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Top Horse Analytics: 09/25/2021 Picks and Results - CD


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TOP HORSE ANALYTICS (v12.21.07.23c)

Track: CD
Start Of Statistics - 10/28/2020
Past Number of Races - 636

WinPC   $1ROI   HiPayoff   Bet Types
36.16 0.88   9.40   Favorites
29.71 0.76 12.00   Morning Line Favorites
29.25 1.08 38.40   Top Horse (with profitable conditions)

Complete Statistics Provided at THA Weekly Statistics

Contact us at Facebook for help or to report issues: Top Horse Analytics

The Win% and ROI columns below are the win percents and return on investments that the top horse
has performed in the past year for associated compound conditions in a race. The expectation is
that these conditions will perform as well in the future.

An ROI less than 1.01 indicates that no profitable conditions exist for this entry when it's the top rated
horse. Also, be aware that abnormally high payoffs may inflate the ROI so look for a high Win% and Occurs to go
with that high ROI as your selection.

These stats are only good for the top rated horse whether it's the original (100.0000) or the top horse
resulting from scratches. Every horse in a race may have Occurs, Win%, and ROI stats in case it becomes the
top rated horse.


horse name(b+) - Blinkers On
horse name(b-) - Blinkers Off

09/25/21, CD, Race 1, 12.45 ET
09/25/21,CD,1,1M [Dirt] 1:33:01 CLAIMING. Purse $54,000. FOR TWO YEAR OLDS. Weight, 122 lbs. Non-winners Of Two Races Allowed 2 lbs. A Race Allowed 4 lbs. Claiming Price $40,000 (Races Where Entered For $32,000 Or Less Not Considered In Allowances).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 4 Ginnsu Warrior 5/2 Garcia M Cox Brad H. EW 274 29.20 1.12/$1
099.2405 6 Cousin Greg 7/2 Talamo J Casse Norm W. T 182 26.37 1.29/$1
098.2556 3 Rumble Strip Ron(b+) 3/1 Gutierrez R Quartarolo Anthony T. J 182 26.37 1.29/$1
097.5404 5 Exclaim 8/1 Graham J Desormeaux J. Keith 182 26.37 1.29/$1
097.2489 2 Magic Shot 4/1 Murrill M Desormeaux J. Keith 182 26.37 1.29/$1
096.2995 1 Climb and Maintain 4/1 Hernandez. Jr. B J McPeek Kenneth G. 182 26.37 1.29/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 24.19, ROI 0.94/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -0.7595
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[Dirt Not_MdnMClm] Race Age Not 4Up


09/25/21, CD, Race 2, 1.14 ET
09/25/21,CD,2,6F [Dirt] 1:07:03 CLAIMING. Purse $50,000. FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. Three Year Olds, 120 lbs.; Older, 123 lbs. Non-winners Of A Race Since August 25 Allowed 2 lbs. Claiming Price $20,000.
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 7 Cypriano(b-) 20/1 Calderon O Lovell Michelle J 182 26.37 1.29/$1
097.3274 5 Flash of Promise(b+) 5/2 Cohen D Diodoro Robertino TFEC 182 26.37 1.29/$1
097.1620 4 Hoistthemainsail(b+) 2/1 Ramos J D Johnson Marvin A. L 274 29.20 1.12/$1
097.1348 3 Farzin 20/1 McKee J Sandy Stephen S. 182 26.37 1.29/$1
096.2218 6 Oxxon(b-) 6/1 Hernandez C J Miller Jerome F. SW 182 26.37 1.29/$1
096.1968 1 O Dogg 4/1 Arrieta F Margolis Steve 182 26.37 1.29/$1
093.6995 2 Mahomes Money(b+) 3/1 Beschizza A Cano Juan Munoz 182 26.37 1.29/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 24.19, ROI 0.94/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -2.6726
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[Dirt Not_MdnMClm] Race Age Not 4Up  -with-
[Dirt Not_MdnMClm] Not Morning Line Favorite(not entry)


09/25/21, CD, Race 3, 1.43 ET
09/25/21,CD,3,6F [Dirt] 1:07:03 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT. Purse $120,000 (includes up to $56,500 KTDF - Kentucky TB Devt Fund). FOR MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. Three Year Olds, 121 lbs.; Older, 124 lbs. (Preference To Horses That Have Not Started For Less Than $50,000 In Last 3 Starts).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 6 Cool Quest 7/2 Leparoux J R Lynch Brian A. SL 108 30.56 1.15/$1
098.2329 3 Here Mi Song 15/1 Pedroza M Stinson. Jr. William 108 30.56 1.15/$1
097.8977 5 Elite Power 9/2 Garcia M Mott William I. W 108 30.56 1.15/$1
097.2071 8 Cousteau 3/1 Gaffalione T Brisset Rodolphe JT 37 35.14 1.63/$1
096.8468 7 Racarino(b+) 4/1 Lanerie C J Sisterson Jack 37 35.14 1.63/$1
096.1169 1 Gulfstream Way 15/1 Mena M Baker James E. 108 30.56 1.15/$1
095.1501 4 Emperador 7/2 Graham J Hiles Rick E 78 32.05 1.26/$1
093.0486 2 Sprinklehead 20/1 Morales E Salas Felipe FC 108 30.56 1.15/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 24.19, ROI 0.94/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -1.7671
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[Dirt MdnMClm] Race Sex Not Females


09/25/21, CD, Race 4, 2.13 ET
09/25/21,CD,4,1 1/16M [Dirt] 1:41:00 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING. Purse $141,000 (includes up to $59,600 KTDF - Kentucky TB Devt Fund). FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON $10,000 THREE TIMES OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, STARTER, RESTRICTED, OR STATE BRED OR WHICH HAVE NOT WON A RACE OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, OPTIONAL, STARTER, RESTRICTED OR STATE BRED IN 2021 OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON FOUR RACES OR CLAIMING PRICE $80,000. Three Year Olds, 122 lbs.; Older, 126 lbs. Non-winners Of $30,000 Twice At A Mile Or Over Since July 25 Allowed 2 lbs. $24,000 At A Mile Or Over Since Then Allowed 4 lbs. Claiming Price $80,000 (Races Where Entered For $62,500 Or Less Not Considered In Allowances).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 3 Istan Council 3/1 Doyle S Jones J. Larry FW 182 26.37 1.29/$1
099.7110 5 Resurrection Road 15/1 McKee J Reed Eric R. JTL 182 26.37 1.29/$1
098.7131 2 Teenage Kicks 15/1 Hernandez. Jr. B J Flint Bernard S. S 182 26.37 1.29/$1
098.0398 1 Cheetara (CHI) 5/2 Graham J Correas. IV Ignacio 182 26.37 1.29/$1
096.9572 6 Saracosa 5/2 Arrieta F Contreras Cipriano E 182 26.37 1.29/$1
096.1824 4 Final Cut 15/1 Bejarano R Oliver Victoria H. 182 26.37 1.29/$1
094.8427 7 Sally's Curlin 3/1 Gaffalione T Romans Dale L. C 182 26.37 1.29/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 24.19, ROI 0.94/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -0.2890
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[Dirt Not_MdnMClm] Race Age Not 4Up  -with-
[Dirt Not_MdnMClm] Not Morning Line Favorite(not entry)


09/25/21, CD, Race 5, 2.45 ET
09/25/21,CD,5,6F [Dirt] 1:07:03 MAIDEN CLAIMING. Purse $42,000. FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES TWO YEARS OLD. Weight, 119 lbs. Claiming Price $20,000.
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 7 Freudian 7/2 Calderon O Lynch Brian A. JELC 150 31.33 1.11/$1
099.4338 4 Cha(b-) 7/2 Flores D R Ward Wesley A. SF 150 31.33 1.11/$1
094.4613 10 Jerusalema(b+) 12/1 Talamo J Walsh Brendan P. W 150 31.33 1.11/$1
094.4426 2 Baja Fog(b-) 3/1 Gaffalione T Ward Wesley A. 78 32.05 1.26/$1
093.6851 6 American Reality 6/1 Graham J Amoss Thomas M. 198 23.74 0.91/$1
092.8121 3 Dawson Springs 12/1 Beschizza A Kenneally Eddie 150 31.33 1.11/$1
092.4917 9 Lace Revolution 15/1 Hernandez C J Mitchell Sherman S. 198 23.74 0.91/$1
092.1453 5 Giddy Gootz 20/1 Lanerie C J Luce Nichole 198 23.74 0.91/$1
090.9164 1 Blest Life 5/1 Garcia M Cox Brad H. 150 31.33 1.11/$1
090.9054 8 Grandma B 20/1 Murrill M Campbell Donald H. 24 29.17 1.54/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 24.19, ROI 0.94/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -0.5662
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[All Dirt] Last Race Purse Higher Than Today


09/25/21, CD, Race 6, 3.18 ET
09/25/21,CD,6,5 1/2F [Dirt] 1:02:03 ALLOWANCE. Purse $127,000 (includes up to $57,500 KTDF - Kentucky TB Devt Fund). FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON A RACE OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, STARTER, OR STATE BRED ALLOWANCE OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. Three Year Olds, 120 lbs.; Older, 123 lbs. Non-winners Of $24,600 Since July 25 Allowed 2 lbs. (Races Where Entered For $35,000 Or Less Not Considered In Allowances).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 9 Rockstar Ro 5/1 Gaffalione T Lynch Brian A. JT 182 26.37 1.29/$1
099.0390 3 Critical Threat 8/1 Beschizza A Walsh Brendan P. 182 26.37 1.29/$1
098.7847 2 Cowan 2/1 Hernandez. Jr. B J Asmussen Steven M. FEC 157 33.12 1.34/$1
098.4831 7 Edge to Edge 5/1 Murrill M Hartman Chris A. L 182 26.37 1.29/$1
097.9435 1 On Your Mark 6/1 Graham J Foley Gregory D. 182 26.37 1.29/$1
097.1836 5 Tiberius Mercurius 6/1 Hernandez C J Stewart Dallas 182 26.37 1.29/$1
096.8847 8 Spankhurst 15/1 Arrieta F Vance Thomas D. SW 182 26.37 1.29/$1
094.1908 6 Abundant 8/1 Mena M Morse Randy L. 182 26.37 1.29/$1
091.7399 4 Fallen Empire 12/1 Ramos J D Johnson Marvin A. 182 26.37 1.29/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 24.19, ROI 0.94/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -0.9610
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[Dirt Not_MdnMClm] Race Age Not 4Up  -with-
[Dirt Not_MdnMClm] Not Morning Line Favorite(not entry)


09/25/21, CD, Race 7, 3.50 ET
09/25/21,CD,7,6F [Dirt] 1:07:03 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT. Purse $120,000 (includes up to $56,500 KTDF - Kentucky TB Devt Fund). FOR MAIDENS, TWO YEARS OLD. Weight, 119 lbs. (Preference To Horses That Have Not Started For Less Than $50,000).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 6 Hoist the Gold 3/1 Gaffalione T Stewart Dallas E 108 30.56 1.15/$1
099.9746 5 Cyberknife 5/1 Garcia M Cox Brad H. T 108 30.56 1.15/$1
099.8927 8 Fast Lane 5/1 Hernandez. Jr. B J Asmussen Steven M. W 108 30.56 1.15/$1
099.2147 3 Coffee With Alex 12/1 Beschizza A Walsh Brendan P. 108 30.56 1.15/$1
098.5542 2 Devil's Glen 4/1 Murrill M Maker Michael J. 108 30.56 1.15/$1
098.3252 9 Cloudy 6/1 Lanerie C J McGaughey III Claude R 108 30.56 1.15/$1
095.9505 4 Silent Disco 8/1 Gutierrez R Ortiz John Alexander J 108 30.56 1.15/$1
095.4833 7 Beeasy 6/1 Talamo J Asmussen Steven M. 108 30.56 1.15/$1
094.3472 1 High Speed Rail 15/1 Hernandez C J Colebrook Ben 108 30.56 1.15/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 24.19, ROI 0.94/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -0.0254
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[Dirt MdnMClm] Race Sex Not Females


09/25/21, CD, Race 8, 4.22 ET
09/25/21,CD,8,7F [Dirt] 1:20:02 STAKES. Dogwood Stakes. Grade 3. Purse $275,000 (includes up to $50,000 Added KTDF - Kentucky TB Devt Fund). FOR FILLIES, THREE YEARS OLD.
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 2 Carribean Caper 1/1 Hernandez C J Stall. Jr. Albert M. FEC 157 33.12 1.34/$1
099.3671 4 Malloy 10/1 Talamo J Catalano Wayne M. S 182 26.37 1.29/$1
099.0666 6 Patty H 7/2 Leparoux J R Miceli Michael L 182 26.37 1.29/$1
095.2791 7 Someone Said So 15/1 Beschizza A Rosin Coty W. JW 182 26.37 1.29/$1
095.0352 3 Li'l Tootsie 3/1 Graham J Amoss Thomas M. 182 26.37 1.29/$1
091.8494 1 Coppelia 15/1 Garcia M Bauer Philip A. 182 26.37 1.29/$1
090.5022 5 Shesa Mystery 10/1 Mena M Hiles Jeff A. T 182 26.37 1.29/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 24.19, ROI 0.94/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -0.6329
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[Dirt Not_MdnMClm] Race Type Not_Claiming  -with-
[Dirt Not_MdnMClm] Race Age Not 4Up


09/25/21, CD, Race 9, 4.55 ET
09/25/21,CD,9,1 3/16M [Dirt] 1:56:00 STAKES. Bourbon Trail Stakes. Purse $275,000 (includes up to $50,000 Added KTDF - Kentucky TB Devt Fund). FOR THREE-YEAR-OLDS.
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 1 Gagetown 4/1 Garcia M Cox Brad H. TSFC 182 26.37 1.29/$1
097.8897 5 Angkor 20/1 Beschizza A Bauer Philip A. W 182 26.37 1.29/$1
096.4681 3 Dr Jack 4/1 Gaffalione T Asmussen Steven M. JL 182 26.37 1.29/$1
095.1438 4 King Fury 6/5 Hernandez. Jr. B J McPeek Kenneth G. E 157 33.12 1.34/$1
094.4946 6 Bourbon Thunder 5/1 Landeros C Wilkes Ian R. 182 26.37 1.29/$1
091.7099 7 Sermononthemount 5/1 Graham J Amoss Thomas M. 182 26.37 1.29/$1
091.6789 2 King's Ovation 15/1 Talamo J Romans Dale L. 182 26.37 1.29/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 24.19, ROI 0.94/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -2.1103
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[Dirt Not_MdnMClm] Race Age Not 4Up  -with-
[Dirt Not_MdnMClm] Not Morning Line Favorite(not entry)


09/25/21, CD, Race 10, 5.26 ET
09/25/21,CD,10,7F [Dirt] 1:20:02 STAKES. Harrods Creek Stakes. Purse $275,000 (includes up to $50,000 Added KTDF - Kentucky TB Devt Fund). FOR THREE YEARS OLD.
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 4 He'smyhoneybadger 6/1 Garcia M Cox Brad H. 182 26.37 1.29/$1
099.9287 3 Bob's Edge 8/1 Beschizza A Jones J. Larry 182 26.37 1.29/$1
099.6936 10 Everett's Song 15/1 Morales P Bennett Dale JTC 182 26.37 1.29/$1
099.5940 6 Shadow Matter 8/1 Lanerie C J Stewart Dallas E 182 26.37 1.29/$1
099.5230 5 Emerald Forest 7/2 Guerrero J A Wilson Shane SW 182 26.37 1.29/$1
099.0758 7 Irish Unity 3/1 Hernandez. Jr. B J Asmussen Steven M. F 157 33.12 1.34/$1
098.7585 9 Flags Up 20/1 Graham J Baker James E. 182 26.37 1.29/$1
097.8987 1 Dreamer's Disease(b+) 5/1 Cohen D Diodoro Robertino L 182 26.37 1.29/$1
097.4836 8 Wolfie's Dynaghost 6/1 Gaffalione T Albertrani Thomas 182 26.37 1.29/$1
093.2623 2 Ram 15/1 Bejarano R Lukas D. Wayne 182 26.37 1.29/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 24.19, ROI 0.94/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -0.0713
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[Dirt Not_MdnMClm] Race Age Not 4Up  -with-
[Dirt Not_MdnMClm] Not Morning Line Favorite(not entry)


09/25/21, CD, Race 11, 5.58 ET
09/25/21,CD,11,6F [Dirt] 1:07:03 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT. Purse $120,000 (includes up to $56,500 KTDF - Kentucky TB Devt Fund). FOR MAIDENS, TWO YEARS OLD. Weight, 119 lbs. (Preference To Horses That Have Not Started For Less Than $50,000).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 9 Chasing Time 4/1 Hernandez. Jr. B J Asmussen Steven M. W 108 30.56 1.15/$1
099.3306 8 Federal Hill 5/1 Graham J Brisset Rodolphe T 108 30.56 1.15/$1
098.2887 6 Howling Time 6/1 Talamo J Romans Dale L. 108 30.56 1.15/$1
097.0493 5 Osbourne 12/1 Leparoux J R Moquett Ron 108 30.56 1.15/$1
095.9598 1 Yasuke 15/1 Miller C Miller Darrin 108 30.56 1.15/$1
095.5770 2 Leddy 6/1 Lanerie C J Asmussen Steven M. 108 30.56 1.15/$1
095.4571 4 Back to Normal 3/1 Gaffalione T Maker Michael J. JE 108 30.56 1.15/$1
094.4799 7 Brawndo 6/1 Beschizza A Kenneally Eddie 108 30.56 1.15/$1
094.0536 3 I'm a War Lord 8/1 Rocco. Jr. J Tomlinson Michael A. 108 30.56 1.15/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 24.19, ROI 0.94/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -0.6694
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[Dirt MdnMClm] Race Sex Not Females


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