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Top Horse Analytics: 05/01/2021 Picks and Results - CD


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TOP HORSE ANALYTICS (v12.21.03.29a)

Track: CD
Start Of Statistics - 05/17/2020
Past Number of Races - 651

WinPC   $1ROI   HiPayoff   Bet Types
35.02 0.86   8.40   Favorites
31.21 0.82 17.60   Morning Line Favorites
26.57 1.08 48.40   Top Horse (with profitable conditions)

Complete Statistics Provided at THA Weekly Statistics

Contact us at Facebook for help or to report issues: Top Horse Analytics

The Win% and ROI columns below are the win percents and return on investments that the top horse
has performed in the past year for associated compound conditions in a race. The expectation is
that these conditions will perform as well in the future.

An ROI less than 1.01 indicates that no profitable conditions exist for this entry when it's the top rated
horse. Also, be aware that abnormally high payoffs may inflate the ROI so look for a high Win% and Occurs to go
with that high ROI as your selection.

These stats are only good for the top rated horse whether it's the original (100.0000) or the top horse
resulting from scratches. Every horse in a race may have Occurs, Win%, and ROI stats in case it becomes the
top rated horse.


horse name(b+) - Blinkers On
horse name(b-) - Blinkers Off

05/01/21, CD, Race 1, 10.30 ET
05/01/21,CD,1,1M [Dirt] 1:33:01 ALLOWANCE. Purse $118,000 (includes up to $38,200 KTDF - Kentucky TB Devt Fund). FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON A RACE OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING OR STARTER OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. Three Year Olds, 120 lbs.; Older, 126 lbs. Non-winners Of $24,600 At A Mile Or Over Since March 1 Allowed 2 lbs. (Races Where Entered For $35,000 Or Less Not Considered In Allowances).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse P# must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occurs Win% ROI
100.0000 8 Randello 12/1 Hernandez C J Drury. Jr. Thomas FWC 417 26.86 1.21/$1
098.7863 5 Soros 6/1 Castellano J McCarthy Michael W. 417 26.86 1.21/$1
097.7446 4 Cool Bobby 3/1 Hernandez. Jr. B J DeVaux Cherie 417 26.86 1.21/$1
097.6204 2 Santos Dumont 7/2 Santana. Jr. R Asmussen Steven M. EL 417 26.86 1.21/$1
097.5481 9 Ekati's Verve 6/1 Saez L Stewart Dallas TS 417 26.86 1.21/$1
096.7090 7 Ram 10/1 Ortiz. Jr. I Lukas D. Wayne J 417 26.86 1.21/$1
096.0291 1A Huge Bigly 12/1 Saez G Ortiz John Alexander 417 26.86 1.21/$1
095.9974 6 Sounion 5/1 Leparoux J R Lynch Brian A. 417 26.86 1.21/$1
095.2891 3 Money for Mischief 6/1 Mena M Cano Juan M. 417 26.86 1.21/$1
093.8113 1 Striking a Pose 12/1 Saez G Ortiz John Alexander 417 26.86 1.21/$1
Top rated horse with "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 24.07, ROI 1.29/$1
Rating gap to 2nd horse -1.2137
[Category]Condition
[All Categories] Race Age 3Up


05/01/21, CD, Race 2, 11.01 ET
05/01/21,CD,2,1M [Turf] 1:33:04 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT. Purse $115,000 (includes up to $37,200 KTDF - Kentucky TB Devt Fund). FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. Three Year Olds, 118 lbs.; Older, 126 lbs. (Preference To Horses That Have Not Started For Less Than $50,000 In Last 3 Starts). (If deemed inadvisable by management to run this race over the turf course, it will be run on the main track at One mile.).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse P# must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occurs Win% ROI
100.0000 14 Big Bee 4/1 Rosario J Mott William I. T 417 26.86 1.21/$1
099.7496 4 Surrealist 12/1 Hernandez. Jr. B J McPeek Kenneth G. W 417 26.86 1.21/$1
098.8227 11 Anthropology 30/1 Talamo J Lobo Paulo H. F 417 26.86 1.21/$1
097.7874 2 Robin's Fantasy 12/1 Bejarano R Kelley James A. L 417 26.86 1.21/$1
095.9914 6 Flying Gem 15/1 Graham J Romans Dale L. 417 26.86 1.21/$1
095.2267 5 Texas Shuffle 15/1 Corrales G McGaughey J. Reeve 417 26.86 1.21/$1
094.9867 15 Semble Juste (IRE) 12/1 Hernandez. Jr. B J McPeek Kenneth G. 417 26.86 1.21/$1
094.8519 1 Cadencia 2/1 Ortiz. Jr. I Pletcher Todd A. SC 417 26.86 1.21/$1
094.5274 3 Alydiva 15/1 Gaffalione T Casse Mark E. 417 26.86 1.21/$1
093.4390 10 Elle Est Forte 3/1 Lanerie C J Wilkes Ian R. E 417 26.86 1.21/$1
093.0703 12 The Ginger Queen (IRE) 9/2 Castellano J Motion H. Graham 417 26.86 1.21/$1
091.5480 16 Colonel Aby B 12/1 Landeros C Williamson Brian 417 26.86 1.21/$1
091.4603 9 Pearl Girl 30/1 Hernandez C J Lovell Michelle 417 26.86 1.21/$1
090.9144 7 Cerulean 15/1 Saez L DeVaux Cherie 417 26.86 1.21/$1
088.7942 13 Demodog 12/1 Ortiz. Jr. I Brisset Rodolphe 417 26.86 1.21/$1
085.9639 8 Soma 12/1 Ortiz J L McGaughey III Claude R 417 26.86 1.21/$1
Top rated horse with "Turf Surface Not fm/hd" - Win% 23.08, ROI 1.02/$1
Rating gap to 2nd horse -0.2504
[Category]Condition
[All Categories] Race Age 3Up

If Race Is Off Turf

Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse P# must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occurs Win% ROI
100.0000 14 Big Bee 4/1 Rosario J Mott William I. T 417 26.86 1.21/$1
098.6389 1 Cadencia 2/1 Ortiz. Jr. I Pletcher Todd A. SEC 417 26.86 1.21/$1
096.6366 4 Surrealist 12/1 Hernandez. Jr. B J McPeek Kenneth G. W 417 26.86 1.21/$1
096.6040 2 Robin's Fantasy 12/1 Bejarano R Kelley James A. L 417 26.86 1.21/$1
095.6260 5 Texas Shuffle 15/1 Corrales G McGaughey J. Reeve 417 26.86 1.21/$1
095.4089 11 Anthropology 30/1 Talamo J Lobo Paulo H. F 417 26.86 1.21/$1
095.2757 3 Alydiva 15/1 Gaffalione T Casse Mark E. 417 26.86 1.21/$1
095.2630 13 Demodog 12/1 Ortiz. Jr. I Brisset Rodolphe 417 26.86 1.21/$1
095.2550 15 Semble Juste (IRE) 12/1 Hernandez. Jr. B J McPeek Kenneth G. 417 26.86 1.21/$1
095.2031 7 Cerulean 15/1 Saez L DeVaux Cherie 417 26.86 1.21/$1
093.9053 6 Flying Gem 15/1 Graham J Romans Dale L. 417 26.86 1.21/$1
093.1791 12 The Ginger Queen (IRE) 9/2 Castellano J Motion H. Graham 417 26.86 1.21/$1
093.1417 16 Colonel Aby B 12/1 Landeros C Williamson Brian 417 26.86 1.21/$1
092.9223 9 Pearl Girl 30/1 Hernandez C J Lovell Michelle 417 26.86 1.21/$1
091.7181 10 Elle Est Forte 3/1 Lanerie C J Wilkes Ian R. 417 26.86 1.21/$1
090.8790 8 Soma 12/1 Ortiz J L McGaughey III Claude R 417 26.86 1.21/$1
Top rated horse with "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 24.07, ROI 1.29/$1
Rating gap to 2nd horse -1.3611
[Category]Condition
[All Categories] Race Age 3Up


05/01/21, CD, Race 3, 11.31 ET
05/01/21,CD,3,1M [Dirt] 1:33:01 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT. Purse $115,000 (includes up to $37,200 KTDF - Kentucky TB Devt Fund). FOR MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. Three Year Olds, 118 lbs.; Older, 125 lbs. (Preference To Horses That Have Not Started For Less Than $50,000).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse P# must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occurs Win% ROI
100.0000 4 Cash Rocket 3/1 Rosario J Stall. Jr. Albert M. 417 26.86 1.21/$1
097.9529 10 Centrifuge 15/1 Ortiz J L Quartarolo Anthony T. SW 417 26.86 1.21/$1
097.7305 5 Koolhaus 9/2 Geroux F Cox Brad H. 417 26.86 1.21/$1
097.5242 2 Extreme 9/2 Saez L Drury. Jr. Thomas 417 26.86 1.21/$1
097.2914 7 Alejandro 7/2 Ortiz. Jr. I Asmussen Steven M. J 417 26.86 1.21/$1
097.0810 1 Harvard(b+) 10/1 Gaffalione T Brisset Rodolphe 417 26.86 1.21/$1
096.5197 9 Alexander Valley 10/1 Velazquez J R Mott William I. T 417 26.86 1.21/$1
096.1168 8 Reward Night 6/1 Lanerie C J Wilkes Ian R. EC 417 26.86 1.21/$1
095.2524 11 Rare Stripe(b+) 30/1 Carmouche K Sisterson Jack 417 26.86 1.21/$1
094.0120 3 Atoka 15/1 Van Dyke D Lukas D. Wayne L 417 26.86 1.21/$1
088.3463 6 Vail of Honor 50/1 Rocco. Jr. J Kordenbrock Matt 417 26.86 1.21/$1
Top rated horse with "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 24.07, ROI 1.29/$1
Rating gap to 2nd horse -2.0471
[Category]Condition
[All Categories] Race Age 3Up


05/01/21, CD, Race 4, 12.04 ET
05/01/21,CD,4,1M [Turf] 1:33:04 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING. Purse $121,000 (includes up to $39,200 KTDF - Kentucky TB Devt Fund). FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON $10,000 TWICE OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING OR STARTER OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES OR CLAIMING PRICE $62,500. Three Year Olds, 120 lbs.; Older, 126 lbs. Non-winners Of $26,400 Twice At A Mile Or Over On The Turf Since March 1 Allowed 2 lbs. $23,400 At A Mile Or Over On The Turf Since Then Allowed 4 lbs. Claiming Price $62,500 (Races Where Entered For $50,000 Or Less Not Considered In Allowances). (If deemed inadvisable by management to run this race over the turf course, it will be run on the main track at One mile.).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse P# must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occurs Win% ROI
100.0000 1 Invader 6/1 Velazquez J R Ward Wesley A. TE 417 26.86 1.21/$1
098.5829 12 Gear Jockey 4/1 Leparoux J R Arnold. II George R. 417 26.86 1.21/$1
098.1253 13 Bodecream 5/1 Ortiz J L Maker Michael J. 417 26.86 1.21/$1
097.3981 16 Hop Kat 5/1 Graham J Amoss Thomas M. 417 26.86 1.21/$1
097.2228 14 Super Sol 15/1 Mena M Cano Juan M. C 417 26.86 1.21/$1
097.0462 6 Hay Dakota 8/1 Ortiz J L Maker Michael J. S 417 26.86 1.21/$1
096.2732 9 Gun It 10/1 Rosario J Asmussen Steven M. 417 26.86 1.21/$1
096.0606 5 Eddy Forever 30/1 Cannon D Bennett Cole W 417 26.86 1.21/$1
095.7082 11 Vintage Print 10/1 Gaffalione T Lobo Paulo H. 417 26.86 1.21/$1
095.4054 2 Bizzee Channel 15/1 Geroux F Rivelli Larry L 417 26.86 1.21/$1
094.9024 4 Salvator Mundi 5/1 Prat F D'Amato Philip J 417 26.86 1.21/$1
094.7645 3 Street Ready 8/1 Landeros C Wilkes Ian R. 417 26.86 1.21/$1
094.6321 8 First Premio 5/1 Rispoli U Casse Mark E. 417 26.86 1.21/$1
094.2220 7 Oak Hill 8/1 Hernandez C J Stall. Jr. Albert M. 417 26.86 1.21/$1
092.5449 15 Joyful Heart 50/1 Diaz D Bush George S. 417 26.86 1.21/$1
091.3187 10 Holiday Stone 30/1 Beschizza A Kenneally Eddie 417 26.86 1.21/$1
Top rated horse with "Turf Surface Not fm/hd" - Win% 23.08, ROI 1.02/$1
Rating gap to 2nd horse -1.4171
[Category]Condition
[All Categories] Race Age 3Up

If Race Is Off Turf

Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse P# must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occurs Win% ROI
100.0000 1 Invader 6/1 Velazquez J R Ward Wesley A. TFE 417 26.86 1.21/$1
099.4372 4 Salvator Mundi 5/1 Prat F D'Amato Philip J 417 26.86 1.21/$1
099.0508 16 Hop Kat 5/1 Graham J Amoss Thomas M. S 417 26.86 1.21/$1
098.2968 13 Bodecream 5/1 Ortiz J L Maker Michael J. 417 26.86 1.21/$1
098.0971 7 Oak Hill 8/1 Hernandez C J Stall. Jr. Albert M. 417 26.86 1.21/$1
098.0743 6 Hay Dakota 8/1 Ortiz J L Maker Michael J. 417 26.86 1.21/$1
097.6653 9 Gun It 10/1 Rosario J Asmussen Steven M. 417 26.86 1.21/$1
097.5411 5 Eddy Forever 30/1 Cannon D Bennett Cole W 417 26.86 1.21/$1
097.5247 2 Bizzee Channel 15/1 Geroux F Rivelli Larry L 417 26.86 1.21/$1
097.0258 12 Gear Jockey 4/1 Leparoux J R Arnold. II George R. 417 26.86 1.21/$1
096.3895 8 First Premio 5/1 Rispoli U Casse Mark E. 417 26.86 1.21/$1
096.2734 14 Super Sol 15/1 Mena M Cano Juan M. C 417 26.86 1.21/$1
095.5741 11 Vintage Print 10/1 Gaffalione T Lobo Paulo H. 417 26.86 1.21/$1
094.9285 10 Holiday Stone 30/1 Beschizza A Kenneally Eddie 417 26.86 1.21/$1
093.7241 15 Joyful Heart 50/1 Diaz D Bush George S. 417 26.86 1.21/$1
093.7034 3 Street Ready 8/1 Landeros C Wilkes Ian R. 417 26.86 1.21/$1
Top rated horse with "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 24.07, ROI 1.29/$1
Rating gap to 2nd horse -0.5628
[Category]Condition
[All Categories] Race Age 3Up


05/01/21, CD, Race 5, 12.36 ET
05/01/21,CD,5,1 1/8M [Dirt] 1:47:01 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING. Purse $118,000 (includes up to $38,200 KTDF - Kentucky TB Devt Fund). FOR THREE YEAR OLDS WHICH HAVE NEVER WON A RACE OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, STARTER, OR STATE BRED OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES OR CLAIMING PRICE $75,000. Weight, 122 lbs. Non-winners Of $24,600 Over A Mile Since March 1 Allowed 2 lbs. $21,000 At AMile Or Over Since Then Allowed 4 lbs. Claiming Price $75,000 (Races Where Entered For $60,000 Or Less Not Considered In Allowances).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse P# must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occurs Win% ROI
100.0000 5 Ghazaaly 5/2 Saez L Pletcher Todd A. TL 595 26.89 1.11/$1
097.9541 2 Who Took the Money 3/1 Saez G Calhoun W. Bret FEC 427 20.37 1.17/$1
097.2057 9 Regular Guy 15/1 Geroux F Catalano Wayne M. JW 454 25.77 1.16/$1
097.1253 11 Masqueparade 4/1 Mena M Stall. Jr. Albert M. S 454 25.77 1.16/$1
095.1300 6 Perfect Cut(b+) 12/1 Hernandez. Jr. B J McPeek Kenneth G. 454 25.77 1.16/$1
094.8553 10 Scales of Justice 20/1 Gaffalione T McCarthy Michael W. 454 25.77 1.16/$1
094.2510 7 Last Samurai 10/1 Court J K Stewart Dallas 454 25.77 1.16/$1
094.1538 8 Smiley Sobotka 10/1 Talamo J Romans Dale L. 454 25.77 1.16/$1
093.8615 3 Quantum Leap(b+) 12/1 Landeros C Wilkes Ian R. 454 25.77 1.16/$1
092.9379 1 Drop Anchor 20/1 Ortiz J L McPeek Kenneth G. 454 25.77 1.16/$1
092.4592 4 Southern Passage 10/1 Lanerie C J Romans Dale L. 454 25.77 1.16/$1
Top rated horse with "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 24.07, ROI 1.29/$1
Rating gap to 2nd horse -2.0459
[Category]Condition
[All Categories] Race Age Not 4Up


05/01/21, CD, Race 6, 1.14 ET
05/01/21,CD,6,1M [Turf] 1:33:04 STAKES. Longines Churchill Distaff Turf Mile Stakes. Grade 2. Purse $500,000. FOR FILLIES AND MARES, FOUR YEARS OLD AND UPWARD.
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse P# must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occurs Win% ROI
100.0000 6 Blowout (GB) 7/2 Prat F Brown Chad C. JW 572 27.27 1.15/$1
099.5231 5 Got Stormy 8/5 Gaffalione T Casse Mark E. FE 572 27.27 1.15/$1
098.8301 3 New York Girl (IRE) 8/1 Velazquez J R Mott William I. 572 27.27 1.15/$1
098.6504 7 Abscond 15/1 Rosario J Kenneally Eddie 572 27.27 1.15/$1
098.5065 4 Zofelle (IRE) 2/1 Ortiz. Jr. I Walsh Brendan P. S 572 27.27 1.15/$1
098.2100 2 She's Got You (GB) 10/1 Castellano J Brown Chad C. C 572 27.27 1.15/$1
096.1356 1 Jakarta(b-) 10/1 Saez L Maker Michael J. L 572 27.27 1.15/$1
Top rated horse with "Turf Surface Not fm/hd" - Win% 23.08, ROI 1.02/$1
Rating gap to 2nd horse -0.4769
[Category]Condition
[All Categories] Not Second Start

If Race Is Off Turf

Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse P# must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occurs Win% ROI
100.0000 3 New York Girl (IRE) 8/1 Velazquez J R Mott William I. W 454 25.77 1.16/$1
099.9557 6 Blowout (GB) 7/2 Prat F Brown Chad C. JS 454 25.77 1.16/$1
097.8167 2 She's Got You (GB) 10/1 Castellano J Brown Chad C. C 454 25.77 1.16/$1
097.5181 4 Zofelle (IRE) 2/1 Ortiz. Jr. I Walsh Brendan P. F 454 25.77 1.16/$1
096.4337 5 Got Stormy 8/5 Gaffalione T Casse Mark E. E 234 28.63 1.25/$1
095.8633 1 Jakarta(b-) 10/1 Saez L Maker Michael J. L 454 25.77 1.16/$1
095.0777 7 Abscond 15/1 Rosario J Kenneally Eddie 454 25.77 1.16/$1
Top rated horse with "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 24.07, ROI 1.29/$1
Rating gap to 2nd horse -0.0443
[Category]Condition
[All Categories] Last Race Was Not Favorite(not entry)


05/01/21, CD, Race 7, 1.56 ET
05/01/21,CD,7,7F [Dirt] 1:20:02 STAKES. Derby City Distaff S. presented by Kendall-Jackson Winery. Grade 1. Purse $500,000. FOR FILLIES AND MARES, FOUR YEARS OLD AND UPWARD.
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse P# must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occurs Win% ROI
100.0000 4 Gamine 1/5 Velazquez J R Baffert Bob SFEWL 185 29.19 1.33/$1
098.6292 5 Hibiscus Punch 12/1 Saez L Nixon Justin J. T 454 25.77 1.16/$1
097.5571 2 Sconsin 8/1 Ortiz. Jr. I Foley Gregory D. JC 454 25.77 1.16/$1
096.3290 3 Bell's the One 6/1 Lanerie C J Pessin Neil L. 454 25.77 1.16/$1
095.9848 1 Estilo Talentoso 15/1 Castellano J Arriagada Juan 454 25.77 1.16/$1
092.7382 6 Unique Factor 15/1 Rosario J Miller Peter 454 25.77 1.16/$1
Top rated horse with "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 24.07, ROI 1.29/$1
Rating gap to 2nd horse -1.3708
[Category]Condition
[All Categories] *2nd Horse 98 Rating And Top Horse 100 Rating
*Scratches may change this condition

05/01/21, CD, Race 8, 2.48 ET
05/01/21,CD,8,1M [Dirt] 1:33:01 STAKES. Pat Day Mile S. presented by LG&E and KU. Grade 2. Purse $500,000. FOR THREE YEAR OLDS. By subscription of $300 each, which should accompany the nomination or by Supplementary Nomination of $10,000 at time of entry. $2,500 to pass the entry box; $2,500 additional to start, with $500,000 guaranteed. After payment of 1% to all owners of horses finishing sixth through last, 62% of the remaining purse shall be paid to the owner of the winner, 20% to second, 10% to third, 5% to fourth and 3% to fifth. Weight: 122 lbs. Non-winners of a grade I or II stakes, allowed 2 lbs.; a graded sweepstakes in 2021, 4 lbs. The maximum number of starters for the Pat Day Mile will be limited to fourteen (14). If more than fourteen (14) entries pass the entry box preference will be given to graded stakes winners (in order I-II-III), then highest career earnings. Any horse excluded from running because of the aforementioned preference shall be refunded the entry fee and supplementary nomination fee if applicable. Starters to be named through the entry box at the usual time of closing. All supplementary nominations will be required to pay entry and starting fees if they participate. Trophy to winning owner. Closed Saturday, April 10, 2021 with 46 nominations.
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse P# must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occurs Win% ROI
100.0000 4 Defunded(b-) 6/1 Ortiz. Jr. I Baffert Bob TWC 454 25.77 1.16/$1
099.1763 12 Joe Frazier 12/1 Geroux F Cox Brad H. 454 25.77 1.16/$1
098.3030 8 Dream Shake 7/2 Prat F Eurton Peter J 454 25.77 1.16/$1
097.3565 6 Starrininmydreams 5/1 Saez L Stewart Dallas 454 25.77 1.16/$1
096.8057 1 Three Two Zone 30/1 Carmouche K Montoya Marya K. S 454 25.77 1.16/$1
096.6209 3 Jackie's Warrior 3/1 Rosario J Asmussen Steven M. FE 454 25.77 1.16/$1
095.8083 11 Noble Reflection 15/1 Velazquez J R Baltas Richard 454 25.77 1.16/$1
095.2926 5 Prevalence 6/1 Gaffalione T Walsh Brendan P. 454 25.77 1.16/$1
095.0012 10 Dreamer's Disease 20/1 Cohen D Diodoro Robertino L 427 20.37 1.17/$1
094.2148 7 Whiskey Double 12/1 Santana. Jr. R Asmussen Steven M. 454 25.77 1.16/$1
092.8820 9 Sittin On Go 20/1 Lanerie C J Romans Dale L. 454 25.77 1.16/$1
092.1201 2 Ultimate Badger 12/1 Talamo J Romans Dale L. 454 25.77 1.16/$1
Top rated horse with "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 24.07, ROI 1.29/$1
Rating gap to 2nd horse -0.8237
[Category]Condition
[All Categories] Last Race Was Not Favorite(not entry)


05/01/21, CD, Race 9, 3.40 ET
05/01/21,CD,9,1 1/16M [Turf] 1:39:04 STAKES. American Turf S. presented by Derby City Gaming. Grade 2. Purse $500,000. FOR THREE YEAR OLDS.
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse P# must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occurs Win% ROI
100.0000 4 Annex 7/2 Ortiz. Jr. I Mott William I. FC 572 27.27 1.15/$1
098.6622 2 Winfromwithin 8/1 Saez L Pletcher Todd A. S 572 27.27 1.15/$1
098.5336 13 Scarlett Sky 4/1 Rosario J McGaughey III Claude R W 572 27.27 1.15/$1
098.4206 1 Excellent Timing 10/1 Rispoli U Brown Chad C. L 572 27.27 1.15/$1
098.2793 9 Holy Vow 30/1 Doyle S Ortiz John Alexander 572 27.27 1.15/$1
097.8916 11 Hidden Enemy (IRE) 30/1 Smith M E Asmussen Steven M. 572 27.27 1.15/$1
097.7928 5 Du Jour 5/1 Prat F Baffert Bob J 572 27.27 1.15/$1
097.6217 6 Royal Prince 12/1 Castellano J Cox Brad H. 572 27.27 1.15/$1
097.3608 14 Palazzi 10/1 Gaffalione T Casse Mark E. 572 27.27 1.15/$1
095.8299 3 Chess's Dream 12/1 Ortiz J L Maker Michael J. 572 27.27 1.15/$1
095.3958 12 Lucky Law (IRE) 10/1 Geroux F Biancone Patrick L. 572 27.27 1.15/$1
095.2141 7 Dyn O Mite 15/1 Graham J Desormeaux J. Keith 572 27.27 1.15/$1
092.9287 10 Next 20/1 Velazquez J R Ward Wesley A. T 572 27.27 1.15/$1
092.3550 8 Barrister Tom 30/1 Van Dyke D Ewing Michael Ann E 572 27.27 1.15/$1
Top rated horse with "Turf Surface Not fm/hd" - Win% 23.08, ROI 1.02/$1
Rating gap to 2nd horse -1.3378
[Category]Condition
[All Categories] Not Second Start

If Race Is Off Turf

Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse P# must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occurs Win% ROI
100.0000 5 Du Jour 5/1 Prat F Baffert Bob J 427 20.37 1.17/$1
099.3525 1 Excellent Timing 10/1 Rispoli U Brown Chad C. WL 427 20.37 1.17/$1
098.6258 4 Annex 7/2 Ortiz. Jr. I Mott William I. FC 595 26.89 1.11/$1
097.7276 13 Scarlett Sky 4/1 Rosario J McGaughey III Claude R 454 25.77 1.16/$1
097.4152 2 Winfromwithin 8/1 Saez L Pletcher Todd A. S 427 20.37 1.17/$1
097.0607 6 Royal Prince 12/1 Castellano J Cox Brad H. 427 20.37 1.17/$1
096.4252 3 Chess's Dream 12/1 Ortiz J L Maker Michael J. 427 20.37 1.17/$1
096.3907 14 Palazzi 10/1 Gaffalione T Casse Mark E. 454 25.77 1.16/$1
096.0893 12 Lucky Law (IRE) 10/1 Geroux F Biancone Patrick L. 454 25.77 1.16/$1
094.6478 9 Holy Vow 30/1 Doyle S Ortiz John Alexander 454 25.77 1.16/$1
093.3634 11 Hidden Enemy (IRE) 30/1 Smith M E Asmussen Steven M. 427 20.37 1.17/$1
092.2706 7 Dyn O Mite 15/1 Graham J Desormeaux J. Keith 454 25.77 1.16/$1
091.7100 8 Barrister Tom 30/1 Van Dyke D Ewing Michael Ann E 454 25.77 1.16/$1
091.0696 10 Next 20/1 Velazquez J R Ward Wesley A. T 454 25.77 1.16/$1
Top rated horse with "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 24.07, ROI 1.29/$1
Rating gap to 2nd horse -0.6475
[Category]Condition
[All Categories] Not Morning Line Favorite(not entry)


05/01/21, CD, Race 10, 4.31 ET
05/01/21,CD,10,7F [Dirt] 1:20:02 STAKES. Churchill Downs S. presented by Ford. Grade 1. Purse $500,000. FOR FOUR YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD.
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse P# must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occurs Win% ROI
100.0000 4 Flagstaff 3/1 Saez L Sadler John W. W 234 28.63 1.25/$1
099.7063 9 Whitmore 7/2 Santana. Jr. R Moquett Ron E 427 20.37 1.17/$1
098.4004 7 Shashashakemeup 12/1 Geroux F Miller Peter C 427 20.37 1.17/$1
097.6228 2 Mind Control 6/1 Ortiz. Jr. I Sacco Gregory D. J 454 25.77 1.16/$1
097.5240 1 Phat Man 12/1 Castellano J Sweezey J. Kent 454 25.77 1.16/$1
097.3793 5 Tap It to Win 8/1 Velazquez J R Casse Mark E. S 427 20.37 1.17/$1
096.9421 3 Basin 8/1 Ortiz J L Pletcher Todd A. 427 20.37 1.17/$1
096.3220 8 Get the Prize 20/1 Mena M Stall. Jr. Albert M. F 454 25.77 1.16/$1
096.0914 10 Bango 20/1 Pedroza M Foley Gregory D. L 454 25.77 1.16/$1
095.8820 12 Endorsed 12/1 Rosario J Mott William I. T 427 20.37 1.17/$1
095.3391 11 Hog Creek Hustle 15/1 Lanerie C J Foley Vickie L. 454 25.77 1.16/$1
094.0541 6 Attachment Rate 10/1 Talamo J Romans Dale L. 454 25.77 1.16/$1
093.1443 13 Lexitonian 20/1 Gaffalione T Sisterson Jack 454 25.77 1.16/$1
Top rated horse with "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 24.07, ROI 1.29/$1
Rating gap to 2nd horse -0.2937
[Category]Condition
[All Categories] Race Type Not Claiming


05/01/21, CD, Race 11, 5.27 ET
05/01/21,CD,11,1 1/8M [Turf] 1:46:02 STAKES. Old Forester Bourbon Turf Classic Stakes. Grade 1. Purse $1,000,000. FOR FOUR YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD.
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse P# must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occurs Win% ROI
100.0000 3 Colonel Liam 3/1 Ortiz. Jr. I Pletcher Todd A. SF 572 27.27 1.15/$1
098.8351 7 Smooth Like Strait 4/1 Rispoli U McCarthy Michael W. WL 572 27.27 1.15/$1
098.4494 5 Domestic Spending (GB) 9/2 Prat F Brown Chad C. JEC 572 27.27 1.15/$1
097.5147 4 Ivar (BRZ) 5/1 Talamo J Lobo Paulo H. 572 27.27 1.15/$1
097.4596 8 Cross Border 12/1 Santana. Jr. R Maker Michael J. 572 27.27 1.15/$1
096.3282 9 Ride a Comet 5/1 Gaffalione T Casse Mark E. 572 27.27 1.15/$1
096.2815 1 Masteroffoxhounds 15/1 Rosario J Baltas Richard 572 27.27 1.15/$1
095.8417 6 Digital Age (IRE) 8/1 Castellano J Brown Chad C. 572 27.27 1.15/$1
095.2189 2 Count Again 10/1 Saez L D'Amato Philip 572 27.27 1.15/$1
Top rated horse with "Turf Surface Not fm/hd" - Win% 23.08, ROI 1.02/$1
Rating gap to 2nd horse -1.1649
[Category]Condition
[All Categories] Not Second Start

If Race Is Off Turf

Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse P# must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occurs Win% ROI
100.0000 5 Domestic Spending (GB) 9/2 Prat F Brown Chad C. JFC 454 25.77 1.16/$1
099.7237 3 Colonel Liam 3/1 Ortiz. Jr. I Pletcher Todd A. E 234 28.63 1.25/$1
098.9566 7 Smooth Like Strait 4/1 Rispoli U McCarthy Michael W. WL 427 20.37 1.17/$1
098.0318 9 Ride a Comet 5/1 Gaffalione T Casse Mark E. 454 25.77 1.16/$1
096.8774 1 Masteroffoxhounds 15/1 Rosario J Baltas Richard 454 25.77 1.16/$1
096.7237 8 Cross Border 12/1 Santana. Jr. R Maker Michael J. S 427 20.37 1.17/$1
096.4864 6 Digital Age (IRE) 8/1 Castellano J Brown Chad C. 454 25.77 1.16/$1
096.3847 2 Count Again 10/1 Saez L D'Amato Philip 454 25.77 1.16/$1
094.2668 4 Ivar (BRZ) 5/1 Talamo J Lobo Paulo H. 454 25.77 1.16/$1
Top rated horse with "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 24.07, ROI 1.29/$1
Rating gap to 2nd horse -0.2763
[Category]Condition
[All Categories] Last Race Was Not Favorite(not entry)


05/01/21, CD, Race 12, 6.57 ET
05/01/21,CD,12,1 1/4M [Dirt] 1:59:02 STAKES. Kentucky Derby presented by Woodford Reserve. Grade 1. Purse $3,000,000. FOR THREE-YEAR-OLDS, WITH AN ENTRY FEE OF $25,000 EACH AND A STARTING FEE OF $25,000 EACH.
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse P# must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occurs Win% ROI
100.0000 14 Essential Quality 2/1 Saez L Cox Brad H. EC 595 26.89 1.11/$1
099.3473 17 Highly Motivated 10/1 Castellano J Brown Chad C. W 454 25.77 1.16/$1
098.9153 15 Rock Your World 5/1 Rosario J Sadler John W. L 454 25.77 1.16/$1
097.3179 7 Mandaloun 15/1 Geroux F Cox Brad H. 427 20.37 1.17/$1
097.3098 1 Known Agenda 6/1 Ortiz. Jr. I Pletcher Todd A. 454 25.77 1.16/$1
096.9237 8 Medina Spirit 15/1 Velazquez J R Baffert Bob 427 20.37 1.17/$1
096.8435 2 Like the King 50/1 Van Dyke D Ward Wesley A. T 454 25.77 1.16/$1
096.3754 9 Hot Rod Charlie 8/1 Prat F O'Neill Doug F. JS 454 25.77 1.16/$1
095.8535 19 Soup and Sandwich 30/1 Gaffalione T Casse Mark E. 454 25.77 1.16/$1
095.6495 5 Sainthood 50/1 Lanerie C J Pletcher Todd A. 454 25.77 1.16/$1
095.5567 11 Dynamic One 20/1 Ortiz J L Pletcher Todd A. 454 25.77 1.16/$1
095.5511 10 Midnight Bourbon 20/1 Smith M E Asmussen Steven M. 454 25.77 1.16/$1
095.5078 4 Keepmeinmind(b-) 50/1 Cohen D Diodoro Robertino 454 25.77 1.16/$1
095.2251 3 Brooklyn Strong 50/1 Rispoli U Velazquez Daniel 454 25.77 1.16/$1
095.1934 6 O Besos 20/1 Pedroza M Foley Gregory D. 454 25.77 1.16/$1
094.9569 13 Hidden Stash 50/1 Bejarano R Oliver Victoria H. 454 25.77 1.16/$1
094.6933 18 Super Stock 30/1 Santana. Jr. R Asmussen Steven M. 454 25.77 1.16/$1
094.1071 20 Bourbonic 30/1 Carmouche K Pletcher Todd A. 454 25.77 1.16/$1
093.8239 12 Helium 50/1 Leparoux J R Casse Mark E. 454 25.77 1.16/$1
092.8261 16 King Fury 20/1 Hernandez. Jr. B J McPeek Kenneth G. 454 25.77 1.16/$1
Top rated horse with "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 24.07, ROI 1.29/$1
Rating gap to 2nd horse -0.6527
[Category]Condition
[All Categories] Race Age Not 4Up


05/01/21, CD, Race 13, 7.55 ET
05/01/21,CD,13,6 1/2F [Dirt] 1:14:02 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING. Purse $118,000 (includes up to $38,200 KTDF - Kentucky TB Devt Fund). FOR THREE YEAR OLDS WHICH HAVE NEVER WON A RACE OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, STARTER, OR STATE BRED OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES OR CLAIMING PRICE $75,000. Weight, 122 lbs. Non-winners Of $24,600 Since March 1 Allowed 2 lbs. $21,000 Since Then Allowed 4 lbs. Claiming Price $75,000 (Races Where Entered For $60,000 Or Less Not Considered In Allowances).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse P# must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occurs Win% ROI
100.0000 6 Triple Tap 4/1 Prat F Baffert Bob JE 595 26.89 1.11/$1
098.4539 7 One Fast Cat 5/1 Rosario J Ward Wesley A. T 454 25.77 1.16/$1
098.0302 9 Supremacy 15/1 Geroux F Cox Brad H. 454 25.77 1.16/$1
097.5803 1A Shadow Matter 8/1 Saez L Stewart Dallas L 427 20.37 1.17/$1
097.1479 3 Tulane Tryst 6/1 Saez G DeVaux Cherie SFC 427 20.37 1.17/$1
097.0907 8 Wora 8/1 Gaffalione T Casse Mark E. W 454 25.77 1.16/$1
097.0314 4 Prime Factor 9/2 Ortiz. Jr. I Pletcher Todd A. 454 25.77 1.16/$1
095.8538 2 Colonel Bowman 15/1 Castellano J Cox Brad H. 427 20.37 1.17/$1
092.6212 11 A C Expressway 20/1 Bridgmohan S Casse Norm W. 454 25.77 1.16/$1
092.6030 10 Santa Cruiser 20/1 Graham J Desormeaux J. Keith 454 25.77 1.16/$1
092.1617 5 Calibrate 9/2 Santana. Jr. R Asmussen Steven M. 454 25.77 1.16/$1
090.8819 1 King's Ovation 8/1 Talamo J Romans Dale L. 427 20.37 1.17/$1
Top rated horse with "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 24.07, ROI 1.29/$1
Rating gap to 2nd horse -1.5461
[Category]Condition
[All Categories] Race Age Not 4Up


05/01/21, CD, Race 14, 8.30 ET
05/01/21,CD,14,6F [Dirt] 1:07:03 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT. Purse $115,000 (includes up to $37,200 KTDF - Kentucky TB Devt Fund). FOR MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. Three Year Olds, 118 lbs.; Older, 124 lbs. (Preference To Horses That Have Not Started For Less Than $50,000).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse P# must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occurs Win% ROI
100.0000 5 Happy Hepo 6/1 Prat F Baffert Bob JW 417 26.86 1.21/$1
098.4091 7 Mr Sippi 3/1 Ortiz. Jr. I Sharp Joe S 417 26.86 1.21/$1
096.9721 2 Mr Annoying 6/1 Saez L Maker Michael J. F 417 26.86 1.21/$1
096.2203 9 Global Appeal 5/1 Murrill M Lukas D. Wayne L 417 26.86 1.21/$1
095.1006 1 Bagboss 4/1 Lanerie C J Walsh Brendan P. EC 417 26.86 1.21/$1
095.0605 4 Fu Pegchu 15/1 Van Dyke D Ward Wesley A. T 417 26.86 1.21/$1
094.8316 8 K C Rocket 6/1 Mena M Stall. Jr. Albert M. 417 26.86 1.21/$1
093.5655 10 Gun Lap 10/1 Hernandez. Jr. B J Drury. Jr. Thomas 417 26.86 1.21/$1
092.1949 6 Curlin Lane 12/1 Talamo J Romans Dale L. 417 26.86 1.21/$1
091.8721 3 King's Mischief 20/1 Landeros C Wilkes Ian R. 417 26.86 1.21/$1
Top rated horse with "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 24.07, ROI 1.29/$1
Rating gap to 2nd horse -1.5909
[Category]Condition
[All Categories] Race Age 3Up


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