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Top Horse Analytics: 08/20/2021 Picks and Results - DMR


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TOP HORSE ANALYTICS (v12.21.07.23c)

Track: DMR
Start Of Statistics - 08/23/2020
Past Number of Races - 394

WinPC   $1ROI   HiPayoff   Bet Types
35.53 0.87   8.40   Favorites
30.69 0.77 12.80   Morning Line Favorites
33.25 1.66 159.00   Top Horse (with profitable conditions)

Complete Statistics Provided at THA Weekly Statistics

Contact us at Facebook for help or to report issues: Top Horse Analytics

The Win% and ROI columns below are the win percents and return on investments that the top horse
has performed in the past year for associated compound conditions in a race. The expectation is
that these conditions will perform as well in the future.

An ROI less than 1.01 indicates that no profitable conditions exist for this entry when it's the top rated
horse. Also, be aware that abnormally high payoffs may inflate the ROI so look for a high Win% and Occurs to go
with that high ROI as your selection.

These stats are only good for the top rated horse whether it's the original (100.0000) or the top horse
resulting from scratches. Every horse in a race may have Occurs, Win%, and ROI stats in case it becomes the
top rated horse.


horse name(b+) - Blinkers On
horse name(b-) - Blinkers Off

08/20/21, DMR, Race 1, 4.00 PT
08/20/21,DMR,1,1M [Turf] 1:32:01 CLAIMING. Purse $47,000 (plus up to $5,640 CBOIF - California Bred Owner Fund). FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD. Three Year Olds, 120 lbs.; Older, 125 lbs. Non-winners Of Two Races At A Mile Or Over Since May 20 Allowed 2 lbs. Such A Race Since Then Allowed 4 lbs. Claiming Price $40,000, if for $35,000, allowed 2 lbs. (Maiden Races And Claiming Races For $32,000 Or Less Not Considered). (Rail at 24 feet).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 2 Dubby Dubbie 5/2 Prat F Sadler John W. JTSE 179 30.17 2.25/$1
096.5402 3 First Premio 3/1 Rispoli U Dollase Craig F 179 30.17 2.25/$1
094.9300 6 Cucina 8/1 Bravo J Maker Michael J. 179 30.17 2.25/$1
093.7556 4 Blameless 5/1 Ortega C Morfin Sergio WL 179 30.17 2.25/$1
093.0140 5 Stage Ready 3/1 McCarthy T Maker Michael J. 179 30.17 2.25/$1
089.6381 1 Secret Club 8/1 Hernandez J J McCarthy Sean C 179 30.17 2.25/$1
087.9201 7 Fuente (GB) 8/1 Pereira T J Badilla Manuel 179 30.17 2.25/$1
Top rated horse With "Turf Surface Not fm/hd" - Win% 100.00, ROI 2.00/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -3.4598
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[All Turf] Race Purse Greater Than $25K

If Race Is Off Turf

Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 2 Dubby Dubbie 5/2 Prat F Sadler John W. JE 62 24.19 2.45/$1
099.6543 3 First Premio 3/1 Rispoli U Dollase Craig TS 62 29.03 2.48/$1
098.7177 6 Cucina 8/1 Bravo J Maker Michael J. 62 29.03 2.84/$1
097.8807 4 Blameless 5/1 Ortega C Morfin Sergio L 62 29.03 2.48/$1
097.8463 5 Stage Ready 3/1 McCarthy T Maker Michael J. F 62 29.03 2.48/$1
096.4490 1 Secret Club 8/1 Hernandez J J McCarthy Sean C 62 24.19 2.45/$1
094.9778 7 Fuente (GB) 8/1 Pereira T J Badilla Manuel W 62 29.03 2.48/$1
Top rated horse with "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 25.00, ROI 0.61/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -0.3457
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
Workouts Turf Last 1 (M)


08/20/21, DMR, Race 2, 4.28 PT
08/20/21,DMR,2,6F [Dirt] 1:07:03 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT. Purse $70,000 (plus up to $21,000 CBOIF - California Bred Owner Fund). FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. Three Year Olds, 120 lbs.; Older, 124 lbs.
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 1 Zero Tolerance 6/5 Prat F Miller Peter JFEC 89 32.58 0.68/$1
094.9468 5 Sweet and Cheeky 12/1 McCarthy T Glatt Mark S 89 32.58 0.68/$1
093.8185 4 Katerini 3/1 Baze T Glatt Mark L 89 32.58 0.68/$1
093.5506 6 M Is for Magic 4/1 Rispoli U Eurton Peter W 89 32.58 0.68/$1
091.3752 2 Socially Smart 7/2 Pyfer J Koriner Brian J. 89 32.58 0.68/$1
089.8691 3 The Pharaoh's Girl 10/1 Franco G Wong Jonathan 89 32.58 0.68/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 25.00, ROI 0.61/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -5.0532
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[Dirt MdnMClm] Default Category Stats


08/20/21, DMR, Race 3, 4.56 PT
08/20/21,DMR,3,1 1/16M [Turf] 1:39:03 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING. Purse $76,000 (plus up to $22,800 CBOIF - California Bred Owner Fund). FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON $15,000 THREE TIMES OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, OR STARTER OR STATE BRED OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON FOUR RACES OR WHICH HAVE NOT WON $55,000 SINCE OCTOBER 15 OR CLAIMING PRICE $100,000. Three Year Olds, 120 lbs.; Older, 124 lbs. Non-winners Of Two Races At A Mile Or Over Since May 20 Allowed 2 lbs. Such A Race Since Then Allowed 4 lbs. Claiming Price $100,000 (Maiden, Claiming, And Starter Races For $62,500 Or Less Not Considered In Eligibility And Allowances) (Rail at 24 feet).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 1 Indian Peak 2/1 Prat F Miller Peter JT 179 30.17 2.25/$1
093.0289 5 North County Guy 5/2 Rispoli U Baltas Richard FE 179 30.17 2.25/$1
092.2466 3 Artie's Rumor 4/1 Desormeaux K J Moquett Ron SC 179 30.17 2.25/$1
091.9276 4 Tiz Plus 4/1 McCarthy T Puype Mike W 179 30.17 2.25/$1
088.6527 2 Bob and Jackie 3/1 Centeno A Baltas Richard L 179 30.17 2.25/$1
Top rated horse With "Turf Surface Not fm/hd" - Win% 100.00, ROI 2.00/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -6.9711
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[All Turf] Race Purse Greater Than $25K

If Race Is Off Turf

Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 1 Indian Peak 2/1 Prat F Miller Peter JT 62 29.03 2.48/$1
099.9262 3 Artie's Rumor 4/1 Desormeaux K J Moquett Ron SFWC 43 39.53 2.10/$1
098.6223 5 North County Guy 5/2 Rispoli U Baltas Richard E 62 29.03 2.48/$1
097.4241 4 Tiz Plus 4/1 McCarthy T Puype Mike 62 29.03 2.84/$1
097.4008 2 Bob and Jackie 3/1 Centeno A Baltas Richard L 62 29.03 2.84/$1
Top rated horse with "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 25.00, ROI 0.61/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -0.0738
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
Workouts Turf Last 9 (M)


08/20/21, DMR, Race 4, 5.24 PT
08/20/21,DMR,4,6F [Dirt] 1:07:03 CLAIMING. Purse $39,000. FOR FILLIES THREE YEARS OLD. Weight, 124 lbs. Non-winners Of Two Races Since May 20 Allowed 2 lbs. A Race Allowed 4 lbs. Claiming Price $25,000, if for $22,500, allowed 2 lbs. (Maiden Races And Claiming Races Races For $20,000 Or Less Not Considered In Allowances).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 8 Big Al's Princess 12/1 Centeno A Garcia Victor L. T 62 29.03 2.76/$1
099.5329 7 Jasmine Chieftain 3/1 Frey K McCanna Tim JC 62 29.03 2.84/$1
099.0271 2 Righteously 5/2 Gutierrez M Ruiz Lorenzo E 62 29.03 2.84/$1
098.9823 6 Yellow Dress 5/1 Rispoli U Hess. Jr. Robert B. 62 29.03 2.76/$1
098.8801 5 Royal Blend 4/1 Van Dyke D Hess. Jr. Robert B. S 62 29.03 2.76/$1
097.8976 3 Kerralia 8/1 Pyfer J Belvoir Vann 62 29.03 2.76/$1
097.2945 1 Later Days 12/1 Baze T Harrington Patricia FL 62 29.03 2.76/$1
095.7038 4 Simmer Down(b+) 6/1 Ellingwood E A Hanson Ryan W 62 16.13 1.99/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 25.00, ROI 0.61/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -0.4671
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
Workouts Turf Last 7 (M)


08/20/21, DMR, Race 5, 5.52 PT
08/20/21,DMR,5,1M [Turf] 1:32:01 CLAIMING. Purse $55,000 (plus up to $6,600 CBOIF - California Bred Owner Fund). FOR THREE YEAR OLDS. Weight, 124 lbs. Non-winners Of Two Races At A Mile Or Over Since May 20 Allowed 2 lbs. Such A Race Since Then Allowed 4 lbs. Claiming Price $50,000, if for $45,000, allowed 2 lbs. (Maiden Races And Claiming Races For $40,000 Or LessNot Considered). (Rail at 24 feet).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 10 Kennebec 12/1 Hernandez J J Wong Jonathan TC 78 33.33 3.90/$1
099.1705 7 Rookie Year 4/1 Prat F Miller Peter J 78 33.33 3.90/$1
096.4132 5 Back Ring Luck 20/1 Frey K Sadler John W. 78 33.33 3.90/$1
095.9815 6 Man Friday 3/1 Rispoli U Maker Michael J. F 78 33.33 3.90/$1
095.6969 3 Vantage Point 6/1 Desormeaux K J McCanna Tim 78 33.33 3.90/$1
094.6412 9 Muay Thai (IRE) 6/1 Bravo J Sadler John W. 78 33.33 3.90/$1
090.6277 8 Sensemaker 20/1 Herrera D A Ortiz. Sr. Manuel 78 33.33 3.90/$1
089.7174 4 Ingest 12/1 Cedillo A O'Neill Doug F. L 78 33.33 3.90/$1
087.8162 11 Mucho Del Oro 6/1 Maldonado E A Hess. Jr. Robert B. W 78 33.33 3.90/$1
086.8246 1 Play Chicken 12/1 Baze T Knapp Steve SE 78 33.33 3.90/$1
000.0000 2 Gates of Heaven 1/5 No Rider Yet 78 33.33 3.90/$1
Top rated horse With "Turf Surface Not fm/hd" - Win% 100.00, ROI 2.00/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -0.8295
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[All Turf] *Race Entries Greater Than 9
*Scratches may change this condition

If Race Is Off Turf

Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 7 Rookie Year 4/1 Prat F Miller Peter J 62 29.03 2.48/$1
099.3797 6 Man Friday 3/1 Rispoli U Maker Michael J. 62 29.03 2.48/$1
099.2751 10 Kennebec 12/1 Hernandez J J Wong Jonathan TFC 62 29.03 2.48/$1
098.7000 3 Vantage Point 6/1 Desormeaux K J McCanna Tim 62 29.03 2.48/$1
098.4269 8 Sensemaker 20/1 Herrera D A Ortiz. Sr. Manuel S 62 29.03 2.48/$1
097.4204 4 Ingest 12/1 Cedillo A O'Neill Doug F. L 62 29.03 2.48/$1
097.3414 9 Muay Thai (IRE) 6/1 Bravo J Sadler John W. W 62 29.03 2.48/$1
096.6458 11 Mucho Del Oro 6/1 Maldonado E A Hess. Jr. Robert B. 31 41.94 2.55/$1
096.2656 5 Back Ring Luck 20/1 Frey K Sadler John W. E 62 24.19 2.45/$1
096.1164 1 Play Chicken 12/1 Baze T Knapp Steve 62 24.19 2.45/$1
000.0000 2 Gates of Heaven 1/5 No Rider Yet 62 29.03 2.84/$1
Top rated horse with "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 25.00, ROI 0.61/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -0.6203
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
Workouts Turf Last 9 (M)


08/20/21, DMR, Race 6, 6.20 PT
08/20/21,DMR,6,6 1/2F [Dirt] 1:13:03 HANDICAP. Rancho Bernardo Handicap. Grade 3. Purse $100,000. FOR FILLIES AND MARES, THREE-YEAR-OLDS AND UPWARD. By subscription of $100 each, which shall accompany the nomination, Closed Thursday August 12,2021 with 11 or by supplementary nomination of $1,000 each by Friday, August 13, at noon. $1,500 additional to start, with $100,000 Guaranteed, of which $60,000 to first, $20,000 to second, $12,000 to third, $6,000 to fourth and $2,000 to fifth. Weights Friday, August 13. High weights preferred. A trophy will be presented to the winning owner.
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 1 Scotish Star (ARG) 9/5 Prat F Mandella Richard E. JTC 62 29.03 2.84/$1
099.3033 4 Edgeway 8/5 Bravo J Sadler John W. SFEL 62 29.03 2.76/$1
099.0451 3 Stellar Sound 2/1 Hernandez J J McCarthy Michael W. 62 29.03 2.84/$1
097.6701 2 Candura 10/1 Rispoli U Sadler John W. W 62 24.19 2.45/$1
097.0098 5 Proud Emma 8/1 Smith M E Miller Peter 62 29.03 2.76/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 25.00, ROI 0.61/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -0.6967
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
Workouts Turf Last 10 (M)


08/20/21, DMR, Race 7, 6.48 PT
08/20/21,DMR,7,5F [Turf] 00:54:04 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING. Purse $74,000 (plus up to $22,200 CBOIF - California Bred Owner Fund). FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON $15,000 TWICE OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, OR STARTER OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES OR CLAIMING PRICE $62,500. Three Year Olds, 120 lbs.; Older, 124 lbs. Non-winners Of Two Races Since May 20 Allowed 2 lbs. A Race Since Then Allowed 4 lbs. Claiming Price $62,500 (Maiden Races And Claiming Races Races For $50,000 Or Less Not Considered In Eligibility And Allowances). (Rail at 24 feet).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 7 Tilted Towers 8/1 Frey K D'Amato Philip JW 78 33.33 3.90/$1
098.6459 8 Distant Vista (IRE) 7/2 Hernandez J J D'Amato Philip S 78 33.33 3.90/$1
097.0053 9 Commander (FR) 4/1 Rispoli U Miller Peter C 78 33.33 3.90/$1
095.9583 10 Mikes Tiznow 5/2 Desormeaux K J Mathis Andy L 78 33.33 3.90/$1
094.1173 6 Top Harbor 20/1 Pereira T J McCanna Tim 78 33.33 3.90/$1
092.0770 2 Thanks Mr. Eidson 5/1 Smith M E Bonde Jeff 78 33.33 3.90/$1
090.2777 5 Torosay 3/1 Cedillo A O'Neill Doug F. 78 33.33 3.90/$1
089.4325 1 Whooping Jay 4/1 Gutierrez M O'Neill Doug F. FE 78 33.33 3.90/$1
089.3539 3 Unbridled Ethos 15/1 Gonzalez R Mullins Jeff 78 33.33 3.90/$1
086.0380 4 Citrus Burst 20/1 Valdivia. Jr. J Engler Jeff 78 33.33 3.90/$1
Top rated horse With "Turf Surface Not fm/hd" - Win% 100.00, ROI 2.00/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -1.3541
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[All Turf] *Race Entries Greater Than 9
*Scratches may change this condition

If Race Is Off Turf

Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 8 Distant Vista (IRE) 7/2 Hernandez J J D'Amato Philip 62 29.03 2.76/$1
099.8215 9 Commander (FR) 4/1 Rispoli U Miller Peter C 62 29.03 2.76/$1
099.3530 5 Torosay 3/1 Cedillo A O'Neill Doug F. 62 29.03 2.76/$1
099.3109 10 Mikes Tiznow 5/2 Desormeaux K J Mathis Andy L 62 29.03 2.76/$1
099.2989 7 Tilted Towers 8/1 Frey K D'Amato Philip J 62 29.03 2.76/$1
098.8163 1 Whooping Jay 4/1 Gutierrez M O'Neill Doug F. FE 62 29.03 2.76/$1
098.7981 2 Thanks Mr. Eidson 5/1 Smith M E Bonde Jeff 62 29.03 2.76/$1
097.8553 4 Citrus Burst 20/1 Valdivia. Jr. J Engler Jeff W 62 29.03 2.76/$1
097.5430 6 Top Harbor 20/1 Pereira T J McCanna Tim T 62 29.03 2.76/$1
095.8739 3 Unbridled Ethos 15/1 Gonzalez R Mullins Jeff 62 24.19 2.45/$1
Top rated horse with "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 25.00, ROI 0.61/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -0.1785
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
Workouts Turf Last 7 (M)


08/20/21, DMR, Race 8, 7.16 PT
08/20/21,DMR,8,6F [Dirt] 1:07:03 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT. Purse $70,000. FOR CALIFORNIA BRED OR CALIFORNIA SIRED MAIDENS, FILLIES TWO YEARS OLD. Weight, 120 lbs. (Non-Starters For A Claiming Price Of $40,000 Or Less In The Last 3 Starts Preferred).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 11 Spoiled Rotten(b-) 5/1 Cedillo A O'Neill Doug F. 89 32.58 0.68/$1
099.9731 6 Warren's Queen Bee 6/1 Hernandez J J Lewis Craig Anthony 89 32.58 0.68/$1
099.4570 2 Varick 8/1 Frey K Callaghan Simon JT 89 32.58 0.68/$1
098.6394 5 Wedding Chapel(b+) 6/1 Espinoza J Gonzalez Sal FE 89 32.58 0.68/$1
098.4669 1 Preskitt 5/1 Ortega C Solis Walther S 89 32.58 0.68/$1
097.3098 10 Big Switch 3/1 Bravo J Sadler John W. W 89 32.58 0.68/$1
096.9476 9 Addydidit 15/1 Baze T Solis Walther 89 32.58 0.68/$1
096.7708 7 Shemakescents 12/1 Gonzalez R D'Amato Philip 89 32.58 0.68/$1
093.8273 8 Moroccan Queen 20/1 Barnett W A Nehf Jay 89 32.58 0.68/$1
090.6738 4 Endless Thirst 30/1 Herrera D A Alvarez Edwin G. 89 32.58 0.68/$1
000.0000 3 Don't Ju Forget 1/5 No Rider Yet 89 32.58 0.68/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 25.00, ROI 0.61/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -0.0269
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[Dirt MdnMClm] Default Category Stats


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