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Top Horse Analytics

Top Horse Analytics: 10/22/2021 Picks and Results - SA


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TOP HORSE ANALYTICS (v12.21.10.17a)

Track: SA
Start Of Statistics - 10/16/2020
Past Number of Races - 855

WinPC   $1ROI   HiPayoff   Bet Types
38.25 0.87   8.80   Favorites
37.53 0.92 17.00   Morning Line Favorites
33.68 1.08 40.40   Top Horse (with profitable conditions)

Complete Statistics Provided at THA Weekly Statistics

Contact us at Facebook for help or to report issues: Top Horse Analytics

The Win% and ROI columns below are the win percents and return on investments that the top horse
has performed in the past year for associated compound conditions in a race. The expectation is
that these conditions will perform as well in the future.

An ROI less than 1.01 indicates that no profitable conditions exist for this entry when it's the top rated
horse. Also, be aware that abnormally high payoffs may inflate the ROI so look for a high Win% and Occurs to go
with that high ROI as your selection.

These stats are only good for the top rated horse whether it's the original (100.0000) or the top horse
resulting from scratches. Every horse in a race may have Occurs, Win%, and ROI stats in case it becomes the
top rated horse.


horse name(b+) - Blinkers On
horse name(b-) - Blinkers Off

10/22/21, SA, Race 1, 1.00 PT
10/22/21,SA,1,1M [Turf] 1:31:03 CLAIMING. Purse $47,000 (plus up to $5,040 CBOIF - California Bred Owner Fund). FOR THREE YEAR OLDS. Weight, 123 lbs. Non-winners Of A Race At A Mile Or Over Since July 22 Allowed 2 lbs. Claiming Price $50,000, For Each $2,500 To $45,000 2 lbs. (Maiden And Claiming Races For $32,000 Or Less Not Considered In Allowances). (Rail at 30feet).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 6 Optimistic Valor 8/5 Prat F Miller Peter J 160 31.25 1.26/$1
095.1510 2 Mucho Del Oro 7/2 Rispoli U Baltas Richard E 160 31.25 1.26/$1
095.0237 4 Zippy Baby 8/1 Frey K McCanna Tim 160 31.25 1.26/$1
094.7669 1 Kennebec 3/1 Hernandez J J Wong Jonathan TC 67 32.84 1.41/$1
091.3515 3 Cane Creek Road 4/1 Maldonado E A Hess. Jr. Robert B. SFL 160 31.25 1.26/$1
087.9307 7 Reckoning Day 20/1 Herrera D A Dollase Craig W 171 34.50 1.28/$1
086.7514 5 Never Seen Before (IRE) 12/1 Pereira T J Harty Eoin G. 67 32.84 1.41/$1
Top rated horse With "Turf Surface Not fm/hd" - Win% 23.08, ROI 0.92/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -4.8490
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[All Turf] First Race After 45 Days Off


10/22/21, SA, Race 2, 1.30 PT
10/22/21,SA,2,7F [Dirt] 1:19:04 STARTER ALLOWANCE. Purse $27,000 (plus up to $3,240 CBOIF - California Bred Owner Fund). FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE STARTED FOR A CLAIMING PRICE OF $12,500 OR LESS IN 2020 - 2021. Three Year Olds, 122 lbs.; Older, 124 lbs. Non-winners Of A Race Since July 22 Allowed 2 lbs. Horses That Won An Allowance Race From 2020-2021 Will Carry An Additional 2 Pounds And Are Not Eligible For Weight Allowances.
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 4 Colosi 1/1 Prat F Spawr William JFL 240 42.92 1.25/$1
096.5522 5 Red Valor 6/5 Cedillo A Knapp Steve SEW 86 52.33 1.74/$1
094.9895 3 Stitzy 8/1 Franco G Saldana Reed T 240 42.92 1.25/$1
094.8208 2 Leprino 5/1 Baze T Treece Charles S. C 240 42.92 1.25/$1
091.1701 1 Owning 20/1 Lopez. Jr. C E Sierra Javier Jose 210 29.05 1.26/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 50.00, ROI 2.27/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -3.4478
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[All Dirt] 5f Workout Since Last Race


10/22/21, SA, Race 3, 2.02 PT
10/22/21,SA,3,6F [Dirt] 1:07:00 MAIDEN CLAIMING. Purse $32,000. FOR CALIFORNIA BRED OR CALIFORNIA SIRED MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. Three Year Olds, 122 lbs.; Older, 124 lbs. Claiming Price $50,000, For Each $2,500 To $45,000 1 lb.
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 4 What an Idea 7/2 Prat F Miller Peter J 210 29.05 1.26/$1
093.2104 10 Good Vibes Only 6/1 Frey K Ruis Shelbe 210 29.05 1.26/$1
092.0636 1 Midnight Somewhere(b+) 3/1 Pereira T J Pederson Dean W 58 50.00 1.77/$1
090.8316 5 Rich Warrior 5/1 Pyfer J D'Amato Philip 210 29.05 1.26/$1
089.4809 6 Devil Be Me 5/1 Franco G Spawr William 210 29.05 1.26/$1
089.1695 7 Straus's Place 8/1 Gonzalez R D'Amato Philip 210 29.05 1.26/$1
089.1598 2 Me Macho 8/1 Maldonado E A Cortez John E. FEC 210 29.05 1.26/$1
086.8621 9 Rifey 12/1 Baze T Stute Gary 210 29.05 1.26/$1
083.9418 3 Storm the Gate 15/1 Espinoza J Knapp Steve 210 29.05 1.26/$1
000.0000 8 Gerlach's 1/5 No Rider Yet 210 29.05 1.26/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 50.00, ROI 2.27/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -6.7896
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[All Dirt] Not Morning Line Favorite(not entry)


10/22/21, SA, Race 4, 2.35 PT
10/22/21,SA,4,6F [Dirt] 1:07:00 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT. Purse $61,000 (plus up to $18,300 CBOIF - California Bred Owner Fund). FOR MAIDENS, TWO YEARS OLD. Weight, 122 lbs.
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 3 Messier 6/5 Prat F Baffert Bob JEW 406 37.93 1.12/$1
093.4374 4 Blackadder 9/5 Cedillo A Baffert Bob 210 29.05 1.26/$1
093.2986 6 Cover Me Up(b+) 5/1 Hernandez J J Baltas Richard SL 210 29.05 1.26/$1
090.9721 1 Don't Swear Dave 8/1 Gutierrez M O'Neill Doug F. FC 210 29.05 1.26/$1
089.8858 5 Yogi Boy(b+) 12/1 Bravo J Baltas Richard 210 29.05 1.26/$1
089.8653 2 Godsend 6/1 Smith M E O'Neill Doug F. 210 29.05 1.26/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 50.00, ROI 2.27/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -6.5626
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[All Dirt] *Race Entries Not Greater Than 9
*Scratches may change this condition

10/22/21, SA, Race 5, 3.05 PT
10/22/21,SA,5,1M [Turf] 1:31:03 STARTER ALLOWANCE. Purse $33,000 (plus up to $3,960 CBOIF - California Bred Owner Fund). FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE STARTED FOR A CLAIMING PRICE OF $50,000 OR LESS AND WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES. Three Year Olds, 122 lbs.; Older, 124 lbs. (Rail at 30 feet).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 3 Aloha Kitten 3/1 Prat F O'Neill Doug F. J 164 34.15 1.21/$1
095.8726 5 Cinnte Winnte (IRE) 5/2 Rispoli U Gallagher Patrick FEC 160 31.25 1.26/$1
095.4317 4 Freedom Lass 2/1 Hernandez J J Puype Mike SL 160 31.25 1.26/$1
091.3514 1 Lady Noguez 5/1 Desormeaux K J Cerin Vladimir W 160 31.25 1.26/$1
088.9484 2 Jimmyssmokedcarrot 6/1 Herrera D A Capestro Paula S. 160 31.25 1.26/$1
088.8031 6 Varoma 10/1 Pereira T J Spawr William 160 31.25 1.26/$1
088.4894 7 Northern Gem(b-) 30/1 Franco G Barocio Librado T 164 34.15 1.21/$1
Top rated horse With "Turf Surface Not fm/hd" - Win% 23.08, ROI 0.92/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -4.1274
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[All Turf] Race Age 3Up


10/22/21, SA, Race 6, 3.34 PT
10/22/21,SA,6,6F [Dirt] 1:07:00 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING. Purse $63,000. FOR CALIFORNIA BRED OR CALIFORNIA SIRED FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON $15,000 ONCE OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING OR STARTER OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES OR CLAIMING PRICE $20,000. Three Year Olds, 122 lbs.; Older,124 lbs. Claiming Price $20,000.
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 3 Delta Wind 4/5 Bravo J Sadler John W. TSFEW 86 52.33 1.74/$1
098.8365 6 Tiz a Master 7/2 Desormeaux K J Cerin Vladimir 86 52.33 1.74/$1
098.4254 1 Rain Diva 4/1 Frey K Glatt Mark JL 86 52.33 1.74/$1
096.4236 2 So Very Smart 6/1 Cedillo A O'Neill Doug F. 210 29.05 1.26/$1
095.8830 5 Smoothlikebuttah 10/1 Rispoli U Knapp Steve C 210 29.05 1.26/$1
092.3681 4 Westward Breeze 12/1 Franco G Gaines Carla 86 52.33 1.74/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 50.00, ROI 2.27/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -1.1635
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[Dirt Not_MdnMClm] 5f Workout Since Last Race  -with-
[Dirt Not_MdnMClm] Last Race Was Sprint With Sprint Today


10/22/21, SA, Race 7, 4.02 PT
10/22/21,SA,7,1M [Turf] 1:31:03 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING. Purse $63,000. FOR CALIFORNIA BRED OR CALIFORNIA SIRED FILLIES TWO YEARS OLD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON $15,000 ONCE OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING OR STARTER OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES OR CLAIMING PRICE $50,000. Weight, 122 lbs. Non-winners Of A Race At A Mile Or OverAllowed 2 lbs. Claiming Price $50,000. (Rail at 30 feet).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 2 Dendera 4/5 Prat F Sadler John W. JSWC 160 31.25 1.26/$1
095.6172 1 Rose Maddox 3/1 Rispoli U Miyadi Steven E 171 34.50 1.28/$1
094.4864 5 Distorted Diva 4/1 Hernandez J J Solis Walther 160 31.25 1.26/$1
090.4251 4 Maggie Fitzgerald 8/1 Ellingwood E A Miyadi Steven FL 171 34.50 1.28/$1
088.6399 3 Endless Thirst 6/1 Herrera D A Alvarez Edwin G. 171 34.50 1.28/$1
Top rated horse With "Turf Surface Not fm/hd" - Win% 23.08, ROI 0.92/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -4.3828
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[All Turf] First Race After 45 Days Off


10/22/21, SA, Race 8, 4.29 PT
10/22/21,SA,8,1M [Dirt] 1:33:02 STARTER OPTIONAL CLAIMING. Purse $28,000 (plus up to $3,360 CBOIF - California Bred Owner Fund). FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE STARTED FOR A CLAIMING PRICE OF $25,000 OR LESS AND WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES OR CLAIMING $25,000 AND WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. Three Year Olds, 122 lbs.; Older, 124 lbs. Claiming Price $25,000, if for $22,500, allowed 2 lbs.
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 4 Naughty Evelyn 4/1 Rispoli U Meredith Derek TSL 210 29.05 1.26/$1
098.3272 3 La Pulcinela(b+) 5/2 Frey K Wong Jonathan JFC 240 42.92 1.25/$1
095.5897 7 Beirut Beauty 6/1 Hernandez J J McCarthy Michael W. W 240 42.92 1.25/$1
093.8245 5 Brittle and Yoo 2/1 Pyfer J Ellis Ronald W. 240 42.92 1.25/$1
093.6395 2 Bossy Soul 6/1 Herrera D A Periban Jorge 240 42.92 1.25/$1
091.9499 6 Soul Sweet 12/1 Pereira T J Gomez Ruben E 240 42.92 1.25/$1
091.6144 1 Cheerful Charm 8/1 Baze T Winick Debbie 240 42.92 1.25/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 50.00, ROI 2.27/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -1.6728
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[All Dirt] Not Morning Line Favorite(not entry)


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