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Top Horse Analytics: 10/28/2021 Picks and Results - BEL


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TOP HORSE ANALYTICS (v12.21.10.17a)

Track: BEL
Start Of Statistics - 05/28/2021
Past Number of Races - 497

WinPC   $1ROI   HiPayoff   Bet Types
33.20 0.77 10.40   Favorites
32.16 0.86 14.60   Morning Line Favorites
29.38 1.10 63.50   Top Horse (with profitable conditions)

Complete Statistics Provided at THA Weekly Statistics

Contact us at Facebook for help or to report issues: Top Horse Analytics

The Win% and ROI columns below are the win percents and return on investments that the top horse
has performed in the past year for associated compound conditions in a race. The expectation is
that these conditions will perform as well in the future.

An ROI less than 1.01 indicates that no profitable conditions exist for this entry when it's the top rated
horse. Also, be aware that abnormally high payoffs may inflate the ROI so look for a high Win% and Occurs to go
with that high ROI as your selection.

These stats are only good for the top rated horse whether it's the original (100.0000) or the top horse
resulting from scratches. Every horse in a race may have Occurs, Win%, and ROI stats in case it becomes the
top rated horse.


horse name(b+) - Blinkers On
horse name(b-) - Blinkers Off

10/28/21, BEL, Race 1, 12.35 ET
10/28/21,BEL,1,6F [Dirt] 1:07:03 CLAIMING. Purse $28,000. FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. Three Year Olds, 120 lbs.; Older, 123 lbs. Non-winners Of A Race In 2021 Allowed 2 lbs. Claiming Price $10,000 (Maiden And Claiming Races For $8,000 Or Less Not Considered In Allowances) (1.5% Aftercare Assessment Due At Time Of Claim Otherwise Claim Will Be Void).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 6 Extra Effort 8/5 Franco M Rodriguez Gustavo SF 75 40.00 1.43/$1
098.8093 3 Lovely Lady Lexi 9/2 Diaz. Jr. H R Englehart Jeffrey S. T 77 36.36 1.11/$1
097.0719 2 Quality Stones 2/1 Carmouche K Falcone. Jr. Robert N. JEWL 176 28.41 0.87/$1
095.6450 1 No Deal 8/1 Hernandez Moreno O Potts Wayne 176 28.41 0.87/$1
092.3238 5 Gentle Annie 6/1 Cancel E Sciacca Gary C 176 28.41 0.87/$1
087.8759 4 Cover Photo 20/1 Ramos C Richards Marvin 176 28.41 0.87/$1
086.4514 7 Starship Reina 12/1 Figueroa H Mc Allen John P. 176 28.41 0.87/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 40.66, ROI 1.23/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -1.1907
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[All Dirt] *2nd Horse 98 Rating And Top Horse 100 Rating
*Scratches may change this condition

10/28/21, BEL, Race 2, 1.09 ET
10/28/21,BEL,2,1 1/16M [Inner Turf] 1:38:04 MAIDEN CLAIMING. Purse $45,000. INNER TURF FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD FOALED IN NEW YORK STATE AND APPROVED BY THE NEW YORK STATE-BRED REGISTRY. Three Year Olds, 120 lbs.; Older, 124 lbs. Claiming Price $40,000 (1.5% Aftercare Assessment Due At Time Of Claim Otherwise Claim Will Be Void). (Rail at 35 feet).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 9 Tales of Makenna(b+) 9/5 Franco M Weaver George FEW 88 26.14 0.77/$1
097.2663 4 Raving 5/1 Lezcano J Jerkens James A. C 88 26.14 0.77/$1
096.9517 12 Escapewithfriends(b-) 8/1 Castellano J Dini Michael S 59 33.90 1.30/$1
096.3332 3 Exfiltration(b+) 8/1 Carmouche K DePaz Horacio J 88 26.14 0.77/$1
095.8055 1 Hit the Nail 3/1 Vargas. Jr. J A Duggan David P. 88 26.14 0.77/$1
094.8178 13 Gallina 7/2 Saez L Bond H. James 71 22.54 1.23/$1
092.9626 6 Causeway of Dreams 15/1 Ramos C Quick Patrick J. 88 26.14 0.77/$1
092.8786 2 Dancing Firefly 8/1 Luzzi M J Gargan Danny TL 71 22.54 1.23/$1
091.4950 7 Saigon 10/1 Cancel E Elliot Janet E. 49 32.65 1.54/$1
090.9421 8 Hiya Harry 20/1 Roberts C Davis Edmund D. 88 26.14 0.77/$1
090.6367 11 Favorite Impulse 30/1 Hernandez Moreno O Grossman Bruce R. 16 37.50 1.11/$1
090.5583 5 Saluki 12/1 Davis D Schettino Domenick L. 88 26.14 0.77/$1
087.9963 10 Decreed 50/1 Samuel J L Persaud Randi 88 26.14 0.77/$1
Top rated horse With "Turf Surface Not fm/hd" - Win% 33.33, ROI 1.55/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -2.7337
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[Turf MdnMClm] Default Category Stats


10/28/21, BEL, Race 3, 1.41 ET
10/28/21,BEL,3,6F [Dirt] 1:07:03 CLAIMING. Purse $60,000. (UP TO $10,440 NYSBFOA) FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. Three Year Olds, 120 lbs.; Older, 123 lbs. Non-winners Of A Race In 2021 Allowed 2 lbs. Claiming Price $32,000 (Maiden And Claiming Races For $25,000 Or Less Not Considered In Allowances) (1.5% Aftercare Assessment Due At Time Of Claim Otherwise Claim Will Be Void).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 2 Shasta Star 6/1 Ramos C Potts Wayne F 88 13.64 1.36/$1
099.3633 1 Spun d'Etat 9/5 Franco M Kantarmaci Mertkan 77 36.36 1.11/$1
097.3167 6 My Roxy Girl 3/1 Hernandez Moreno O Vazquez Juan C. 77 36.36 1.11/$1
095.6011 5 Fair Regis 3/1 Davis D Englehart Jeffrey S. TS 176 28.41 0.87/$1
094.8121 3 Customerexperience 7/2 Castellano J Rodriguez Gustavo EC 176 28.41 0.87/$1
093.2143 1A She's a Black Belt 9/5 Vargas. Jr. J A Kantarmaci Mertkan W 176 28.41 0.87/$1
088.6436 4 Subsidiary 15/1 Cancel E Vazquez Juan C. JL 176 28.41 0.87/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 40.66, ROI 1.23/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -0.6367
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
Earnings Turf Prev_Curr*0.0 (M)
*Scratches may change this condition

10/28/21, BEL, Race 4, 2.11 ET
10/28/21,BEL,4,1M [Turf] 1:31:01 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT. Purse $75,000. FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES TWO YEARS OLD FOALED IN NEW YORK STATE AND APPROVED BY THE NEW YORK STATE-BRED REGISTRY. Weight, 119 lbs. (Non-Starters For A Claiming Price Of $40,000 Or Less In The Last 3 Starts Preferred). (If the Stewards consider it inadvisable to run this race on the turf course, this race will be run at One Mile on the Main Track.) (Rail at 18 feet).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 4 Preposterous 9/2 Saez L Joseph. Jr. Saffie A. FWC 49 32.65 1.54/$1
097.1038 14 Caragate 5/2 Castellano J Friedman Mitchell E. E 16 37.50 1.11/$1
094.8367 15 Carbon 3/1 Lezcano J Rice Linda 16 37.50 1.11/$1
094.7806 9 Pimenova 4/1 Alvarado J Gargan Danny TL 16 37.50 1.11/$1
094.5256 2 Lemon Red 3/1 Rosario J Brown Chad C. J 88 26.14 0.77/$1
094.3376 12 I'll Go All In 12/1 Lezcano J Vazquez Juan C. 16 37.50 1.11/$1
093.9190 13 Raymond Road 4/1 Davis D Englehart Jeremiah C. 16 37.50 1.11/$1
093.7345 3 Sweet Maeve 12/1 Carmouche K Johnson Cleveland 88 26.14 0.77/$1
093.4654 5 Taki 8/1 Velazquez J R Rice Linda 88 26.14 0.77/$1
092.5687 1A Write the Check 20/1 Luzzi M J Brown Bruce R. 16 37.50 1.11/$1
091.5460 1 Sweetie Pie 20/1 Hernandez Moreno O Brown Bruce R. 88 26.14 0.77/$1
090.9896 10 Uni Loves a Fight 20/1 Diaz. Jr. H R Noda Orlando S 59 33.90 1.30/$1
090.9371 7 N Y Fancy 15/1 Castellano J Dini Michael 49 32.65 1.54/$1
089.9411 11 Empire Lily 8/1 Franco M Abreu Jorge R. 16 37.50 1.11/$1
089.8820 8 Inkblot(b+) 15/1 Davis D Quick Patrick J. 16 37.50 1.11/$1
089.8501 6 False Hope(b-) 20/1 Samuel J L Schettino Domenick L. 49 32.65 1.54/$1
Top rated horse With "Turf Surface Not fm/hd" - Win% 33.33, ROI 1.55/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -2.8962
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[All Turf] Last Race Distance Is Greater Than Today


10/28/21, BEL, Race 5, 2.43 ET
10/28/21,BEL,5,6 1/2F [Dirt] 1:14:02 CLAIMING. Purse $45,000. (UP TO $7,830 NYSBFOA) FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES OR THREE YEAR OLDS. Three Year Olds, 120 lbs.; Older, 123 lbs. Non-winners Of A Race In 2021 Allowed 2 lbs. Claiming Price $35,000 (1.5% Aftercare Assessment Due At Time Of Claim Otherwise Claim Will Be Void).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 2B Advance Notice 5/2 Rosario J Rodriguez Rudy R. J 44 40.91 1.16/$1
099.6777 4 Race Craft 12/1 Juarez N Abrams Ronald B. SFC 176 28.41 0.87/$1
097.0950 2 Devious Mo 5/2 Vargas. Jr. J A Rodriguez Rudy R. E 176 28.41 0.87/$1
096.4278 6 Charlie Five O 4/1 Saez L Maker Michael J. L 77 36.36 1.11/$1
095.2150 1A Glory Road 4/1 Davis D Atras Rob 176 28.41 0.87/$1
093.9337 3 Power Up Paynter 6/1 Lezcano J Rice Linda W 77 36.36 1.11/$1
092.6435 8 Forever Wicked 30/1 Harkie H K Dharamjit Darmindra 19 52.63 2.17/$1
092.6435 5 Prince James 3/1 Franco M Vera Miguel 176 28.41 0.87/$1
090.9436 1 Striking Speed 4/1 Carmouche K Atras Rob 44 40.91 1.16/$1
090.7223 7 Handy 10/1 Hernandez Moreno O Potts Wayne 176 28.41 0.87/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 40.66, ROI 1.23/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -0.3223
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[All Dirt] Second Race After 45 Days Off


10/28/21, BEL, Race 6, 3.15 ET
10/28/21,BEL,6,1 1/16M [Turf] 1:38:03 STARTER ALLOWANCE. Purse $55,000. (UP TO $9,570 NYSBFOA) FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE STARTED FOR A CLAIMING PRICE OF $50,000 OR LESS AND WHICH HAVE NEVER WON A RACE OTHER THAN MAIDEN OR CLAIMING. Three Year Olds, 120 lbs.; Older, 124 lbs. Non-winners Of A Race At A Mile Or Over In 2021 Allowed 2 lbs. (If the Stewards consider it inadvisable to run this race on the turf course, this race will be run at One Mile and One Sixteenth on the Main Track.) (Rail at 18 feet).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 10 Tallis 5/1 Velazquez J R Pletcher Todd A. F 94 32.98 1.97/$1
098.7626 13 Mr. Briggs 6/1 Lezcano J Rice Linda L 110 29.09 1.71/$1
097.2312 5 Barrage 9/2 Saez L Gargan Danny TE 110 29.09 1.71/$1
097.1226 8 Purple Hearted 8/1 Cancel E Englehart Chris J. 110 29.09 1.71/$1
097.0409 9 Top Gun Tommy(b+) 5/2 Gomez J A Breen Kelly J. W 110 29.09 1.71/$1
096.9078 14 Orb in the Tower 12/1 Rider TBA Pletcher Todd A. 110 29.09 1.71/$1
096.6675 7 Public Information 6/1 Castellano J Maker Michael J. S 94 32.98 1.97/$1
095.1678 3 High Tide 3/1 Carmouche K Martin Carlos F. 94 32.98 1.97/$1
094.1351 1 Lord Flintshire 6/1 Lezcano J Abreu Jorge R. C 94 32.98 1.97/$1
093.9691 4 Fingal 12/1 Franco M Rodriguez Rudy R. 94 32.98 1.97/$1
093.7109 15 Wicked Indeed 10/1 Rider TBA Rodriguez Rudy R. 110 29.09 1.71/$1
092.4115 12 Thomond Park 15/1 Davis D Ryan Derek S. 94 32.98 1.97/$1
091.5078 6 Frenchboro 5/1 Rosario J McGaughey III Claude R J 94 32.98 1.97/$1
091.1512 2 Landbiscuit 10/1 Cancel E Mott William I. 94 32.98 1.97/$1
090.5594 11 F F Rocket 9/2 Rider TBA Atras Rob 110 29.09 1.71/$1
Top rated horse With "Turf Surface Not fm/hd" - Win% 33.33, ROI 1.55/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -1.2374
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[Turf Not_MdnMClm] Race Type Not Stakes  -with-
[Turf Not_MdnMClm] Last Race Was Not Dirt With Turf Today


10/28/21, BEL, Race 7, 3.49 ET
10/28/21,BEL,7,6 1/2F [Dirt] 1:14:02 ALLOWANCE. Purse $80,000. FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD FOALED IN NEW YORK STATE AND APPROVED BY THE NEW YORK STATE-BRED REGISTRY WHICH HAVE NEVER WON $15,000 OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, OR STARTER OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. Three Year Olds, 120 lbs.; Older, 123 lbs. Non-winners Of A Race Other Than Claiming Or Starter Allowed 2 lbs.
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 1 Big Bobby 8/5 Alvarado J Mott William I. SFEC 175 35.43 1.12/$1
097.2038 7 Doublepour 15/1 Castellano J Cruz Lenin 176 28.41 0.87/$1
097.1501 8 Big Brown Shoes 15/1 Diaz. Jr. H R Englehart Jeffrey S. L 44 40.91 1.16/$1
096.5126 6 Fenway 9/2 Saez L Baffert Bob T 88 13.64 1.36/$1
095.1605 9 Copper Chalice 20/1 Luzzi M J Lugovich Richard J. 44 40.91 1.16/$1
094.7195 5 Tapizearance 12/1 Cancel E Rice Linda 77 36.36 1.11/$1
094.6406 2 Seven Lilies 6/1 Davis D Atras Rob 44 40.91 1.16/$1
094.2189 3 On Our Way Boyz 30/1 Vargas. Jr. J A Kirby John T. 77 36.36 1.11/$1
093.2340 10 Uno 4/1 Velazquez J R Pletcher Todd A. 19 52.63 2.17/$1
092.0023 4 Quickflash 10/1 Carmouche K Kimmel John C. J 176 28.41 0.87/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 40.66, ROI 1.23/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -2.7962
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[All Dirt] *2nd Horse Not 99 Rating And Top Horse 100 Rating
*Scratches may change this condition

10/28/21, BEL, Race 8, 4.21 ET
10/28/21,BEL,8,1 1/8M [Inner Turf] 1:45:00 ALLOWANCE. Purse $92,000. INNER TURF (UP TO $16,008 NYSBFOA) FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON $15,000 OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, STARTER OR STATE BRED ALLOWANCE OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. Three Year Olds, 120 lbs.; Older, 124 lbs. Non-winners Of A Race Other Than Claiming Or Starter At A Mile Or Over Allowed 2 lbs. (Rail at 35 feet).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 12 Klickitat 5/1 Lezcano J Maker Michael J. 94 32.98 1.97/$1
099.9322 2 Regal Speaker 4/1 Alvarado J Gargan Danny C 94 32.98 1.97/$1
099.8136 11 Amano 10/1 Davis D Brown Chad C. F 94 32.98 1.97/$1
099.7212 7 King Cause 7/2 Davis D Maker Michael J. S 94 32.98 1.97/$1
099.2184 14 Boldish 2/1 Cancel E Rice Linda 110 29.09 1.71/$1
099.0120 8 Space Launch 8/1 Franco M Clement Christophe 94 32.98 1.97/$1
098.7982 1 St. Joe Louis (GB) 4/1 Cancel E Brown Chad C. E 94 32.98 1.97/$1
098.1993 6 Ranger Fox 12/1 Castellano J Terranova II John P. L 94 32.98 1.97/$1
098.0990 3 Hidden Enemy (IRE) 6/1 Saez L Asmussen Steven M. 94 32.98 1.97/$1
097.3064 5 Treason 10/1 Velazquez J R Mott William I. 110 29.09 1.71/$1
096.9461 13 My First Grammy 6/1 Rider TBA Barrera. III Oscar S. 110 29.09 1.71/$1
095.3687 4 Never Explain 8/1 Rosario J McGaughey III Claude R JW 94 32.98 1.97/$1
092.6879 9 Quid 12/1 Lezcano J Ryan Derek S. 94 32.98 1.97/$1
092.0035 15 Dust Devil 5/2 Rider TBA Mott William I. 94 32.98 1.97/$1
091.7814 10 Master of the Ring 20/1 Carmouche K Stidham Michael 94 32.98 1.97/$1
Top rated horse With "Turf Surface Not fm/hd" - Win% 33.33, ROI 1.55/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -0.0678
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[Turf Not_MdnMClm] Race Type Not Stakes  -with-
[Turf Not_MdnMClm] Last Race Was Not Dirt With Turf Today


10/28/21, BEL, Race 9, 4.52 ET
10/28/21,BEL,9,1M [Dirt] 1:32:01 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT. Purse $75,000. FOR MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD FOALED IN NEW YORK STATE AND APPROVED BY THE NEW YORK STATE-BRED REGISTRY. Three Year Olds, 120 lbs.; Older, 124 lbs. (Non-Starters For A Claiming Price Of $40,000 Or Less In The Last 3 Starts Preferred).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 7 Blitz to Win 2/1 Castellano J Tagg Barclay F 38 50.00 1.73/$1
099.5644 9 B C Glory Days 7/2 Saez L Terranova II John P. JL 38 50.00 1.73/$1
099.0398 10 Brew Pub 6/1 Alvarado J Arenas Marcelo S 38 50.00 1.73/$1
097.2253 1 Grey Giant 20/1 Luzzi M J Davies Joseph G. 38 50.00 1.73/$1
095.5381 3 My Brother Neil(b-) 20/1 Ramos C Toscano. Jr. John T. W 38 50.00 1.73/$1
095.0283 8 Umbria 4/1 Velazquez J R Rice Linda E 38 50.00 1.73/$1
094.3178 2 Got the Gold 12/1 Cancel E Englehart Chris J. T 38 50.00 1.73/$1
093.7551 6 Lucky Brody 12/1 Diaz. Jr. H R Noda Orlando 38 50.00 1.73/$1
092.7915 5 Zap Man 12/1 Vargas. Jr. J A Jerkens James A. C 38 50.00 1.73/$1
091.1329 4 Bohemian Ruby 15/1 Davis D Tagg Barclay 38 50.00 1.73/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 40.66, ROI 1.23/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -0.4356
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[Dirt MdnMClm] Horse Age 3


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