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Top Horse Analytics: 07/30/2021 Picks and Results - MTH


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TOP HORSE ANALYTICS (v12.21.07.23a)

Track: MTH
Start Of Statistics - 08/01/2020
Past Number of Races - 627

WinPC   $1ROI   HiPayoff   Bet Types
38.92 0.86   9.20   Favorites
33.76 0.81 13.80   Morning Line Favorites
31.58 1.02 51.40   Top Horse (with profitable conditions)

Complete Statistics Provided at THA Weekly Statistics

Contact us at Facebook for help or to report issues: Top Horse Analytics

The Win% and ROI columns below are the win percents and return on investments that the top horse
has performed in the past year for associated compound conditions in a race. The expectation is
that these conditions will perform as well in the future.

An ROI less than 1.01 indicates that no profitable conditions exist for this entry when it's the top rated
horse. Also, be aware that abnormally high payoffs may inflate the ROI so look for a high Win% and Occurs to go
with that high ROI as your selection.

These stats are only good for the top rated horse whether it's the original (100.0000) or the top horse
resulting from scratches. Every horse in a race may have Occurs, Win%, and ROI stats in case it becomes the
top rated horse.


horse name(b+) - Blinkers On
horse name(b-) - Blinkers Off

07/30/21, MTH, Race 1, 5.00 ET
07/30/21,MTH,1,1 1/16M [Turf] 1:39:01 CLAIMING. Purse $29,000. (PLUS UP TO 40% NJB) FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES. Three Year Olds, 119 lbs.; Older, 124 lbs. Non-winners Of A Race At A Mile Or Over On The Turf Since May 30 Allowed 3 lbs. Claiming Price $20,000, For Each $1,000 To $18,000 1 lb. (Races Where Entered For $16,000 Or Less Not Considered In Allowances). (Rail at 36 feet).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 2 Lion Charmer 3/1 Lopez P O'Connor. II Robert R. J 85 38.82 1.11/$1
097.3637 8 Bee Major 7/2 Juarez N Breen Kelly J. T 85 38.82 1.11/$1
096.5584 4 Fly Fly Away 5/2 Peterson F Carvajal. Jr. Luis 85 38.82 1.11/$1
096.0066 3 Croi Mor 9/2 Sanchez M J Falcone. Jr. Robert N. FE 85 38.82 1.11/$1
095.4266 1 A Girls Bestfriend(b-) 6/1 Diaz. Jr. H R Schistl Rafael C 85 38.82 1.11/$1
092.9826 7 Seeking Revenge 10/1 Torres J Stephens John D. W 85 38.82 1.11/$1
092.2126 5 I Say I Play 8/1 Ocasio J Diaz Jorge SL 85 38.82 1.11/$1
091.2922 6 Carpenter 20/1 Gonzalez J L Betancourt Eli 85 38.82 1.11/$1
090.7456 9 Umbrage(b+) 20/1 Glass D Leeson John D. 85 38.82 1.11/$1
Top rated horse With "Turf Surface Not fm/hd" - Win% 14.71, ROI 0.34/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -2.6363
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[Turf Not_MdnMClm] *Race Entries Not Greater Than 9
*Scratches may change this condition

If Race Is Off Turf

Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 4 Fly Fly Away 5/2 Peterson F Carvajal. Jr. Luis TF 144 42.36 1.41/$1
098.9494 3 Croi Mor 9/2 Sanchez M J Falcone. Jr. Robert N. E 125 32.80 1.37/$1
098.7420 5 I Say I Play 8/1 Ocasio J Diaz Jorge SL 212 34.43 1.15/$1
097.9761 8 Bee Major 7/2 Juarez N Breen Kelly J. 125 32.80 1.37/$1
097.9433 2 Lion Charmer 3/1 Lopez P O'Connor. II Robert R. J 160 41.25 1.43/$1
097.0152 1 A Girls Bestfriend(b-) 6/1 Diaz. Jr. H R Schistl Rafael C 125 32.80 1.37/$1
095.6388 7 Seeking Revenge 10/1 Torres J Stephens John D. W 160 41.25 1.43/$1
089.8383 6 Carpenter 20/1 Gonzalez J L Betancourt Eli 125 32.80 1.37/$1
086.9860 9 Umbrage(b+) 20/1 Glass D Leeson John D. 160 41.25 1.43/$1
Top rated horse with "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 33.04, ROI 0.90/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -1.0506
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[All Dirt] Best Trainer


07/30/21, MTH, Race 2, 5.30 ET
07/30/21,MTH,2,1M 70Y [Dirt] 1:38:04 CLAIMING. Purse $22,000. (PLUS UP TO 40% NJB) FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NOT WON A RACE SINCE JANUARY 30 OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES. Three Year Olds, 119 lbs.; Older, 124 lbs. Claiming Price $5,000 (Races Where Entered For $4,000 Or Less Not Considered InEligibility).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 7 Arrivederci 8/1 Salgado A Velazquez Alfredo FL 125 32.80 1.37/$1
097.7276 1 Mac's Revolution 8/5 Lopez P Potts Wayne J 125 32.80 1.37/$1
097.2277 5 Flatexcel 4/1 Gonzalez J L Ness Jamie TW 144 42.36 1.41/$1
094.2397 2 Blugrascat's Smile 5/2 Mitchell R Shivmangal Lolita E 225 33.78 1.17/$1
093.1281 4 Indian Gulch 9/2 Diaz. Jr. H R Mc Allen John P. C 160 41.25 1.43/$1
091.5491 3 K D's Cat Bird 10/1 Ferrer J C Follett Norman C. 160 41.25 1.43/$1
089.6013 6 America's Simmard 15/1 Peterson F Wilson Faith 160 41.25 1.43/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 33.04, ROI 0.90/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -2.2724
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[Dirt Not_MdnMClm] Last Race Was Different Jockey  -with-
[Dirt Not_MdnMClm] Race Type Not_Allowance


07/30/21, MTH, Race 3, 6.00 ET
07/30/21,MTH,3,6F [Dirt] 1:07:02 STARTER OPTIONAL CLAIMING. Purse $29,000. (PLUS UP TO 40% NJB) FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE STARTED FOR A CLAIMING PRICE OF $6,250 OR LESS IN 2020 - 2021 OR CLAIMING PRICE $12,500. Three Year Olds, 120 lbs.; Older, 124 lbs. Non-winners Of A Race Since May 30 Allowed 2 lbs. A Race Since April 30 Allowed 4 lbs. Claiming Price $12,500.
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 5 High Five Cotton 3/1 Peterson F Delgado Jose H. S 160 41.25 1.43/$1
099.0289 6 Kalu 5/2 Ferrer J C Sweezey J. Kent FE 160 41.25 1.43/$1
096.7302 2 Hard West 20/1 Haddock D Crowell Susan L. 178 34.83 1.23/$1
095.2121 8 Regal Quality 12/1 Torres J Abrams Ronald B. C 160 41.25 1.43/$1
095.1900 1 Arrivederla 15/1 Diaz. Jr. H R Rodriguez Darien TW 144 42.36 1.41/$1
095.0936 4 Kosciuszko 10/1 Panaijo J Ramirez Silvino 236 32.20 1.18/$1
092.7874 7 John's Promise 7/2 Mena R Gorham Michael E. 178 34.83 1.23/$1
092.2632 3 Off Duty 3/1 Lopez P Aristone Philip T. JL 160 41.25 1.43/$1
088.7790 9 Hot and Heavy 30/1 Mitchell R Wilson Tony 160 41.25 1.43/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 33.04, ROI 0.90/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -0.9711
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[All Dirt] Last Race Purse Not Lower Than Today


07/30/21, MTH, Race 4, 6.30 ET
07/30/21,MTH,4,6F [Dirt] 1:07:02 CLAIMING. Purse $20,000. (PLUS UP TO 40% NJB) FOR THREE YEAR OLDS OR FOUR YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. Three Year Olds, 120 lbs.; Older, 124 lbs. Non-winners Of A Race Since May 30 Allowed 3 lbs. Claiming Price $7,500, For Each $500 To $6,500 1 lb.
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 5 Grand Union 3/1 Figueroa H Avila Juan Carlos FEC 160 41.25 1.43/$1
099.8428 1 Church of Many 7/2 Jimenez A Hollendorfer Jerry TWL 144 42.36 1.41/$1
098.3422 3 Exxtop 7/2 Diaz. Jr. H R Penaloza Miguel S 160 41.25 1.43/$1
096.3903 4 Elite Mission 12/1 Gonzalez S Whylie Herold O. 178 34.83 1.23/$1
095.7428 2 Wallypop 5/1 Peterson F Ramirez Silvino 160 41.25 1.43/$1
092.8043 9 Combat Ribbon 8/1 Sanchez M J Toscano. Jr. John T. 160 41.25 1.43/$1
092.1616 7 Have a Heart 4/1 Lopez P Potts Wayne J 160 41.25 1.43/$1
088.7393 8 Phil the Banker 30/1 Rivera. Jr. L R Cunningham Phillip P. 160 41.25 1.43/$1
088.1981 6 Running Violence 20/1 Panaijo J Mc Allen John P. 160 41.25 1.43/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 33.04, ROI 0.90/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -0.1572
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[All Dirt] Last Race Purse Not Lower Than Today


07/30/21, MTH, Race 5, 7.00 ET
07/30/21,MTH,5,5F [Turf] 00:54:03 CLAIMING. Purse $24,000. (PLUS UP TO 40% NJB) FOR FILLIES THREE YEARS OLD OR FILLIES AND MARES FOUR YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. Three Year Olds, 120 lbs.; Older, 124 lbs. Non-winners Of A Race Since May 30 Allowed 3 lbs. Claiming Price $16,000, For Each $1,000 To $14,000 1 lb. (Races Where Entered For $12,500 Or Less Not Considered In Allowances). (Rail at 36 feet).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 2 Tapit's Girl(b-) 7/2 Lopez P Nunn Douglas FL 52 36.54 1.28/$1
098.5097 9 Abby Normal 6/1 Lopez P Allard Edward T. C 85 38.82 1.11/$1
097.7409 1 Aiken to Belong 6/1 Montalvo C Berrios Manuel TSE 85 38.82 1.11/$1
097.3697 6 Twisted Deeds 5/1 Ferrer J C Huston Rory K. W 85 38.82 1.11/$1
096.3292 5 Hokkaido 4/1 Sanchez M J Demasi Kathleen A. 85 38.82 1.11/$1
096.2115 8 Towering Gaze 8/5 Torres J Carvajal. Jr. Luis 85 38.82 1.11/$1
092.2040 3 Cape Cod Sally 8/1 Gonzalez S Rodriguez John M. 85 38.82 1.11/$1
090.2563 4 Melancholy Blues 12/1 Jimenez A Wilson Tony 85 38.82 1.11/$1
086.8758 7 Yourindenial 20/1 Panaijo J Whylie Herold O. 85 38.82 1.11/$1
Top rated horse With "Turf Surface Not fm/hd" - Win% 14.71, ROI 0.34/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -1.4903
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[All Turf] *2nd Horse 98 Rating And Top Horse 100 Rating
*Scratches may change this condition

If Race Is Off Turf

Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 1 Aiken to Belong 6/1 Montalvo C Berrios Manuel TSE 144 42.36 1.41/$1
098.4188 2 Tapit's Girl(b-) 7/2 Lopez P Nunn Douglas FWL 160 41.25 1.43/$1
094.0982 8 Towering Gaze 8/5 Torres J Carvajal. Jr. Luis 160 41.25 1.43/$1
093.5755 5 Hokkaido 4/1 Sanchez M J Demasi Kathleen A. 160 41.25 1.43/$1
093.5266 9 Abby Normal 6/1 Lopez P Allard Edward T. C 125 32.80 1.37/$1
091.4425 3 Cape Cod Sally 8/1 Gonzalez S Rodriguez John M. 160 41.25 1.43/$1
091.3728 6 Twisted Deeds 5/1 Ferrer J C Huston Rory K. 160 41.25 1.43/$1
090.7672 7 Yourindenial 20/1 Panaijo J Whylie Herold O. 125 32.80 1.37/$1
090.6371 4 Melancholy Blues 12/1 Jimenez A Wilson Tony 200 37.50 1.23/$1
Top rated horse with "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 33.04, ROI 0.90/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -1.5812
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[All Dirt] Best Trainer


07/30/21, MTH, Race 6, 7.30 ET
07/30/21,MTH,6,1M [Dirt] 1:33:04 MAIDEN CLAIMING. Purse $18,000. (PLUS UP TO 40% NJB) FOR MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. Three Year Olds, 118 lbs.; Older, 123 lbs. Claiming Price $10,000.
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 6 Power Wolf 10/1 Peterson F Owens. Jr Eddie TW 52 13.46 4.09/$1
097.8626 1 Jo Jo Katz 3/2 Navarro C J Potts Wayne SEC 52 23.08 3.63/$1
096.7261 5 Super Shoes 5/1 Hernandez C J Wilson Tony 52 13.46 4.09/$1
095.9115 3 Awesome Yet Again 8/1 Glass D Potts Wayne FL 52 23.08 3.63/$1
094.2502 7 Ral Copperheadroad 4/1 Panaijo J Russo Victor 52 13.46 4.09/$1
087.7869 2 Wicked Grinch 4/1 Diaz. Jr. H R Mc Allen John P. J 52 13.46 4.09/$1
083.5333 4 Blazing Island 6/1 Laprida J Castillo Michelle 52 23.08 3.63/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 33.04, ROI 0.90/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -2.1374
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
Workouts Turf Last 2 (M)


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