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Top Horse Analytics: 11/28/2021 Picks and Results - LRL


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TOP HORSE ANALYTICS (v12.21.10.17a)

Track: LRL
Start Of Statistics - 09/18/2020
Past Number of Races - 1173

WinPC   $1ROI   HiPayoff   Bet Types
37.85 0.87   9.60   Favorites
34.63 0.87 19.00   Morning Line Favorites
32.31 0.88 29.80   Top Horse (with profitable conditions)

Complete Statistics Provided at THA Weekly Statistics

Contact us at Facebook for help or to report issues: Top Horse Analytics

The Win% and ROI columns below are the win percents and return on investments that the top horse
has performed in the past year for associated compound conditions in a race. The expectation is
that these conditions will perform as well in the future.

An ROI less than 1.01 indicates that no profitable conditions exist for this entry when it's the top rated
horse. Also, be aware that abnormally high payoffs may inflate the ROI so look for a high Win% and Occurs to go
with that high ROI as your selection.

These stats are only good for the top rated horse whether it's the original (100.0000) or the top horse
resulting from scratches. Every horse in a race may have Occurs, Win%, and ROI stats in case it becomes the
top rated horse.


horse name(b+) - Blinkers On
horse name(b-) - Blinkers Off

11/28/21, LRL, Race 1, 12.25 ET
11/28/21,LRL,1,5 1/2F [Dirt] 1:02:01 MAIDEN CLAIMING. Purse $25,000. (PLUS UP TO 15% MBF) FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES AND MARES THREE, FOUR, AND FIVE YEARS OLD. Three Year Olds, 123 lbs.; Older, 126 lbs. Claiming Price $16,000, if for $12,500, allowed 4 lbs.
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 5 Special Freedom 1/1 Gomez K Mancilla Carlos A. SFE 209 21.53 1.32/$1
097.5782 3 Broadway Melody(b-) 4/1 Toledo J Merryman Michael JTL 209 21.53 1.32/$1
097.0120 7 La Aitana 8/1 Cruz A Gorham Michael E. 209 21.53 1.32/$1
096.7037 1 Some Is Nine 8/1 Cedeno C Hall Aimee D. W 209 21.53 1.32/$1
094.4812 2 Amaretto Sour(b+) 20/1 Carrasco C Maldonado Jonathan C 209 21.53 1.32/$1
094.3508 6 Heart of Secrets 5/1 Hiraldo J Eppler Mary E. 209 21.53 1.32/$1
094.1359 8 Perfect Survivor(b+) 30/1 Butterfly B L Deiter Kelly Lynn 209 21.53 1.32/$1
093.9339 4 Red Priestess 10/1 Davis J A Davis Edmund D. 209 21.53 1.32/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 35.00, ROI 0.96/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -2.4218
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[All Dirt] Actual Post Not Greater Than 9 And Distance 5f Or 5 1/2f


11/28/21, LRL, Race 2, 12.54 ET
11/28/21,LRL,2,6F [Dirt] 1:08:00 CLAIMING. Purse $24,000. (PLUS UP TO 15% MBF) FOR FILLIES TWO YEARS OLD. Weight, 122 lbs. Non-winners Of A Race Since September 28 Allowed 2 lbs. Claiming Price $10,000 (Races Where Entered For $8,000 Or Less Not Considered In Allowances).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 4 Hicktown 7/5 Lopez C E Merryman Michael SFEWC 86 26.74 1.29/$1
098.3369 5 No More Mask 5/2 Acosta J D Salzman. Jr. John E. T 86 26.74 1.29/$1
098.0111 3 Miz the Best 6/1 Toledo J O'Dwyer Jeremiah J 86 26.74 1.29/$1
096.8577 1 Chica Rabiosa 9/2 Alvelo J C Gonzalez Claudio A. L 770 30.52 0.84/$1
096.8379 6 Holiday Connection 5/1 Hiraldo J Capuano Gary 86 26.74 1.29/$1
092.3365 2 Luckbealadytonight 20/1 Butterfly B L Nambo Cesar 86 26.74 1.29/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 35.00, ROI 0.96/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -1.6631
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[All Dirt] *Not Actual Post 1 And Distance 6f Or 6 1/2f
*Scratches may change this condition

11/28/21, LRL, Race 3, 1.23 ET
11/28/21,LRL,3,1 1/16M [Dirt About] 1:41:01 CLAIMING. Purse $23,000. (PLUS UP TO 15% MBF) FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES OR THREE YEAR OLDS CLAIMING. Three Year Olds, 123 lbs.; Older, 126 lbs. Claiming Price $16,000, if for $14,000, allowed 2 lbs. WINNERS OF THREE OR MORE RACES AN ADDITIONAL 3LBS.
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 7 Inspector Frost 9/5 Cedeno C Magee Kieron W 770 30.52 0.84/$1
097.1805 5 Luxero 5/1 Alvelo J C Gonzalez Claudio A. 770 30.52 0.84/$1
097.1751 8 Fore On Seven 10/1 Cruz A Gorham Michael E. S 770 30.52 0.84/$1
096.9597 6 Dr. Ferber 6/1 Sanchez M J Contessa Gary C. C 770 30.52 0.84/$1
096.9111 2 Grecian Pharoah 10/1 Karamanos H Klesaris Robert P. F 770 30.52 0.84/$1
095.4737 4 Armando R 6/1 Toledo J Bezara Agustin C. E 770 30.52 0.84/$1
095.2851 1 One Two Kid 9/2 Rodriguez J Ness Jamie JTL 770 30.52 0.84/$1
094.8708 3 Straight Up Guy 15/1 Boyce F Sillaman Richard P. 770 30.52 0.84/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 35.00, ROI 0.96/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -2.8195
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[Dirt Not_MdnMClm] Default Category Stats


11/28/21, LRL, Race 4, 1.53 ET
11/28/21,LRL,4,6 1/2F [Dirt] 1:15:00 MAIDEN CLAIMING. Purse $21,000. (PLUS UP TO 15% MBF) FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES AND MARES THREE, FOUR, AND FIVE YEARS OLD. Three Year Olds, 123 lbs.; Older, 126 lbs. Claiming Price $10,000, if for $8,000, allowed 4 lbs.
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 2 Tipsy Tourist 4/1 Cruz A Eubanks Annette M. 86 26.74 1.29/$1
099.6090 6 Bullets Lady 6/1 Crispin A Dilodovico Damon R. FW 86 26.74 1.29/$1
099.3963 4 Icy Harbor 2/1 Rosales V Houghton Dove P. 86 26.74 1.29/$1
099.3134 8 Pearlyville 6/1 Lyapustina T Gaudet Lacey TEL 86 26.74 1.29/$1
099.2533 1 Nine Mast 8/1 Ruiz J Hall Aimee D. JS 10 30.00 1.98/$1
098.2801 3 Writtenbythestars 5/1 Corujo L Parram Derrick A. 86 26.74 1.29/$1
096.5537 9 Willow's Charm 15/1 Hiraldo J Mancilla Carlos A. 86 26.74 1.29/$1
095.2019 7 Alys Great Notion 30/1 Butterfly B L Deiter Kelly Lynn 86 26.74 1.29/$1
094.1340 5 Bad Temper(b-) 20/1 Nunez A A Parker Horace M. 86 26.74 1.29/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 35.00, ROI 0.96/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -0.3910
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[All Dirt] *Not Actual Post 1 And Distance 6f Or 6 1/2f
*Scratches may change this condition

11/28/21, LRL, Race 5, 2.22 ET
11/28/21,LRL,5,1 1/16M [Dirt About] 1:41:01 STARTER OPTIONAL CLAIMING. Purse $33,000. (PLUS UP TO 15% MBF) FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE STARTED FOR A CLAIMING PRICE OF $25,000 OR LESS AND WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES OR CLAIMING $25,000-$20,000 AND NEVER WON THREE RACES OR THREE YEAR OLDS CLAIMING. Three Year Olds, 123 lbs.; Older, 126 lbs. Non-winners Of A Race At A Mile Or Over Since September 28 Allowed 3 lbs. Claiming Price $25,000, if for $20,000, allowed 4 lbs. (Races Where Entered For $16,000 Or Less Not Considered In Allowances).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 1 The Angry Man 5/2 Rodriguez J Ness Jamie E 770 30.52 0.84/$1
097.7771 7 Rippolino 12/1 Cruz A Magee Kieron F 770 30.52 0.84/$1
097.4021 1A One Nation 5/2 Rodriguez J Ness Jamie 76 32.89 1.08/$1
097.3950 5 Galatians 4/1 Karamanos H Eppler Mary E. 770 30.52 0.84/$1
097.2099 8 Twitty City 9/2 Marquez C Ramirez Jose A. 770 30.52 0.84/$1
096.8614 6 Yes Sir Colonel 9/2 Diaz V Lingenfelter Thomas H. SW 770 30.52 0.84/$1
095.8827 4 Al Brown 12/1 Gomez K Salazar Marco P. 770 30.52 0.84/$1
093.4232 3 Market Mover 20/1 Sanchez M J Shuman Mark 770 30.52 0.84/$1
093.2332 2 Justinthenickotime 5/1 Perez X Rivera Justin L 770 30.52 0.84/$1
090.7319 9 Fermat 15/1 Ruiz J McMullen Marilyn G. JC 770 30.52 0.84/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 35.00, ROI 0.96/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -2.2229
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[Dirt Not_MdnMClm] Default Category Stats


11/28/21, LRL, Race 6, 2.51 ET
11/28/21,LRL,6,1M [Dirt] 1:34:00 MAIDEN CLAIMING. Purse $21,000. (PLUS UP TO 15% MBF) FOR MAIDENS, TWO YEARS OLD. Weight, 122 lbs. Claiming Price $10,000, if for $8,000, allowed 4 lbs.
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 2 Notion to Tapit 8/5 Araujo D Smith Hamilton A. S 240 30.00 0.77/$1
099.0852 8 I'm Not Slow 8/1 Alvelo J C Gonzalez Claudio A. FWL 10 30.00 1.98/$1
098.0615 9 Krug 5/2 Hiraldo J O'Dwyer Jeremiah 86 29.07 1.07/$1
097.9725 4 Gunhand 10/1 Toledo J Farrior Anthony TE 86 29.07 1.07/$1
097.8588 6 Chalk Hill 8/1 Rodriguez J Aguirre Paul G. J 86 29.07 1.07/$1
096.1195 7 Power G(b+) 10/1 Lyapustina T Sanchez-Salomon Rodolf C 86 29.07 1.07/$1
095.0373 3 Made to Be Lucky 12/1 Lopez C E Smith Lawrence M. 86 29.07 1.07/$1
094.5849 1 High Rock 15/1 Rosales V Capuano Gary 86 29.07 1.07/$1
093.7491 5 Buffum's Beauty 30/1 Gomez K Mancilla Carlos A. 10 30.00 1.98/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 35.00, ROI 0.96/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -0.9148
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[Dirt MdnMClm] Default Category Stats


11/28/21, LRL, Race 7, 3.22 ET
11/28/21,LRL,7,6F [Dirt] 1:08:00 STARTER OPTIONAL CLAIMING. Purse $33,000. (PLUS UP TO 15% MBF) FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE STARTED FOR A CLAIMING PRICE OF $25,000 OR LESS AND WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES OR CLAIMING $25,000-$20,000 AND NEVER WON THREE RACES OR THREE YEAR OLDS CLAIMING. Three Year Olds, 123 lbs.; Older, 126 lbs. Non-winners Of A Race Since September 28 Allowed 3 lbs. Claiming Price $25,000, if for $20,000, allowed 4 lbs. (Races Where Entered For $16,000 Or Less Not Considered In Allowances).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 6 Alpha Chi Rho 8/5 Lopez C E Magee Kieron SL 86 26.74 1.29/$1
098.1886 2 Jackie A 5/2 Ruiz J Capuano Dale JTEC 86 26.74 1.29/$1
097.0752 7 Magic Mule 6/1 Lynch F McMahon W. Thomas 86 26.74 1.29/$1
096.4744 4 Bardolino 20/1 Cruz A Sanchez-Salomon Rodolf F 86 26.74 1.29/$1
096.3075 5 He's Orientate 10/1 Ortiz Y O Heil Nancy B. 86 26.74 1.29/$1
096.2239 3 Rapid Response 6/1 Rosado J Gaudet Lacey 86 26.74 1.29/$1
095.7696 8 San Antone 15/1 Hiraldo J Magee Kieron W 86 26.74 1.29/$1
095.6939 1 Spitball 10/1 Karamanos H Corrales Jose 770 30.52 0.84/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 35.00, ROI 0.96/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -1.8114
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[All Dirt] *Not Actual Post 1 And Distance 6f Or 6 1/2f
*Scratches may change this condition

11/28/21, LRL, Race 8, 3.52 ET
11/28/21,LRL,8,6F [Dirt] 1:08:00 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING. Purse $48,000. (PLUS UP TO 15% MBF) FOR TWO YEAR OLDS WHICH HAVE NEVER WON A RACE OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, WAIVER CLAIMING, STARTER, MD SIRED RACES OR MD BRED RACES OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES OR CLAIMING PRICE $62,500. Weight, 122 lbs. Non-winners Of A Race Since September 28 Allowed 3 lbs. Claiming Price $62,500.
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 3 Rominski 7/2 Cruz A Gonzalez Claudio A. FEWL 86 26.74 1.29/$1
099.8271 6 Kenner 5/2 Rodriguez J Ness Jamie TS 86 26.74 1.29/$1
097.6074 7 Slaats 7/2 Marquez C Gonzalez Claudio A. C 86 26.74 1.29/$1
096.0809 2 Al Loves Josie 8/1 Perez X Robb John J. 86 26.74 1.29/$1
094.8005 4 American Playboy 4/1 Lopez C E Capuano Dale 86 26.74 1.29/$1
094.7116 1 Radical Right 5/1 Ruiz J Capuano Dale J 770 30.52 0.84/$1
090.8618 5 Golden Avieator 30/1 Karamanos H Gorham Michael E. 86 26.74 1.29/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 35.00, ROI 0.96/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -0.1729
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[All Dirt] *Not Actual Post 1 And Distance 6f Or 6 1/2f
*Scratches may change this condition

11/28/21, LRL, Race 9, 4.22 ET
11/28/21,LRL,9,6 1/2F [Dirt] 1:15:00 MAIDEN CLAIMING. Purse $21,000. (PLUS UP TO 15% MBF) FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES AND MARES THREE, FOUR, AND FIVE YEARS OLD. Three Year Olds, 123 lbs.; Older, 126 lbs. Claiming Price $10,000, if for $8,000, allowed 4 lbs.
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 4 Bellswillberinging 8/5 Sanchez M J Contessa Gary C. TE 86 26.74 1.29/$1
099.9937 5 Expect the Sunrise 7/2 Gomez K Keefe Timothy L. WL 86 26.74 1.29/$1
099.1378 3 Candy Corner 3/1 Rosales V Houghton Dove P. FC 86 26.74 1.29/$1
097.9336 8 C Two 6/1 Karamanos H Graham Robin L. 86 26.74 1.29/$1
097.8015 7 Scarlet's Song 10/1 Boyce F Klesaris Robert P. 86 26.74 1.29/$1
096.8250 6 Celestial Diva(b+) 15/1 Rosado J Garibay. Sr. Andres 86 26.74 1.29/$1
096.7634 2 El Milagra 20/1 Araujo D Allen. III A. Ferris JS 86 26.74 1.29/$1
094.7721 1 Arbela 15/1 Ortiz Y O Eubanks Annette M. 86 29.07 1.07/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 35.00, ROI 0.96/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -0.0063
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[All Dirt] *Not Actual Post 1 And Distance 6f Or 6 1/2f
*Scratches may change this condition

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