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Top Horse Analytics

Top Horse Analytics: 08/17/2021 Weekly Statistics


THAAdmin
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CHART TRACKS: active last week
AQU - inactive
BEL - suspended
CD - suspended
DMR - active
FG - inactive
GP - inactive (fall/winter)
GPS - active (spring/summer GP)
KEE - suspended
LRL - inactive
MTH - active
OP - inactive
PIM - active (uses mostly LRL data base)
SA - inactive
SAR - active
TAM - inactive
TP - inactive

CHART SURFACES:
ALL - All surfaces and track conditions
DirtDRY - Dirt surface with "fst" or "wf" conditions
DirtWET - Dirt surface with NOT "fst" or "wf" conditions
TurfDRY - Turf surface with "fm" or "hd" conditions
TurfWET - Turf surface with NOT "fm" or "hd" conditions

CHART COLORS:
Pink colored cells indicate 0.85 to 0.90 ROI. (good)
Yellow colored cells indicate 0.90 ROI to 1.00 ROI. (better)
Green colored cells indicate above 1.00 ROI. (profitable)

NOTE:
Conditional Top Horse refers to the Top Horse when it matches conditions that are profitable over the past year - ROI greater than $1.00

 

dmr4.png

gps4.png

mth4.png

pim4.png

sar4.png

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Note:  You may have noticed that the HI PAY for DMR in the chart is an incredible $159.00. That was the 7th race on 7/31/2021 and was won by #6, Miss Carousel by a nose. 

https://www.equibase.com/premium/eqbPDFChartPlus.cfm?RACE=7&BorP=P&TID=DMR&CTRY=USA&DT=07/31/2021&DAY=D&STYLE=EQB

Why was it displayed on this week's results chart and not on last week's results chart? It's because the data base is always current to within a week. The weekly analysis run always tweaks the race calculation parameters by win percent based on data in the data base. This week, it calculated that horse on top in that race. Last week it did not. Next week that result may roll off and a more reasonable result may show up. When I worked in IT, they had "living documents" and here we have "living data bases". By the way, check out the free pick for 08/15/2021. That's what a "living data base" sometimes produces - a $29.20 winner.
 

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