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Top Horse Analytics: 10/23/2021 Picks and Results - SA


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TOP HORSE ANALYTICS (v12.21.10.17a)

Track: SA
Start Of Statistics - 10/16/2020
Past Number of Races - 855

WinPC   $1ROI   HiPayoff   Bet Types
38.25 0.87   8.80   Favorites
37.53 0.92 17.00   Morning Line Favorites
33.68 1.08 40.40   Top Horse (with profitable conditions)

Complete Statistics Provided at THA Weekly Statistics

Contact us at Facebook for help or to report issues: Top Horse Analytics

The Win% and ROI columns below are the win percents and return on investments that the top horse
has performed in the past year for associated compound conditions in a race. The expectation is
that these conditions will perform as well in the future.

An ROI less than 1.01 indicates that no profitable conditions exist for this entry when it's the top rated
horse. Also, be aware that abnormally high payoffs may inflate the ROI so look for a high Win% and Occurs to go
with that high ROI as your selection.

These stats are only good for the top rated horse whether it's the original (100.0000) or the top horse
resulting from scratches. Every horse in a race may have Occurs, Win%, and ROI stats in case it becomes the
top rated horse.


horse name(b+) - Blinkers On
horse name(b-) - Blinkers Off

10/23/21, SA, Race 1, 1.00 PT
10/23/21,SA,1,1M [Turf] 1:31:03 MAIDEN CLAIMING. Purse $35,000. FOR MAIDENS, TWO YEARS OLD. Weight, 122 lbs.; Claiming Price $50,000, For Each $2,500 To $45,000 1 lb. (Rail at 10 feet).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 1 Lookout Point 7/2 Rispoli U Knapp Steve E 356 31.74 1.16/$1
098.2736 3 Riviera Champ 4/1 Hernandez J J McCarthy Michael W. 356 31.74 1.16/$1
097.3453 10 Roy C 4/1 Prat F Miller Peter JT 356 31.74 1.16/$1
094.8668 6 Hannigan 20/1 Baze T Kruljac J. Eric 356 31.74 1.16/$1
091.3901 8 State of the Union 12/1 Pyfer J Bonde Jeff 356 31.74 1.16/$1
086.9414 5 Sundown Warren 15/1 Espinoza V Hanson Ryan 356 31.74 1.16/$1
086.9414 4 La'och Aloysius 8/1 Cedillo A O'Neill Doug F. W 356 31.74 1.16/$1
085.8970 2 Get Back Goldie(b-) 6/1 Frey K O'Neill Doug F. 356 31.74 1.16/$1
084.8290 11 Recaptured Freedom 10/1 Herrera D A Capestro Paula S. 356 31.74 1.16/$1
084.8139 9 Walking Boss 10/1 Espinoza J Puype Mike L 356 31.74 1.16/$1
084.0131 7 Chris Fix 15/1 Franco G Marquez Alfredo P. C 356 31.74 1.16/$1
Top rated horse With "Turf Surface Not fm/hd" - Win% 23.08, ROI 0.92/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -1.7264
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[All Turf] Race Purse Not Greater Than $75K


10/23/21, SA, Race 2, 1.30 PT
10/23/21,SA,2,6F [Dirt] 1:07:00 STARTER OPTIONAL CLAIMING. Purse $42,000 (plus up to $5,040 CBOIF - California Bred Owner Fund). FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE STARTED FOR A CLAIMING PRICE OF $25,000 OR LESS IN ONE OF THEIR LAST THREE STARTS OR CLAIMING PRICE $25,000. Three Year Olds, 122 lbs.; Older, 124 lbs. Non-winners Of A Race Since July 23 Allowed 2 lbs. Claiming Price $25,000.
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 1 Defense Wins 9/5 Prat F O'Neill Doug F. JFW 210 29.05 1.26/$1
099.7343 3 California Street 4/5 Rispoli U Miller Peter TSEC 388 37.11 1.12/$1
095.5021 2 Play Chicken 4/1 Pereira T J Knapp Steve L 210 29.05 1.26/$1
094.9532 4 Bear Chum (AUS) 10/1 Franco G Barocio Librado 210 29.05 1.26/$1
093.7312 5 Mariners Way 12/1 Maldonado E A Solis Walther 86 52.33 1.74/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 50.00, ROI 2.27/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -0.2657
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[All Dirt] Not Morning Line Favorite(not entry)


10/23/21, SA, Race 3, 2.01 PT
10/23/21,SA,3,1 1/4M [Turf] 1:57:01 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING. Purse $63,000 (plus up to $18,900 CBOIF - California Bred Owner Fund). DOWNHILL TURF FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON $15,000 ONCE OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING OR STARTER OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES OR CLAIMING PRICE $50,000. Three Year Olds, 122 lbs.; Older, 124 lbs. Non-winners Of A Race Other Than Maiden, Claiming Or Starter At A Mile Or Over Allowed 2 lbs. Claiming Price $50,000 (Rail at 10 feet).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 7 Secret Club 5/2 Prat F Miller Peter J 171 34.50 1.28/$1
095.2565 6 Luvluv 5/1 Hernandez J J Sadler John W. TFEC 160 31.25 1.26/$1
092.1753 1 Ottawa Fire (IRE) 7/2 Rispoli U D'Amato Philip W 171 34.50 1.28/$1
090.9890 4 Proud Pedro (FR) 3/1 Desormeaux K J Powell Leonard 171 34.50 1.28/$1
090.8020 5 Lure Him In 8/1 Maldonado E A Hess. Jr. Robert B. L 160 31.25 1.26/$1
090.3037 2 Cleopatra's Strike 4/1 Cedillo A Hess. Jr. Robert B. S 171 34.50 1.28/$1
087.1512 3 Exalted Joy 15/1 Baze T McCarthy Michael W. 171 34.50 1.28/$1
Top rated horse With "Turf Surface Not fm/hd" - Win% 23.08, ROI 0.92/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -4.7435
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[All Turf] Last Race Distance Is Less Than Today


10/23/21, SA, Race 4, 2.35 PT
10/23/21,SA,4,1M [Dirt] 1:33:02 CLAIMING. Purse $36,000. FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD. Three Year Olds, 122 lbs.; Older, 124 lbs. Non-winners Of A Race At A Mile Or Over Since July 23 Allowed 2 lbs. Claiming Price $25,000, if for $22,500, allowed 2 lbs. (Maiden And Claiming Races For $20,000 Or Less Not Considered In Eligibility And Allowances).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 4 Unbroken Star 2/1 Prat F Puype Mike JTW 240 42.92 1.25/$1
095.4472 3 Luck of the Draw 7/2 Cedillo A O'Neill Doug F. FEC 210 29.05 1.26/$1
094.4982 5 Major Cabbie 5/2 Gonzalez R Garcia Victor L. 240 42.92 1.25/$1
093.3028 1 Invictatatus 6/1 Pereira T J Marquez Alfredo P. SL 240 42.92 1.25/$1
093.0495 2 Mongolian Wind 5/2 Maldonado E A Ganbat Enebish 240 42.92 1.25/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 50.00, ROI 2.27/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -4.5528
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[All Dirt] 5f Workout Since Last Race


10/23/21, SA, Race 5, 3.06 PT
10/23/21,SA,5,6 1/2F [Turf] 1:13:04 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT. Purse $61,000. FOR CALIFORNIA BRED OR CALIFORNIA SIRED MAIDENS, FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. Three Year Olds, 122 lbs.; Older, 124 lbs. (Rail at 10 feet).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 6 Big Summer 8/5 Rispoli U Heap Blake R. SFL 356 31.74 1.16/$1
098.9468 10 Spanish Channel(b-) 12/1 Pereira T J Nichols Samuel 356 31.74 1.16/$1
097.5314 8 Piazzetta 8/1 Frey K O'Neill Doug F. 356 31.74 1.16/$1
095.0432 1 Issa Court 6/1 Hernandez J J Blacker Dan 356 31.74 1.16/$1
094.6387 11 Shez Our Arch 30/1 Espinoza J Gutierrez Jorge 356 31.74 1.16/$1
092.2930 5 Big News Coming 20/1 Herrera D A Yakteen Tim W 356 31.74 1.16/$1
092.2535 4 Chao Mar(b-) 12/1 Baze T Stute Gary C 356 31.74 1.16/$1
088.0373 7 Feeling Grazeful 6/1 Franco G Spawr William E 356 31.74 1.16/$1
087.0115 3 Kitten's Kid 3/1 Prat F Miller Peter JT 356 31.74 1.16/$1
084.3861 2 Shanghai Dazzler 20/1 Maldonado E A Kruljac J. Eric 356 31.74 1.16/$1
082.8911 9 Mistaka 50/1 Lopez. Jr. C E Sierra Javier Jose 356 31.74 1.16/$1
Top rated horse With "Turf Surface Not fm/hd" - Win% 23.08, ROI 0.92/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -1.0532
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[All Turf] Race Purse Not Greater Than $75K


10/23/21, SA, Race 6, 3.37 PT
10/23/21,SA,6,6F [Dirt] 1:07:00 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING. Purse $63,000 (plus up to $18,900 CBOIF - California Bred Owner Fund). FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON $15,000 ONCE OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING OR STARTER OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES OR CLAIMING PRICE $50,000. Three Year Olds, 122 lbs.; Older, 124 lbs. Claiming Price $50,000.
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 5 Queengol 3/1 Prat F Sadler John W. JT 86 52.33 1.74/$1
097.6534 1 Big Sweep 6/5 Cedillo A Glatt Mark FE 86 52.33 1.74/$1
096.1828 4 Founder's Day 7/2 Espinoza V Hess. Jr. Robert B. 210 29.05 1.26/$1
095.5510 2 Maxim Strider 5/1 Valdivia. Jr. J Miller Peter L 240 42.92 1.25/$1
094.1844 3 Honor America 6/1 Van Dyke D Ruis Shelbe 240 42.92 1.25/$1
092.6417 6 Full of Grace 15/1 Maldonado E A Saldana Reed SWC 86 52.33 1.74/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 50.00, ROI 2.27/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -2.3466
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[Dirt Not_MdnMClm] 5f Workout Since Last Race  -with-
[Dirt Not_MdnMClm] Last Race Was Sprint With Sprint Today


10/23/21, SA, Race 7, 4.08 PT
10/23/21,SA,7,1M [Turf] 1:31:03 STAKES. Lure Stakes. Purse $70,000 (plus up to $21,000 Added CBOIF - California Bred Owner Fund). FOR THREE-YEAR-OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NOT WON A SWEEPSTAKES OF $60,000* AT ONE MILE OR OVER IN 2021 OTHER THAN STATE BRED. FREE nominations close Thursday, October 14, 2021, closed with 12 or by supplementary nomination of $1,400 at time of entry, closed with 1 (Dubby Dubbie). $400 to enter and an additional $400 to start with $70,000 added. The added monies and all fees to be divided 60% to the winner, 20% to second, 12% to third, 6% to fourth and 2% to fifth. Three-year-olds 122 lbs. Older 126 lbs.Non-winners of a Sweepstakes at One Mile or Over allowed 2 lbs. Non-winners of Two Races Other Than Maiden, Claiming or Starter at One Mile or Over allowed 4 lbs. (Rail at 10 feet).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 1 Neptune's Storm 6/5 Prat F Miller Peter JFEL 154 41.56 1.25/$1
092.5312 3 Shooters Shoot 6/1 Hernandez J J Eurton Peter W 171 34.50 1.28/$1
090.8925 5 Dubby Dubbie 5/1 Bravo J Sadler John W. TS 160 31.25 1.26/$1
090.6010 2 Order and Law(b+) 5/1 Cedillo A Maker Michael J. 164 34.15 1.21/$1
089.9326 6 Majestic Eagle 5/1 Gutierrez M Drysdale Neil D. C 160 31.25 1.26/$1
089.5274 4 Lambeau 4/1 Maldonado E A Shirreffs John A. 171 34.50 1.28/$1
Top rated horse With "Turf Surface Not fm/hd" - Win% 23.08, ROI 0.92/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -7.4688
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[All Turf] Best Finish


10/23/21, SA, Race 8, 4.40 PT
10/23/21,SA,8,1 1/16M [Dirt] 1:39:01 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING. Purse $63,000 (plus up to $18,900 CBOIF - California Bred Owner Fund). FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON $15,000 ONCE OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING OR STARTER OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES OR CLAIMING PRICE $50,000. Three Year Olds, 122 lbs.; Older, 124 lbs. Non-winners Of A Race Other Than Maiden, Claiming Or Starter Allowed 2 lbs. Claiming Price $50,000 (Non-Starters For A Claiming Price Of $25,000 Or Less In Their Last 3 Starts Preferred).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 4 Barbwire 3/1 Prat F Baltas Richard JFEW 240 42.92 1.25/$1
097.0441 3 Synthesis 5/2 Baze T Mullins Jeff SL 240 42.92 1.25/$1
096.9142 7 Touchdown Brown 7/2 Desormeaux K J Koriner Brian J. 240 42.92 1.25/$1
096.2815 2 Divine Armor 5/1 Pereira T J Sadler John W. TC 240 42.92 1.25/$1
094.4870 5 Family Biz 5/1 Pyfer J Mullins Jeff 240 42.92 1.25/$1
092.7472 6 Jack Sprout 10/1 Valdivia. Jr. J Mendez Luis 240 42.92 1.25/$1
092.7281 1 Willy the Cobbler 8/1 Van Dyke D Knapp Steve 240 42.92 1.25/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 50.00, ROI 2.27/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -2.9559
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[All Dirt] 5f Workout Since Last Race


10/23/21, SA, Race 9, 5.12 PT
10/23/21,SA,9,6F [Turf] 1:06:03 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT. Purse $61,000 (plus up to $18,300 CBOIF - California Bred Owner Fund). FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES TWO YEARS OLD. Weight, 122 lbs. (Non-Starters For A Claiming Price Of $40,000 Or Less In Their Last Starts Preferred). (Rail at 10 feet).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 12 Urban 9/5 Prat F Callaghan Simon JSFEC 356 31.74 1.16/$1
096.2855 2 Booze Runner 15/1 Desormeaux K J Kruljac J. Eric 356 31.74 1.16/$1
095.2145 1 Silent Beauty(b+) 30/1 Baze T Zucker Howard L. 356 31.74 1.16/$1
093.5059 5 Shoppingforpharoah 6/1 Gonzalez R Wong Jonathan TW 356 31.74 1.16/$1
093.3695 8 Tonito's 6/1 Gutierrez M O'Neill Doug F. 356 31.74 1.16/$1
093.3695 7 English Meadow 30/1 Frey K Greenfield Alana 356 31.74 1.16/$1
093.3695 3 Lonely On Top 6/1 Cedillo A O'Neill Doug F. 356 31.74 1.16/$1
093.3695 11 One Arrow 20/1 Pyfer J Drysdale Neil D. 356 31.74 1.16/$1
093.3695 10 Kjos Kid 10/1 Hernandez J J Baltas Richard 356 31.74 1.16/$1
092.8470 4 Vulin(b+) 5/1 Rispoli U Baltas Richard 356 31.74 1.16/$1
088.1784 9 Miss Mattie B 15/1 Van Dyke D Hess. Jr. Robert B. 356 31.74 1.16/$1
084.8548 13 She's So Shiny 12/1 Herrera D A O'Neill Doug F. L 356 31.74 1.16/$1
084.6086 6 Ayellowroseoftexas 20/1 Bravo J Miller Peter 356 31.74 1.16/$1
Top rated horse With "Turf Surface Not fm/hd" - Win% 23.08, ROI 0.92/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -3.7145
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[All Turf] Race Purse Not Greater Than $75K


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