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Top Horse Analytics: 10/24/2021 Picks and Results - BEL


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TOP HORSE ANALYTICS (v12.21.10.17a)

Track: BEL
Start Of Statistics - 05/20/2021
Past Number of Races - 495

WinPC   $1ROI   HiPayoff   Bet Types
33.54 0.78 10.40   Favorites
33.13 0.89 14.60   Morning Line Favorites
30.71 1.07 63.50   Top Horse (with profitable conditions)

Complete Statistics Provided at THA Weekly Statistics

Contact us at Facebook for help or to report issues: Top Horse Analytics

The Win% and ROI columns below are the win percents and return on investments that the top horse
has performed in the past year for associated compound conditions in a race. The expectation is
that these conditions will perform as well in the future.

An ROI less than 1.01 indicates that no profitable conditions exist for this entry when it's the top rated
horse. Also, be aware that abnormally high payoffs may inflate the ROI so look for a high Win% and Occurs to go
with that high ROI as your selection.

These stats are only good for the top rated horse whether it's the original (100.0000) or the top horse
resulting from scratches. Every horse in a race may have Occurs, Win%, and ROI stats in case it becomes the
top rated horse.


horse name(b+) - Blinkers On
horse name(b-) - Blinkers Off

10/24/21, BEL, Race 1, 12.35 ET
10/24/21,BEL,1,1 1/16M [Inner Turf] 1:38:04 MAIDEN CLAIMING. Purse $45,000. INNER TURF (UP TO $7,830 NYSBFOA) FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. Three Year Olds, 120 lbs.; Older, 124 lbs. Claiming Price $40,000 (1.5% Aftercare Assessment Due At Time Of Claim Otherwise Claim Will Be Void).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 1X Investment Income(b-) 3/5 Ortiz J L Brown Chad C. L 88 27.27 0.83/$1
098.7729 1 Commandandcontrol 3/5 Ortiz J L Brown Chad C. 74 22.97 1.24/$1
098.7034 4 Gailhorsewind 8/1 Diaz. Jr. H R Trites A. Lands SEC 14 42.86 1.24/$1
098.3109 7 Wicked Happy 10/1 Alvarado J Gyarmati Leah F 88 27.27 0.83/$1
097.7790 5 Never Content (IRE) 9/2 Saez L Maker Michael J. 74 22.97 1.24/$1
097.4243 8 Salino 8/1 Lezcano J Lawrence. II James L. 88 27.27 0.83/$1
096.6223 1A Ballot Initiative 3/5 Franco M Brown Chad C. 74 22.97 1.24/$1
094.7125 6 Little Nutter 20/1 Castellano J Klesaris Robert P. 88 27.27 0.83/$1
094.6289 3 Synonymous 12/1 Ramos C Quick Patrick J. W 88 27.27 0.83/$1
091.1688 2 Exotic Cat 30/1 Samuel J L Pregman. Jr. John S. 88 27.27 0.83/$1
Top rated horse With "Turf Surface Not fm/hd" - Win% 30.95, ROI 1.13/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -1.2271
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[Turf MdnMClm] Default Category Stats


10/24/21, BEL, Race 2, 1.09 ET
10/24/21,BEL,2,6 1/2F [Dirt] 1:14:02 CLAIMING. Purse $36,000. FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD. Three Year Olds, 120 lbs.; Older, 123 lbs. Non-winners Of A Race In 2021 Allowed 2 lbs. Claiming Price $12,500 (Maiden And Claiming Races For $10,000 Or Less Not Considered In Allowances) (1.5% Aftercare Assessment Due At Time Of Claim Otherwise Claim Will Be Void).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 6 Flowers for Lisa 4/1 Ramos C Levine Bruce N. L 108 35.19 1.18/$1
099.7999 2 Winning Drive 3/1 Lezcano J Kantarmaci Mertkan F 155 34.19 1.13/$1
098.6650 3 Storm Advisory 9/5 Carmouche K Atras Rob JT 67 35.82 1.21/$1
097.6567 1 Joycee Haz Pizzaz 5/2 Samuel J L DeLauro Edward J. SEW 155 34.19 1.13/$1
097.4820 4 Skyler's Scramjet 8/1 Davis D Avila A. C. 155 34.19 1.13/$1
095.5133 5 Tale of Mist 12/1 Hernandez Moreno O Persaud Randi C 155 34.19 1.13/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 47.25, ROI 1.41/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -0.2001
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[All Dirt] Last Race Purse Lower Than Today


10/24/21, BEL, Race 3, 1.41 ET
10/24/21,BEL,3,7F [Turf] 1:19:01 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT. Purse $90,000. (UP TO $15,660 NYSBFOA) FOR MAIDENS, TWO YEARS OLD. Weight, 119 lbs. (Non-Starters For A Claiming Price Of $40,000 Or Less In The Last 3 Starts Preferred). (If the Stewards consider it inadvisable to run this race on the turf course, this race will be run at Seven Furlongs on the Main Track.) (Rail at 9 feet).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 10 Baj 5/1 Franco M Joseph. Jr. Saffie A. L 48 29.17 1.31/$1
099.5213 7 Ansel 8/5 Alvarado J Mott William I. SEC 48 29.17 1.31/$1
099.1586 9 Protonic Power 8/1 Velazquez J R Pletcher Todd A. 88 27.27 0.83/$1
098.3080 4 Sy Dog 3/1 Ortiz J L Motion H. Graham J 88 27.27 0.83/$1
098.2235 8 Dr. Levy 3/1 Rider TBA Pletcher Todd A. 88 27.27 0.83/$1
098.2235 11 Good Medicine 8/1 Rider TBA Pletcher Todd A. 88 27.27 0.83/$1
097.9690 6 Perfect Flight 5/2 Rider TBA Asmussen Steven M. 88 27.27 0.83/$1
097.7352 5 Father Walsh(b+) 6/1 Castellano J Reynolds Patrick L. 88 27.27 0.83/$1
097.4410 1 Dr Brownes Miracle 10/1 Lezcano J Abreu Jorge R. W 88 27.27 0.83/$1
097.0293 3 American Day 15/1 Figueroa H Mc Allen John P. F 74 22.97 1.24/$1
095.3267 12 Exceptional 30/1 Harkie H K Dharamjit Darmindra 88 27.27 0.83/$1
095.2297 2 Just Jeremy 30/1 Samuel J L Hogan Jr. William J 88 27.27 0.83/$1
Top rated horse With "Turf Surface Not fm/hd" - Win% 30.95, ROI 1.13/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -0.4787
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[All Turf] Last Race Distance Is Greater Than Today


10/24/21, BEL, Race 4, 2.13 ET
10/24/21,BEL,4,1 1/16M [Dirt] 1:39:01 ALLOWANCE. Purse $92,000. (UP TO $16,008 NYSBFOA) FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON $15,000 OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, STARTER OR STATE BRED ALLOWANCE OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. Three Year Olds, 120 lbs.; Older, 124 lbs. Non-winners Of A Race Other Than Claiming Or Starter At A Mile Or Over Allowed 2 lbs.
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 4 Auburn Hills 7/2 Saez L Maker Michael J. SFL 88 15.91 1.34/$1
099.7795 1 Miles D 1/5 Velazquez J R Brown Chad C. TE 89 31.46 1.23/$1
097.7852 2 Ashaar 12/1 Castellano J Potts Wayne 155 34.19 1.13/$1
095.5801 5 Adare 8/1 Ortiz J L Drysdale Neil D. JC 89 31.46 1.23/$1
091.0467 3 Chowda 30/1 Hernandez Moreno O Sciacca Gary W 155 34.19 1.13/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 47.25, ROI 1.41/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -0.2205
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
Earnings Turf Prev_Curr*0.0 (M)
*Scratches may change this condition

10/24/21, BEL, Race 5, 2.43 ET
10/24/21,BEL,5,1 1/16M [Inner Turf] 1:38:04 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT. Purse $90,000. INNER TURF (UP TO $15,660 NYSBFOA) FOR MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. Three Year Olds, 120 lbs.; Older, 124 lbs. (Non-Starters For A Claiming Price Of $40,000 Or Less In The Last 3 Starts Preferred).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 4 Advise and Consent 2/1 Ortiz J L Brown Chad C. JSFEC 14 42.86 1.24/$1
095.9283 9 Partner's Hope 10/1 Franco M Gargan Danny T 14 42.86 1.24/$1
095.3679 5 Rock Sugar 7/2 Alvarado J Mott William I. 74 22.97 1.24/$1
094.8049 6 Aruba 6/1 Lezcano J Abreu Jorge R. L 88 27.27 0.83/$1
094.4282 1 Conquer the World 6/1 Saez L Pletcher Todd A. 88 27.27 0.83/$1
094.1051 2 Please the Pharoah 8/1 Carmouche K Kimmel John C. 74 22.97 1.24/$1
093.2564 8 Prayer Book 30/1 Ramos C Chichakly Amira 88 27.27 0.83/$1
090.6393 7 Ninth of April 50/1 Figueroa H Mc Allen John P. 74 22.97 1.24/$1
089.2402 3 North Carolina 9/2 Davis D Tagg Barclay W 14 42.86 1.24/$1
Top rated horse With "Turf Surface Not fm/hd" - Win% 30.95, ROI 1.13/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -4.0717
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[Turf MdnMClm] Last Race (Sprint Or Route) Not Same As Today


10/24/21, BEL, Race 6, 3.15 ET
10/24/21,BEL,6,1 1/16M [Turf] 1:38:03 CLAIMING. Purse $41,000. (UP TO $7,134 NYSBFOA) FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. Three Year Olds, 120 lbs.; Older, 124 lbs. Non-winners Of A Race At A Mile Or Over In 2021 Allowed 2 lbs. Claiming Price $30,000 (1.5% Aftercare Assessment Due At Time Of Claim Otherwise Claim Will Be Void). (If the Stewards consider it inadvisable to run this race on the turf course, this race will be run at One Mile and One Sixteenth on the Main Track.) (Rail at 9 feet).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 12 Digital Software 4/1 Castellano J Brown Chad C. TSC 95 31.58 1.69/$1
096.6326 11 Straight Skinny 15/1 Carmouche K Hennig Mark A. F 74 31.08 1.87/$1
095.6029 8 Prefect 6/1 Lezcano J Gargan Danny 87 29.89 1.76/$1
095.4924 15 Voliero 8/1 Castellano J Maker Michael J. 87 29.89 1.76/$1
095.3145 9 K. K. Ichikawa 20/1 Samuel J L Rodriguez Rudy R. 87 29.89 1.76/$1
095.1567 6 Caribbean Gold 8/1 Ortiz J L Maker Michael J. JL 87 29.89 1.76/$1
095.1546 13 Justintimeforwine 30/1 Luzzi M J Reynolds Patrick L. 87 29.89 1.76/$1
095.0102 14 Ouch Ouch Ouch 20/1 Lezcano J Klesaris Robert P. 87 29.89 1.76/$1
094.1406 4 Halpert 12/1 Davis D Englehart Jeremiah C. 87 29.89 1.76/$1
093.5122 3 Tulfarris (GB) 3/1 Alvarado J Bond H. James 87 29.89 1.76/$1
092.4244 2 Made My Day (IRE) 6/1 Saez L Stidham Michael 95 31.58 1.69/$1
091.2754 5 Actuary (GB) 20/1 Diaz. Jr. H R Atras Rob 87 29.89 1.76/$1
090.1588 1 Gateway Guardian 20/1 Velazquez J R Donk David G. 87 29.89 1.76/$1
088.8165 7 Jacks American Pie(b-) 30/1 Hernandez B Summers Chad W 74 31.08 1.87/$1
087.8792 10 Western Advantage 8/1 Franco M Weaver George E 87 29.89 1.76/$1
Top rated horse With "Turf Surface Not fm/hd" - Win% 30.95, ROI 1.13/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -3.3674
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[Turf Not_MdnMClm] Race Type Not Stakes  -with-
[Turf Not_MdnMClm] Last Race Was Not Dirt With Turf Today


10/24/21, BEL, Race 7, 3.47 ET
10/24/21,BEL,7,6F [Dirt] 1:07:03 CLAIMING. Purse $28,000. FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. Three Year Olds, 120 lbs.; Older, 123 lbs. Non-winners Of A Race In 2021 Allowed 2 lbs. Claiming Price $16,000 (1.5% Aftercare Assessment Due At Time Of Claim Otherwise Claim Will Be Void).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 8 Miss Peppina(b+) 6/5 Carmouche K Falcone. Jr. Robert N. JFC 110 38.18 1.20/$1
097.3749 1 Bellamy'spartygirl 20/1 Harkie H K DiPrima Gregory T 110 38.18 1.20/$1
097.1015 3 Bustinmygroove 5/1 Ramos C Klesaris Robert P. EW 110 38.18 1.20/$1
096.1214 4 Dazzling Speed 20/1 Gonzalez S Pringle Edmund L 110 38.18 1.20/$1
095.2680 7 East Wing 3/1 Cancel E Lerman Roy S. S 110 38.18 1.20/$1
094.4566 5 Charlotte Webley 6/1 Luzzi M J Simmonds Michael A. 110 38.18 1.20/$1
092.6387 2 Cherokee Song 12/1 Hernandez B Persaud Randi 110 38.18 1.20/$1
090.8233 6 Miss Alex 10/1 Hernandez Moreno O Ryerson James T. 110 38.18 1.20/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 47.25, ROI 1.41/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -2.6251
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[All Dirt] Race Sex Females


10/24/21, BEL, Race 8, 4.21 ET
10/24/21,BEL,8,1 1/16M [Inner Turf] 1:38:04 STARTER ALLOWANCE. Purse $55,000. INNER TURF (UP TO $9,570 NYSBFOA) FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE STARTED FOR A CLAIMING PRICE OF $50,000 OR LESS AND WHICH HAVE NEVER WON A RACE OTHER THAN MAIDEN OR CLAIMING. Three Year Olds, 120 lbs.; Older, 124 lbs. Non-winners Of A Race At A Mile Or Over In 2021 Allowed 2 lbs.
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 7 Gambling Cat 6/1 Davis D Casse Mark E. TSE 95 31.58 1.69/$1
098.7193 5 Giggle Factory 8/1 Alvarado J Albertrani Thomas L 87 29.89 1.76/$1
097.7519 4 Suspended Campaign 5/2 Ortiz J L Duggan David P. F 74 31.08 1.87/$1
097.0441 1 Lido Key 9/2 Castellano J Maker Michael J. C 87 29.89 1.76/$1
096.5578 2 Ocean Air 7/2 Ortiz J L Brown Bruce R. 95 31.58 1.69/$1
096.4977 8 Command Point 3/1 Franco M Weaver George 87 29.89 1.76/$1
096.3253 12 Grey Charlotte 20/1 Torres J Carvajal. Jr. Luis 74 31.08 1.87/$1
094.1078 11 Exotic West 6/1 Luzzi M J Sciacca Gary 87 29.89 1.76/$1
092.7618 3 Sudden Impulse 30/1 Hernandez B Chichakly Amira W 87 29.89 1.76/$1
092.7522 10 Evidence Based 12/1 Lezcano J Abreu Jorge R. 87 29.89 1.76/$1
090.8747 9 Sweet Mission 5/1 Rider TBA Hennig Mark A. 87 29.89 1.76/$1
090.7410 6 Linny Kate(b+) 15/1 Diaz. Jr. H R Trites A. Lands 87 29.89 1.76/$1
Top rated horse With "Turf Surface Not fm/hd" - Win% 30.95, ROI 1.13/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -1.2807
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[Turf Not_MdnMClm] Race Type Not Stakes  -with-
[Turf Not_MdnMClm] Last Race Was Not Dirt With Turf Today


10/24/21, BEL, Race 9, 4.52 ET
10/24/21,BEL,9,1 1/2M [Turf] 2:23:02 STAKES. Point of Entry Stakes. Purse $100,000. FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD. Non-Lasix Race pursuant to 4043.2 (7)(e)(5) Lasix not permitted within 48 hours of post time. By subscription of $100 each which should accompany the nomination; $500 to pass the entry box and an additional $500 to start. For horses not originally nominated, a supplemental payment of $1,000 (along with the entry and starting fees) may be made at any time prior to the closing of entries. The purse to be divided 55% to the owner of the winner, 20% to second, 12% to third, 6%to fourth, 4% to fifth and 3% divided equally amongst the remaining finishers. Weights: Three-Year-Olds 122 lbs. Older 126 lbs. Non-winners of a Graded Sweepstake at a mile or over in 2021 allowed 2 lbs.; of a sweepstake at a mile or over in 2020-21 allowwed 4 lbs. The New York Racing Association reserves the right to transfer this race to the Main Track. A presentation will be made to the winning owner. Closed Saturday, October 9, 2021 with 20 Original Nominations and 1 Supplement. (If the Stewards consider it inadvisable to run this race on the turf course, this race will be run at One Mile and One Quarter on the Main Track.) (Rail at 9 feet).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 1 Tide of the Sea 2/1 Saez L Maker Michael J. FEWL 128 27.34 1.40/$1
097.7054 4 Moretti 1/1 Rider TBA Pletcher Todd A. 117 27.35 1.42/$1
096.7323 5 Beacon Hill 7/2 Velazquez J R Matz Michael R. 87 29.89 1.76/$1
096.2248 7 Mo Gotcha 30/1 Samuel J L Chatterpaul Naipaul 98 26.53 1.56/$1
095.8781 2 Shamrocket 7/5 Castellano J Pletcher Todd A. S 87 29.89 1.76/$1
094.4569 6 Experienced 10/1 Davis D Thomas Jonathan TC 128 27.34 1.40/$1
090.6923 3 Bluegrass Parkway 9/2 Ortiz J L Maker Michael J. J 87 29.89 1.76/$1
Top rated horse With "Turf Surface Not fm/hd" - Win% 30.95, ROI 1.13/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -2.2946
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[Turf Not_MdnMClm] Last Race Was Not Dirt With Turf Today


10/24/21, BEL, Race 10, 5.23 ET
10/24/21,BEL,10,6F [Dirt] 1:07:03 MAIDEN CLAIMING. Purse $37,000. FOR MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD FOALED IN NEW YORK STATE AND APPROVED BY THE NEW YORK STATE-BRED REGISTRY. Three Year Olds, 121 lbs.; Older, 124 lbs. Claiming Price $25,000 (1.5% Aftercare Assessment Due At Time Of Claim Otherwise Claim Will Be Void).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 4 Suit of Armor 2/1 Saez L Cox Brad H. TSE 42 47.62 1.62/$1
099.2808 10 Flipping Fun 6/1 Castellano J Davis Edmund D. FC 42 47.62 1.62/$1
096.5448 8 Distractandattack 8/1 Carmouche K Summers Chad J 42 47.62 1.62/$1
094.9747 5 Kaden 9/2 Davis D Englehart Jeremiah C. 42 47.62 1.62/$1
092.3435 1 Swinton 10/1 Franco M Schosberg Richard E. 42 47.62 1.62/$1
091.9317 11 Kisses for Val 20/1 Ramos C Toscano. Jr. John T. 42 47.62 1.62/$1
090.1823 6 Alite 30/1 Luzzi M J Pringle Edmund 49 46.94 1.52/$1
089.4418 2 Remembermom 5/1 Samuel J L Chatterpaul Naipaul 49 46.94 1.52/$1
089.3688 9 Yah Huh 20/1 Hernandez Moreno O Potts Wayne 49 46.94 1.52/$1
089.3390 7 I Gen 10/1 Lezcano J Clement Christophe W 42 47.62 1.62/$1
085.3343 3 Prince of Joy 30/1 Roberts C Legall Ricardo E. L 42 47.62 1.62/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 47.25, ROI 1.41/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -0.7192
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[Dirt MdnMClm] Horse Age 3


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