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Top Horse Analytics: 10/16/2021 Picks and Results - LRL


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TOP HORSE ANALYTICS (v12.21.07.23c)

Track: LRL
Start Of Statistics - 07/25/2020
Past Number of Races - 1169

WinPC   $1ROI   HiPayoff   Bet Types
38.07 0.85   9.60   Favorites
36.23 0.90 19.00   Morning Line Favorites
33.45 0.87 17.00   Top Horse (with profitable conditions)

Complete Statistics Provided at THA Weekly Statistics

Contact us at Facebook for help or to report issues: Top Horse Analytics

The Win% and ROI columns below are the win percents and return on investments that the top horse
has performed in the past year for associated compound conditions in a race. The expectation is
that these conditions will perform as well in the future.

An ROI less than 1.01 indicates that no profitable conditions exist for this entry when it's the top rated
horse. Also, be aware that abnormally high payoffs may inflate the ROI so look for a high Win% and Occurs to go
with that high ROI as your selection.

These stats are only good for the top rated horse whether it's the original (100.0000) or the top horse
resulting from scratches. Every horse in a race may have Occurs, Win%, and ROI stats in case it becomes the
top rated horse.


horse name(b+) - Blinkers On
horse name(b-) - Blinkers Off

10/16/21, LRL, Race 1, 12.40 ET
10/16/21,LRL,1,6F [Dirt] 1:08:00 CLAIMING. Purse $25,000. (PLUS UP TO 15% MBF) FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. Three Year Olds, 122 lbs.; Older, 126 lbs. Claiming Price $16,000, if for $12,500, allowed 4 lbs.
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 7 Hufflepuff 2/1 Acosta J D Salzman Timothy E. S 779 30.55 0.81/$1
099.6821 1 Mending 5/2 Butterfly B L Farrior Anthony 779 30.55 0.81/$1
099.6415 2 Live Aid 5/2 Toledo J Voss Katharine M. JFEL 779 30.55 0.81/$1
097.5422 3 Gimme's Goldengirl 8/1 Lopez C E Walters Henry W 779 30.55 0.81/$1
097.3924 6 Golden Grant 10/1 Ruiz J Farrior Anthony 779 30.55 0.81/$1
097.1212 5 Butter Pecan 8/1 Gomez K Mancilla Carlos A. C 779 30.55 0.81/$1
094.9235 4 Mick'sbestbetyet 20/1 Hiraldo J Cooney Susan S. 779 30.55 0.81/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 35.11, ROI 0.89/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -0.3179
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[Dirt Not_MdnMClm] Default Category Stats


10/16/21, LRL, Race 2, 1.16 ET
10/16/21,LRL,2,1 1/16M [Dirt About] 1:41:01 CLAIMING. Purse $21,000. (PLUS UP TO 15% MBF) FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. Three Year Olds, 122 lbs.; Older, 126 lbs. Non-winners Of A Race At A Mile Or Over Since August 16 Allowed 3 lbs. Claiming Price $8,000, if for $6,000, allowed 4 lbs. (Races Where Entered For $5,000 Or Less Not Considered In Allowances).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 2 Congress Hall 7/2 Whitacre G Serey. Jr. Mario TSC 779 30.55 0.81/$1
099.7401 4 Mizzen Air 7/5 Acosta J D Alexander Bruce F. F 779 30.55 0.81/$1
095.7687 7 Floating By 6/1 Flores E Stahlin John L. 779 30.55 0.81/$1
095.2425 5 Misspotofgold 15/1 Cruz A Boyce Brian L. JEWL 779 30.55 0.81/$1
094.8536 1 Simmard Shenanigan 4/1 Rosado J Rawlings Amanda Collee 779 30.55 0.81/$1
093.8508 3 Glory March 8/1 Lyapustina T Dove. Jr. Kevin 779 30.55 0.81/$1
092.9744 6 Olive's Bumpa 12/1 LaBarre R G Murdock Stephen 779 30.55 0.81/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 35.11, ROI 0.89/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -0.2599
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[Dirt Not_MdnMClm] Default Category Stats


10/16/21, LRL, Race 3, 1.48 ET
10/16/21,LRL,3,7F [Dirt] 1:21:00 MAIDEN CLAIMING. Purse $25,000. (PLUS UP TO 15% MBF) FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES AND MARES THREE, FOUR, AND FIVE YEARS OLD. Three Year Olds, 122 lbs.; Older, 126 lbs. Claiming Price $16,000, if for $12,500, allowed 4 lbs.
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 1 You Never Call 5/2 Cruz A McMahon Hugh I. 233 38.20 0.93/$1
098.7741 6 Special Freedom 3/1 Perez X Mancilla Carlos A. JE 233 38.20 0.93/$1
098.5542 7 Secret Prize 4/1 Pimentel J Trombetta Michael J. TS 233 38.20 0.93/$1
097.5289 2 Hidden Persuasion 12/1 Nunez A A Ambrogi Leo J. FC 34 58.82 1.66/$1
095.1569 8 Long Distance Love 5/1 Lyapustina T Gaudet Lacey WL 233 38.20 0.93/$1
094.4084 3 El Milagra 20/1 Gomez K Allen. III A. Ferris 92 42.39 1.11/$1
094.2313 4 Hummin' the Funk 9/2 Garcia L Smith Hamilton A. 92 42.39 1.11/$1
093.1557 5 Ellarouge 20/1 Monterrey R Davis Samuel G. 233 38.20 0.93/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 35.11, ROI 0.89/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -1.2259
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[Dirt MdnMClm] Default Category Stats


10/16/21, LRL, Race 4, 2.20 ET
10/16/21,LRL,4,5 1/2F [Turf] 1:00:04 CLAIMING. Purse $25,000. (PLUS UP TO 15% MBF) FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. Three Year Olds, 122 lbs.; Older, 126 lbs. Claiming Price $16,000, if for $12,500, allowed 4 lbs. (If deemed inadvisable by management to run this raceon the Turf course, it will be run on the main track at Five and One half Furlongs) (Rail at 35 feet).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 9 Tea in China 5/2 Gomez K Bailes W. Robert 66 43.94 1.29/$1
099.2085 6 Minnetonka 3/1 Perez X Robb John J. J 66 43.94 1.29/$1
099.0412 12 Made to Hustle 7/2 Rosado J Kravets Bruce M. 66 43.94 1.29/$1
098.5868 2 Bourbon Wildcat 6/1 Ruiz J Frock Charles L. SFEW 66 43.94 1.29/$1
097.7673 10 Sassy Babe 5/1 Lynch F McMahon Hugh I. L 66 43.94 1.29/$1
096.0715 4 Salamina 10/1 Toledo J O'Dwyer Jeremiah 66 43.94 1.29/$1
096.0226 13 Social Exclusion 4/1 Lynch F Magee Sean C. 66 43.94 1.29/$1
095.7765 1 Americas Woman 8/1 Marquez C Barr Donald H. 66 43.94 1.29/$1
095.6096 11 Some Nights 8/1 Hiraldo J Moysey Chelsey E. 66 43.94 1.29/$1
095.0479 5 Bay of Angels 10/1 Cruz A McMahon Hugh I. C 66 43.94 1.29/$1
092.9892 7 Ordinary Girl 12/1 Acosta J D Lynch Cathal A. 66 43.94 1.29/$1
092.4995 8 Shyla Girl 50/1 Rocha W Udall Lori T 66 43.94 1.29/$1
091.0962 3 Pass It On 20/1 Monterrey R Mancilla Carlos A. 66 43.94 1.29/$1
Top rated horse With "Turf Surface Not fm/hd" - Win% 25.37, ROI 0.76/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -0.7915
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[All Turf] Race Distance Sprint

If Race Is Off Turf

Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 6 Minnetonka 3/1 Perez X Robb John J. T 226 23.45 1.28/$1
098.5394 9 Tea in China 5/2 Gomez K Bailes W. Robert 226 23.45 1.28/$1
097.7209 10 Sassy Babe 5/1 Lynch F McMahon Hugh I. L 30 23.33 1.50/$1
097.2897 2 Bourbon Wildcat 6/1 Ruiz J Frock Charles L. SEW 226 23.45 1.28/$1
096.9103 1 Americas Woman 8/1 Marquez C Barr Donald H. F 226 23.45 1.28/$1
096.7432 13 Social Exclusion 4/1 Lynch F Magee Sean C. 30 23.33 1.50/$1
096.3651 12 Made to Hustle 7/2 Rosado J Kravets Bruce M. 30 23.33 1.50/$1
095.9268 4 Salamina 10/1 Toledo J O'Dwyer Jeremiah J 226 23.45 1.28/$1
095.9000 11 Some Nights 8/1 Hiraldo J Moysey Chelsey E. 30 23.33 1.50/$1
095.5679 7 Ordinary Girl 12/1 Acosta J D Lynch Cathal A. 226 23.45 1.28/$1
095.5600 5 Bay of Angels 10/1 Cruz A McMahon Hugh I. C 226 23.45 1.28/$1
092.4322 8 Shyla Girl 50/1 Rocha W Udall Lori 226 23.45 1.28/$1
090.7947 3 Pass It On 20/1 Monterrey R Mancilla Carlos A. 226 23.45 1.28/$1
Top rated horse with "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 35.11, ROI 0.89/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -1.4606
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[All Dirt] Actual Post Not Greater Than 9 And Distance 5f Or 5 1/2f


10/16/21, LRL, Race 5, 2.52 ET
10/16/21,LRL,5,7F [Dirt] 1:21:00 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING. Purse $48,000. (PLUS UP TO 15% MBF) FOR FILLIES TWO YEARS OLD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON A RACE OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, WAIVER CLAIMING, STARTER OR MD SIRED OR MD BRED RACES OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES OR CLAIMING PRICE $62,500. Weight, 122 lbs. Non-winners Of A Race Since August 16 Allowed 3 lbs. Claiming Price $62,500.
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 6 Murph 8/5 Toledo J Russell Brittany T. JTSE 779 30.55 0.81/$1
098.4251 9 Spicy Margarita 8/1 Cruz A Gonzalez Claudio A. FL 779 30.55 0.81/$1
097.5515 10 Lanfrankophile 5/2 Marquez C McMahon Hugh I. W 779 30.55 0.81/$1
097.3988 1 Dotada 6/1 Ruiz J Smith Hamilton A. 779 30.55 0.81/$1
095.4758 7 American Bound 12/1 Hiraldo J Cuttino Marion L. 779 30.55 0.81/$1
095.3204 3 Olivia Darling 15/1 Carrasco V R Motion H. Graham 779 30.55 0.81/$1
094.8925 5 Get Groovy 20/1 Sanchez M J Huston Rory K. 779 30.55 0.81/$1
094.6949 4 Beneath the Stars 12/1 Acosta J D Farrior Anthony 779 30.55 0.81/$1
094.4229 2 Splendid View 20/1 Rosado J Gaudet Lacey 779 30.55 0.81/$1
093.8136 8 Valuable Breigh 30/1 Juarez N Huston Rory K. 779 30.55 0.81/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 35.11, ROI 0.89/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -1.5749
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[Dirt Not_MdnMClm] Default Category Stats


10/16/21, LRL, Race 6, 3.24 ET
10/16/21,LRL,6,7F [Dirt] 1:21:00 ALLOWANCE. Purse $48,000. (PLUS UP TO 15% MBF) FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON A RACE OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, WAIVER CLAIMING, STARTER OR MD SIRED OR MD BRED RACES OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. Three Year Olds, 122 lbs.; Older, 126lbs. Non-winners Of A Race Other Than Claiming Since August 16 Allowed 3 lbs.
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 1 Moquist 9/5 Ruiz J Capuano Dale JTSFEL 779 30.55 0.81/$1
097.3575 5 Fraudulent Charge 2/1 Rosado J Gaudet Lacey C 779 30.55 0.81/$1
097.0457 3 Belle of the North 6/1 Karamanos H Corrales Jose 779 30.55 0.81/$1
095.9328 4 Moonsafe 8/1 Pimentel J Trombetta Michael J. 779 30.55 0.81/$1
095.9142 6 My My Girl 6/1 Boyce F Bailes W. Robert 779 30.55 0.81/$1
095.4756 2 Movie Score 12/1 Cruz A McMahon Hugh I. 779 30.55 0.81/$1
093.6183 7 Miss Marley 20/1 Marquez C Matz Michael R. 779 30.55 0.81/$1
093.4718 8 Flava's Dream 20/1 Henry W Parram Derrick A. W 779 30.55 0.81/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 35.11, ROI 0.89/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -2.6425
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[Dirt Not_MdnMClm] Default Category Stats


10/16/21, LRL, Race 7, 3.55 ET
10/16/21,LRL,7,5 1/2F [Turf] 1:00:04 ALLOWANCE. Purse $48,000. (PLUS UP TO 15% MBF) FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON A RACE OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, WAIVER CLAIMING, STARTER OR MD SIRED OR MD BRED RACES OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. Three Year Olds, 122 lbs.; Older, 126lbs. Non-winners Of A Race Other Than Claiming Since August 16 Allowed 3 lbs. (If deemed inadvisable by management to run this race on the Turf course, it will be run on the main track at Five and One half Furlongs) (Rail at 87 feet).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 8 Polished Gal 3/1 Ruiz J McMahon Hugh I. 66 43.94 1.29/$1
099.0817 10 Chromeplated Heart 7/2 Marquez C Nixon Justin J. 66 43.94 1.29/$1
098.6784 5 Not On My Watch 9/2 Toledo J Russell Brittany T. 66 43.94 1.29/$1
098.2457 4 Pretty Edgy 4/1 Boyce F Sillaman Richard P. 66 43.94 1.29/$1
097.5123 3 Honorgetic 5/1 Sanchez M J Trombetta Michael J. E 66 43.94 1.29/$1
096.1861 6 What a Trick 6/1 Karamanos H Smith Hamilton A. 66 43.94 1.29/$1
096.1245 2 Not My Money 12/1 Perez X Figgins. III Ollie L. JS 66 43.94 1.29/$1
096.0709 7 Afandi 15/1 Ho W Dunham Bernard G. TFWC 66 43.94 1.29/$1
095.2585 9 Pretty Lori 10/1 Acosta J D Smith Hamilton A. L 66 43.94 1.29/$1
093.4641 1 Rapidashqueen 20/1 Corujo L Leaf. Jr. Robert 66 43.94 1.29/$1
Top rated horse With "Turf Surface Not fm/hd" - Win% 25.37, ROI 0.76/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -0.9183
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[All Turf] Race Distance Sprint

If Race Is Off Turf

Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 8 Polished Gal 3/1 Ruiz J McMahon Hugh I. 226 23.45 1.28/$1
099.5938 5 Not On My Watch 9/2 Toledo J Russell Brittany T. J 226 23.45 1.28/$1
099.0913 10 Chromeplated Heart 7/2 Marquez C Nixon Justin J. 30 23.33 1.50/$1
098.0830 3 Honorgetic 5/1 Sanchez M J Trombetta Michael J. E 226 23.45 1.28/$1
097.7112 7 Afandi 15/1 Ho W Dunham Bernard G. TWC 226 23.45 1.28/$1
097.0315 2 Not My Money 12/1 Perez X Figgins. III Ollie L. S 226 23.45 1.28/$1
096.9806 4 Pretty Edgy 4/1 Boyce F Sillaman Richard P. 226 23.45 1.28/$1
096.1464 6 What a Trick 6/1 Karamanos H Smith Hamilton A. 226 23.45 1.28/$1
095.4987 9 Pretty Lori 10/1 Acosta J D Smith Hamilton A. L 226 23.45 1.28/$1
092.9864 1 Rapidashqueen 20/1 Corujo L Leaf. Jr. Robert 226 23.45 1.28/$1
Top rated horse with "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 35.11, ROI 0.89/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -0.4062
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[All Dirt] Actual Post Not Greater Than 9 And Distance 5f Or 5 1/2f


10/16/21, LRL, Race 8, 4.26 ET
10/16/21,LRL,8,1M [Dirt] 1:34:00 ALLOWANCE. Purse $40,000. FOR RESTRICTED THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD FOR MD BRED OR MD SIRED HORSES WHICH HAVE NEVER WON A STATE BRED OR STATE SIRED RACE OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, WAIVER CLAIMING, OR STARTER AND WHICH HAVE NOT WON TWO RACES OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, WAIVER CLAIMING OR STARTER OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. Three Year Olds, 122 lbs.; Older, 126 lbs. Non-winners Of A Race Other Than Maiden, Claiming Or Starter At A Mile Or Over Allowed 3 lbs.
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 1 Depository 5/2 Ruiz J Lynch Cathal A. SFL 779 30.55 0.81/$1
099.0092 6 Ink 3/1 Cruz A Gonzalez Claudio A. 779 30.55 0.81/$1
098.9230 2 Reassured(b+) 3/1 Toledo J Russell Brittany T. JC 779 30.55 0.81/$1
098.2790 5 Whatchasaid 8/1 Rosales V Barajas Javier TE 779 30.55 0.81/$1
095.7121 4 Rapid Response 6/1 Rosado J Gaudet Lacey 779 30.55 0.81/$1
095.5126 3 Royal Number 4/1 Carrasco V R Trombetta Michael J. W 779 30.55 0.81/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 35.11, ROI 0.89/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -0.9908
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[Dirt Not_MdnMClm] Default Category Stats


10/16/21, LRL, Race 9, 4.57 ET
10/16/21,LRL,9,6F [Dirt] 1:08:00 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT. Purse $46,000. (PLUS UP TO 15% MBF) FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES AND MARES THREE, FOUR, AND FIVE YEARS OLD. Three Year Olds, 122 lbs.; Older, 126 lbs.
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 4 Maggie's Bid 5/2 Pimentel J Beattie Todd M. SFEW 32 50.00 1.17/$1
099.5264 6 By the Hour 4/1 Toledo J Russell Brittany T. T 233 38.20 0.93/$1
099.0801 3 American Bastet(b+) 4/1 Karamanos H Vera Miguel 233 38.20 0.93/$1
098.7548 1 Royal Appointment 3/1 Perez X Nixon Justin J. JC 34 58.82 1.66/$1
095.0957 5 Hitech Is Back 8/1 Carrasco V R Carrasco. Jr. Victor 32 59.38 1.36/$1
094.6956 2 Mattitude 9/2 Monterrey R Bailes W. Robert L 92 42.39 1.11/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 35.11, ROI 0.89/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -0.4736
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[Dirt MdnMClm] 5f Workout Since Last Race


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