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Top Horse Analytics: 10/21/2021 Picks and Results - BEL


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TOP HORSE ANALYTICS (v12.21.10.17a)

Track: BEL
Start Of Statistics - 05/20/2021
Past Number of Races - 495

WinPC   $1ROI   HiPayoff   Bet Types
33.54 0.78 10.40   Favorites
33.13 0.89 14.60   Morning Line Favorites
30.71 1.07 63.50   Top Horse (with profitable conditions)

Complete Statistics Provided at THA Weekly Statistics

Contact us at Facebook for help or to report issues: Top Horse Analytics

The Win% and ROI columns below are the win percents and return on investments that the top horse
has performed in the past year for associated compound conditions in a race. The expectation is
that these conditions will perform as well in the future.

An ROI less than 1.01 indicates that no profitable conditions exist for this entry when it's the top rated
horse. Also, be aware that abnormally high payoffs may inflate the ROI so look for a high Win% and Occurs to go
with that high ROI as your selection.

These stats are only good for the top rated horse whether it's the original (100.0000) or the top horse
resulting from scratches. Every horse in a race may have Occurs, Win%, and ROI stats in case it becomes the
top rated horse.


horse name(b+) - Blinkers On
horse name(b-) - Blinkers Off

10/21/21, BEL, Race 1, 12.35 ET
10/21/21,BEL,1,1 1/16M [Dirt] 1:39:01 CLAIMING. Purse $36,000. FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD. Three Year Olds, 120 lbs.; Older, 124 lbs. Non-winners Of A Race At A Mile Or Over In 2021 Allowed 2 lbs. Claiming Price $12,500 (Maiden And Claiming Races For $10,000 Or Less Not Considered In Allowances) (1.5% Aftercare Assessment Due At Time Of Claim Otherwise Claim Will Be Void).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 6 Supreme Aura 5/2 Saez L Weaver George TFE 89 31.46 1.23/$1
099.5166 3 Blewitt 7/2 Franco M Atras Rob SL 180 28.33 0.85/$1
098.0781 2 Regal Quality 3/1 Ortiz. Jr. I Kantarmaci Mertkan J 155 34.19 1.13/$1
097.7791 7 Direct Order 8/1 Samuel J L Lynch Natalia WC 180 28.33 0.85/$1
097.1520 5 Grit and Glory 8/1 Hernandez Moreno O Vazquez Juan C. 89 31.46 1.23/$1
096.5494 4 Playwright 8/1 Davis D Schettino Domenick L. 155 34.19 1.13/$1
094.8829 1 Hammerin Aamer 9/2 Ortiz J L Rodriguez Gustavo 155 34.19 1.13/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 47.25, ROI 1.41/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -0.4834
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[All Dirt] First Race After 45 Days Off


10/21/21, BEL, Race 2, 1.09 ET
10/21/21,BEL,2,1 1/16M [Inner Turf] 1:38:04 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT. Purse $75,000. INNER TURF FOR MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD FOALED IN NEW YORK STATE AND APPROVED BY THE NEW YORK STATE-BRED REGISTRY. Three Year Olds, 120 lbs.; Older, 124 lbs. (Non-Starters For A Claiming Price Of $40,000 Or Less In The Last 3 Starts Preferred).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 11 Yarrow 9/5 Lezcano J Clement Christophe SF 14 42.86 1.24/$1
098.0175 9 Brew Pub 3/1 Ortiz. Jr. I Arenas Marcelo J 14 42.86 1.24/$1
096.9414 3 Mr. Connecticut 3/1 Castellano J Clement Christophe C 74 22.97 1.24/$1
096.5076 12 Blitz to Win 6/5 Castellano J Tagg Barclay W 88 27.27 0.83/$1
095.8072 7 Umbria 2/1 Velazquez J R Rice Linda E 74 22.97 1.24/$1
094.8807 1 Bernardino 8/1 Saez L Serpe Philip M. 88 27.27 0.83/$1
093.7549 4 Lucky Brody 6/1 Diaz. Jr. H R Noda Orlando 88 27.27 0.83/$1
093.4817 6 My Brother Neil 8/1 Ramos C Toscano. Jr. John T. 48 29.17 1.31/$1
092.4022 13 Bohemian Ruby 12/1 Davis D Tagg Barclay 74 22.97 1.24/$1
091.8685 8 Shutters(b+) 6/1 Franco M Brown Chad C. T 74 22.97 1.24/$1
090.8476 10 Reunion Tour 20/1 Rider TBA Ferraro James W. 88 27.27 0.83/$1
090.3161 5 Addicted to You 30/1 Hernandez B Sciacca Gary 74 22.97 1.24/$1
088.6771 2 Mighty Meister 20/1 Ramos C Rawles Alcina L 88 27.27 0.83/$1
Top rated horse With "Turf Surface Not fm/hd" - Win% 30.95, ROI 1.13/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -1.9825
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[Turf MdnMClm] Last Race (Sprint Or Route) Not Same As Today


10/21/21, BEL, Race 3, 1.41 ET
10/21/21,BEL,3,6 1/2F [Dirt] 1:14:02 ALLOWANCE. Purse $92,000. (UP TO $16,008 NYSBFOA) FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON $15,000 OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, STARTER OR STATE BRED ALLOWANCE OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. Three Year Olds, 120 lbs.; Older, 123 lbs. Non-winners Of A Race Other Than Claiming Or Starter Allowed 2 lbs.
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 4 Risk Profile 5/1 Velazquez J R Rice Linda FW 155 34.19 1.13/$1
099.9229 3 South Africa 8/1 Carmouche K Nevin Michelle S 89 31.46 1.23/$1
099.1363 5 Mahaamel 5/2 Ortiz. Jr. I Pletcher Todd A. JL 88 15.91 1.34/$1
099.0602 6 Perfect Munnings(b-) 3/1 Saez L Pletcher Todd A. EC 88 15.91 1.34/$1
098.2977 7 Scocciatore 5/1 Ortiz J L Englehart Chris J. 155 34.19 1.13/$1
092.8011 1 Wudda U Think Now 3/1 Rosario J Rodriguez Rudy R. 89 31.46 1.23/$1
092.5691 2 Semper Fidelis 20/1 Franco M Servis J. Tyler 155 34.19 1.13/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 47.25, ROI 1.41/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -0.0771
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[All Dirt] Last Race Weight Is Not Less Than Today


10/21/21, BEL, Race 4, 2.11 ET
10/21/21,BEL,4,1M [Turf] 1:31:01 CLAIMING. Purse $55,000. FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. Three Year Olds, 120 lbs.; Older, 124 lbs. Non-winners Of A Race At A Mile Or Over In 2021 Allowed 2 lbs. Claiming Price $25,000 (Maiden And Claiming Races For $20,000 Or Less Not Considered In Allowances) (1.5% Aftercare Assessment Due At Time Of Claim Otherwise Claim Will Be Void). (If the Stewards consider it inadvisable to run this race on the turf course, this race will be run at One Mile on the Main Track.) (Rail at 9 feet).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 1A Tiz Her Way 20/1 Diaz. Jr. H R Quiles John N. FL 87 29.89 1.76/$1
092.5749 6 Five Alarm Robin 2/1 Franco M Nevin Michelle C 87 29.89 1.76/$1
091.9175 2 Bee Bit 4/1 Velazquez J R Schosberg Richard E. S 87 29.89 1.76/$1
091.8253 5 Foxtail 8/1 Ortiz. Jr. I Kantarmaci Mertkan JE 87 29.89 1.76/$1
091.7866 8 Amos 12/1 Carmouche K Nevin Michelle 111 28.83 1.50/$1
090.5620 7 Blue Atlas 3/1 Ortiz J L DePaz Horacio 95 31.58 1.69/$1
090.4215 4 Flashing Red 10/1 Castellano J Lucas Bonnie 87 29.89 1.76/$1
089.6769 1 Peaches and Spice 20/1 Diaz. Jr. H R Quiles John N. 74 31.08 1.87/$1
088.2501 3 Champagne Horizon 6/1 Rosario J Hollendorfer Jerry 87 29.89 1.76/$1
088.0471 9 Lady by Choice 30/1 Hernandez B Barrera. III Oscar S. W 74 31.08 1.87/$1
Top rated horse With "Turf Surface Not fm/hd" - Win% 30.95, ROI 1.13/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -7.4251
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[Turf Not_MdnMClm] Last Race Was Not Favorite(not entry)  -with-
[Turf Not_MdnMClm] Last Race Was Not Dirt With Turf Today


10/21/21, BEL, Race 5, 2.43 ET
10/21/21,BEL,5,6 1/2F [Dirt] 1:14:02 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT. Purse $70,000. (UP TO $12,180 NYSBFOA) FOR MAIDENS, TWO YEARS OLD. Weight, 119 lbs. (For Horses That Sold Or RNA For $45,000 Or Less In Their Most Recent Sale).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 8 Florida Gator 6/1 Carmouche K Morey William E. FC 75 42.67 1.28/$1
095.0636 3 Thrill of It 7/2 Alvarado J Terranova II John P. E 75 42.67 1.28/$1
090.4542 4 Good Skate 10/1 Franco M Rodriguez Rudy R. 89 31.46 1.23/$1
090.3531 9 Al's Rocket 5/1 Saez L Pletcher Todd A. T 75 42.67 1.28/$1
088.7434 2 Dorsoduro 8/1 Ortiz. Jr. I Lerman Roy S. JL 89 31.46 1.23/$1
088.4347 7 Safalow's Mission 4/1 Castellano J Weaver George 75 42.67 1.28/$1
087.9801 10 Koosman 10/1 Davis D Hills Timothy A. 89 31.46 1.23/$1
086.3816 5 Doctor Davis 9/2 Ortiz J L Mott William I. SW 89 31.46 1.23/$1
085.2014 1 Irie Spice 30/1 Luzzi M J Persaud Randi 75 42.67 1.28/$1
084.8066 6 In Fact 20/1 Roberts C Chapman James K. 75 42.67 1.28/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 47.25, ROI 1.41/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -4.9364
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[Dirt MdnMClm] Does Not Carry High Weight


10/21/21, BEL, Race 6, 3.15 ET
10/21/21,BEL,6,1 1/8M [Inner Turf] 1:45:00 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING. Purse $94,000. INNER TURF (UP TO $16,356 NYSBFOA) FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON $15,000 TWICE OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, STARTER OR STATE BRED ALLOWANCE OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES OR OPTIONAL CLAIMING PRICE OF $80,000. Three Year Olds, 122 lbs.; Older, 126 lbs. Non-winners Of Two Races Other Than Claiming Or Starter At A Mile Or Over In 2021 Allowed 2 lbs. Such A Race In 2021 Allowed 4 lbs. Claiming Price $80,000 (Allowance Horses Preferred)(1.5% Aftercare Assessment Due At Time Of Claim Otherwise Claim Will Be Void).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 1 Flop Shot (IRE) 6/5 Ortiz. Jr. I Brown Chad C. JFW 95 31.58 1.69/$1
098.0329 4 Shamrocket 3/1 Rosario J Pletcher Todd A. SEC 87 29.89 1.76/$1
097.7191 3 Value Engineering 7/2 Castellano J Brown Chad C. 95 31.58 1.69/$1
096.6580 2 Journeyman 8/1 Carmouche K Morley Thomas L 87 29.89 1.76/$1
093.5378 8 Farmington Road 8/1 Saez L Pletcher Todd A. 87 29.89 1.76/$1
093.4123 6 Sand Dancer 30/1 Davis D Hills Timothy A. 87 29.89 1.76/$1
093.2491 5 Winning Factor 10/1 Ortiz J L Donk David G. 87 29.89 1.76/$1
093.2379 7 Limonite 5/2 Rosario J Rodriguez Gustavo 74 31.08 1.87/$1
Top rated horse With "Turf Surface Not fm/hd" - Win% 30.95, ROI 1.13/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -1.9671
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[Turf Not_MdnMClm] Race Type Not Stakes  -with-
[Turf Not_MdnMClm] Last Race Was Not Dirt With Turf Today


10/21/21, BEL, Race 7, 3.49 ET
10/21/21,BEL,7,1 1/16M [Dirt] 1:39:01 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT. Purse $90,000. (UP TO $15,660 NYSBFOA) FOR MAIDENS, TWO YEARS OLD. Weight, 119 lbs. (Non-Starters For A Claiming Price Of $40,000 Or Less In The Last 3 Starts Preferred).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 6 Mo Donegal 5/2 Ortiz. Jr. I Pletcher Todd A. JWC 75 42.67 1.28/$1
099.3906 5 Urban Forest 7/2 Alvarado J Mott William I. FE 89 31.46 1.23/$1
097.9654 7 Fromanothamutha 3/1 Rosario J Handal Raymond 75 42.67 1.28/$1
097.8104 3 Predicted 6/1 Castellano J Dutrow Anthony W. T 89 31.46 1.23/$1
096.0192 8 Life Is Great 12/1 Franco M Klesaris Robert P. SL 75 42.67 1.28/$1
094.6733 4 Constitutionlawyer 8/1 Saez L Handal Raymond 75 42.67 1.28/$1
088.7244 2 Vodka Mardini 12/1 Lezcano J Asmussen Steven M. 75 42.67 1.28/$1
088.1474 1 Irish Sea(b+) 10/1 Davis D McGaughey III Claude R 89 31.46 1.23/$1
083.5885 9 R Boy Cheekum 50/1 Figueroa H Thompson Marcus George 75 42.67 1.28/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 47.25, ROI 1.41/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -0.6094
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[Dirt MdnMClm] Does Not Carry High Weight


10/21/21, BEL, Race 8, 4.21 ET
10/21/21,BEL,8,1 1/16M [Turf] 1:38:03 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING. Purse $94,000. (UP TO $16,356 NYSBFOA) FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON $15,000 TWICE OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, STARTER OR STATE BRED ALLOWANCE OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES OR OPTIONAL CLAIMING PRICE OF $80,000. Three Year Olds, 122 lbs.; Older, 126 lbs. Non-winners Of Two Races Other Than Claiming Or Starter At A Mile Or Over In 2021 Allowed 2 lbs. Such A Race In 2021 Allowed 4 lbs. Claiming Price $80,000 (Allowance Horses Preferred)(1.5% Aftercare Assessment Due At Time Of Claim OtherwiseClaim Will Be Void). (If the Stewards consider it inadvisable to run this race on the turf course, this race will be run at One Mile and One Sixteenth on the Main Track.) (Rail at 9 feet).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 4 Atone 6/1 Saez L Maker Michael J. FW 87 29.89 1.76/$1
098.9137 1 Bodecream 5/2 Ortiz J L Maker Michael J. 87 29.89 1.76/$1
097.9584 6 Soulmate 12/1 Castellano J Pregman. Jr. John S. 87 29.89 1.76/$1
097.7785 9 Doswell 2/1 Davis D Tagg Barclay SEC 95 31.58 1.69/$1
097.6607 5 Croatian 5/2 Ortiz. Jr. I Lucas Bonnie 74 31.08 1.87/$1
096.5021 8 Summer to Remember 9/2 Franco M Rodriguez Rudy R. L 87 29.89 1.76/$1
096.2529 2 Ballagh Rocks 20/1 Velazquez J R Englehart Jeffrey S. 87 29.89 1.76/$1
095.5586 3 Attentive 8/1 Lezcano J Rice Linda 95 31.58 1.69/$1
095.2705 1A Mo Ready 5/2 Ortiz. Jr. I Pletcher Todd A. T 87 29.89 1.76/$1
092.5975 7 Reconvene 10/1 Rosario J Hollendorfer Jerry 87 29.89 1.76/$1
Top rated horse With "Turf Surface Not fm/hd" - Win% 30.95, ROI 1.13/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -1.0863
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[Turf Not_MdnMClm] Last Race Was Not Favorite(not entry)  -with-
[Turf Not_MdnMClm] Last Race Was Not Dirt With Turf Today


10/21/21, BEL, Race 9, 4.52 ET
10/21/21,BEL,9,1 1/16M [Inner Turf] 1:38:04 ALLOWANCE. Purse $80,000. INNER TURF FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD FOALED IN NEW YORK STATE AND APPROVED BY THE NEW YORK STATE-BRED REGISTRY WHICH HAVE NEVER WON $15,000 OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, OR STARTER OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. Three Year Olds, 120 lbs.; Older, 124 lbs. Non-winners Of A Race Other Than Claiming Or Starter At A Mile Or Over Allowed 2 lbs.
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 12 Sweet Franny Lu 2/1 Davis D Morley Thomas S 87 29.89 1.76/$1
099.1269 1 Marvelous Maude 5/2 Ortiz. Jr. I Brown Chad C. JTEC 87 29.89 1.76/$1
098.3506 4 Pop the Bubbly 12/1 Carmouche K Nevin Michelle 87 29.89 1.76/$1
097.4929 11 Home for Christmas 10/1 Rosario J Clement Christophe L 87 29.89 1.76/$1
095.5500 10 Miss Jen 12/1 Torres J Carvajal. Jr. Luis 95 31.58 1.69/$1
095.2796 6 Finest Work 30/1 Gonzalez J L Wyner Harold 87 29.89 1.76/$1
094.2415 5 Unicorn Sally 6/1 Saez L Kimmel John C. 87 29.89 1.76/$1
094.0644 2 English Breeze(b-) 8/1 Franco M Donk David G. W 87 29.89 1.76/$1
092.8783 9 Masterof the Tunes 15/1 Vargas. Jr. J A Lee Joseph R. 87 29.89 1.76/$1
092.5618 7 Caramocha 5/1 Rider TBA Friedman Mitchell E. 74 31.08 1.87/$1
089.3161 8 Epona's Dream 4/1 Rider TBA Hennig Mark A. 87 29.89 1.76/$1
088.9776 3 Raining Candy 15/1 Castellano J Levine Bruce N. 87 29.89 1.76/$1
Top rated horse With "Turf Surface Not fm/hd" - Win% 30.95, ROI 1.13/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -0.8731
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[Turf Not_MdnMClm] Last Race Was Not Favorite(not entry)  -with-
[Turf Not_MdnMClm] Last Race Was Not Dirt With Turf Today


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