may change this condition

12/04/21, TP, Race 8, 9.46 ET
12/04/21,TP,8,1M [Dirt] 1:35:00 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT. Purse $62,000 (includes up to $29,000 KTDF - Kentucky TB Devt Fund). FOR MAIDENS, TWO YEARS OLD. Weight, 119 lbs. (Preference To Horses That Have Not Started For Less Than $30,000).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 5 Steinbeck 7/2 Landeros C Brisset Rodolphe FWL 286 31.12 1.16/$1
098.4481 3 The Judge and Jury 6/1 Doyle S Ennis John S 286 31.12 1.16/$1
098.3813 14 Imperial Cause 5/1 Gonzalez S Asmussen Steven M. J 334 29.64 1.13/$1
097.9442 2 Alasdair 3/1 Talamo J Cox Brad H. T 372 29.03 1.12/$1
097.8273 11 Star Shopping(b+) 6/1 Corrales G Walsh Brendan P. 286 31.12 1.16/$1
096.1614 13 Storm Attack 12/1 Bejarano R Beckman D. Whitworth E 286 31.12 1.16/$1
095.5214 8 Ashwins Orb 20/1 Esquivel E Garcia Genaro 286 31.12 1.16/$1
095.4387 10 Tonkawa Springs(b-) 12/1 Mojica. Jr. R McKeever Andrew 286 31.12 1.16/$1
094.9536 12 Succeed 20/1 Morales E Hernandez Rey 372 29.03 1.12/$1
094.9480 7 Moms Moon 15/1 Rocco. Jr. J Arnold. II George R. 372 29.03 1.12/$1
092.9573 1 Schmooze 10/1 Bejarano R McPeek Kenneth G. 286 31.12 1.16/$1
091.9648 6 Frosty Dreams 6/1 Miranda R Spicer James T. C 286 31.12 1.16/$1
091.9133 9 Officer Nick 15/1 Achard A Romans Dale L. 286 31.12 1.16/$1
091.1073 4 Rerally 20/1 Jimenez A Martinez Matthew R. 286 31.12 1.16/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 0.00, ROI 0.00/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -1.5519
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[All Dirt] Last Race Weight Is Not Greater Than Today


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