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Top Horse Analytics: 08/27/2021 Picks and Results - DMR


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TOP HORSE ANALYTICS (v12.21.07.23c)

Track: DMR
Start Of Statistics - 08/31/2020
Past Number of Races - 388

WinPC   $1ROI   HiPayoff   Bet Types
35.82 0.88   8.40   Favorites
32.21 0.82 12.80   Morning Line Favorites
31.96 1.34 159.00   Top Horse (with profitable conditions)

Complete Statistics Provided at THA Weekly Statistics

Contact us at Facebook for help or to report issues: Top Horse Analytics

The Win% and ROI columns below are the win percents and return on investments that the top horse
has performed in the past year for associated compound conditions in a race. The expectation is
that these conditions will perform as well in the future.

An ROI less than 1.01 indicates that no profitable conditions exist for this entry when it's the top rated
horse. Also, be aware that abnormally high payoffs may inflate the ROI so look for a high Win% and Occurs to go
with that high ROI as your selection.

These stats are only good for the top rated horse whether it's the original (100.0000) or the top horse
resulting from scratches. Every horse in a race may have Occurs, Win%, and ROI stats in case it becomes the
top rated horse.


horse name(b+) - Blinkers On
horse name(b-) - Blinkers Off

08/27/21, DMR, Race 1, 3.30 PT
08/27/21,DMR,1,1 1/16M [Turf] 1:39:03 CLAIMING. Purse $45,000. FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. Three Year Olds, 120 lbs.; Older, 124 lbs. Non-winners Of Two Races At A Mile Or Over Since May 27 Allowed 2 lbs. Such A Race Since Then Allowed 4 lbs. Claiming Price $32,000, if for $28,000, allowed 2 lbs. (Maiden Races And Claiming Races For $25,000 Or Less Not Considered). (Rail at 30 feet).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 3 Miss Flawless (FR) 6/1 Hernandez J J Powell Leonard 160 30.00 1.83/$1
099.7478 1 Runway Dreamer(b+) 4/1 Frey K Miller Peter JW 160 30.00 1.83/$1
098.7064 5 Zabava 5/2 Rispoli U Mulhall Kristin FC 160 30.00 1.83/$1
098.5048 4 So Much Happy 3/1 Pyfer J Glatt Mark TL 160 30.00 1.83/$1
094.3469 7 Kuora (PER) 8/1 Bravo J Baltas Richard 160 30.00 1.83/$1
094.1009 6 Loud Loud Music 12/1 Cedillo A Lerner Andrew SE 160 30.00 1.83/$1
093.5745 2 Lavender (IRE) 12/1 Franco G Yakteen Tim 160 30.00 1.83/$1
087.0481 8 Too Much Heaven 5/1 Pereira T J Spawr William 160 30.00 1.83/$1
Top rated horse With "Turf Surface Not fm/hd" - Win% 100.00, ROI 2.00/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -0.2522
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[All Turf] Actual Post Not Greater Than 9

If Race Is Off Turf

Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 6 Loud Loud Music 12/1 Cedillo A Lerner Andrew SW 46 43.48 1.75/$1
098.4378 4 So Much Happy 3/1 Pyfer J Glatt Mark TL 46 43.48 1.75/$1
096.9012 2 Lavender (IRE) 12/1 Franco G Yakteen Tim 46 43.48 1.75/$1
096.7448 3 Miss Flawless (FR) 6/1 Hernandez J J Powell Leonard 46 43.48 1.75/$1
095.7161 7 Kuora (PER) 8/1 Bravo J Baltas Richard 58 31.03 1.89/$1
094.7835 1 Runway Dreamer(b+) 4/1 Frey K Miller Peter 46 43.48 1.75/$1
094.7152 5 Zabava 5/2 Rispoli U Mulhall Kristin JFEC 46 43.48 1.75/$1
091.5002 8 Too Much Heaven 5/1 Pereira T J Spawr William 46 43.48 1.75/$1
Top rated horse with "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 25.00, ROI 1.03/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -1.5622
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[Dirt Not_MdnMClm] Race Sex Females


08/27/21, DMR, Race 2, 4.00 PT
08/27/21,DMR,2,1M [Dirt] 1:33:01 CLAIMING. Purse $28,000. FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES. Three Year Olds, 120 lbs.; Older, 124 lbs. Claiming Price $20,000.
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 2 Northern Gem 12/1 Franco G Barocio Librado TW 46 43.48 1.75/$1
097.8348 4 Morning Addiction 5/2 Hernandez J J Lerner Andrew JSFE 46 43.48 1.75/$1
097.2503 8 Flat Out Joy 2/1 Cedillo A O'Neill Doug F. 46 43.48 1.75/$1
095.1806 3 Illapawnie 8/1 Pyfer J Wong Jonathan C 46 43.48 1.75/$1
094.1359 1 Mama Superior 8/1 Pereira T J Knapp Steve 46 43.48 1.75/$1
093.2848 5 Red Nova 20/1 Stra K Pearson Molly J. 46 43.48 1.75/$1
090.7513 6 Flatterwithjewels 15/1 Herrera D A Pineda Milton G. 46 43.48 1.75/$1
090.5598 7 American Bourbon 5/2 Frey K Wong Jonathan L 46 43.48 1.75/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 25.00, ROI 1.03/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -2.1652
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[Dirt Not_MdnMClm] Race Sex Females


08/27/21, DMR, Race 3, 4.30 PT
08/27/21,DMR,3,1M [Dirt] 1:33:01 CLAIMING. Purse $25,000. FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD. Three Year Olds, 120 lbs.; Older, 124 lbs. Non-winners Of Two Races At A Mile Or Over Since May 27 Allowed 2 lbs. Such A Race Since Then Allowed 4 lbs. Claiming Price $10,000, if for $9,000, allowed 2 lbs. (Maiden Races And Claiming Races For $8,500 Or Less Not Considered).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 5 Itsthattime 15/1 Pereira T J Morfin Sergio 87 32.18 1.37/$1
099.8393 3 Fast as Cass 15/1 Franco G Ruiz Lorenzo 87 32.18 1.37/$1
099.3700 8 T Bones Trick 7/2 Hernandez J J Truman Eddie JSFC 87 32.18 1.37/$1
099.3013 2 Studly Perfection 7/2 Valdivia. Jr. J Mulhall Kristin WL 87 32.18 1.37/$1
099.1935 9 Press Briefing 6/1 Centeno A Saldana Reed 87 32.18 1.37/$1
099.0958 6 Jan's Reserve 5/1 Ortega C Uranga Jesus J. 87 32.18 1.37/$1
098.9662 7 Kenzou's Rhythm 12/1 Ellingwood E A Hanson Ryan 87 32.18 1.37/$1
097.6432 4 House Limit 5/1 Pyfer J Glatt Mark 87 32.18 1.37/$1
096.2594 1 Conquest Cobra 3/1 Cedillo A Miyadi Steven TE 87 32.18 1.37/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 25.00, ROI 1.03/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -0.1607
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
Jockey+Trainer Dirt YTD_Curr*4.5 (M)
*Scratches may change this condition

08/27/21, DMR, Race 4, 5.00 PT
08/27/21,DMR,4,1M [Dirt] 1:33:01 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT. Purse $70,000 (plus up to $21,000 CBOIF - California Bred Owner Fund). FOR MAIDENS, TWO YEARS OLD. Weight, 120 lbs.
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 4 Flying Drummer 9/5 Bravo J Baffert Bob EL 87 34.48 0.75/$1
098.7925 8 Carbonite(b-) 6/1 Cedillo A Baffert Bob 87 34.48 0.75/$1
098.4659 6 Clampett 6/1 Smith M E Glatt Mark 87 34.48 0.75/$1
097.7132 1 Charter Oak 15/1 Pyfer J Lerner Andrew SC 33 42.42 1.23/$1
097.1201 7 Barossa 12/1 Hernandez J J Baffert Bob W 87 34.48 0.75/$1
096.5023 9 Derecho Dandy 6/1 Rispoli U Sadler John W. J 51 45.10 1.25/$1
096.0537 2 Oviatt Class 4/1 Desormeaux K J Desormeaux J. Keith 87 34.48 0.75/$1
095.6489 5 Bright Leaf(b+) 12/1 Pereira T J Sadler John W. 87 34.48 0.75/$1
089.9039 3 Astronomer(b+) 8/1 Frey K Callaghan Simon 87 34.48 0.75/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 25.00, ROI 1.03/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -1.2075
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[Dirt MdnMClm] Default Category Stats


08/27/21, DMR, Race 5, 5.30 PT
08/27/21,DMR,5,1 1/16M [Turf] 1:39:03 CLAIMING. Purse $30,000. FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. Three Year Olds, 120 lbs.; Older, 124 lbs. Claiming Price $32,000. (Rail at 30 feet).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 3 Jack Sprout(b-) 6/1 Valdivia. Jr. J Mendez Luis TW 160 30.00 1.83/$1
095.1251 9 Constant Conflict 4/1 Cedillo A Eurton Peter SFE 160 30.00 1.83/$1
094.7094 6 Steak and Cheese 5/2 Rispoli U Maker Michael J. L 160 30.00 1.83/$1
091.9785 2 Avigale (IRE) 3/1 Frey K Mullins Jeff JC 160 30.00 1.83/$1
087.4056 4 Good Bye Putin 4/1 Van Dyke D Gaines Carla 160 30.00 1.83/$1
083.8363 8 My Indy(b-) 10/1 Herrera D A Nichols Samuel 160 30.00 1.83/$1
083.5915 1 Meadway 30/1 Barnett W A Cortez John E. 160 30.00 1.83/$1
083.5285 7 Silent Musketier 30/1 Pereira T J Nichols Samuel 160 30.00 1.83/$1
080.2233 5 Hammering Lemon 15/1 Franco G Stute Gary 160 30.00 1.83/$1
Top rated horse With "Turf Surface Not fm/hd" - Win% 100.00, ROI 2.00/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -4.8749
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[All Turf] Actual Post Not Greater Than 9

If Race Is Off Turf

Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 6 Steak and Cheese 5/2 Rispoli U Maker Michael J. JSL 87 32.18 1.37/$1
099.1286 9 Constant Conflict 4/1 Cedillo A Eurton Peter EW 87 32.18 1.37/$1
098.2165 3 Jack Sprout(b-) 6/1 Valdivia. Jr. J Mendez Luis T 87 32.18 1.37/$1
096.7840 4 Good Bye Putin 4/1 Van Dyke D Gaines Carla 87 32.18 1.37/$1
094.5216 8 My Indy(b-) 10/1 Herrera D A Nichols Samuel 87 32.18 1.37/$1
094.2267 1 Meadway 30/1 Barnett W A Cortez John E. 87 32.18 1.37/$1
093.2361 2 Avigale (IRE) 3/1 Frey K Mullins Jeff C 87 32.18 1.37/$1
091.1348 7 Silent Musketier 30/1 Pereira T J Nichols Samuel 87 32.18 1.37/$1
091.0794 5 Hammering Lemon 15/1 Franco G Stute Gary 87 32.18 1.37/$1
Top rated horse with "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 25.00, ROI 1.03/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -0.8714
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
Jockey+Trainer Dirt YTD_Curr*4.5 (M)
*Scratches may change this condition

08/27/21, DMR, Race 6, 6.00 PT
08/27/21,DMR,6,1M [Dirt] 1:33:01 STAKES. Tranquility Lake Stakes. Purse $80,000 (plus up to $24,000 Added CBOIF - California Bred Owner Fund). FOR FILLIES AND MARES, THREE-YEAR-OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH ARE NON-WINNERS OF A SWEEPSTAKES OF $50,000* OTHER THAN STATE BRED AT ONE MILE OR OVER SINCE FEBRUARY 1. FREE nominations close Thursday, August 19 with 13 or by supplementary nomination of $800 each by closing time of entries. $100 to pass the entry box and an additional $400 to start, with $80,000 Added. The added money and all fees to be divided 60% to the winner; 20% to second; 12% to third; 6% to fourth and 2% to fifth. Three-year-olds 121 lbs.; Older 125 lbs. Non-winners of $35,000 twice since April 1 or $60,000 at one mile or over since June 1, 2020, allowed 2 lbs.; of $40,000 at one mile or over in 2021 or such a race of $35,000 since May 1, 4 lbs.; of $50,000 since September 1, 2020, 6lbs. (Maiden and claiming races not considered). High weights preferred. Total non-claiming earnings in 2021 will be used in determining the preference of horses with equal weights. *$50,000 to the winner.
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 3 Miss Bigly 8/5 Hernandez J J D'Amato Philip TE 58 31.03 1.89/$1
098.6619 2 Miss Stormy D 3/1 Franco G Gaines Carla WL 58 31.03 1.89/$1
097.8349 6 Harper's Gallop 5/1 Van Dyke D Powell Leonard S 46 43.48 1.75/$1
097.0284 1 Paige Anne 5/2 Rispoli U Callaghan Simon J 58 31.03 1.89/$1
096.4409 5 First Star 8/1 Cedillo A Ellis Ronald W. C 46 43.48 1.75/$1
089.8143 4 Nasty 5/1 Bravo J Baltas Richard 46 43.48 1.75/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 25.00, ROI 1.03/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -1.3381
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
Workouts Turf Last 8 (M)


08/27/21, DMR, Race 7, 6.30 PT
08/27/21,DMR,7,5F [Turf] 00:54:04 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT. Purse $70,000 (plus up to $21,000 CBOIF - California Bred Owner Fund). FOR MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. Three Year Olds, 121 lbs.; Older, 124 lbs. (Non-Starters For A Claiming Price Of $40,000 Or Less In The Last 3 Starts Preferred). (Rail at 30 feet).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 1 Gregory's Pride 5/2 Bravo J D'Amato Philip 160 30.00 1.83/$1
099.3840 7 Aurelian Man 2/1 Rispoli U O'Neill Doug F. JSFL 160 30.00 1.83/$1
096.8423 2 Sai Con (FR) 20/1 Cedillo A Baltas Richard 160 30.00 1.83/$1
096.6407 6 Eagle Chief 4/1 Hernandez J J Sadler John W. 160 30.00 1.83/$1
095.7112 9 Encroachment 5/2 Frey K Hanson Ryan W 160 30.00 1.83/$1
090.8692 4 Go On 7/2 Gutierrez M O'Neill Doug F. E 160 30.00 1.83/$1
089.8624 8 Mariners Way 15/1 Franco G Sise. Jr. Clifford W. 160 30.00 1.83/$1
089.7359 3 Tiz the Tale 20/1 Valdivia. Jr. J Ellis Ronald W. 160 30.00 1.83/$1
088.8207 10 Solo Animo 3/1 Franco G D'Amato Philip C 76 30.26 2.68/$1
088.0176 5 Secret Weapon(b+) 8/1 Frey K Callaghan Simon 160 30.00 1.83/$1
Top rated horse With "Turf Surface Not fm/hd" - Win% 100.00, ROI 2.00/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -0.6160
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[All Turf] Actual Post Not Greater Than 9

If Race Is Off Turf

Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 10 Solo Animo 3/1 Franco G D'Amato Philip SFC 58 22.41 1.16/$1
097.9807 4 Go On 7/2 Gutierrez M O'Neill Doug F. E 58 22.41 1.16/$1
095.8595 8 Mariners Way 15/1 Franco G Sise. Jr. Clifford W. 58 22.41 1.16/$1
093.8425 5 Secret Weapon(b+) 8/1 Frey K Callaghan Simon 58 22.41 1.16/$1
093.0378 1 Gregory's Pride 5/2 Bravo J D'Amato Philip 58 22.41 1.16/$1
092.3315 9 Encroachment 5/2 Frey K Hanson Ryan W 58 22.41 1.16/$1
092.2230 6 Eagle Chief 4/1 Hernandez J J Sadler John W. 58 22.41 1.16/$1
091.7372 7 Aurelian Man 2/1 Rispoli U O'Neill Doug F. JL 51 45.10 1.25/$1
091.3020 3 Tiz the Tale 20/1 Valdivia. Jr. J Ellis Ronald W. 58 22.41 1.16/$1
088.7477 2 Sai Con (FR) 20/1 Cedillo A Baltas Richard 58 22.41 1.16/$1
Top rated horse with "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 25.00, ROI 1.03/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -2.0193
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
Speed Turf Last 3 (M)


08/27/21, DMR, Race 8, 7.00 PT
08/27/21,DMR,8,6 1/2F [Dirt] 1:13:03 MAIDEN CLAIMING. Purse $27,000. FOR MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. Three Year Olds, 121 lbs.; Older, 124 lbs. Claiming Price $32,000.
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 4 Sir Flatter 6/1 Centeno A Ortiz. Sr. Manuel F 87 34.48 0.75/$1
099.7407 10 Safe Combination 6/1 Rispoli U Gutierrez Jorge JSL 51 45.10 1.25/$1
099.6875 7 Proud Veteran 4/1 Franco G Pitnick Brian J. 87 34.48 0.75/$1
099.2612 1 Me Macho 20/1 Pyfer J Cortez John E. W 87 34.48 0.75/$1
099.2504 6 Dreamed It 6/1 Frey K Glatt Mark T 87 34.48 0.75/$1
098.2846 2 Pick Your Bid 30/1 Pereira T J Garcia Antonio 87 34.48 0.75/$1
097.5437 8 Money Back 6/1 Maldonado E A Hess. Jr. Robert B. 87 34.48 0.75/$1
096.6904 9 Doncic(b+) 3/1 Bravo J Sadler John W. E 87 34.48 0.75/$1
095.0049 5 Sirocco(b-) 10/1 Cedillo A O'Neill Doug F. 87 34.48 0.75/$1
090.6923 3 Borkan 8/1 Gonzalez R Sherman Art 87 34.48 0.75/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 25.00, ROI 1.03/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -0.2593
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[Dirt MdnMClm] Default Category Stats


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