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Top Horse Analytics: 04/11/2021 Picks and Results - AQU


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TOP HORSE ANALYTICS (v12.21.03.22b)

Track: AQU
Start Of Statistics - 11/06/2020
Past Number of Races - 668

WinPC   $1ROI   HiPayoff   Bet Types
34.43 0.82   8.70   Favorites
33.28 0.84 14.80   Morning Line Favorites
31.44 0.92 28.80   Top Horse (with profitable conditions)

Complete Statistics Provided at THA Weekly Statistics

Contact us at Facebook for help or to report issues: Top Horse Analytics

The WPC and ROI columns below are the win percents and return on investments that the top horse
has performed in the past year for associated compound conditions in a race. The expectation is
that these conditions will perform as well in the future.

An ROI less than 1.01 indicates that no profitable conditions exist for this entry when it's the top rated
horse. Also, be aware that abnormally high payoffs may inflate the ROI so look for a high WPC and Occurs to go
with that high ROI as your selection.

These stats are only good for the top rated horse whether it's the original (100.0000) or the top horse
resulting from scratches. Every horse in a race may have Occurs, WPC, and ROI stats in case it becomes the
top rated horse.


horse name(b+) - Blinkers On
horse name(b-) - Blinkers Off

04/11/21, AQU, Race 1, 1.20 ET
04/11/21,AQU,1,6F [Dirt] 1:07:03 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT. Purse $80,000. (UP TO $13,920 NYSBFOA) FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. Three Year Olds, 118 lbs.; Older, 125 lbs. (Non-Starters For A Claiming Price Of $40,000 Or Less In The Last 3 Starts Preferred).
. . . .
Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse P# must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, WPC, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Flags Occurs WPC ROI
100.0000 4 Before You 3/1 Cancel E Mott William I. SFEWC 55 41.82 1.23/$1
097.6093 5 Always Carina 8/5 Ortiz J L Brown Chad C. JT 59 44.07 1.20/$1
096.1190 6 After the Party 5/2 Franco M Englehart Jeremiah C. 59 44.07 1.20/$1
095.5067 2 Venus Oyzo 9/2 Cardenas L Persaud Randi L 62 43.55 1.44/$1
095.1427 1 Amendment Nineteen 10/1 McCarthy T Rice Linda 59 44.07 1.20/$1
092.8491 3 As It Should Be 12/1 Rodriguez Castro L A Chapman James K. 59 44.07 1.20/$1
Top rated horse with "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - WPC 28.72, ROI 0.79/$1
Rating gap to 2nd horse -2.3907
[Category]Condition
[AllCategories]*2ndHorse97RatingAndTopHorse100Rating
*Scratches may change this condition

04/11/21, AQU, Race 2, 1.53 ET
04/11/21,AQU,2,7F [Dirt] 1:20:00 CLAIMING. Purse $35,000. FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD. Three Year Olds, 120 lbs.; Older, 126 lbs. Non-winners Of A Race Since October 1, 2020 Allowed 2 lbs. Claiming Price $12,500 (Maiden And Claiming Races For $10,000 Or Less Not Considered In Allowances) (1.5% Aftercare Assessment Due At Time Of Claim Otherwise Claim Will Be Void).
. . . .
Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse P# must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, WPC, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Flags Occurs WPC ROI
100.0000 4 Justin Front 5/2 Cancel E Englehart Chris J. J 390 26.15 0.84/$1
099.3914 1 Skyler's Scramjet 3/1 Gutierrez R Avila A. C. L 390 26.15 0.84/$1
099.0947 5 Eagle Pass 9/2 Franco M Handal Raymond SW 390 26.15 0.84/$1
099.0330 3 Macho Jack 3/1 McCarthy T Rodriguez Rudy R. TE 30 43.33 1.24/$1
096.6591 6 Brush Country 5/1 Morales P Brown Bruce R. 390 26.15 0.84/$1
096.4619 2 Tale of Mist 6/1 Rodriguez Castro L A Persaud Randi FC 390 26.15 0.84/$1
Top rated horse with "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - WPC 28.72, ROI 0.79/$1
Rating gap to 2nd horse -0.6086
[Category]Condition



04/11/21, AQU, Race 3, 2.22 ET
04/11/21,AQU,3,1M [Dirt] 1:32:02 CLAIMING. Purse $22,000. FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD. Three Year Olds, 120 lbs.; Older, 127 lbs. Non-winners of a race at a mile or over since October 1, 2020 Allowed 2 lbs. Claiming Price $8,000 (Races where entered for $6,250 or less not considered in allowances) (1.5% Aftercare Assessment due at time of claim otherwise claim will be void).
. . . .
Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse P# must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, WPC, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Flags Occurs WPC ROI
100.0000 3 Dynamax Prime 2/1 Franco M Atras Rob T 390 26.15 0.84/$1
099.8755 8 Playwright(b-) 7/2 Cancel E Potts Wayne JEW 390 26.15 0.84/$1
099.0686 5 Frankie Barone 3/1 Morales P Miceli Michael S 390 26.15 0.84/$1
098.0360 7 Mac's Revolution 8/1 McCarthy T Barker Edward R. F 390 26.15 0.84/$1
097.3878 4 Deep Sea 6/1 Cardenas L Cruz Lenin C 390 26.15 0.84/$1
096.6337 6 Scarf It Down 10/1 Rodriguez Castro L A Noda Orlando L 390 26.15 0.84/$1
096.0059 9 Hawaiian Noises 15/1 Hernandez B DeLauro Edward J. 390 26.15 0.84/$1
094.8094 1 Mr. Fidget 30/1 Gutierrez R Ferraro James W. 390 26.15 0.84/$1
094.7431 2 Real Dan 30/1 Samuel J L Legall Ricardo E. 390 26.15 0.84/$1
Top rated horse with "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - WPC 28.72, ROI 0.79/$1
Rating gap to 2nd horse -0.1245
[Category]Condition



04/11/21, AQU, Race 4, 2.53 ET
04/11/21,AQU,4,1M [Turf] 1:34:01 STAKES. Plenty of Grace Stakes. Purse $100,000. FOR FILLIES AND MARES FOUR YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. By subscription of $100 each which should accompany the nominations; $500 to pass the entry box and an additional $500 to start. For horses not originally nominated, a supplemental nomination payment of $1,000 (along with the entry and starting fees) may be made at any time prior to the closing of entries. The purse to be divided 55% to the owner of the winner, 20% to second, 12% to third, 6% to fourth, 4% to fifth and 3% divided equally amongst the remaining finishers. Weight, 123 lbs. Non-winners of a Graded Sweepstake on the turf since May 1, 2020 allowed 3 lbs.; of a Sweepstake other than State-Bred on the turf since August 1, 2020 allowed 5 lbs. The New York Racing Association reserves the right to transfer this race to the Main Track. A presentation will be made to the winning owner. Closed Saturday, March 27, 2021 with 18 Original Nominations and 1 Supplement. (If the Stewards consider it inadvisable to run this race on the turf course, this race will be run at One Mile on the Main Track.).
. . . .
Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse P# must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, WPC, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Flags Occurs WPC ROI
100.0000 5 Regal Glory 7/5 Ortiz J L Brown Chad C. E 18 61.11 2.15/$1
099.5428 4 Counterparty Risk (IRE) 3/1 Cancel E Brown Chad C. SC 18 61.11 2.15/$1
098.9619 10 Flashndynamite 2/1 McCarthy T Moore Michael M. L 18 61.11 2.15/$1
098.5594 7 Call Me Love (GB) 5/2 Alvarado J Clement Christophe 36 47.22 1.51/$1
098.1736 9 Myhartblongstodady 6/1 McCarthy T Abreu Jorge R. T 18 61.11 2.15/$1
097.3379 1 Kilkea 15/1 Carmouche K Hennig Mark A. JF 36 47.22 1.51/$1
095.9420 2 Daria's Angel 4/1 Rodriguez Castro L A Noda Orlando 18 61.11 2.15/$1
095.5063 6 Platinum Paynter 15/1 Rodriguez Castro L A Vazquez Juan C. 36 47.22 1.51/$1
094.1471 3 Sweet Turn 50/1 Luzzi M J White Donald R. W 36 47.22 1.51/$1
094.1466 8 Xanthique 20/1 Franco M Morley Thomas 18 61.11 2.15/$1
Top rated horse with "Turf Surface Not fm/hd" - WPC 41.03, ROI 1.07/$1
Rating gap to 2nd horse -0.4572
[Category]Condition
[TurfNot_MdnMClm]LastRaceWeightIsNotGreaterThanToday -with-
[TurfNot_MdnMClm]RaceDistanceRoute

If Race Is Off Turf

Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse P# must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, WPC, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Flags Occurs WPC ROI
100.0000 5 Regal Glory 7/5 Ortiz J L Brown Chad C. E 390 26.15 0.84/$1
098.8972 7 Call Me Love (GB) 5/2 Alvarado J Clement Christophe S 390 26.15 0.84/$1
098.7676 4 Counterparty Risk (IRE) 3/1 Cancel E Brown Chad C. C 390 26.15 0.84/$1
098.2336 1 Kilkea 15/1 Carmouche K Hennig Mark A. JF 390 26.15 0.84/$1
098.2177 10 Flashndynamite 2/1 McCarthy T Moore Michael M. WL 390 26.15 0.84/$1
097.8561 9 Myhartblongstodady 6/1 McCarthy T Abreu Jorge R. 390 26.15 0.84/$1
095.8613 2 Daria's Angel 4/1 Rodriguez Castro L A Noda Orlando 390 26.15 0.84/$1
095.2365 6 Platinum Paynter 15/1 Rodriguez Castro L A Vazquez Juan C. 390 26.15 0.84/$1
095.1498 8 Xanthique 20/1 Franco M Morley Thomas 390 26.15 0.84/$1
095.1300 3 Sweet Turn 50/1 Luzzi M J White Donald R. 390 26.15 0.84/$1
Top rated horse with "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - WPC 28.72, ROI 0.79/$1
Rating gap to 2nd horse -1.1028
[Category]Condition



04/11/21, AQU, Race 5, 3.26 ET
04/11/21,AQU,5,6F [Dirt] 1:07:03 MAIDEN CLAIMING. Purse $43,000. FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD FOALED IN NEW YORK STATE AND APPROVED BY THE NEW YORK STATE-BRED REGISTRY. Three Year Olds, 118 lbs.; Older, 125 lbs. Claiming Price $40,000 (1.5% Aftercare Assessment Due At Time Of Claim Otherwise Claim Will Be Void).
. . . .
Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse P# must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, WPC, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Flags Occurs WPC ROI
100.0000 4 Cazilda Fortytales 9/2 Cardenas L Klesaris Robert P. FL 135 37.78 1.14/$1
099.3753 9 Ob La Di 8/1 Carmouche K Ryan Derek S. J 199 30.65 0.89/$1
099.0677 8 Bella Domenica 6/1 Hernandez B Rodriguez Rudy R. E 62 43.55 1.44/$1
098.7158 3 Sweet Larissa 5/1 Alvarado J Hennig Mark A. W 117 38.46 1.22/$1
098.4862 1 Bella Principessa 8/1 Gutierrez R Rodriguez Rudy R. C 62 43.55 1.44/$1
098.4556 5 Rainbow Gal 7/2 Ortiz J L Noda Orlando S 62 43.55 1.44/$1
098.2620 7 Raffinity(b+) 6/1 Franco M Atras Rob 199 30.65 0.89/$1
097.1332 2 Lady Normandy 15/1 Rodriguez Castro L A Demasi Kathleen A. 199 30.65 0.89/$1
097.1120 6 Bustin Stones Up 10/1 Cancel E Potts Wayne 199 30.65 0.89/$1
097.0168 10 Blind Sight 15/1 McCarthy T Summers Chad 199 30.65 0.89/$1
Top rated horse with "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - WPC 28.72, ROI 0.79/$1
Rating gap to 2nd horse -0.6247
[Category]Condition
[DirtMdnMClm]LastRaceIsSameTrackAsToday


04/11/21, AQU, Race 6, 3.59 ET
04/11/21,AQU,6,1M [Dirt] 1:32:02 ALLOWANCE. Purse $72,000. FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD FOALED IN NEW YORK STATE AND APPROVED BY THE NEW YORK STATE-BRED REGISTRY WHICH HAVE NEVER WON $13,000 OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING OR STARTER OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. Three Year Olds, 120 lbs.; Older, 127 lbs. Non-winners of a race other than Claiming or Starter at a mile or over Allowed 2 lbs.
. . . .
Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse P# must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, WPC, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Flags Occurs WPC ROI
100.0000 6 Too Early 5/2 McCarthy T Rice Linda S 390 26.15 0.84/$1
099.7022 7 Therisastormbrewin 6/1 Carmouche K Rice Linda JL 390 26.15 0.84/$1
099.1781 2 Tiergan 7/5 Franco M Rodriguez Rudy R. 390 26.15 0.84/$1
098.9896 3 Three Jokers(b+) 9/2 Ortiz J L Terranova II John P. 390 26.15 0.84/$1
098.4601 1 Financialstability 6/1 Cancel E Potts Wayne FWC 390 26.15 0.84/$1
098.4512 4 Magnetron 15/1 Rodriguez Castro L A Atras Rob T 390 26.15 0.84/$1
097.9116 5 Devil's Code 20/1 Alvarado J Miceli Michael E 390 26.15 0.84/$1
Top rated horse with "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - WPC 28.72, ROI 0.79/$1
Rating gap to 2nd horse -0.2978
[Category]Condition



04/11/21, AQU, Race 7, 4.34 ET
04/11/21,AQU,7,6F [Dirt] 1:07:03 CLAIMING. Purse $28,000. FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. Three Year Olds, 120 lbs.; Older, 126 lbs. Non-winners of a race since October 1, 2020 Allowed 2 lbs. Claiming Price $16,000 (1.5% Aftercare Assessment due at time of claim otherwise claim will be void).
. . . .
Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse P# must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, WPC, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Flags Occurs WPC ROI
100.0000 4 Brunate 9/2 McCarthy T Bond H. James F 390 26.15 0.84/$1
099.5303 11 The Big S 2/1 Gutierrez R Broberg Karl 390 26.15 0.84/$1
099.0173 3 Macho Boy 5/1 Luzzi M J Chichakly Amira L 390 26.15 0.84/$1
098.0594 2 Blues City 8/1 Cancel E Rice Linda S 390 26.15 0.84/$1
097.5697 9 Spitball 8/1 Ortiz J L Rice Linda J 390 26.15 0.84/$1
097.0347 1 Varangian 12/1 Cardenas L Bond H. James 390 26.15 0.84/$1
096.7050 10 Joint and Several(b+) 12/1 Franco M Kantarmaci Mertkan E 390 26.15 0.84/$1
095.6740 8 Ask Neal 12/1 Morales P Toscano. Jr. John T. WC 390 26.15 0.84/$1
095.0772 5 Gratto Swing(b+) 20/1 Samuel J L Pringle Edmund 390 26.15 0.84/$1
094.8802 7 Have a Heart 15/1 Rodriguez Castro L A Persaud Randi 390 26.15 0.84/$1
093.3578 6 Our American Star(b+) 30/1 Hernandez B Shivmangal Lolita 390 26.15 0.84/$1
Top rated horse with "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - WPC 28.72, ROI 0.79/$1
Rating gap to 2nd horse -0.4697
[Category]Condition



04/11/21, AQU, Race 8, 5.07 ET
04/11/21,AQU,8,6F [Dirt] 1:07:03 CLAIMING. Purse $44,000. FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD. Three Year Olds, 120 lbs.; Older, 126 lbs. Non-winners Of A Race Since October 1, 2020 Allowed 2 lbs. Claiming Price $20,000 (Maiden And Claiming Races For $16,000 Or Less Not Considered In Allowances) (1.5% Aftercare Assessment Due At Time Of Claim Otherwise Claim Will Be Void).
. . . .
Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse P# must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, WPC, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Flags Occurs WPC ROI
100.0000 4 Ark in the Dark 4/1 Carmouche K Taylor Joseph J 390 26.15 0.84/$1
099.7387 8 Batterbatterswing 8/1 Gutierrez R Persaud Randi 390 26.15 0.84/$1
099.7241 7 David's Gem 6/1 Rodriguez Castro L A Sciacca Gary L 390 26.15 0.84/$1
099.4370 1 The Caretaker 5/2 Cardenas L Potts Wayne FEC 390 26.15 0.84/$1
099.1072 3 Durkin's Call 3/1 McCarthy T Lynch Natalia S 390 26.15 0.84/$1
098.8230 6 Popizar 6/1 Cancel E Broberg Karl T 390 26.15 0.84/$1
098.1939 5 Full Salute 10/1 Hernandez B Tournas Peter 390 26.15 0.84/$1
096.9885 2 Kosciuszko(b+) 15/1 Luzzi M J Chichakly Amira W 390 26.15 0.84/$1
Top rated horse with "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - WPC 28.72, ROI 0.79/$1
Rating gap to 2nd horse -0.2613
[Category]Condition



04/11/21, AQU, Race 9, 5.40 ET
04/11/21,AQU,9,6F [Dirt] 1:07:03 MAIDEN CLAIMING. Purse $35,000. FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD FOALED IN NEW YORK STATE AND APPROVED BY THE NEW YORK STATE-BRED REGISTRY. Three Year Olds, 118 lbs.; Older, 125 lbs. Claiming Price $25,000 (1.5% Aftercare Assessment Due At Time Of Claim Otherwise Claim Will Be Void).
. . . .
Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse P# must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, WPC, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Flags Occurs WPC ROI
100.0000 11 Big Tony's Girl 3/1 Ortiz J L Ryerson James T. FE 62 43.55 1.44/$1
098.5290 4 Tiny Magoo 5/2 Franco M Atras Rob 62 43.55 1.44/$1
097.9171 1 Decreed 5/1 Alvarado J Cox Brad H. T 199 30.65 0.89/$1
096.8415 9 Happy Hill Lil 6/1 McCarthy T Sciacca Gary C 199 30.65 0.89/$1
095.3966 6 Starship Kiara 12/1 Cardenas L Klesaris Robert P. 199 30.65 0.89/$1
095.2440 8 Chilly Choos 10/1 Hernandez B Sciacca Gary L 135 37.78 1.14/$1
095.1506 10 Bustin Shuffle 15/1 Cancel E Potts Wayne S 199 30.65 0.89/$1
094.3624 7 Wish for Magic 12/1 Carmouche K Brown Bruce R. JW 80 33.75 1.14/$1
094.2218 2 Captivating Cara 20/1 Rodriguez Castro L A Friedman Mitchell E. 62 43.55 1.44/$1
093.2854 5 Roxen 20/1 Luzzi M J Barker Edward R. 199 30.65 0.89/$1
089.4438 3 Devil On the Loose 30/1 Harkie H K Simmonds Michael A. 62 43.55 1.44/$1
Top rated horse with "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - WPC 28.72, ROI 0.79/$1
Rating gap to 2nd horse -1.4710
[Category]Condition
[DirtMdnMClm]LastRaceIsSameTrackAsToday -with-
[DirtMdnMClm]LastRaceWeightIsEqualToToday


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